Latent trait models for perceived risk assessment using a Covid-19 data survey.

Aim of the contribution is analyzing potential events that may negatively impact individuals, assets, and/or the environment, and making judgments about the perceived personal and social riskiness of Covid-19 compared to other hazards belonging to health (AIDS, cancer, infarction), environmental (climate change), behavioral (serious car accidents), and technological (nuclear weapons) domains. The comparative risk analysis has been performed on a survey data collected during the first Italian Covid-19 lockdown. An item response theory model for polytomously scored items has been implemented for the analysis of the positioning of Covid-19 with respect to the other hazards in terms of perceived risk. Among the attributes determining the hazard's perceived risk, Covid-19 distinguishes for the knowledge of risks from the hazard, media attention, and fear caused by the hazard in the peers. Besides, through a latent regression analysis, the role of some individual characteristics on the perceived risk for Covid-19 has been examined. Our contribution allows us to disentangle among several aspects of hazards and describe the main factors affecting the perceived risk. It also contributes to determine if existing control measures are perceived as adequate and the interest for new media with related impact on a person's reaction.

Immunohistochemical analysis of dendritic cells in skin lesions: correlations with survival time.

The response to wounds until healing requires the activity of many cell types coordinate in space and time, so that the types of cells in a wound and their localization may be of help to date lesions with respect to death, which would be useful in forensic pathology. Cells reacting to injury include dendritic cells; the early reaction of these cells to skin wounding has not yet been investigated in humans, which was the aim of this study. Samples of wounded and control skin were taken at autopsy and analyzed by affinity histochemistry. Both epidermal and dermal MHC-II+ cells increased transiently in number within the first hour after wounding, then decreased. In the epidermis the increase affected also CD1a+ cells, i.e. well differentiated Langherhans cells, which however increased less, earlier and for a shorter time period than MHC-II+ cells. Dermal MHC-II+ cells became part of a perivascular mononuclear cell infiltrate visible in the subpapillary dermis by 60 min after wounding, which contained also mast cells. The immediately perivascular MHC-II+ cells were DC-SIGN- and CD11c-, while MHC-II+, DC-SIGN+, CD11c+ dendritic cells were predominantly located at the periphery of infiltrates and some were near the epidermis. Mast cells underwent degranulation, besides increase in number, in the first hours after wounding. The results suggest that skin dendritic cells, including Langerhans cells, participate to the early response to wounding in concert with mast cells, and that subpapillary blood vessels are primary sites of cell infiltration during that response in humans. The results show that the ratio between CD1a positive and MHC-II positive cells in the epidermis, the degranulation index of mast cells and the relative volume of MHC-II positive cells in the dermis can be added to the tools useful to distinguish vital from post mortem lesions and, the first two of them, to estimate the interval between a lesion and death.

High heterogeneity in methods used for the laboratory confirmation of pertussis diagnosis among European countries, 2010: integration of epidemiological and laboratory surveillance must include standardisation of methodologies and quality assurance.

Despite extensive childhood immunisation, pertussis remains one of the world's leading causes of vaccine preventable deaths. The current methods used for laboratory diagnosis of pertussis include bacterial culture, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) serology. We conducted a questionnaire survey to identify variations in the laboratory methods and protocols used among participating countries included in the European surveillance network for vaccine-preventable diseases(EUVAC.NET). In February 2010, we performed the survey using a web-based questionnaire and sent it to the country experts of 25 European Union countries,and two European Economic Area (EEA) countries,Norway and Iceland. The questionnaire consisted of 37 questions which covered both general information on surveillance methods and detailed laboratory methods used. A descriptive analysis was performed.Questionnaires were answered by all 27 contacted countries. Nineteen countries had pertussis reference laboratories at the national level; their functions varied from performing diagnosis to providing technical advice for routine microbiology laboratories. Culture,PCR and serology were used in 17, 18 and 20 countries,respectively. For PCR, nine laboratories used insertion sequence IS481 as the target gene, which is present in multiple copies in the Bordetella pertussis genome and thus has a greater sensitivity over single copy targets, but has been proved not to be specific for B.pertussis. Antibodies directed against pertussis toxin(PT) are specific for B. pertussis infections. For ELISA serology, only 13 countries' laboratories used purified PT as coating antigen and 10 included World Health Organization (WHO) or Food and Drug Administration (FDA) reference sera in their tests. This present survey shows that methods used for laboratory confirmation of pertussis differ widely among European countries and that there is a great heterogeneity of the reference laboratories and functions. To evaluate the effects of different pertussis immunisation programmes in Europe, standardisation and harmonisation of the laboratory methods are needed.

Description and analysis of 12 years of surveillance for Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in Denmark, 1997 to 2008.

Prospective surveillance of Creutzfeldt­Jakob disease (CJD) was initiated in Denmark in 1997, following the observation of variant CJD in the United Kingdom. Demographic, clinical and diagnostic information was collected for each patient with clinical suspicion of CJD. Here we describe the methods for surveillance and the observed outcomes between 1 January 1997 and 31 December 2008. A total of 83 patients were classified as sporadic CJD, 47 were definite diagnoses, 34 probable and two possible. This resulted in a mean incidence of 1.26 patients with probable and definite sporadic CJD per million inhabitants. Two sporadic CJD patients were found to have a genetic variant of unknown significance: Thr201Ser and Glu200Asp. One patient was diagnosed with Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker syndrome. No patients were classified as having variant, iatrogenic or familial CJD. The Danish surveillance system, like those in other countries, has a multidisciplinary approach, which is labour-intensive and time-consuming but ensures the most complete set of information possible. With this approach we think that patients with variant CJD would have been detected had they occurred in Denmark. Certain aspects of CJD surveillance need further discussion at European level and beyond, in order to find a balance between efficiency of the systems and accuracy of surveillance data.

Epidemiology and clinical features of human infection with Coxiella burnetii in Denmark during 2006-07.

Query (Q) fever was virtually unknown in Denmark in 2005, when, after the introduction of new sensitive diagnostic methods for Coxiella burnetii, an increasing number of positive cattle created concern among people with frequent exposure. This led to a dramatic rise in examinations for Q fever among humans in the following 2 years. The aim of our study was to assess indication for testing and symptoms in individuals with serological signs of infection with C. burnetii. We performed a case-review study of seropositives among all humans tested for Q fever in 2006-07 in Denmark. Seropositive cases were categorized with acute infection: 4-fold increase in immunoglobulin G (IgG) phase II or concomitant IgM phase II ≥ 1 : 256 and IgG phase II ≥ 1 : 1024; and previous infection: IgG phase II ≥ 1 : 1024. A borderline result was defined as: IgG phase II = 1 : 512. Physicians completed a questionnaire retrospectively. Of the 1613 people tested, 177 (11%) were seropositive [37 (2%) acute infection, 140 (9%) previous infection], 180 had a borderline result. Among 127 seropositives responders, 31% were tested due to symptoms compatible with Q fever after a possible exposure to C. burnetii, 64% were asymptomatic and were tested following relevant exposure only; 64% were males, 43% farmers, 39% veterinarians, 84% had been exposed to cattle. The most frequently reported symptoms were asthenia (25%), myalgia (21%), fever (17%) and headache (13%). About two-thirds of seropositives reported asymptomatic infections, and were tested for Q fever because of concern for occupational exposure to cattle. One-third of the seropositives reported symptoms consistent with Q fever, the majority being mild. Our study provided important evidence that increased requests for Q fever testing in 2006-07 arose from heightened public awareness of the disease, and not from an outbreak of clinical disease. Nonetheless, Q fever should be considered endemic in Denmark.

The current state of introduction of HPV vaccination into national immunisation schedules in Europe: results of the VENICE 2008 survey.

Three surveys have been undertaken in European Union (EU) member states since January 2007, within the European Commission funded Vaccine European New Integrated Collaboration Effort (VENICE) project, to monitor the decision status regarding the introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination into national immunisation schedules. A web-based questionnaire was developed and completed online by the 28 countries participating in VENICE. According to the last update (31st December 2008), 15 countries have decided to introduce HPV vaccination into their national immunisation schedule, while another six have started the decision-making process with a recommendation favouring introduction. Varying target populations have been selected by the countries which have introduced vaccination. The number of countries which have made a decision or recommendation has increased from 12 to 21 between October 2007 and December 2008. This survey demonstrates the rapidly evolving nature of HPV vaccine introduction in Europe. A further update should be available in the second half of 2009.

Outbreak of Clostridium difficile 027 in North Zealand, Denmark, 2008-2009.

We report an outbreak of Clostridium difficile PCR ribotype 027 in Denmark. The outbreak includes to date 73 cases from the area north of Copenhagen, but there may be related cases elsewhere in Zealand. Most infections are healthcare-associated and in patients who previously received antibiotic treatment. The strain is resistant to moxifloxacin, erythromycin, and clindamycin, and carries genes for toxin A, toxin B, and for the binary toxin. The antimicrobial pattern differs from that of the strain involved in a small cluster in Denmark in 2006-2007. Because of this outbreak, hygienic measures in the involved hospitals have been reinforced. Nationwide, microbiological laboratories were alerted to the outbreak and encouraged to send isolates for toxin profiling and PCR ribotyping.

Clinical course of Crohn's disease first diagnosed at surgery for acute abdomen.

BACKGROUND: The severity of clinical activity of Crohn's disease is high during the first year after diagnosis and decreases thereafter. Approximately 50% of patients require steroids and immunosuppressants and 75% need surgery during their lifetime. The clinical course of patients with Crohn's disease first diagnosed at surgery has never been investigated. AIM: To assess the clinical course of Crohn's disease first diagnosed at surgery for acute abdomen and to evaluate the need for medical and surgical treatment in this subset of patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Hospital clinical records of 490 consecutive Crohn's disease patients were reviewed. Patients were classified according to the Vienna criteria. Sex, extraintestinal manifestations, family history of inflammatory bowel diseases, appendectomy, smoking habit and medical/surgical treatments performed during the follow-up period were assessed. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Kaplan-Meier survival method and Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: Of the 490 Crohn's disease patients, 115 had diagnosis of Crohn's disease at surgery for acute abdomen (Group A) and 375 by conventional clinical, radiological, endoscopic and histologic criteria (Group B). Patients in Group A showed a low risk of further surgery (Log Rank test p<0.001) and a longer time interval between diagnosis and first operation compared to Group B (10.8 years vs. 5.8 years, p<0.01, respectively). Furthermore, patients in Group A used less steroids and immunosuppressants (OR 0.3, p<0.0001; OR 0.6, p<0.004, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Crohn's disease patients first diagnosed at surgery for acute abdomen showed a low risk for reintervention and less use of steroids and immunosuppressants during follow-up than those not operated upon at diagnosis. Early surgery may represent a valid approach in the initial management of patients with Crohn's disease, at least in the subset of patients with ileal and complicated disease.

Introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination into national immunisation schedules in Europe: Results of the VENICE 2007 survey.

The European Union Member States are simultaneously considering introducing HPV vaccination into their national immunisation schedules. The Vaccine European New Integrated Collaboration Effort (VENICE) project aims to develop a collaborative European vaccination network. A survey was undertaken to describe the decision status and the decision-making process regarding the potential introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in to their national immunisation schedules. A web-based questionnaire was developed and completed online in 2007 by 28 countries participating in VENICE. As of 31 October 2007,five countries had decided to introduce HPV vaccination into the national immunisation schedule, while another seven had started the decision-making process with a recommendation favouring introduction. Varying target populations were selected by the five countries which had introduced the vaccination. Half of the surveyed countries had undertaken at least one ad hoc study to support the decision-making process. According to an update of the decision-status from January 2008, the number of countries which had made a decision or recommendation changed to 10 and 5 respectively. This survey demonstrates the rapidly evolving nature of HPV vaccine introduction in Europe and the existence of expertise and experience among EU Member States. The VENICE network is capable of following this process and supporting countries in making vaccine introduction decisions. A VENICE collaborative web-space is being developed as a European resource for the decision-making process for vaccine introduction.

Blood-borne cells involved in arterial repair upon experimental incision injury.

We had previously shown that microscopically detectable infiltration of dendritic cells and expression of Hsp47 in tissue lysates occur during repair upon experimental arterial injury. We have further analysed here the cell types involved in the repair process by histology, electron microscopy and immunofluorescence. Rat carotid arteries were subjected to brief crushing and full thickness incision and were analysed up to 21 d thereafter. Adhesion and activation of platelets occurred 3 h after surgery. A neointima had formed 7 d after surgery, where immature cells entered from the lumen and gave rise to cells rich in organelles of the secretory pathway and endowed with bundles of phalloidin-binding microfilaments. Alpha smooth muscle-positive, secretory and contractile smooth muscle cells were found in the neointima 14 and 21 d after injury. Seven to 21 d after surgery, endothelial cells appeared immature and the newly formed tissue contained MHC-II positive, CD43 positive dendritic cells which clustered with lymphocytes, a few macrophages containing apoptotic remnants and cells labelled for Hsp47. Thin elastic fibrils appeared in the neointima 21 d after injury. The results suggest that the response to acute arterial incision injury is mediated by blood borne cells which differentiate along multiple pathways; the process evolves without reaching stabilization within the observed time lapse; the secretion of extracellular matrix is marked by the expression of Hsp47; and the constant presence of dendritic cells clustered with lymphocytes makes these cells candidate to a pivotal role in the tissue response to injury.

Early increase in TNF-alpha-containing mast cells in skin lesions.

We have evaluated the numbers and immunohistochemical positivity for tumor necrosis factor (TNF) alpha of the mast cells in (a) 40 skin samples collected at autopsy from subjects who had survived for a few seconds to 1 h, (b) 10 samples of post-mortem skin lesions and (c) 10 surgical biopsies of healthy skin. Sections were treated with fluoresceinated avidin, to tag mast cell granules, followed by indirect immunohistochemistry for TNF-alpha with polyclonal primary and rhodaminated secondary antibodies. We could confirm a progressive increase in mast cell numbers, which became significant 1 h after trauma. More important, the fraction of mast cells positive for TNF-alpha increased progressively in the same time period and became significantly higher than controls in specimens collected more than 15 min after trauma. Samples from post-mortem lesions had significantly fewer mast cells and fewer TNF-alpha-positive cells than any other group of samples. The results suggest that mast cells are quickly recruited to an injured site in response to trauma and upregulate their TNF-alpha content, which can play an early role in directing tissue response to injury. The forensic pathologist can take advantage from this behavior of mast cells for the evaluation of the timing of early vital lesions.

Affinity cytochemistry analysis of mast cells in skin lesions: a possible tool to assess the timing of lesions after death.

The histamine content in vital wounds is known to increase, with a zenith after 3 h, and then decrease until 24 h after wounding. We addressed whether this biochemical alteration has a morphological counterpart. Since the main source of skin histamine are mast cells, the distribution and number of these cells was assessed upon labeling with fluorescent avidin and with antibodies to the mast cell specific enzymes, chymase and tryptase. Analyses were performed on skin from 15 healthy controls (from surgical biopsies), from 15 post-mortem lesions and 75 vital lesions, obtained at autopsy from subjects who had survived from a few seconds to 24 h. The number of mast cells per unit area of section surface increased progressively with survival time, up to a maximum in subjects who survived 1-3 h ( p<0.01), and decreased thereafter becoming less than in the controls if lesions had occurred earlier than 6 h before death ( p<0.01). Samples from post-mortem lesions had significantly fewer mast cells than those of any other groups of samples ( p<0.01). We suggest that in association to other histological and circumstantial evidence the analysis of mast cells by affinity cytochemistry can help to discriminate vital from post-mortem lesions and to estimate survival time after lesions.

Immunohistochemical localization of mast cells as a tool for the discrimination of vital and postmortem lesions.

In wounds that are inflicted at least 60 min before death, histamine levels can increase up to 100%. This functional effect might have a morphometric counterpart. Mast cells play a crucial role in acute inflammatory reactions and in the healing process of wounds. Therefore, the density of these cells was immunohistochemically assessed in tissue from 20 healthy controls (Group 1), 20 vital skin lesions (Group 2) (age range: a few seconds to 1 h), and 20 postmortem lesions (Group 3). A piece of skin close to the vital lesion was also obtained from the homolateral part of the body (Group 4). Mast cell density was significantly higher at the level of the vital lesions (11.28+/-2.44) than elsewhere (healthy controls 7.66+/-1.27, postmortem lesions 4.13+/-1.46, skin close to the vital lesions 4.88+/-1.59). No differences were found between the values assessed in the skin samples close to the vital lesions and in those in the postmortem lesions. Therefore, mast cell richness in the vital lesions exhibited a proportional morphological correlation with previously detected histamine values in cutaneous vital lesions. These results suggest that the detection of mast cells with immunohistochemical techniques can lead to a high level of discrimination (based on statistical data) between antemortem and postmortem lesions. This method could also be used to ascertain the vitality of lesions.

Screening for silent myocardial ischaemia in type 2 diabetic patients with additional atherogenic risk factors: applicability and accuracy of the exercise stress test.

OBJECTIVE: Coronary artery disease (CAD), a major cause of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), is often diagnosed late because of silent myocardial ischaemia (SMI). Exercise electrocardiogram testing (ECG) stress is the most utilized screening test for SMI. Its applicability and accuracy, which have never been reported in asymptomatic high-risk T2D patients, have been investigated in this study. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study with coronary angiography as the gold standard for detecting CAD was used. METHODS: Two hundred and six consecutive T2D patients, without symptoms and resting ECG signs of ischaemia but with peripheral vascular disease (PVD) and/or > or = two atherogenic factors, were studied. Ischaemia at ECG stress was indicated by horizontal or downsloping ST segment depression > or =1 mm at 0.08 s after the J point. CAD was defined by stenosis > or =70%. RESULTS: Only 141/206 (68%) patients had a diagnostic test: 27 (19%) tested positive and 114 (81%) tested negative. Coronary angiography in 71 patients (the 27 who tested positive and 44 randomly selected patients who tested negative) indicated a CAD prevalence of 29% and the ECG stress accuracy was 79%. 'False negative' patients (18%) had a higher prevalence (P<0.01) of long duration of diabetes and PVD. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study which provides insights into the applicability and accuracy of ECG stress in screening SMI in high-risk patients with T2D. Due to the high prevalence of CAD, alternative screening tests in patients unable to perform the test and in those with a high chance of being 'false negative' should be looked for and validated.