Good outcome prediction after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A prospective multicenter observational study in Korea (the KORHN-PRO registry).

AIM: To assess the ability of clinical examination, biomarkers, electrophysiology and brain imaging, individually or in combination to predict good neurological outcomes at 6 months after CA. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of the Korean Hypothermia Network Prospective Registry 1.0, which included adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients (≥18 years). Good outcome predictors were defined as both pupillary light reflex (PLR) and corneal reflex (CR) at admission, Glasgow Coma Scale Motor score (GCS-M) >3 at admission, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) <17 µg/L at 24-72 h, a median nerve somatosensory evoked potential (SSEP) N20/P25 amplitude >4 µV, continuous background without discharges on electroencephalogram (EEG), and absence of anoxic injury on brain CT and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). RESULTS: A total of 1327 subjects were included in the final analysis, and their median age was 59 years; among them, 412 subjects had a good neurological outcome at 6 months. GCS-M >3 at admission had the highest specificity of 96.7% (95% CI 95.3-97.8), and normal brain DWI had the highest sensitivity of 96.3% (95% CI 92.9-98.4). When the two predictors were combined, the sensitivities tended to decrease (ranging from 2.7-81.1%), and the specificities tended to increase, ranging from81.3-100%. Through the explorative variation of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) prognostication strategy algorithms, good outcomes were predicted, with a specificity of 83.2% and a sensitivity of 83.5% in patients by the algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical examination, biomarker, electrophysiology, and brain imaging predicted good outcomes at 6 months after CA. When the two predictors were combined, the specificity further improved. With the 2021 ERC/ESICM guidelines, the number of indeterminate patients and the uncertainty of prognostication can be reduced by using a good outcome prediction algorithm.

Glucose control and outcomes in diabetic and nondiabetic patients treated with targeted temperature management after cardiac arrest.

Hyperglycemia is commonly observed in critically ill patients and postcardiac arrest patients, with higher glucose levels and variability associated with poorer outcomes. In this study, we aim to compare glucose control in diabetic and nondiabetic patients using glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels, providing insights for better glucose management strategies. This retrospective observational study was conducted at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital from February 2009 to May 2022. Blood glucose levels were measured hourly for 48 h after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), and a glucose management protocol was followed to maintain arterial blood glucose levels between 140 and 180 mg/dL using short-acting insulin infusion. Patients were categorized into four groups based on diabetes status and glycemic control. The primary outcomes assessed were neurological outcome and mortality at 6 months after cardiac arrest. Among the 332 included patients, 83 (25.0%) had a previous diabetes diagnosis, and 114 (34.3%) had an HbA1c of 6.0% or higher. At least one hyperglycemic episode was observed in 314 patients (94.6%) and hypoglycemia was found in 63 patients (19.0%) during 48 h. After the categorization, unrecognized diabetes was noticed in 51 patients with median HbA1c of 6.3% (interquartile range [IQR] 6.1-6.6). Patients with inadequate diabetes control had the highest initial HbA1c level (7.0%, IQR 6.5-7.8) and admission glucose (314 mg/dL, IQR 257-424). Median time to target glucose in controlled diabetes was significantly shorter with the slowest glucose reducing rate. The total insulin dose required to reach the target glucose level and cumulative insulin requirement during 48 h were different among the categories (p <0.001). Poor neurological outcomes and mortality were more frequently observed in patients with diagnosed diabetes. Occurrence of a hypoglycemic episode during the 48 h after ROSC was independently associated with poor neurologic outcomes (odds ratio [OR] 3.505; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.382-9.663). Surviving patients following cardiac arrest exhibited variations in glucose hemodynamics and outcomes according to the categories based on their preexisting diabetes status and glycemic condition. Specifically, even experiencing a single episode of hypoglycemia during the acute phase could have an influence on unfavorable neurological outcomes. While the classification did not directly affect neurological outcomes, the present results indicate the need for a customized approach to glucose control based on these categories.

Association between early lactate-related variables and 6-month neurological outcome in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients.

INTRODUCTION: The role of lactate measurement in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors remains controversial. We assessed the association between early lactate-related variables, OHCA characteristics, and long-term neurological outcome. METHODS: In OHCA patients who received targeted temperature management, lactate levels were measured at 0, 12, and 24 h after the return of spontaneous circulation. We calculated lactate clearance and time-weighted cumulative lactate (TWCL), which represent the area under the time-lactate curve. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of lactate-related variables for predicting 6-month poor outcome (Cerebral Performance Category 3-5) were evaluated. Interactions between lactate variables and characteristics of OHCA were evaluated by a multivariable logistic model with interaction terms and subgroup analysis. RESULTS: A total of 347 OHCA patients were included. After adjustment, higher lactate levels at the three time points were associated with a poor outcome (AOR 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03-1.18], AOR 1.15 [95% CI, 1.02-1.29], and AOR 1.36 [95% CI, 1.15-1.60], respectively), while TWCL was the only lactate kinetics variable associated with a poor outcome (AOR 1.29 [95% CI, 1.12-1.49]). We identified several interactions between lactate-related variables and OHCA characteristics. In particular, the AUC of TWCL was excellent in cases of noncardiac etiology (AUC 0.92 [95% CI, 0.86-0.96] but only moderate in cardiac etiology (AUC 0.69 [95% CI, 0.62-0.75]). CONCLUSIONS: Early lactate levels, especially at 24 h, and TWCL were independent predictors of neurologic outcome in these patients, whereas lactate clearance was not. The prognostic ability of lactate-related variables varied depending on the OHCA characteristics.

Prognostic Performance of Initial Clinical Examination in Predicting Good Neurological Outcome in Cardiac Arrest Patients Treated with Targeted Temperature Management.

Prognostication studies of cardiac arrest patients have mainly focused on poor neurological outcomes. However, an optimistic prognosis for good outcome could provide both justification to maintain and escalate treatment and evidence-based support to persuade family members or legal surrogates after cardiac arrest. The aim of the study was to evaluate the utility of clinical examinations performed after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in predicting good neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM). This retrospective study included OHCA patients treated with TTM from 2009 to 2021. Initial clinical examination findings related to the Glasgow coma scale (GCS) motor score, pupillary light reflex, corneal reflex (CR) and breathing above the set ventilator rate were assessed immediately after ROSC and before the initiation of TTM. The primary outcome was good neurological outcome at 6 months after cardiac arrest. Of 350 patients included in the analysis, 119 (34%) experienced a good neurological outcome at 6 months after cardiac arrest. Among the parameters of the initial clinical examinations, specificity was the highest for the GCS motor score, and sensitivity was the highest for breathing above the set ventilator rate. A GCS motor score of >2 had a sensitivity of 42.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 33.0-51.4) and a specificity of 96.5% (95% CI = 93.3-98.5). Breathing above the set ventilator rate had a sensitivity of 84.0% (95% CI = 76.2-90.1) and a specificity of 69.7% (95% CI = 63.3-75.6). As the number of positive responses increased, the proportion of patients with good outcomes increased. Consequently, 87.0% of patients for whom all four examinations were positive experienced good outcomes. As a result, the initial clinical examinations predicted good neurological outcomes with a sensitivity of 42.0-84.0% and a specificity of 69.7-96.5%. When more examinations with positive results are achieved, a good neurological outcome can be expected.

Novel serum biomarkers for predicting neurological outcomes in postcardiac arrest patients treated with targeted temperature management.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the clinical feasibility of novel serum biomarkers in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients treated with target temperature management (TTM). METHODS: This study was a prospective observational study conducted on OHCA patients who underwent TTM. We measured conventional biomarkers, neuron­specific enolase and S100 calcium-binding protein (S-100B), as well as novel biomarkers, including tau protein, neurofilament light chain (NFL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase-L1 (UCH-L1), at 0, 24, 48, and 72 h after the return of spontaneous circulation identified by SIMOA immunoassay. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at 6 months after OHCA. RESULTS: A total of 100 patients were included in this study from August 2018 to May 2020. Among the included patients, 46 patients had good neurologic outcomes at 6 months after OHCA. All conventional and novel serum biomarkers had the ability to discriminate between the good and poor neurological outcome groups (p < 0.001). The area under the curves of the novel serum biomarkers were highest at 72 h after cardiac arrest (CA) (0.906 for Tau, 0.946 for NFL, 0.875 for GFAP, and 0.935 for UCH-L1). The NFL at 72 h after CA had the highest sensitivity (77.1%, 95% CI 59.9-89.6) in predicting poor neurological outcomes while maintaining 100% specificity. CONCLUSION: Novel serum biomarkers reliably predicted poor neurological outcomes for patients with OHCA treated with TTM when life-sustaining therapy was not withdrawn. Cutoffs from two large existing studies (TTM and COMACARE substudy) were externally validated in our study. The predictive power of the novel biomarkers was the highest at 72 h after CA.

A novel cardiac arrest severity score for the early prediction of hypoxic-ischemic brain injury and in-hospital death.

INTRODUCTION: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) outcomes are unsatisfactory despite postcardiac arrest care. Early prediction of prognoses might help stratify patients and provide tailored therapy. In this study, we derived and validated a novel scoring system to predict hypoxic-ischemic brain injury (HIBI) and in-hospital death (IHD). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed Korean Hypothermia Network prospective registry data collected from in Korea between 2015 and 2018. Patients without neuroprognostication data were excluded, and the remaining patients were randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts. HIBI was defined when at least one prognostication predicted a poor outcome. IHD meant all deaths regardless of cause. In the derivation cohort, stepwise multivariate logistic regression was conducted for the HIBI and IHD scores, and model performance was assessed. We then classified the patients into four categories and analyzed the associations between the categories and cerebral performance categories (CPCs) at hospital discharge. Finally, we validated our models in an internal validation cohort. RESULTS: Among 1373 patients, 240 were excluded, and 1133 were randomized into the derivation (n = 754) and validation cohorts (n = 379). In the derivation cohort, 7 and 8 predictors were selected for HIBI (0-8) and IHD scores (0-11), respectively, and the area under the curves (AUC) were 0.85 (95% CI 0.82-0.87) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.82), respectively. Applying optimum cutoff values of ≥6 points for HIBI and ≥7 points for IHD, the patients were classified as follows: HIBI (-)/IHD (-), Category 1 (n = 424); HIBI (-)/IHD (+), Category 2 (n = 100); HIBI (+)/IHD (-), Category 3 (n = 21); and HIBI (+)/IHD (+), Category 4 (n = 209). The CPCs at discharge were significantly different in each category (p < 0.001). In the validation cohort, the model showed moderate discrimination (AUC 0.83, 95% CI 0.79-0.87 for HIBI and AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.81 for IHD) with good calibration. Each category of the validation cohort showed a significant difference in discharge outcomes (p < 0.001) and a similar trend to the derivation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We presented a novel approach for assessing illness severity after OHCA. Although external prospective studies are warranted, risk stratification for HIBI and IHD could help provide OHCA patients with appropriate treatment.

Can Optic Nerve Sheath Images on a Thin-Slice Brain Computed Tomography Reconstruction Predict the Neurological Outcomes in Cardiac Arrest Survivors?

We analyzed the prognostic performance of optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) on thin-slice (0.6 mm) brain computed tomography (CT) reconstruction images as compared to routine-slice (4 mm) images. We conducted a retrospective analysis of brain CT images taken within 2 h after cardiac arrest. The maximal ONSD (mONSD) and optic nerve sheath area (ONSA) were measured on thin-slice images, and the routine ONSD (rONSD) and gray-to-white matter ratio (GWR) were measured on routine-slice images. We analyzed their area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and the cutoff values for predicting a poor 6-month neurological outcome (a cerebral performance category score of 3-5). Of the 159 patients analyzed, 113 patients had a poor outcome. There was no significant difference in rONSD between the outcome groups (p = 0.116). Compared to rONSD, mONSD (AUC 0.62, 95% CI: 0.54-0.70) and the ONSA (AUC 0.63, 95% CI: 0.55-0.70) showed better prognostic performance and had higher sensitivities to determine a poor outcome (mONSD, 20.4% [95% CI, 13.4-29.0]; ONSA, 16.8% [95% CI, 10.4-25.0]; rONSD, 7.1% [95% CI, 3.1-13.5]), with specificity of 95.7% (95% CI, 85.2-99.5). A combined cutoff value obtained by both the mONSD and GWR improved the sensitivity (31.0% [95% CI, 22.6-40.4]) of determining a poor outcome, while maintaining a high specificity. In conclusion, rONSD was clinically irrelevant, but the mONSD had an increased sensitivity in cutoff having acceptable specificity. Combination of the mONSD and GWR had an improved prognostic performance in these patients.

The relationship between body mass index and neurologic outcomes in survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest treated with targeted temperature management.

BACKGROUND: The association of body mass index with outcome in patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is unclear. The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of body mass index (BMI) on neurological outcomes and mortality in resuscitated patients treated with TTM after OHCA. METHODS: This multicenter, prospective, observational study was performed with data from 22 hospitals included in the Korean Hypothermia Network KORHN-PRO registry. Comatose adult patients treated with TTM after OHCA between October 2015 and December 2018 were enrolled. The BMI of each patient was calculated and classified according to the criteria of the World Health Organization (WHO). Each group was analyzed in terms of demographic characteristics and associations with six-month neurologic outcomes and mortality after cardiac arrest (CA). RESULTS: Of 1,373 patients treated with TTM identified in the registry, 1,315 were included in this study. One hundred two patients were underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2), 798 were normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2), 332 were overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2), and 73 were obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2). The higher BMI group had younger patients and a greater incidence of diabetes and hypertension. Six-month neurologic outcomes and mortality were not different among the BMI groups (p = 0.111, p = 0.234). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that BMI classification was not associated with six-month neurologic outcomes or mortality. In the subgroup analysis, the underweight group treated with TTM at 33°C was associated with poor neurologic outcomes six months after CA (OR 2.090, 95% CI 1.010-4.325, p = 0.047), whereas the TTM at 36°C group was not (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.249-3.112, p = 0.843). CONCLUSIONS: BMI was not associated with six-month neurologic outcomes or mortality in patients surviving OHCA. However, in the subgroup analysis, underweight patients were associated with poor neurologic outcomes when treated with TTM at 33°C.