Reservoir operation affects propagation from meteorological to hydrological extremes in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin.

Hydrological extremes intensified by meteorological extremes are threatening water security in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB), and reservoir operation may mitigate hydrological extreme through regulating hydrological processes during meteorological extreme. However, the capacity of reservoirs in modulating propagation from meteorological extremes to hydrological extremes has seldom been quantified. This study adopted the VIC-Reservoir hydrological model to assess the impact of reservoir operation on the propagation at multi-timescales in the LMRB. The Standardized Precipitation Index and Standardized Streamflow Index were adopted to characterize meteorological extreme and hydrological extreme, respectively, on a range of timescales. The results indicate that reservoir operation has effectively delayed the propagation from meteorological to hydrological extremes during the period of 2008-2016 with rapid reservoir development in the LMRB, compared with the period of 1984-2007 with natural condition. The transmission process of extreme events with a duration of no more than 6 months has been suppressed during the reservoir impact period. However, the influence of reservoir regulation on long-term extreme events that last more than 12 months is generally low. In the upstream basin where reservoir impact is largest, reservoirs can exert a weak mitigation effect on long-term dry extremes. This study provides quantitative assessment of the role of reservoirs in regulating propagation between meteorological and hydrological extremes in the LMRB, and facilitate decision making for the management of water hazards under changing environment.

Climatology and changes in hourly precipitation extremes over China during 1970-2018.

Sub-daily precipitation extremes could intensify with temperature at a higher rate than the scaling for daily precipitation extremes, posing increasing risks to natural ecosystem and human society in the era of global warming. A systematic investigation of the climatology and spatiotemporal changes in sub-daily precipitation extremes is of paramount importance to inform future precipitation projection as well as to guide climate adaptation. Here, leveraging a newly proposed set of sub-daily extreme precipitation indices, we examine the climatology and changes in hourly precipitation extremes in mainland China across the major river basins during the warm period of 1970-2018. Our results show that the southern and eastern parts of China tend to experience more frequent hourly precipitation extremes with larger intensity, and the Pearl river basin has the most frequent and intense extreme precipitation at hourly timescale. The Southeast and Yangtze river basins and the mainland China as a whole have field significantly increasing trends in average and extreme precipitation intensities as well as in extreme precipitation frequencies. The intensification signals in hourly precipitation extremes of mainland China seem to emerge from internal climate variability around 2010, whereas average precipitation intensity since 1970 could become field significant earlier than 1999. Besides, we note a marked shift in the probability distributions of the extreme indices, with a wetting tendency toward more frequent and more intense precipitation extremes from the 1970-1999 period to the recent two decades in the 21st century. Our findings provide an alternative line of evidence for changes in precipitation extremes at hourly timescale over China and could contribute to societal decision-making for climate adaptation.

[Temporal-Spatial Characteristics and Variability in Aerosol Optical Depth over China During 2001-2017].

Based on the latest monthly data of moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS)/Terra C6.1 aerosol optical depth (AOD), the temporal-spatial distribution and variability trend in AOD over China during 2001-2017 are analyzed to explore the distribution and variation characteristics of AOD in China. Regarding the spatial characteristics, the first prominent high-value center of the annual mean AOD was located in the industrially and economically developed areas of the North China Plain, Central China, the Yangtze River Delta region, the Pearl River Delta region, and the Sichuan Basin. The second prominent high-value center of the annual mean AOD was located in the dust aerosol-dominated areas of Taklimakan Desert. Two low-value centers of the annual mean AOD were located in the eastern part of Inner Mongolia to the north of Northeast China and the Tibet Plateau. Regarding the temporal characteristics, the AOD value peaked in eight areas in spring and summer. The annual mean AOD values in the Taklimakan Desert, Sichuan Basin, and Pearl River Delta peaked from March to May, and those in the North China Plain, Central China, and Yangtze River Delta peaked from May to July. The trend characteristics showed that during 2001-2006, the AOD in Northwest China and Inner Mongolia showed a downtrend, and that in the east-central China and the eastern part of southwest China showed a growth trend. During 2007-2012, the trend of AOD in the Tibetan Plateau and the Taklimakan Desert changed from decreasing to increasing. The growth trend of AOD in the North China Plain and the Sichuan Basin was weakened, and the AOD in the Yangtze River Delta showed a weak downward trend. During 2013-2017, the AOD in most areas of China showed a significant downward trend.