Cluster effect for SNP-SNP interaction pairs for predicting complex traits.

Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) interactions are the key to improving polygenic risk scores. Previous studies reported several significant SNP-SNP interaction pairs that shared a common SNP to form a cluster, but some identified pairs might be false positives. This study aims to identify factors associated with the cluster effect of false positivity and develop strategies to enhance the accuracy of SNP-SNP interactions. The results showed the cluster effect is a major cause of false-positive findings of SNP-SNP interactions. This cluster effect is due to high correlations between a causal pair and null pairs in a cluster. The clusters with a hub SNP with a significant main effect and a large minor allele frequency (MAF) tended to have a higher false-positive rate. In addition, peripheral null SNPs in a cluster with a small MAF tended to enhance false positivity. We also demonstrated that using the modified significance criterion based on the 3 p-value rules and the bootstrap approach (3pRule + bootstrap) can reduce false positivity and maintain high true positivity. In addition, our results also showed that a pair without a significant main effect tends to have weak or no interaction. This study identified the cluster effect and suggested using the 3pRule + bootstrap approach to enhance SNP-SNP interaction detection accuracy.

Mitochondrial DNA abundance in blood is associated with Alzheimer's disease- and dementia-risk.

The mitochondrial cascade hypothesis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) has been portrayed through molecular, cellular, and animal studies; however large epidemiological studies are lacking. This study aimed to explore the association of mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNAcn), a marker representative of mtDNA abundance per cell, with risk of incident all-cause dementia, AD, and vascular dementia diagnosis within 17 years and dementia-related blood biomarkers (P-tau181, GFAP, and NfL). Additionally, sex-stratified analyses were completed. In this German population-based cohort study (ESTHER), 9940 participants aged 50-75 years were enrolled by general practitioners and followed for 17 years. Participants were included in this study if information on dementia status and blood-based mtDNAcn measured via real-time polymerase chain reaction were available. In a nested case-control approach, a subsample of participants additionally had measurements of P-tau181, GFAP, and NfL in blood samples taken at baseline. Of 4913 participants eligible for analyses, 386 were diagnosed with incident all-cause dementia, including 130 AD and 143 vascular dementia cases, while 4527 participants remained without dementia diagnosis within 17 years. Participants with low mtDNAcn (lowest 10%) experienced 45% and 65% percent increased risk of incident all-cause dementia and AD after adjusting for age and sex (all-cause dementia: HRadj, 95%CI:1.45, 1.08-1.94; AD: HRadj, 95%CI: 1.65, 1.01-2.68). MtDNAcn was not associated to vascular dementia diagnosis and was more strongly associated with all-cause dementia among women. In the nested case-control study (n = 790), mtDNAcn was not significantly associated with the dementia-related blood biomarkers (P-tau181, GFAP, and NfL) levels in blood from baseline before dementia diagnosis. This study provides novel epidemiological evidence connecting mtDNA abundance, measured via mtDNAcn, to incident dementia and AD at the population-based level. Reduced mitochondrial abundance may play a role in pathogenesis, especially among women.

An International Registry Study of Early-Stage NSCLC treatment variations (LUCAEUROPE) in Europe and the USA highlighting variations.

OBJECTIVE: Harmonized European NSCLC incidence, treatment approach, and survival based on national tumor registries are unclear. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Surgery has the potential to cure NSCLC and significantly prolong survival. This large-scale international study aimed to investigate treatment variations in Europe and the USA, as well as the determinants for its utilization. METHODS: The retrospective cohort study analyzed data from six European national population-based cancer registries (Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Germany, the Netherlands, and Slovenia) and the US SEER database from 2010-2015. RESULTS: The study computed cancer incidence, survival, and age-standardized proportions of the use of various therapies. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess associations between resection and demographic and clinical parameters. A total of 428,107 records were analyzed. Among all countries, Estonia had the highest surgical resection rate (79.3 %) and the lowest radiation rate (7.3 %) for stage I patients. The Netherlands had the highest rate of radiotherapy across all years of investigation and the lowest surgery rate between 2012 and 2015. The primary treatment for early-stage NSCLC showed significant international variation, with the USA having a decrease in surgical rates from 67.6 % to 59.5 %. Resection was less frequently performed as tumor stage increased, patients aged, other lung cancer besides adenocarcinoma was present, and when the tumor site overlapped multiple lobes. CONCLUSIONS: Resection rates have declined in some studied European countries and the USA and resection rates vary substantially among countries. Interpretation of current scientific lung cancer evidence and international guidelines results in wide variations in patient treatment.

Overcoming underestimation of the association of excess weight with pancreatic cancer due to prediagnostic weight loss: Umbrella review of systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and pooled-analyses.

Elevated body mass index (BMI) is linked to increased pancreatic cancer (PC) risk. Cancer-associated weight loss can occur years before the malignancy is diagnosed. This might have led to underestimation of the BMI-PC association. However, it is unknown if and to what extent this issue has been considered in previous epidemiological studies. We searched two databases through February 19, 2024 for systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and pooled analyses examining the BMI-PC association. We extracted information on study design with a special focus on the article's examination of prediagnostic weight loss as a potential source of bias, as well as how included cohort studies addressed this concern. Thirteen review articles, meta-analyses, and pooled analyses were identified. Only five (four pooled analyses, one systematic review) considered prediagnostic weight loss in their analyses. Twenty-four of 32 identified cohort studies reported having excluded initial years of follow-up. However, only 13 studies reported results after such exclusions, and effect estimates generally increased with longer periods of exclusion. We conclude that the association of overweight and obesity with PC risk is likely larger than suggested by published epidemiological evidence. Future studies should pay careful attention to avoid or minimize potential bias resulting from prediagnostic weight loss.

The Safety Profile of Vitamin D Supplements Using Real-World Data from 445,493 Participants of the UK Biobank: Slightly Higher Hypercalcemia Prevalence but Neither Increased Risks of Kidney Stones nor Atherosclerosis.

Background: Potential calcium-related adverse events of vitamin D supplement use have not been addressed in large-scale, real-world data so far. Methods: Leveraging data from the UK Biobank, encompassing 445,493 individuals aged 40-69, we examined associations of high 25-hydroxyvitamin (25(OH)D) levels ≥ 100 nmol/L and vitamin D supplementation with hypercalcemia (serum calcium > 2.6 mmol/L), kidney stones, and atherosclerosis assessments (pulse wave arterial stiffness index and carotid intima-medial thickness). Regression models were comprehensively adjusted for 49 covariates. Results: Approximately 1.5% of the participants had high 25(OH)D levels, 4.3% regularly used vitamin D supplements, and 20.4% reported regular multivitamin use. At baseline, the hypercalcemia prevalence was 1.6%, and 1.1% was diagnosed with kidney stones during follow-up. High 25(OH)D levels were neither associated with calcium-related adverse events nor atherosclerosis assessments. Vitamin D and multivitamin supplementation were associated with an increased prevalence of hypercalcemia (odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals: 1.46 [1.32-1.62] and 1.11 [1.04-1.18], respectively) but were neither associated with atherosclerosis nor future kidney stones. Conclusions: High 25(OH)D levels observable in routine care were not associated with any adverse outcome. Vitamin D users have a slightly higher prevalence of hypercalcemia, possibly due to co-supplementation with calcium, but without a higher atherosclerosis prevalence or risk of kidney stones.

Folate intake and colorectal cancer risk according to genetic subtypes defined by targeted tumor sequencing.

BACKGROUND: Folate is involved in multiple genetic, epigenetic, and metabolic processes, and inadequate folate intake has been associated with an increased risk of cancer. OBJECTIVE: We examined whether folate intake is differentially associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk according to somatic mutations in genes linked to CRC using targeted sequencing. DESIGN: Participants within 2 large CRC consortia with available information on dietary folate, supplemental folic acid, and total folate intake were included. Colorectal tumor samples from cases were sequenced for the presence of nonsilent mutations in 105 genes and 6 signaling pathways (IGF2/PI3K, MMR, RTK/RAS, TGF-ß, WNT, and TP53/ATM). Multinomial logistic regression models were analyzed comparing mutated/nonmutated CRC cases to controls to compute multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Heterogeneity of associations of mutated compared with nonmutated CRC cases was tested in case-only analyses using logistic regression. Analyses were performed separately in hypermutated and nonhypermutated tumors, because they exhibit different clinical behaviors. RESULTS: We included 4339 CRC cases (702 hypermutated tumors, 16.2%) and 11,767 controls. Total folate intake was inversely associated with CRC risk (OR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.96). Among hypermutated tumors, 12 genes (AXIN2, B2M, BCOR, CHD1, DOCK3, FBLN2, MAP3K21, POLD1, RYR1, TET2, UTP20, and ZNF521) showed nominal statistical significance (P < 0.05) for heterogeneity by mutation status, but none remained significant after multiple testing correction. Among these genetic subtypes, the associations between folate variables and CRC were mostly inverse or toward the null, except for tumors mutated for DOCK3 (supplemental folic acid), CHD1 (total folate), and ZNF521 (dietary folate) that showed positive associations. We did not observe differential associations in analyses among nonhypermutated tumors, or according to the signaling pathways. CONCLUSIONS: Folate intake was not differentially associated with CRC risk according to mutations in the genes explored. The nominally significant differential mutation effects observed in a few genes warrants further investigation.

Subjective hearing and memory problems are associated with dementia and cognition in later life.

INTRODUCTION: Subjective hearing and memory problems are detectable earlier than objective measures of sensory loss and cognitive decline, which are known to be related to an increased risk of dementia in later life. METHODS: Using a population-representative cohort of 6006 individuals (aged 50-75) we examined whether participants who self-reported hearing and short-term memory issues showed greater rates of dementia within 17 years of follow-up. A sub-cohort was tested for audiometric threshold and cognition after 14 years. RESULTS: Hearing and memory problems were associated with a greater risk of dementia (hazard ratios [HRs] = 1.42 [95% confidence interval: 1.11-1.81], 1.57 [1.30-1.90]), and poorer cognition 14 years later. The risk was greatest in those reporting both problems (HR = 1.99 [1.42-2.80]). At follow-up, the level of hearing loss was associated with lower cognitive scores. DISCUSSION: Self-reports of hearing and short-term memory problems are associated with poorer cognitive performance and a greater risk of dementia. Subjective assessments may have predictive power over more than a decade. Highlights: In a sample of older adults subjective hearing and memory problems were associated with dementia risk.Cross-sectionally, the audiometric screening threshold was associated with cognitive test scores.Subjective sensory and memory loss questions are easy to implement and show good predictive power.

Gender-specific factors associated with case complexity in middle-aged and older adults-Evidence from a large population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate gender-specific factors associated with case complexity in a population-based sample of middle-aged and older adults using a holistic approach to complexity. METHODS: Data were derived from the 8-year follow-up home visits of the ESTHER study-a German population-based study in middle-aged and older adults. Cross-sectional analyses were conducted for 2932 persons (aged 57-84). Complexity was assessed by the well-established INTERMED for the elderly interview, which uses a holistic approach to the definition of case complexity. The association between various bio-psycho-social variables and case complexity was analyzed using gender-specific logistic regression models, adjusted for sociodemographic factors (age, marital status, education). RESULTS: Prevalence of complexity was 8.3% with significantly higher prevalence in female (10.6%) compared to male (5.8%) participants (p < 0.001). Variables associated with increased odds for complexity in both, women and men were: being divorced (odds ratio [OR] women: 1.86, 95% CI 1.05-3.30; OR men: 3.19, 1.25-8.12), higher total somatic morbidity (women: 1.08, 1.04-1.12; men: 1.06, 1.02-1.11), higher depression severity (women: 1.34, 1.28-1.40; men: 1.35, 1.27-1.44), and higher loneliness scores (women: 1.19, 1.05-1.36; men: 1.23, 1.03-1.47). Women (but not men) with obesity (Body mass index [BMI] ≥30) had higher odds (1.79, 1.11-2.89) for being complex compared to those with a BMI <25. High oxidative stress measured by derivatives of reactive oxygen metabolites in serum was associated with 2.02 (1.09-3.74) higher odds for complexity only in men. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides epidemiological evidence on gender differences in prevalence and factors associated with case complexity in middle-aged and older adults. Moreover, this study adds to the holistic understanding of complexity by identifying novel variables linked to complexity among middle-aged and older individuals. These factors include loneliness for both genders, and high oxidative stress for men. These findings should be confirmed in future longitudinal studies.

Large-scale external validation and meta-analysis of gene methylation biomarkers in tumor tissue for colorectal cancer prognosis.

BACKGROUND: DNA methylation biomarkers in colorectal cancer (CRC) tissue hold potential as prognostic indicators. However, individual studies have yielded heterogeneous results, and external validation is largely absent. We conducted a comprehensive external validation and meta-analysis of previously suggested gene methylation biomarkers for CRC prognosis. METHODS: We performed a systematic search to identify relevant studies investigating gene methylation biomarkers for CRC prognosis until March 2024. Our external validation cohort with long-term follow-up included 2303 patients with CRC from 22 hospitals in southwest Germany. We used Cox regression analyses to assess associations between previously suggested gene methylation biomarkers and prognosis, adjusting for clinical variables. We calculated pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects models. FINDINGS: Of 151 single gene and 29 multiple gene methylation biomarkers identified from 121 studies, 37 single gene and seven multiple gene biomarkers were significantly associated with CRC prognosis after adjustment for clinical variables. Moreover, the directions of these associations with prognosis remained consistent between the original studies and our validation analyses. Seven single biomarkers and two multi-biomarker signatures were significantly associated with CRC prognosis in the meta-analysis, with a relatively strong level of evidence for CDKN2A, WNT5A, MLH1, and EVL. INTERPRETATION: In a comprehensive evaluation of the so far identified gene methylation biomarkers for CRC prognosis, we identified candidates with potential clinical relevance for further investigation. FUNDING: The German Research Council, the Interdisciplinary Research Program of the National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), Germany, the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research.

Lowering Fecal Immunochemical Test Positivity Threshold vs Multitarget Stool RNA Testing for Colorectal Cancer Screening.

This analysis uses data from 2 studies to explore whether lowering the threshold for fecal immunochemical test positivity can achieve comparable levels of sensitivity and specificity as multitarget stool RNA testing for colorectal cancer screening.

Likelihood of Post-COVID Condition in people with hybrid immunity; data from the German National Cohort (NAKO).

OBJECTIVES: The risk of Post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) under hybrid immunity remains unclear. METHODS: Using data from the German National Cohort (NAKO Gesundheitsstudie), we investigated risk factors for self-reported post-infection symptoms (any PCC is defined as having at least one symptom, and high symptom burden PCC as having nine or more symptoms). RESULTS: Sixty percent of 109,707 participants reported at least one previous SARS-CoV-2 infection; 35% reported having had any symptoms 4-12 months after infection; among them 23% reported nine or more symptoms. Individuals, who did not develop PCC after their first infection, had a strongly reduced risk for PCC after their second infection (50%) and a temporary risk reduction, which waned over 9 months after the preceding infection. The risk of developing PCC strongly depended on the virus variant. Within variants, there was no effect of the number of preceding vaccinations, apart from a strong protection by the fourth vaccination compared to three vaccinations for the Omicron variant (odds ratio = 0.52; 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.61). CONCLUSIONS: Previous infections without PCC and a fourth vaccination were associated with a lower risk of PCC after a new infection, indicating diminished risk under hybrid immunity. The two components of risk reduction after a preceding infection suggest different immunological mechanisms.

Potential association between PSCA rs2976395 functional variant and pancreatic cancer risk.

Correlated regions of systemic interindividual variation (CoRSIV) represent a small proportion of the human genome showing DNA methylation patterns that are the same in all human tissues, are different among individuals, and are partially regulated by genetic variants in cis. In this study we aimed at investigating single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within CoRSIVs and their involvement with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) risk. We analyzed 29,099 CoRSIV-SNPs and 133,615 CoRSIV-mQTLs in 14,394 cases and 247,022 controls of European and Asian descent. We observed that the A allele of the rs2976395 SNP was associated with increased PDAC risk in Europeans (p = 2.81 × 10-5). This SNP lies in the prostate stem cell antigen gene and is in perfect linkage disequilibrium with a variant (rs2294008) that has been reported to be associated with risk of many other cancer types. The A allele is associated with the DNA methylation level of the gene according to the PanCan-meQTL database and with overexpression according to QTLbase. The expression of the gene has been observed to be deregulated in many tumors of the gastrointestinal tract including pancreatic cancer; however, functional studies are needed to elucidate the function relevance of the association.

Clinical significance of combined tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes and microsatellite instability status in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Microsatellite instability (MSI) status and tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) are established prognostic factors in colorectal cancer. Previous studies evaluating the combination of TIL and MSI status identified distinct colorectal cancer subtypes with unique prognostic associations. However, these studies were often limited by sample size, particularly for MSI-high (MSI-H) tumours, and there is no comprehensive summary of the available evidence. We aimed to review the literature to compare the survival outcomes associated with the subtypes derived from the integrated MSI-TIL classification in patients with colorectal cancer. METHODS: In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library without language restrictions, for articles published between Jan 1, 1990, and March 13, 2024. Patient cohorts comparing different combinations of TIL (high or low) and MSI status (MSI or microsatellite stable [MSS]) in patients with surgically resected colorectal cancer were included. Studies were excluded if they focused on neoadjuvant therapy or on other immune markers such as B cells or macrophages. Methodological quality assessment was done with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale; data appraisal and extraction was done independently by two reviewers. Summary estimates were extracted from published reports. The primary outcomes were overall survival, disease-free survival, and cancer-specific survival. A frequentist network meta-analysis was done to compare hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI for each outcome. The MSI-TIL subgroups were prognostically ranked based on P-score, bias, magnitude, and precision of associations with each outcome. The protocol is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023461108). FINDINGS: Of 302 studies initially identified, 21 studies (comprising 14 028 patients) were included in the systematic review and 19 (13 029 patients) in the meta-analysis. Nine studies were identified with a low risk of bias and the remaining ten had a moderate risk of bias. The MSI-TIL-high (MSI-TIL-H) subtype exhibited longer overall survival (HR 0·45, 95% CI 0·34-0·61; I2=77·7%), disease-free survival (0·43, 0·32-0·58; I2=61·6%), and cancer-specific survival (0·53, 0·43-0·66; I2=0%), followed by the MSS-TIL-H subtype for overall survival (HR 0·53, 0·41-0·69; I2=77·7%), disease-free survival (0·52, 0·41-0·64; I2=61·6%), and cancer-specific survival (0·55, 0·47-0·64; I2=0%) than did patients with MSS-TIL-low tumours (MSS-TIL-L). Patients with the MSI-TIL-L subtype had similar overall survival (0·88, 0·66-1·18; I2=77·7%) and disease-free survival (0·93, 0·69-1·26; I2=61·6%), but a modestly longer cancer-specific survival (0·72, 0·57-0·90; I2=0%) than did the MSS-TIL-L subtype. Results from the direct and indirect evidence were strongly congruous. INTERPRETATION: The findings from this network meta-analysis suggest that better survival was only observed among patients with TIL-H colorectal cancer, regardless of MSI or MSS status. The integrated MSI-TIL classification should be further explored as a predictive tool for clinical decision-making in early-stage colorectal cancer. FUNDING: German Research Council (HO 5117/2-2).

Identification of potential mediators of the relationship between body mass index and colorectal cancer: a Mendelian randomization analysis.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third-most-common cancer worldwide and its rates are increasing. Elevated body mass index (BMI) is an established risk factor for CRC, although the molecular mechanisms behind this association remain unclear. Using the Mendelian randomization (MR) framework, we aimed to investigate the mediating effects of putative biomarkers and other CRC risk factors in the association between BMI and CRC. METHODS: We selected as mediators biomarkers of established cancer-related mechanisms and other CRC risk factors for which a plausible association with obesity exists, such as inflammatory biomarkers, glucose homeostasis traits, lipids, adipokines, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), sex hormones, 25-hydroxy-vitamin D, smoking, physical activity (PA) and alcohol consumption. We used inverse-variance weighted MR in the main univariable analyses and performed sensitivity analyses (weighted-median, MR-Egger, Contamination Mixture). We used multivariable MR for the mediation analyses. RESULTS: Genetically predicted BMI was positively associated with CRC risk [odds ratio per SD (5 kg/m2) = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.08-1.24, P-value = 1.4 × 10-5] and robustly associated with nearly all potential mediators. Genetically predicted IGF1, fasting insulin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, PA and alcohol were associated with CRC risk. Evidence for attenuation was found for IGF1 [explained 7% (95% CI: 2-13%) of the association], smoking (31%, 4-57%) and PA (7%, 2-11%). There was little evidence for pleiotropy, although smoking was bidirectionally associated with BMI and instruments were weak for PA. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of BMI on CRC risk is possibly partly mediated through plasma IGF1, whereas the attenuation of the BMI-CRC association by smoking and PA may reflect confounding and shared underlying mechanisms rather than mediation.

Two genome-wide interaction loci modify the association of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs with colorectal cancer.

Regular, long-term aspirin use may act synergistically with genetic variants, particularly those in mechanistically relevant pathways, to confer a protective effect on colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We leveraged pooled data from 52 clinical trial, cohort, and case-control studies that included 30,806 CRC cases and 41,861 controls of European ancestry to conduct a genome-wide interaction scan between regular aspirin/nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use and imputed genetic variants. After adjusting for multiple comparisons, we identified statistically significant interactions between regular aspirin/NSAID use and variants in 6q24.1 (top hit rs72833769), which has evidence of influencing expression of TBC1D7 (a subunit of the TSC1-TSC2 complex, a key regulator of MTOR activity), and variants in 5p13.1 (top hit rs350047), which is associated with expression of PTGER4 (codes a cell surface receptor directly involved in the mode of action of aspirin). Genetic variants with functional impact may modulate the chemopreventive effect of regular aspirin use, and our study identifies putative previously unidentified targets for additional mechanistic interrogation.

Longer Interval Between First Colonoscopy With Negative Findings for Colorectal Cancer and Repeat Colonoscopy.

Importance: For individuals without a family history of colorectal cancer (CRC), colonoscopy screening every 10 years is recommended to reduce CRC incidence and mortality. However, debate exists about whether and for how long this 10-year interval could be safely expanded. Objective: To assess how many years after a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC a second colonoscopy can be performed. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study leveraged Swedish nationwide register-based data to examine CRC diagnoses and CRC-specific mortality among individuals without a family history of CRC. The exposed group included individuals who had a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC at age 45 to 69 years between 1990 and 2016. The control group included individuals matched by sex, birth year, and baseline age (ie, the age of their matched exposed individual when the exposed individual's first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC was performed). Individuals in the control group either did not have a colonoscopy during the follow-up or underwent colonoscopy that resulted in a CRC diagnosis. Up to 18 controls were matched with each exposed individual. Individuals were followed up from 1990 to 2018, and data were analyzed from November 2022 to November 2023. Exposure: A first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC, defined as a first colonoscopy without a diagnosis of colorectal polyp, adenoma, carcinoma in situ, or CRC before or within 6 months after screening. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were CRC diagnosis and CRC-specific death. The 10-year standardized incidence ratio and standardized mortality ratio were calculated to compare risks of CRC and CRC-specific death in the exposed and control groups based on different follow-up screening intervals. Results: The sample included 110 074 individuals (65 147 females [59.2%]) in the exposed group and 1 981 332 (1 172 646 females [59.2%]) in the control group. The median (IQR) age for individuals in both groups was 59 (52-64) years. During up to 29 years of follow-up of individuals with a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC, 484 incident CRCs and 112 CRC-specific deaths occurred. After a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC, the risks of CRC and CRC-specific death in the exposed group were significantly lower than those in their matched controls for 15 years. At 15 years after a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC, the 10-year standardized incidence ratio was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.54-0.94) and the 10-year standardized mortality ratio was 0.55 (95% CI, 0.29-0.94). In other words, the 10-year cumulative risk of CRC in year 15 in the exposed group was 72% that of the 10-year cumulative risk of CRC in the control group. Extending the colonoscopy screening interval from 10 to 15 years in individuals with a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC could miss the early detection of only 2 CRC cases and the prevention of 1 CRC-specific death per 1000 individuals, while potentially avoiding 1000 colonoscopies. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that for the population without a family history of CRC, the 10-year interval between colonoscopy screenings for individuals with a first colonoscopy with findings negative for CRC could potentially be extended to 15 years. A longer interval between colonoscopy screenings could be beneficial in avoiding unnecessary invasive examinations.

Utilization of colorectal cancer screening tests across European countries: a cross-sectional analysis of the European health interview survey 2018-2020.

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening has been shown to reduce CRC incidence and mortality, and most European countries have started to implement CRC screening programs in the past 20 years. Consequently, this study aimed to estimate the utilization of fecal tests and colonoscopy, as well as investigate factors associated with their utilization based on specific screening program characteristics in European countries. Methods: We analyzed data from the European Health Interview Survey 2018-2020 to determine the utilization of fecal tests [guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT) or fecal immunochemical test (FIT)] within the preceding 2 years or colonoscopy within the preceding 10 years among people aged 50-74 years, based on the type of screening offered in each country. Using multivariable logistic regression and sub-group meta-analysis, factors associated with screening use were determined. Findings: The analyses included data from 129,750 respondents across 29 European countries, with participant counts ranging from 1511 individuals in Iceland to 11,755 individuals in Germany. Unit response rates ranged from 22% to 88%. The use of either test was highest among countries with fully rolled-out programs with fecal tests [from 37.7% (867/2379) in Croatia to 74.9% (2321/3085) in Denmark] and in countries offering colonoscopy as an alternative screening method [from 26.2% (854/3329) in Greece to 75.4% (1192/1760) in Luxembourg]. We observed the lowest utilization of either test in countries with no program or small-scale programs [6.3% (195/3179) in Bulgaria to 34.2% (722/2144) in Latvia]. Across all types of screening offers, younger age, being without a partner, low education, rural residence, and living in large households were associated with lower utilization, as were poor lifestyle scores and prolonged periods without physician consultation. Interpretation: Our findings point to large disparities and much room for improvement in CRC screening offers and utilization across Europe. Funding: There was no funding source for this study.

Deep learning for dual detection of microsatellite instability and POLE mutations in colorectal cancer histopathology.

In the spectrum of colorectal tumors, microsatellite-stable (MSS) tumors with DNA polymerase ε (POLE) mutations exhibit a hypermutated profile, holding the potential to respond to immunotherapy similarly to their microsatellite-instable (MSI) counterparts. Yet, due to their rarity and the associated testing costs, systematic screening for these mutations is not commonly pursued. Notably, the histopathological phenotype resulting from POLE mutations is theorized to resemble that of MSI. This resemblance not only could facilitate their detection by a transformer-based Deep Learning (DL) system trained on MSI pathology slides, but also indicates the possibility for MSS patients with POLE mutations to access enhanced treatment options, which might otherwise be overlooked. To harness this potential, we trained a Deep Learning classifier on a large dataset with the ground truth for microsatellite status and subsequently validated its capabilities for MSI and POLE detection across three external cohorts. Our model accurately identified MSI status in both the internal and external resection cohorts using pathology images alone. Notably, with a classification threshold of 0.5, over 75% of POLE driver mutant patients in the external resection cohorts were flagged as "positive" by a DL system trained on MSI status. In a clinical setting, deploying this DL model as a preliminary screening tool could facilitate the efficient identification of clinically relevant MSI and POLE mutations in colorectal tumors, in one go.

Genome-wide interaction study of dietary intake of fibre, fruits, and vegetables with risk of colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Consumption of fibre, fruits and vegetables have been linked with lower colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. A genome-wide gene-environment (G × E) analysis was performed to test whether genetic variants modify these associations. METHODS: A pooled sample of 45 studies including up to 69,734 participants (cases: 29,896; controls: 39,838) of European ancestry were included. To identify G × E interactions, we used the traditional 1--degree-of-freedom (DF) G × E test and to improve power a 2-step procedure and a 3DF joint test that investigates the association between a genetic variant and dietary exposure, CRC risk and G × E interaction simultaneously. FINDINGS: The 3-DF joint test revealed two significant loci with p-value <5 × 10-8. Rs4730274 close to the SLC26A3 gene showed an association with fibre (p-value: 2.4 × 10-3) and G × fibre interaction with CRC (OR per quartile of fibre increase = 0.87, 0.80, and 0.75 for CC, TC, and TT genotype, respectively; G × E p-value: 1.8 × 10-7). Rs1620977 in the NEGR1 gene showed an association with fruit intake (p-value: 1.0 × 10-8) and G × fruit interaction with CRC (OR per quartile of fruit increase = 0.75, 0.65, and 0.56 for AA, AG, and GG genotype, respectively; G × E -p-value: 0.029). INTERPRETATION: We identified 2 loci associated with fibre and fruit intake that also modify the association of these dietary factors with CRC risk. Potential mechanisms include chronic inflammatory intestinal disorders, and gut function. However, further studies are needed for mechanistic validation and replication of findings. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute. Full funding details for the individual consortia are provided in acknowledgments.