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1.
medRxiv ; 2024 Apr 19.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38699296

Accurate assessments of symptoms and diagnoses are essential for health research and clinical practice but face many challenges. The absence of a single error-free measure is currently addressed by assessment methods involving experts reviewing several sources of information to achieve a more accurate or best-estimate assessment. Three bodies of work spanning medicine, psychiatry, and psychology propose similar assessment methods: The Expert Panel, the Best-Estimate Diagnosis, and the Longitudinal Expert All Data (LEAD). However, the quality of such best-estimate assessments is typically very difficult to evaluate due to poor reporting of the assessment methods and when it is reported, the reporting quality varies substantially. Here we tackle this gap by developing reporting guidelines for such studies, using a four-stage approach: 1) drafting reporting standards accompanied by rationales and empirical evidence, which were further developed with a patient organization for depression, 2) incorporating expert feedback through a two-round Delphi procedure, 3) refining the guideline based on an expert consensus meeting, and 4) testing the guideline by i) having two researchers test it and ii) using it to examine the extent previously published articles report the standards. The last step also demonstrates the need for the guideline: 18 to 58% (Mean = 33%) of the standards were not reported across fifteen randomly selected studies. The LEADING guideline comprises 20 reporting standards related to four groups: The Longitudinal design; the Appropriate data; the Evaluation - experts, materials, and procedures; and the Validity group. We hope that the LEADING guideline will be useful in assisting researchers in planning, reporting, and evaluating research aiming to achieve best-estimate assessments.

2.
Hum Reprod ; 2024 Apr 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38600625

STUDY QUESTION: What are the costs and effects of tubal patency testing by hysterosalpingo-foam sonography (HyFoSy) compared to hysterosalpingography (HSG) in infertile women during the fertility work-up? SUMMARY ANSWER: During the fertility work-up, clinical management based on the test results of HyFoSy leads to slightly lower, though not statistically significant, live birth rates, at lower costs, compared to management based on HSG results. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Traditionally, tubal patency testing during the fertility work-up is performed by HSG. The FOAM trial, formally a non-inferiority study, showed that management decisions based on the results of HyFoSy resulted in a comparable live birth rate at 12 months compared to HSG (46% versus 47%; difference -1.2%, 95% CI: -3.4% to 1.5%; P = 0.27). Compared to HSG, HyFoSy is associated with significantly less pain, it lacks ionizing radiation and exposure to iodinated contrast medium. Moreover, HyFoSy can be performed by a gynaecologist during a one-stop fertility work-up. To our knowledge, the costs of both strategies have never been compared. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We performed an economic evaluation alongside the FOAM trial, a randomized multicenter study conducted in the Netherlands. Participating infertile women underwent, both HyFoSy and HSG, in a randomized order. The results of both tests were compared and women with discordant test results were randomly allocated to management based on the results of one of the tests. The follow-up period was twelve months. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We studied 1160 infertile women (18-41 years) scheduled for tubal patency testing. The primary outcome was ongoing pregnancy leading to live birth. The economic evaluation compared costs and effects of management based on either test within 12 months. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs): the difference in total costs and chance of live birth. Data were analyzed using the intention to treat principle. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Between May 2015 and January 2019, 1026 of the 1160 women underwent both tubal tests and had data available: 747 women with concordant results (48% live births), 136 with inconclusive results (40% live births), and 143 with discordant results (41% had a live birth after management based on HyFoSy results versus 49% with live birth after management based on HSG results). When comparing the two strategies-management based on HyfoSy results versus HSG results-the estimated chance of live birth was 46% after HyFoSy versus 47% after HSG (difference -1.2%; 95% CI: -3.4% to 1.5%). For the procedures itself, HyFoSy cost €136 and HSG €280. When costs of additional fertility treatments were incorporated, the mean total costs per couple were €3307 for the HyFoSy strategy and €3427 for the HSG strategy (mean difference €-119; 95% CI: €-125 to €-114). So, while HyFoSy led to lower costs per couple, live birth rates were also slightly lower. The ICER was €10 042, meaning that by using HyFoSy instead of HSG we would save €10 042 per each additional live birth lost. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: When interpreting the results of this study, it needs to be considered that there was a considerable uncertainty around the ICER, and that the direct fertility enhancing effect of both tubal patency tests was not incorporated as women underwent both tubal patency tests in this study. WIDER IMPLICATION OF THE FINDINGS: Compared to clinical management based on HSG results, management guided by HyFoSy leads to slightly lower live birth rates (though not statistically significant) at lower costs, less pain, without ionizing radiation and iodinated contrast exposure. Further research on the comparison of the direct fertility-enhancing effect of both tubal patency tests is needed. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): FOAM trial was an investigator-initiated study, funded by ZonMw, a Dutch organization for Health Research and Development (project number 837001504). IQ Medical Ventures provided the ExEm®-FOAM kits free of charge. The funders had no role in study design, collection, analysis, and interpretation of the data. K.D. reports travel-and speakers fees from Guerbet and her department received research grants from Guerbet outside the submitted work. H.R.V. received consulting-and travel fee from Ferring. A.M.v.P. reports received consulting fee from DEKRA and fee for an expert meeting from Ferring, both outside the submitted work. C.H.d.K. received travel fee from Merck. F.J.M.B. received a grant from Merck and speakers fee from Besins Healthcare. F.J.M.B. is a member of the advisory board of Merck and Ferring. J.v.D. reported speakers fee from Ferring. J.S. reports a research agreement with Takeda and consultancy for Sanofi on MR of motility outside the submitted work. M.v.W. received a travel grant from Oxford Press in the role of deputy editor for Human Reproduction and participates in a DSMB as independent methodologist in obstetrics studies in which she has no other role. B.W.M. received an investigator grant from NHMRC GNT1176437. B.W.M. reports consultancy for ObsEva, Merck, Guerbet, iGenomix, and Merck KGaA and travel support from Merck KGaA. V.M. received research grants from Guerbet, Merck, and Ferring and travel and speakers fees from Guerbet. The other authors do not report conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: International Clinical Trials Registry Platform No. NTR4746.

4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(4): 922-929, 2024 Apr 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38330166

BACKGROUND: The 2023 Duke-International Society of Cardiovascular Infectious Diseases (ISCVID) criteria for infective endocarditis (IE) were introduced to improve classification of IE for research and clinical purposes. External validation studies are required. METHODS: We studied consecutive patients with suspected IE referred to the IE team of Amsterdam University Medical Center (from October 2016 to March 2021). An international expert panel independently reviewed case summaries and assigned a final diagnosis of "IE" or "not IE," which served as the reference standard, to which the "definite" Duke-ISCVID classifications were compared. We also evaluated accuracy when excluding cardiac surgical and pathologic data ("clinical" criteria). Finally, we compared the 2023 Duke-ISCVID with the 2000 modified Duke criteria and the 2015 and 2023 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) criteria. RESULTS: A total of 595 consecutive patients with suspected IE were included: 399 (67%) were adjudicated as having IE; 111 (19%) had prosthetic valve IE, and 48 (8%) had a cardiac implantable electronic device IE. The 2023 Duke-ISCVID criteria were more sensitive than either the modified Duke or 2015 ESC criteria (84.2% vs 74.9% and 80%, respectively; P < .001) without significant loss of specificity. The 2023 Duke-ISCVID criteria were similarly sensitive but more specific than the 2023 ESC criteria (94% vs 82%; P < .001). The same pattern was seen for the clinical criteria (excluding surgical/pathologic results). New modifications in the 2023 Duke-ISCVID criteria related to "major microbiological" and "imaging" criteria had the most impact. CONCLUSIONS: The 2023 Duke-ISCVID criteria represent a significant advance in the diagnostic classification of patients with suspected IE.


Communicable Diseases , Endocarditis, Bacterial , Endocarditis , Humans , Endocarditis, Bacterial/diagnosis , Endocarditis/diagnosis , Communicable Diseases/diagnosis , Diagnosis, Differential
5.
Endosc Int Open ; 11(11): E1056-E1062, 2023 Nov.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37954110

Background and study aims In patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), endoscopic resection of duodenal adenomas is commonly performed to prevent cancer and prevent or defer duodenal surgery. However, based on studies using different resection techniques, adverse events (AEs) of polypectomy in the duodenum can be significant. We hypothesized that cold snare polypectomy (CSP) is a safe technique for duodenal adenomas in FAP and evaluated its outcomes in our centers. Patients and methods We performed a prospective international cohort study including FAP patients who underwent CSP for one or more superficial non-ampullary duodenal adenomas of any size between 2020 and 2022. At that time, this technique was common practice in our centers for superficial duodenal adenomas. The primary outcome was the occurrence of intraprocedural and post-procedural AEs. Results In total, 133 CSPs were performed in 39 patients with FAP (1-18 per session). Median adenoma size was 10 mm (interquartile range 8-15 mm), ranging from 5 to 40 mm; 27 adenomas were ≥20 mm (20%). Of the 133 polypectomies, 109 (82%) were performed after submucosal injection. Sixty-one adenomas (46%) were resected en bloc and 72 (54%) piecemeal. Macroscopic radical resection was achieved for 129 polypectomies (97%). Deep mural injury type II occurred in three polyps (2%) with no delayed perforation after prophylactic clipping. There were no clinically significant bleeds, perforations or other post-procedural AEs. Histopathology showed low-grade dysplasia in all 133 adenomas. Conclusions CSP for (multiple) superficial non-ampullary duodenal adenomas in FAP seems feasible and safe. Long-term prospective research is needed to evaluate whether protocolized duodenal polypectomies prevent cancer and surgery.

6.
Eur J Radiol ; 167: 111064, 2023 Oct.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37657382

PURPOSE: While a reliable differentiation between viral and bacterial pneumonia is not possible with chest X-ray, this study investigates whether ultra-low-dose chest-CT (ULDCT) could be used for this purpose. METHODS: In the OPTIMACT trial 281 patients had a final diagnosis of pneumonia, and 96/281 (34%) had one or more positive microbiology results: 60 patients viral pathogens, 48 patients bacterial pathogens. These 96 ULDCT's were blindly and independently evaluated by two chest radiologists, who reported CT findings, pneumonia pattern, and most likely type of pathogen. Differences between groups were analysed for each radiologist separately, diagnostic accuracy was evaluated by calculating sensitivity. RESULTS: The dominant CT finding significantly differed between the viral and bacterial pathogen groups (p = 0.04; p = 0.04). Consolidation was the most frequent dominant CT finding in both patients with viral and bacterial pathogens, but was observed significantly more often in those with a bacterial pathogen: 32/60 and 22/60 versus 38/48 and 31/48 (p = 0.005; p = 0.004). The lobar pneumonia pattern was more frequently observed in patients with a bacterial pathogen: 23/48 and 18/48, versus 10/60 and 8/60 for viral pathogens (p < 0.001; p = 0.004). For the bronchopneumonia and interstitial pneumonia patterns the proportions of viral and bacterial pathogens were not significantly different. Both radiologists suggested a viral pathogen correctly (sensitivity) in 6/60 (10%), for a bacterial pathogen this was 34/48 (71%). CONCLUSION: Reliable differentiation between viral and bacterial pneumonia could not be made by pattern recognition on ULDCT, although a lobar pneumonia pattern was significantly more often observed in bacterial infection.


Pneumonia , Humans , Radiologists , Thorax , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
7.
Gut ; 72(10): 1904-1918, 2023 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37463757

OBJECTIVE: New screening tests for colorectal cancer (CRC) are rapidly emerging. Conducting trials with mortality reduction as the end point supporting their adoption is challenging. We re-examined the principles underlying evaluation of new non-invasive tests in view of technological developments and identification of new biomarkers. DESIGN: A formal consensus approach involving a multidisciplinary expert panel revised eight previously established principles. RESULTS: Twelve newly stated principles emerged. Effectiveness of a new test can be evaluated by comparison with a proven comparator non-invasive test. The faecal immunochemical test is now considered the appropriate comparator, while colonoscopy remains the diagnostic standard. For a new test to be able to meet differing screening goals and regulatory requirements, flexibility to adjust its positivity threshold is desirable. A rigorous and efficient four-phased approach is proposed, commencing with small studies assessing the test's ability to discriminate between CRC and non-cancer states (phase I), followed by prospective estimation of accuracy across the continuum of neoplastic lesions in neoplasia-enriched populations (phase II). If these show promise, a provisional test positivity threshold is set before evaluation in typical screening populations. Phase III prospective studies determine single round intention-to-screen programme outcomes and confirm the test positivity threshold. Phase IV studies involve evaluation over repeated screening rounds with monitoring for missed lesions. Phases III and IV findings will provide the real-world data required to model test impact on CRC mortality and incidence. CONCLUSION: New non-invasive tests can be efficiently evaluated by a rigorous phased comparative approach, generating data from unbiased populations that inform predictions of their health impact.


Colorectal Neoplasms , Mass Screening , Humans , Prospective Studies , Early Detection of Cancer , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colonoscopy , Occult Blood , Feces
8.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd ; 1672023 05 23.
Article Nl | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37257124

Since the introduction of the Health Insurance Act, effectiveness has been one of the criteria for coverage decisions in the Netherlands. The Health Insurance Board, later succeeded by Zorginstituut Nederland, elaborated that criterion: when assessing whether care meets the "state of science and practice", it uses the principles of evidence-based medicine. In recent years, several organisations have called for the structural evaluation of health care interventions and the removal of non-effective care from the benefits package. This intention was also reflected in the Integral Care Agreement concluded last year.


Evidence-Based Medicine , Insurance, Health , Humans , United States , Netherlands
9.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(5): ofad215, 2023 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37213423

Patients clinically suspected of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) were randomized between ultralow-dose chest computed tomography ([ULDCT] 261 patients) and chest radiograph ([CXR] 231 patients). We did not find evidence that performing ULDCT instead of CXR affects antibiotic treatment policy or patient outcomes. However, in a subgroup of afebrile patients, there were more patients diagnosed with CAP in the ULDCT group (ULDCT, 106 of 608 patients; CXR, 71 of 654 patients; P = .001).

10.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 29(8): 1326-1337, 2023 12.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37221991

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: Studies in adult medicine have shown that physicians base testing decisions on the patient's clinical condition but also consider other factors, including local practice or patient expectations. In pediatrics, physicians and parents jointly decide on behalf of a (young) child. This might demand more explicit and more complex deliberations, with sometimes conflicting interests. We explored pediatricians' considerations in diagnostic test ordering and the factors that influence their deliberation. METHOD: We performed in-depth, semistructured interviews with a purposively selected heterogeneous sample of 20 Dutch pediatricians. We analyzed transcribed interviews inductively using a constant comparative approach, and clustered data across interviews to derive common themes. RESULTS: Pediatricians perceived test-related burden in children higher compared with adults, and reported that avoiding an unjustified burden causes them to be more restrictive and deliberate in test ordering. They felt conflicted when parents desired testing or when guidelines recommended diagnostic tests pediatricians perceived as unnecessary. When parents demanded testing, they would explore parental concern, educate parents about harms and alternative explanations of symptoms, and advocate watchful waiting. Yet they reported sometimes performing tests to appease parents or to comply with guidelines, because of feared personal consequences in the case of adverse outcomes. CONCLUSION: We obtained an overview of the considerations that are weighed in pediatric test decisions. The comparatively strong focus on prevention of harm motivates pediatricians to critically appraise the added value of testing and drivers of low-value testing. Pediatricians' relatively restrictive approach to testing could provide an example for other disciplines. Improved guidelines and physician and patient education could help to withstand the perceived pressure to test.


Parents , Physicians , Adult , Child , Humans , Pediatricians , Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures
11.
Endosc Int Open ; 11(4): E386-E393, 2023 Apr.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37102182

Background and study aims Patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) undergo colectomy and lifelong endoscopic surveillance to prevent colorectal, duodenal and gastric cancer. Endoscopy has advanced significantly in recent years, including both detection technology as well as treatment options. For the lower gastrointestinal tract, current guidelines do not provide clear recommendations for surveillance intervals. Furthermore, the Spigelman staging system for duodenal polyposis has its limitations. We present a newly developed personalized endoscopic surveillance strategy for the lower and upper gastrointestinal tract, aiming to improve the care for patients with FAP. We aim to inform centers caring for FAP patients and encourage the discussion on optimizing endoscopic surveillance and treatment in this high-risk population. Methods The European FAP Consortium, consisting of endoscopists with expertise in FAP, collaboratively developed new surveillance protocols. The proposed strategy was consensus-based and a result of several consortium meetings, discussing current evidence and limitations of existing systems. This strategy provides clear indications for endoscopic polypectomy in the rectum, pouch, duodenum and stomach and defines new criteria for surveillance intervals. This strategy will be evaluated in a 5-year prospective study in nine FAP expert centers in Europe. Results We present a newly developed personalized endoscopic surveillance and endoscopic treatment strategy for patients with FAP aiming to prevent cancer, optimize endoscopic resources and limit the number of surgical interventions. Following this new strategy, prospectively collected data in a large cohort of patients will inform us on the efficacy and safety of the proposed approaches.

12.
Eur Radiol ; 33(10): 7294-7302, 2023 Oct.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37115214

OBJECTIVE: The yield of pulmonary imaging in patients with suspected infection but no respiratory symptoms or signs is probably limited, ultra-low-dose CT (ULDCT) is known to have a higher sensitivity than Chest X-ray (CXR). Our objective was to describe the yield of ULDCT and CXR in patients clinically suspected of infection, but without respiratory symptoms or signs, and to compare the diagnostic accuracy of ULDCT and CXR. METHODS: In the OPTIMACT trial, patients suspected of non-traumatic pulmonary disease at the emergency department (ED) were randomly allocated to undergo CXR (1210 patients) or ULDCT (1208 patients). We identified 227 patients in the study group with fever, hypothermia, and/or elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) but no respiratory symptoms or signs, and estimated ULDCT and CXR sensitivity and specificity in detecting pneumonia. The final day-28 diagnosis served as the clinical reference standard. RESULTS: In the ULDCT group, 14/116 (12%) received a final diagnosis of pneumonia, versus 8/111 (7%) in the CXR group. ULDCT sensitivity was significantly higher than that of CXR: 13/14 (93%) versus 4/8 (50%), a difference of 43% (95% CI: 6 to 80%). ULDCT specificity was 91/102 (89%) versus 97/103 (94%) for CXR, a difference of - 5% (95% CI: - 12 to 3%). PPV was 54% (13/24) for ULDCT versus 40% (4/10) for CXR, NPV 99% (91/92) versus 96% (97/101). CONCLUSION: Pneumonia can be present in ED patients without respiratory symptoms or signs who have a fever, hypothermia, and/or elevated CRP. ULDCT's sensitivity is a significant advantage over CXR when pneumonia has to be excluded. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Pulmonary imaging in patients with suspected infection but no respiratory symptoms or signs can result in the detection of clinically significant pneumonia. The increased sensitivity of ultra-low-dose chest CT compared to CXR is of added value in vulnerable and immunocompromised patients. KEY POINTS: • Clinical significant pneumonia does occur in patients who have a fever, low core body temperature, or elevated CRP without respiratory symptoms or signs. • Pulmonary imaging should be considered in patients with unexplained symptoms or signs of infections. • To exclude pneumonia in this patient group, ULDCT's improved sensitivity is a significant advantage over CXR.


Hypothermia , Pneumonia , Humans , X-Rays , Radiography, Thoracic/methods , Pneumonia/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Emergency Service, Hospital
13.
J Thromb Haemost ; 21(4): 905-916, 2023 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36841648

BACKGROUND: Platelet RNA sequencing has been shown to accurately detect cancer in previous studies. OBJECTIVES: To compare the diagnostic accuracy of platelet RNA sequencing with standard-of-care limited cancer screening in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). METHODS: Patients aged ≥40 years with unprovoked VTE were recruited at 13 centers and followed for 12 months for cancer. Participants underwent standard-of-care limited cancer screening, and platelet RNA sequencing analysis was performed centrally at study end for cases and selected controls. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated, using the predefined primary positivity threshold of 0.54 for platelet RNA sequencing aiming at 86% test sensitivity, and an additional predefined threshold of 0.89 aiming at 99% test specificity. RESULTS: A total of 476 participants were enrolled, of whom 25 (5.3%) were diagnosed with cancer during 12-month follow-up. For each cancer patient, 3 cancer-free patients were randomly selected for the analysis. The sensitivity of limited screening was 72% (95% CI, 52-86) at a specificity of 91% (95% CI, 82-95). The area under the receiver operator characteristic for platelet RNA sequencing was 0.54 (95% CI, 0.41-0.66). At the primary positivity threshold, all patients had a positive test, for a sensitivity estimated at 100% (95% CI, 87-99) and a specificity of 8% (95% CI, 3.7-16.4). At the secondary threshold, sensitivity was 68% (95% CI, 48-83; p value compared with limited screening 0.71) at a specificity of 36% (95% CI, 26-47). CONCLUSION: Platelet RNA sequencing had poor diagnostic accuracy for detecting occult cancer in patients with unprovoked VTE with the current algorithm.


Neoplasms, Unknown Primary , Neoplasms , Venous Thromboembolism , Humans , Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis , Venous Thromboembolism/genetics , Venous Thromboembolism/complications , Early Detection of Cancer , Prospective Studies , Neoplasms/complications , Neoplasms/diagnosis , Neoplasms/genetics , Neoplasms, Unknown Primary/complications , Neoplasms, Unknown Primary/diagnosis , Sequence Analysis, RNA , Risk Factors
14.
Clin Chem Lab Med ; 61(4): 608-626, 2023 03 28.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36716120

The EU In-Vitro Diagnostic Device Regulation (IVDR) aims for transparent risk-and purpose-based validation of diagnostic devices, traceability of results to uniquely identified devices, and post-market surveillance. The IVDR regulates design, manufacture and putting into use of devices, but not medical services using these devices. In the absence of suitable commercial devices, the laboratory can resort to laboratory-developed tests (LDT) for in-house use. Documentary obligations (IVDR Art 5.5), the performance and safety specifications of ANNEX I, and development and manufacture under an ISO 15189-equivalent quality system apply. LDTs serve specific clinical needs, often for low volume niche applications, or correspond to the translational phase of new tests and treatments, often extremely relevant for patient care. As some commercial tests may disappear with the IVDR roll-out, many will require urgent LDT replacement. The workload will also depend on which modifications to commercial tests turns them into an LDT, and on how national legislators and competent authorities (CA) will handle new competences and responsibilities. We discuss appropriate interpretation of ISO 15189 to cover IVDR requirements. Selected cases illustrate LDT implementation covering medical needs with commensurate management of risk emanating from intended use and/or design of devices. Unintended collateral damage of the IVDR comprises loss of non-profitable niche applications, increases of costs and wasted resources, and migration of innovative research to more cost-efficient environments. Taking into account local specifics, the legislative framework should reduce the burden on and associated opportunity costs for the health care system, by making diligent use of existing frameworks.


Clinical Laboratory Services , Reagent Kits, Diagnostic , Humans , Reagent Kits, Diagnostic/standards , European Union , Clinical Laboratory Services/legislation & jurisprudence
15.
Fam Pract ; 40(1): 188-194, 2023 02 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35778772

BACKGROUND: Timely diagnosis of heart failure (HF) is essential to optimize treatment opportunities that improve symptoms, quality of life, and survival. While most patients consult their general practitioner (GP) prior to HF, the early stages of HF may be difficult to identify. An integrated clinical support tool may aid in identifying patients at high risk of HF. We therefore constructed a prediction model using routine health care data. METHODS: Our study involved a dynamic cohort of patients (≥35 years) who consulted their GP with either dyspnoea and/or peripheral oedema within the Amsterdam metropolitan area from 2011 to 2020. The outcome of interest was incident HF, verified by an expert panel. We developed a regularized, cause-specific multivariable proportional hazards model (TARGET-HF). The model was evaluated with bootstrapping on an isolated validation set and compared to an existing model developed with hospital insurance data as well as patient age as a sole predictor. RESULTS: Data from 31,905 patients were included (40% male, median age 60 years) of whom 1,301 (4.1%) were diagnosed with HF over 124,676 person-years of follow-up. Data were allocated to a development (n = 25,524) and validation (n = 6,381) set. TARGET-HF attained a C-statistic of 0.853 (95% CI, 0.834 to 0.872) on the validation set, which proved to provide a better discrimination than C = 0.822 for age alone (95% CI, 0.801 to 0.842, P < 0.001) and C = 0.824 for the hospital-based model (95% CI, 0.802 to 0.843, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The TARGET-HF model illustrates that routine consultation codes can be used to build a performant model to identify patients at risk for HF at the time of GP consultation.


Heart Failure , Quality of Life , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Risk Factors , Prognosis , Heart Failure/diagnosis , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Family Practice , Delivery of Health Care
16.
Thorax ; 78(5): 515-522, 2023 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35688623

BACKGROUND: Chest CT displays chest pathology better than chest X-ray (CXR). We evaluated the effects on health outcomes of replacing CXR by ultra-low-dose chest-CT (ULDCT) in the diagnostic work-up of patients suspected of non-traumatic pulmonary disease at the emergency department. METHODS: Pragmatic, multicentre, non-inferiority randomised clinical trial in patients suspected of non-traumatic pulmonary disease at the emergency department. Between 31 January 2017 and 31 May 2018, every month, participating centres were randomly allocated to using ULDCT or CXR. Primary outcome was functional health at 28 days, measured by the Short Form (SF)-12 physical component summary scale score (PCS score), non-inferiority margin was set at 1 point. Secondary outcomes included hospital admission, hospital length of stay (LOS) and patients in follow-up because of incidental findings. RESULTS: 2418 consecutive patients (ULDCT: 1208 and CXR: 1210) were included. Mean SF-12 PCS score at 28 days was 37.0 for ULDCT and 35.9 for CXR (difference 1.1; 95% lower CI: 0.003). After ULDCT, 638/1208 (52.7%) patients were admitted (median LOS of 4.8 days; IQR 2.1-8.8) compared with 659/1210 (54.5%) patients after CXR (median LOS 4.6 days; IQR 2.1-8.8). More ULDCT patients were in follow-up because of incidental findings: 26 (2.2%) versus 4 (0.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term functional health was comparable between ULDCT and CXR, as were hospital admissions and LOS, but more incidental findings were found in the ULDCT group. Our trial does not support routine use of ULDCT in the work-up of patients suspected of non-traumatic pulmonary disease at the emergency department. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NTR6163.


Lung Diseases , Humans , X-Rays , Radiography , Lung Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Emergency Service, Hospital
17.
Gastrointest Endosc ; 97(1): 69-77.e1, 2023 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36029885

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) undergo (procto)colectomy to prevent colorectal cancer from developing. Interestingly, after proctocolectomy with ileal pouch-anal anastomosis (IPAA), most patients develop adenomas in the pouch. This is not well described for patients with end ileostomy. We aimed to compare ileal adenoma development in patients with IPAA with those with end ileostomy. METHODS: This historical cohort study included FAP patients with IPAA or end ileostomy who underwent surveillance endoscopies between 2001 and 2021. Primary outcomes were the proportion of patients with ileal adenomas, location of adenomas, and proportion of patients undergoing surgical excision of pouch/end ileostomy. RESULTS: Overall, 144 patients with IPAA (n = 111) and end ileostomy (n = 33) were included. Five years after surgery, 15% of patients with IPAA had ileal adenomas versus 4% after ileostomy. At 10 years, these estimates were 48% versus 9% and at 20 years were 85% versus 43% (log-rank P < .001). Adenomas developed more often in the pouch body (95%) in the IPAA group and more often at the everted site of the ileostomy (77%) in the ileostomy group. Numbers for surgical excision of the pouch (n = 9) or ileostomy (n = 3) for polyposis or cancer were comparable. Taking into account potential confounders in a multivariable Cox regression analysis, having an IPAA was significantly associated with ileal adenoma development. CONCLUSIONS: After proctocolectomy, FAP patients with IPAA more often developed ileal adenomas than patients with end ileostomy. This could potentially affect long-term management, and patients with end ileostomy might benefit from less-frequent endoscopic surveillance.


Adenoma , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli , Colonic Pouches , Proctocolectomy, Restorative , Humans , Proctocolectomy, Restorative/adverse effects , Colonic Pouches/adverse effects , Ileostomy , Cohort Studies , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli/surgery , Adenoma/epidemiology , Anastomosis, Surgical/adverse effects
18.
J Magn Reson Imaging ; 57(4): 1172-1184, 2023 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36054467

BACKGROUND: Biparametric (bp)-MRI and multiparametric (mp)-MRI may improve the diagnostic accuracy of renal mass histology. PURPOSE: To evaluate the available evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of bp-MRI and mp-MRI for solid renal masses in differentiating malignant from benign, aggressive from indolent, and clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) from other histology. STUDY TYPE: Systematic review. POPULATION: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL up to January 11, 2022 were searched. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 1.5 or 3 Tesla. ASSESSMENT: Eligible studies evaluated the accuracy of MRI (with at least two sequences: T2, T1, dynamic contrast and diffusion-weighted imaging) for diagnosis of solid renal masses in adult patients, using histology as reference standard. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using QUADAS-2. STATISTICAL TESTS: Meta-analysis using a bivariate logitnormal random effects model. RESULTS: We included 10 studies (1239 masses from approximately 1200 patients). The risk of bias was high in three studies, unclear in five studies and low in two studies. The diagnostic accuracy of malignant (vs. benign) masses was assessed in five studies (64% [179/281] malignant). The summary estimate of sensitivity was 95% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 77%-99%), and specificity was 63% (95% CI: 46%-77%). No study assessed aggressive (vs. indolent) masses. The diagnostic accuracy of ccRCC (vs. other subtypes) was evaluated in six studies (47% [455/971] ccRCC): the summary estimate of sensitivity was 85% (95% CI: 77%-90%) and specificity was 77% (95% CI: 73%-81%). DATA CONCLUSION: Our study reveals deficits in the available evidence on MRI for diagnosis of renal mass histology. The number of studies was limited, at unclear/high risk of bias, with heterogeneous definitions of solid masses, imaging techniques, diagnostic criteria, and outcome measures. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.


Carcinoma, Renal Cell , Kidney Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Sensitivity and Specificity , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging
20.
Lancet Microbe ; 3(8): e588-e597, 2022 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35688170

BACKGROUND: Semi-quantitative bacterial culture is the reference standard to diagnose urinary tract infection, but culture is time-consuming and can be unreliable if patients are receiving antibiotics. Metagenomics could increase diagnostic accuracy and speed by sequencing the microbiota and resistome directly from urine. We aimed to compare metagenomics to culture for semi-quantitative pathogen and resistome detection from urine. METHODS: In this proof-of-concept study, we prospectively included consecutive urine samples from a clinical diagnostic laboratory in Amsterdam. Urine samples were screened by DNA concentration, followed by PCR-free metagenomic sequencing of randomly selected samples with a high concentration of DNA (culture positive and negative). A diagnostic index was calculated as the product of DNA concentration and fraction of pathogen reads. We compared results with semi-quantitative culture using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analyses. We used ResFinder and PointFinder for resistance gene detection and compared results to phenotypic antimicrobial susceptibility testing for six antibiotics commonly used for urinary tract infection treatment: nitrofurantoin, ciprofloxacin, fosfomycin, cotrimoxazole, ceftazidime, and ceftriaxone. FINDINGS: We screened 529 urine samples of which 86 were sequenced (43 culture positive and 43 culture negative). The AUROC of the DNA concentration-based screening was 0·85 (95% CI 0·81-0·89). At a cutoff value of 6·0 ng/mL, culture positivity was ruled out with a negative predictive value of 91% (95% CI 87-93; 26 of 297 samples), reducing the number of samples requiring sequencing by 56% (297 of 529 samples). The AUROC of the diagnostic index was 0·87 (95% CI 0·79-0·95). A diagnostic index cutoff value of 17·2 yielded a positive predictive value of 93% (95% CI 85-97) and a negative predictive value of 69% (55-80), correcting for a culture-positive prevalence of 66%. Gram-positive pathogens explained eight (89%) of the nine false-negative metagenomic test results. Agreement of phenotypic and genotypic antimicrobial susceptibility testing varied between 71% (22 of 31 samples) and 100% (six of six samples), depending on the antibiotic tested. INTERPRETATION: This study provides proof-of-concept of metagenomic semi-quantitative pathogen and resistome detection for the diagnosis of urinary tract infection. The findings warrant prospective clinical validation of the value of this approach in informing patient management and care. FUNDING: EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme.


Metagenomics , Urinary Tract Infections , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Humans , Metagenomics/methods , Prospective Studies , Sequence Analysis, DNA , Urinary Tract Infections/diagnosis
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