Chest-Based Wearables and Individualized Distributions for Assessing Postural Sway in Persons With Multiple Sclerosis.

Typical assessments of balance impairment are subjective or require data from cumbersome and expensive force platforms. Researchers have utilized lower back (sacrum) accelerometers to enable more accessible, objective measurement of postural sway for use in balance assessment. However, new sensor patches are broadly being deployed on the chest for cardiac monitoring, opening a need to determine if measurements from these devices can similarly inform balance assessment. Our aim in this work is to validate postural sway measurements from a chest accelerometer. To establish concurrent validity, we considered data from 16 persons with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) asked to stand on a force platform while also wearing sensor patches on the sacrum and chest. We found five of 15 postural sway features derived from the chest and sacrum were significantly correlated with force platform-derived features, which is in line with prior sacrum-derived findings. Clinical significance was established using a sample of 39 PwMS who performed eyes-open, eyes-closed, and tandem standing tasks. This cohort was stratified by fall status and completed several patient-reported measures (PRM) of balance and mobility impairment. We also compared sway features derived from a single 30-second period to those derived from a one-minute period with a sliding window to create individualized distributions of each postural sway feature (ID method). We find traditional computation of sway features from the chest is sensitive to changes in PRMs and task differences. Distribution characteristics from the ID method establish additional relationships with PRMs, detect differences in more tasks, and distinguish between fall status groups. Overall, the chest was found to be a valid location to monitor postural sway and we recommend utilizing the ID method over single-observation analyses.

A causal inference framework for cancer cluster investigations using publicly available data.

Often, a community becomes alarmed when high rates of cancer are noticed, and residents suspect that the cancer cases could be caused by a known source of hazard. In response, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommend that departments of health perform a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) analysis to determine whether the observed cancer incidence is higher than expected. This approach has several limitations that are well documented in the existing literature. In this paper we propose a novel causal inference framework for cancer cluster investigations, rooted in the potential outcomes framework. Assuming that a source of hazard representing a potential cause of increased cancer rates in the community is identified a priori, we focus our approach on a causal inference estimand which we call the causal SIR (cSIR). The cSIR is a ratio defined as the expected cancer incidence in the exposed population divided by the expected cancer incidence for the same population under the (counterfactual) scenario of no exposure. To estimate the cSIR we need to overcome two main challenges: 1) identify unexposed populations that are as similar as possible to the exposed one to inform estimation of the expected cancer incidence under the counterfactual scenario of no exposure, and 2) publicly available data on cancer incidence for these unexposed populations are often available at a much higher level of spatial aggregation (e.g. county) than what is desired (e.g. census block group). We overcome the first challenge by relying on matching. We overcome the second challenge by building a Bayesian hierarchical model that borrows information from other sources to impute cancer incidence at the desired level of spatial aggregation. In simulations, our statistical approach was shown to provide dramatically improved results, i.e., less bias and better coverage, than the current approach to SIR analyses. We apply our proposed approach to investigate whether trichloroethylene vapor exposure has caused increased cancer incidence in Endicott, New York.