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1.
Dig Dis ; 41(6): 879-889, 2023.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37611561

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) is characterized by the development of complications over the course of the disease. It is crucial to identify predictive factors of disabling disease, in order to target patients for early intervention. We evaluated risk factors of disabling CD and developed a prognostic model. METHODS: In total, 511 CD patients were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify demographic, clinical, and biological risk factors. A predictive nomogram model was developed in a subgroup of patients with noncomplicated CD (inflammatory pattern and no perianal disease). RESULTS: The rate of disabling CD within 5 years after diagnosis was 74.6%. Disabling disease was associated with gender, location of disease, requirement of steroids for the first flare, and perianal lesions. In the subgroup of patients (310) with noncomplicated CD, the rate of disabling CD was 80%. In the multivariate analysis age at onset <40 years (OR = 3.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.52-7.90), extensive disease (L3/L4) (OR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.18-6.06), smoking habit (OR = 2.09, 95% CI = 1.03-4.27), requirement of steroids at the first flare (OR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.09-4.45), and albumin (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.36-0.96) were associated with development of disabling disease. The developed predictive nomogram based on these factors presented good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.670-0.830). CONCLUSION: We identified predictive factors of disabling CD and developed an easy-to-use prognostic model that may be used in clinical practice to help identify patients at high risk and address treatment effectively.


Crohn Disease , Humans , Adult , Crohn Disease/diagnosis , Crohn Disease/epidemiology , Crohn Disease/complications , Retrospective Studies , Clinical Decision Rules , Risk Factors , Steroids/therapeutic use , Decision Making
5.
Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 30(9): 511-6, 2007 Nov.
Article Es | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17980127

BACKGROUND: There is limited information on the optimal use of thiopurinic immunomodulators in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and the dosage, efficacy and toxicity of these drugs has not been clearly established. AIM: To evaluate clinical outcomes and the toxicity of thiopurinic immunomodulators in clinical practice (effectiveness), as well as possible associated variables. METHODS: Data were obtained from a database of patients with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease who started treatment with azathioprine or 6-mercaptopurine with an identical predetermined schedule and follow-up. Remission, relapse and toxicity were defined and analyzed and their relationship with clinical, biologic and demographic variables was evaluated with multivariate analysis. RESULTS: We evaluated 150 courses of treatment in 126 patients. Treatment was given to induce clinical remission in 118 courses and 62% of the patients reached this outcome, which was maintained for a mean of 52 months. The only variable associated with poor response was perianal disease. Adverse events were detected in 34% of the courses and were the main cause of treatment withdrawal. Factors significantly associated with withdrawal due to adverse events were starting with full doses of thiopurinic drugs (OR, 4.26; 95% CI, 1.12-16.32) and cotreatment with infliximab (OR, 5.6; 95% CI, 1.17-27.1). CONCLUSIONS: Some clinical variables such as disease phenotype, the use of full doses of thiopurinic drugs from the start of treatment, and co-treatments can have a notable influence on adverse effects and thus on the effectiveness of this therapy in IBD.


Azathioprine/therapeutic use , Colitis, Ulcerative/drug therapy , Crohn Disease/drug therapy , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Mercaptopurine/therapeutic use , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Antibodies, Monoclonal/administration & dosage , Antibodies, Monoclonal/adverse effects , Antibodies, Monoclonal/therapeutic use , Azathioprine/administration & dosage , Azathioprine/adverse effects , Colitis, Ulcerative/surgery , Combined Modality Therapy , Crohn Disease/surgery , Digestive System Diseases/etiology , Female , Humans , Immunosuppressive Agents/administration & dosage , Immunosuppressive Agents/adverse effects , Infliximab , Male , Mercaptopurine/administration & dosage , Mercaptopurine/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Neutropenia/chemically induced , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Remission Induction , Reoperation , Retrospective Studies
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