Geriatric End-of-Life Screening Tool Prediction of 6-Month Mortality in Older Patients.

Importance: Emergency department (ED) visits by older adults with life-limiting illnesses are a critical opportunity to establish patient care end-of-life preferences, but little is known about the optimal screening criteria for resource-constrained EDs. Objectives: To externally validate the Geriatric End-of-Life Screening Tool (GEST) in an independent population and compare it with commonly used serious illness diagnostic criteria. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study assessed a cohort of patients aged 65 years and older who were treated in a tertiary care ED in Boston, Massachusetts, from 2017 to 2021. Patients arriving in cardiac arrest or who died within 1 day of ED arrival were excluded. Data analysis was performed from August 1, 2023, to March 27, 2024. Exposure: GEST, a logistic regression algorithm that uses commonly available electronic health record (EHR) datapoints and was developed and validated across 9 EDs, was compared with serious illness diagnoses as documented in the EHR. Serious illnesses included stroke/transient ischemic attack, liver disease, cancer, lung disease, and age greater than 80 years, among others. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was 6-month mortality following an ED encounter. Statistical analyses included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration analyses, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and decision curves. Results: This external validation included 82 371 ED encounters by 40 505 unique individuals (mean [SD] age, 76.8 [8.4] years; 54.3% women, 13.8% 6-month mortality rate). GEST had an external validation area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.78-0.79) that was stable across years and demographic subgroups. Of included encounters, 53.4% had a serious illness, with a sensitivity of 77.4% (95% CI, 76.6%-78.2%) and specificity of 50.5% (95% CI, 50.1%-50.8%). Varying GEST cutoffs from 5% to 30% increased specificity (5%: 49.1% [95% CI, 48.7%-49.5%]; 30%: 92.2% [95% CI, 92.0%-92.4%]) at the cost of sensitivity (5%: 89.3% [95% CI, 88.8-89.9]; 30%: 36.2% [95% CI, 35.3-37.1]). In a decision curve analysis, GEST outperformed serious illness criteria across all tested thresholds. When comparing patients referred to intervention by GEST with serious illness criteria, GEST reclassified 45.1% of patients with serious illness as having low risk of mortality with an observed mortality rate 8.1% and 2.6% of patients without serious illness as having high mortality risk with an observed mortality rate of 34.3% for a total reclassification rate of 25.3%. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that both serious illness criteria and GEST identified older ED patients at risk for 6-month mortality, but GEST offered more useful screening characteristics. Future trials of serious illness interventions for high mortality risk in older adults may consider transitioning from diagnosis code criteria to GEST, an automatable EHR-based algorithm.

Assessment of respiratory rate monitoring in the emergency department.

Objectives: This study aimed to compare the different respiratory rate (RR) monitoring methods used in the emergency department (ED): manual documentation, telemetry, and capnography. Methods: This is a retrospective study using recorded patient monitoring data. The study population includes patients who presented to a tertiary care ED between January 2020 and December 2022. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were patients with simultaneous recorded RR data from all three methods and less than 10 min of recording, respectively. Linear regression and Bland-Altman analysis were performed between different methods. Results: A total of 351 patient encounters met study criteria. Linear regression yielded an R-value of 0.06 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.00-0.12) between manual documentation and telemetry, 0.07 (95% CI 0.01-0.13) between manual documentation and capnography, and 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.85) between telemetry and capnography. The Bland-Altman analysis yielded a bias of -0.8 (95% limits of agreement [LOA] -12.2 to 10.6) between manual documentation and telemetry, bias of -0.6 (95% LOA -13.5 to 12.3) between manual documentation and capnography, and bias of 0.2 (95% LOA -6.2 to 6.6) between telemetry and capnography. Conclusion: There is a poor correlation between manual documentation and both automated methods, while there is relatively good agreement between the automated methods. This finding highlights the need to further investigate the methodology used by the ED staff in monitoring and documenting RR and ways to improve its reliability given that many important clinical decisions are made based on these assessments.

Trends in observation stays for Medicare beneficiaries with and without Alzheimer's disease and related dementias.

BACKGROUND: There has been a marked rise in the use of observation care for Medicare beneficiaries visiting the emergency department (ED) in recent years. Whether trends in observation use differ for people with Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) is unknown. METHODS: Using a national 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries ages 68+ from 2012 to 2018, we compared trends in ED visits and observation stays by AD/ADRD status for beneficiaries visiting the ED. We then examined the degree to which trends differed by nursing home (NH) residency status, assigning beneficiaries to four groups: AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH+), AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH-), no AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH+), and no AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH-). RESULTS: Of 7,489,780 unique beneficiaries, 18.6% had an AD/ADRD diagnosis. Beneficiaries with AD/ADRD had more than double the number of ED visits per 1000 in all years compared to those without AD/ADRD and saw a faster adjusted increase over time (+26.7 vs. +8.2 visits/year; p < 0.001 for interaction). The annual increase in the adjusted proportion of ED visits ending in observation was also greater among people with AD/ADRD (+0.78%/year, 95% CI 0.77-0.80%) compared to those without AD/ADRD (+0.63%/year, 95% CI 0.59-0.66%; p < 0.001 for interaction). Observation utilization was greatest for the AD/ADRD+ NH+ population and lowest for the AD/ADRD- NH- population, but the AD/ADRD+ NH- group saw the greatest increase in observation stays over time (+15.4 stays per 1000 people per year, 95% CI 15.0-15.7). CONCLUSIONS: Medicare beneficiaries with AD/ADRD have seen a disproportionate increase in observation utilization in recent years, driven by both an increase in ED visits and an increase in the proportion of ED visits ending in observation.

Clinician Risk Tolerance and Rates of Admission From the Emergency Department.

Importance: Much remains unknown about the extent of and factors that influence clinician-level variation in rates of admission from the emergency department (ED). In particular, emergency clinician risk tolerance is a potentially important attribute, but it is not well defined in terms of its association with the decision to admit. Objective: To further characterize this variation in rates of admission from the ED and to determine whether clinician risk attitudes are associated with the propensity to admit. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this observational cohort study, data were analyzed from the Massachusetts All Payer Claims Database to identify all ED visits from October 2015 through December 2017 with any form of commercial insurance or Medicaid. ED visits were then linked to treating clinicians and their risk tolerance scores obtained in a separate statewide survey to examine the association between risk tolerance and the decision to admit. Statistical analysis was performed from 2022 to 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The ratio between observed and projected admission rates was computed, controlling for hospital, and then plotted against the projected admission rates to find the extent of variation. Pearson correlation coefficients were then used to examine the association between the mean projected rate of admission and the difference between actual and projected rates of admission. The consistency of clinician admission practices across a range of the most common conditions resulting in admission were then assessed to understand whether admission decisions were consistent across different conditions. Finally, an assessment was made as to whether the extent of deviation from the expected admission rates at an individual level was associated with clinician risk tolerance. Results: The study sample included 392 676 ED visits seen by 691 emergency clinicians. Among patients seen for ED visits, 221 077 (56.3%) were female, and 236 783 (60.3%) were 45 years of age or older; 178 890 visits (46.5%) were for patients insured by Medicaid, 96 947 (25.2%) were for those with commercial insurance, 71 171 (18.5%) were Medicare Part B or Medicare Advantage, and the remaining 37 702 (9.8%) were other insurance category. Of the 691 clinicians, 429 (62.6%) were male; mean (SD) age was 46.5 (9.8) years; and 72 (10.4%) were Asian, 13 (1.9%) were Black, 577 (83.5%) were White, and 29 (4.2%) were other race. Admission rates across the clinicians included ranged from 36.3% at the 25th percentile to 48.0% at the 75th percentile (median, 42.1%). Overall, there was substantial variation in admission rates across clinicians; physicians were just as likely to overadmit or underadmit across the range of projected rates of admission (Pearson correlation coefficient, 0.046 [P = .23]). There also was weak consistency in admission rates across the most common clinical conditions, with intraclass correlations ranging from 0.09 (95% CI, 0.02-0.17) for genitourinary/syncope to 0.48 (95% CI, 0.42-0.53) for cardiac/syncope. Greater clinician risk tolerance (as measured by the Risk Tolerance Scale) was associated with a statistically significant tendency to admit less than the projected admission rate (coefficient, -0.09 [P = .04]). The other scales studied revealed no significant associations. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of ED visits from Massachusetts, there was statistically significant variation between ED clinicians in admission rates and little consistency in admission tendencies across different conditions. Admission tendencies were minimally associated with clinician innate risk tolerance as assessed by this study's measures; further research relying on a broad range of measures of risk tolerance is needed to better understand the role of clinician attitudes toward risk in explaining practice patterns and to identify additional factors that may be associated with variation at the clinician level.

Frequency of Intubation for Medicare Beneficiaries With Acute Stroke and Association With Patient Outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Intubation for acute stroke is common in the United States, with few established guidelines. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study of acute stroke admissions from 2011 to 2018 among fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries aged 65-100 years. Patient demographics and chronic conditions as well as hospital characteristics were identified. We identified patient intubation, stroke subtype (ischemic vs intracerebral hemorrhage), and thrombectomy. Factors associated with intubation were identified by a linear probability model with intubation as the outcome and patient characteristics, stroke subtype, and thrombectomy as predictors, adjusting for within-hospital correlation. We compared hospital characteristics between adjusted intubation rate quartiles. We specified a linear probability model with 30-day mortality as the patient-level outcome and hospital intubation rate quartile as the categorical predictor, again adjusting for patient characteristics. We specified an analogous model for quartiles of hospital referral regions. RESULTS: There were 800,467 stroke hospitalizations at 3,581 hospitals. Among 2,588 hospitals with 25 or more stroke hospitalizations, the median intubation rate was 4.8%, while a quarter had intubation rates below 2.4% and 10% had rates above 12.5%. Ischemic strokes had a 21% lower adjusted intubation risk than intracerebral hemorrhages (risk difference [RD] -21.1%, 95% CI -21.3% to -20.9%; p < 0.001), whereas thrombectomy was associated with a 19.2% higher adjusted risk (95% CI RD 18.8%-19.6%; p < 0.001). Women and older patients had lower intubation rates. Large, urban hospitals and academic medical centers were overrepresented in the top quartile of hospital adjusted intubation rates. Even after adjusting for available characteristics, intubated patients had a 44% higher mortality risk than non-intubated patients (p < 0.001). Hospitals in the highest intubation quartile had higher adjusted 30-day mortality (19.3%) than hospitals in the lowest quartile (16.7%), a finding that was similar when restricting to major teaching hospitals (22.3% vs 18.1% in the 4th vs 1st quartiles, respectively). There was no association between market quartile of intubation and patient 30-day mortality. DISCUSSION: Intubation for acute stroke varied by patient and hospital characteristics. Hospitals with higher adjusted rates of intubation had higher patient-level 30-day mortality, but much of the difference may be due to unmeasured patient severity given that no such association was observed for health care markets.

Trends in performance of hospital outpatient procedures and associated 30-day costs among Medicare beneficiaries from 2011 to 2018.

BACKGROUND: United States healthcare has increasingly transitioned to outpatient care delivery. The degree to which Academic Medical Centers (AMCs) have been able to shift surgical procedures from inpatient to outpatient settings despite higher patient complexity is unknown. METHODS: This observational study used a 20% sample of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries age 65 and older undergoing eight elective procedures from 2011 to 2018 to model trends in procedure site (hospital outpatient vs. inpatient) and 30-day standardized Medicare costs, overall and by hospital teaching status. RESULTS: Of the 1,222,845 procedures, 15.9% occurred at AMCs. There was a 2.42% per-year adjusted increase (95% CI 2.39%-2.45%; p < .001) in proportion of outpatient hospital procedures, from 68.9% in 2011 to 85.4% in 2018. Adjusted 30-day standardized costs declined from $18,122 to $14,353, (-$560/year, 95% CI -$573 to -$547; p < .001). Patients at AMCs had more chronic conditions and higher predicted annual mortality. AMCs had a lower proportion of outpatient procedures in all years compared to non-AMCs, a difference that was statistically significant but small in magnitude. AMCs had higher costs compared to non-AMCs and a lesser decline over time (p < .001 for the interaction). AMCs and non-AMCs saw a similar decline in 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a substantial shift toward outpatient procedures among Medicare beneficiaries with a decrease in total 30-day Medicare spending as well as 30-day mortality. Despite a higher complexity population, AMCs shifted procedures to the outpatient hospital setting at a similar rate as non-AMCs. IMPLICATIONS: The trend toward outpatient procedural care and lower spending has been observed broadly across AMCs and non-AMCs, suggesting that Medicare beneficiaries have benefited from more efficient delivery of procedural care across academic and community hospitals.

Characterizing malpractice cases involving emergency department advanced practice providers, physicians in training, and attending physicians.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to evaluate available characteristics and financial costs of malpractice cases among advanced practice providers (APPs; nurse practitioners [NPs] and physician assistants [PAs]), trainees (medical students, residents, fellows), and attending physicians. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of claims occurring in the emergency department (ED) from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019, contained in the Candello database. Cases were classified according to the provider type(s) involved: NP, PA, trainee, or cases that did not identify an extender as being substantially involved in the adverse event that resulted in the case ("no extender"). RESULTS: There were 5854 cases identified with a total gross indemnity paid of $1,007,879,346. Of these cases, 193 (3.3%) involved an NP, 513 (8.8%) involved a PA, 535 (9.1%) involved a trainee, and 4568 (78.0%) were no extender. Cases where a trainee was involved account for the highest average gross indemnity paid whereas no-extender cases are the lowest. NP and PA cases differed by contributing factors compared to no-extender cases: clinical judgment (NP 89.1% vs. no extender 76.8%, p < 0.0001; PA 84.6% vs. no extender, p < 0.0001), documentation (NP 23.3% vs. no extender 17.8%, p = 0.0489; PA 25.9% vs. no extender, p < 0.0001), and supervision (NP 22.3% vs. no extender 1.8%, p < 0.0001; PA 25.7% vs. no extender p < 0.0001). Cases involving NPs and PAs had a lower percentage of high-severity cases such as loss of limb or death (NP 45.6% vs. no extender 50.2%, p = 0.0004; PA 48.3% vs. no extender, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: APPs and trainees comprise approximately 21% of malpractice cases and 33% of total gross indemnity paid in this large national ED data set. Understanding differences in characteristics of malpractice claims that occur in emergency care settings can be used to help to mitigate provider risk.

Trends in healthy days at home for Medicare beneficiaries using the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Older adults, particularly those with Alzheimer's Disease and Alzheimer's Disease Related Dementias (AD/ADRD), have high rates of emergency department (ED) visits and are at risk for poor outcomes. How best to measure quality of care for this population has been debated. Healthy Days at Home (HDAH) is a broad outcome measure reflecting mortality and time spent in facility-based healthcare settings versus home. We examined trends in 30-day HDAH for Medicare beneficiaries after visiting the ED and compared trends by AD/ADRD status. METHODS: We identified all ED visits among a national 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries ages 68 and older from 2012 to 2018. For each visit, we calculated 30-day HDAH by subtracting mortality days and days spent in facility-based healthcare settings within 30 days of an ED visit. We calculated adjusted rates of HDAH using linear regression, accounting for hospital random effects, visit diagnosis, and patient characteristics. We compared rates of HDAH among beneficiaries with and without AD/ADRD, including accounting for nursing home (NH) residency status. RESULTS: We found fewer adjusted 30-day HDAH after ED visits among patients with AD/ADRD compared to those without AD/ADRD (21.6 vs. 23.0). This difference was driven by a greater number of mortality days, SNF days, and, to a lesser degree, hospital observation days, ED visits, and long-term hospital days. From 2012 to 2018, individuals living with AD/ADRD had fewer HDAH each year but a greater mean annual increase over time (p < 0.001 for the interaction between year and AD/ADRD status). Being a NH resident was associated with fewer adjusted 30-day HDAH for beneficiaries with and without AD/ADRD. CONCLUSIONS: Beneficiaries with AD/ADRD had fewer HDAH following an ED visit but saw moderately greater increases in HDAH over time compared to those without AD/ADRD. This trend was visit driven by declining mortality and utilization of inpatient and post-acute care.

Resident Attitudes Toward Performing Pelvic Examinations in the Emergency Department.

Mounting evidence suggests that emergency physicians tend to avoid patients with gynecologic chief complaints, and that avoidance may be higher for male physicians compared to females. One underlying reason could be discomfort with performing pelvic examinations. The goal of this study was to assess whether male residents report greater discomfort with pelvic examinations than females. We performed a cross-sectional, Institutional Review Board-approved survey of residents at 6 academic emergency medicine programs. Of 100 residents who completed the survey, 63 self-identified as male, 36 female, and one selected "prefer not to say" and was excluded. Responses were compared between male and females using chi-square tests. In secondary analysis, t-tests were used to compare preferences for various chief complaints. Self-reported comfort with pelvic examinations did not differ significantly between males and females (p = 0.4249). Barriers for male respondents in performing pelvic examinations included lack of training, general dislike, and concern the patient would prefer female providers. Male residents had a statistically significant higher aversion ranking towards patients with vaginal bleeding than female residents (mean difference = 0.48, confidence interval = 0.11-0.87). Aversion ranking was the same between males and females on other chief complaints. There is a gender disparity among male and female residents in attitudes towards patients with vaginal bleeding. However, the results from this study do not demonstrate a significant difference in self-reported comfort amongst male and female residents in performing pelvic examinations. This disparity may be driven by other barriers, including self-reported lack of training and concern about patients' physician gender preferences.

Association of Academic Medical Center Presence With Clinical Outcomes at Neighboring Community Hospitals Among Medicare Beneficiaries.

Importance: Studies suggest that academic medical centers (AMCs) have better outcomes than nonteaching hospitals. However, whether AMCs have spillover benefits for patients treated at neighboring community hospitals is unknown. Objective: To examine whether market-level AMC presence is associated with outcomes for patients treated at nonteaching hospitals within the same markets. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective, population-based cohort study assessed traditional Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older discharged from US acute care hospitals between 2015 and 2017 (100% sample). Data were analyzed from August 2021 to December 2022. Exposures: The primary exposure was market-level AMC presence. Health care markets (ie, hospital referral regions) were categorized by AMC presence (percentage of hospitalizations at AMCs) as follows: no presence (0%), low presence (>0% to 20%), moderate presence (>20% to 35%), and high presence (>35%). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were 30-day and 90-day mortality and healthy days at home (HDAH), a composite outcome reflecting mortality and time spent in facility-based health care settings. Results: There were 22 509 824 total hospitalizations, with 18 865 229 (83.8%) at non-AMCs. The median (IQR) age of patients was 78 (71-85) years, and 12 568 230 hospitalizations (55.8%) were among women. Of 306 hospital referral regions, 191 (62.4%) had no AMCs, 61 (19.9%) had 1 AMC, and 55 (17.6%) had 2 or more AMCs. Markets characteristics differed significantly by category of AMC presence, including mean population, median income, proportion of White residents, and physicians per population. Compared with markets with no AMC presence, receiving care at a non-AMC in a market with greater AMC presence was associated with lower 30-day mortality (9.5% vs 10.1%; absolute difference, -0.7%; 95% CI, -1.0% to -0.4%; P < .001) and 90-day mortality (16.1% vs 16.9%; absolute difference, -0.8%; 95% CI, -1.2% to -0.4%; P < .001) and more HDAH at 30 days (16.49 vs 16.12 HDAH; absolute difference, 0.38 HDAH; 95% CI, 0.11 to 0.64 HDAH; P = .005) and 90 days (61.08 vs 59.83 HDAH; absolute difference, 1.25 HDAH; 95% CI, 0.58 to 1.92 HDAH; P < .001), after adjustment. There was no association between market-level AMC presence and mortality for patients treated at AMCs themselves. Conclusions and Relevance: AMCs may have spillover effects on outcomes for patients treated at non-AMCs, suggesting that they have a broader impact than is traditionally recognized. These associations are greatest in markets with the highest AMC presence and persist to 90 days.

State-by-state estimates of avoidable trauma mortality with early and liberal versus delayed or restricted administration of tranexamic acid.

OBJECTIVE: Early administration of tranexamic acid (TXA) has been shown to save lives in trauma patients, and some U.S. emergency medical systems (EMS) have begun providing this therapy prehospital. Treatment protocols vary from state to state: Some offer TXA broadly to major trauma patients, others reserve it for patients meeting vital sign criteria, and still others defer TXA entirely pending a hospital evaluation. The purpose of this study is to compare the avoidable mortality achievable under each of these strategies, and to report on the various approaches used by EMS. METHODS: We used the National Center for Health Statistics Underlying Cause of Death data to identify a TXA-naïve population of trauma patients who died from 2007 to 2012 due to hemorrhage. We estimated the proportion of deaths where the patient was hypotensive or tachycardic using the National Trauma Data Bank. We used avoidable mortality risk ratios from the landmark CRASH 2 study to calculate lives saved had TXA been given within one hour of injury based on a clinician's gestalt the patient was at risk for significant hemorrhage; had it been reserved only for hypotensive or tachycardic patients; or had it been given between hours one to three of injury, considered here as a surrogate for deferring the question to the receiving hospital. RESULTS: Had TXA been given within 1 hour of injury, an average of 3409 deaths per year could have been averted nationally. Had TXA been given between one and three hours after injury, 2236 deaths per year could have been averted. Had TXA only been given to either tachycardic or hypotensive trauma patients, 1371 deaths per year could have been averted. Had TXA only been given to hypotensive trauma patients, 616 deaths per year could have been averted. Similar trends are seen at the individual state level. A review of EMS practices found 15 statewide protocols that allow EMS providers to administer TXA for trauma. CONCLUSION: Providing early TXA to persons at risk of significant hemorrhage has the potential to prevent many deaths from trauma, yet most states do not offer it in statewide prehospital treatment protocols.

Perspectives of Emergency Clinicians About Medical Errors Resulting in Patient Harm or Malpractice Litigation.

This cross-sectional study analyzes responses to a survey about medical error outcomes completed by emergency department attending physicians and advanced practice clinicians.

Electronic health record-based patient tracking by emergency medicine physicians.

Objectives: Emergency medicine (EM) physicians commonly track the progress of former patients to learn about their clinical outcome. While some studies have described the behavior, little is known about the specific information sought during tracking. The objective of this study was to determine how often EM physicians track patients and the motivations, strategies, and barriers to tracking. Methods: In June 2019 we surveyed EM physicians practicing at six hospitals. We defined patient tracking as viewing the chart of a patient who was no longer under the physician's care or contacting the patient or the patient's subsequent providers to learn about the patient's progress. The survey asked respondents how often they track patients, by what mechanisms, and for what reasons. The survey also asked what information physicians sought when tracking and what barriers to tracking exist. Results: Of the 156 EM physicians invited to respond, 111 completed the survey (72% response rate). Of those, 109 (98%) reported tracking their patients, and residents reported tracking a higher percentage of patients than attendings. Reasons for tracking included an unusual or complex case (98%), uncertain diagnosis (89%), and concern about a potential error (48%). Most respondents (86%) said that knowledge gained from patient tracking changed their subsequent practice patterns, and almost all respondents (98%) strongly agreed or agreed that tracking helps physicians avoid future mistakes. The most commonly sought information types during tracking were the hospital discharge summary or emergency department note from the index visit, test results since the index visit, and new diagnoses added since the index visit. Physicians cited time limitations and difficulty accessing information as the leading barriers to tracking. Conclusions: Patient tracking is nearly ubiquitous among surveyed EM physicians, who find it valuable for learning and patient safety.

Attitudes toward risk among emergency physicians and advanced practice clinicians in Massachusetts.

OBJECTIVE: Risk aversion is a personality trait influential to decision making in medicine. Little is known about how emergency department (ED) clinicians differ in their attitudes toward risk taking. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of practicing ED clinicians (physicians and advanced practice clinicians [APCs]) in Massachusetts using the following 4 existing validated scales: the Risk-Taking Scale (RTS), Stress from Uncertainty Scale (SUS), the Fear of Malpractice Scale (FMS), and the Need for (Cognitive) Closure Scale (NCC). We used Cronbach's α to assess the reliability of each scale and performed multivariable linear regressions to analyze the association between the score for each scale and clinician characteristics. RESULTS: Of 1458 ED clinicians recruited for participation, 1116 (76.5%) responded from 93% of acute care hospitals in Massachusetts. Each of the 4 scales demonstrated high internal consistency reliability with Cronbach's αs ranging from 0.76 to 0.92. The 4 scales also were moderately correlated with one another (0.08 to 0.54; all P < 0.05). The multivariable results demonstrated differences between physicians and APCs, with physicians showing a greater tolerance for risk or uncertainty (NCC difference, -3.58 [95% confidence interval, CI, -5.26 to -1.90]; SUS difference, -3.14 [95% CI: -4.99 to -1.29]) and a higher concern about malpractice (FMS difference, 1.14 [95% CI, 0.11-2.17]). Differences were also observed based on clinician age (a proxy for years of experience), with greater age associated with greater tolerance of risk or uncertainty (age older than 50 years compared with age 35 years and younger; NCC difference, -2.84 [95% CI, -4.69 to -1.00]; SUS difference, -4.71 [95% CI, -6,74 to -2.68]) and less concern about malpractice (FMS difference, -3.19 [95% CI, -4.31 to -2.06]). There were no appreciable differences based on sex, and there were no consistent associations between scale scores and the practice and payment characteristics assessed. CONCLUSION: We found that risk attitudes of ED clinicians were associated with type of training (physician vs APC) and age (experience). These differences suggest one possible explanation for the observed differences in decision making.

Impact of a Mandatory Prescription Drug Monitoring Program Check on Emergency Department Opioid Prescribing Rates.

BACKGROUND: Prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMPs) exist in 49 states to guide opioid prescribing. In 40 states, clinicians must check the PDMP prior to prescribing an opioid. Data on mandated PDMP checks show mixed results on opioid prescribing. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to examine the impact of the Massachusetts mandatory PDMP check on opioid prescribing for discharges from an urban tertiary emergency department (ED). METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of discharges from one ED from 7/1/2010-10/15/2018. The primary outcome was the monthly percentage of patients discharged from the ED with an opioid prescription. The intervention was Massachusetts mandating a PDMP check for all opioid prescriptions. Prescribing was compared pre- and post-mandate. Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis accounted for known declining trends in opioid prescribing. RESULTS: Of 273,512 ED discharges, 35,050 (12.8%) received opioid prescriptions. Mean monthly opioid prescribing decreased post-intervention from 15.1% (SD ± 3.5%) to 5.1% (SD ± 0.9%; p < 0.001). ITS showed equal pre and post-intervention slopes (-0.002, p = 0.819). A small immediate decrease occurred in prescribing around the mandated check: a 3-month level effect decrease of 0.018 (p = 0.039), 6-month level effect 0.019 (p = 0.023), and a 12-month level effect of 0.020 (p = 0.019). The 24-month level effect was not decreased. CONCLUSION: Prior to the mandated PDMP check, ED opioid prescribing was declining. The mandate did not change the rate of decline but was associated with a non-sustained drop in opioid prescribing immediately following enactment.

Retrospective Review of Pregnant Patients Presenting for Evaluation of Acute Neurologic Complaints.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Data suggest an increase in neurologic-related hospitalizations during pregnancy. It is crucial for health care providers to develop effective strategies to evaluate this young, generally healthy cohort of patients for whom missed neurologic diagnoses can have devastating results. We aim to describe the epidemiology of this high risk patient population by investigating exam findings, imaging studies, and clinical outcomes of pregnant women presenting to the emergency department (ED) with acute neurologic complaints. METHODS: We conducted a 7-year retrospective chart review of pregnant patients presenting with neurologic chief complaints to the emergency department of an urban tertiary academic medical center in the northeastern United States. We investigated examination findings, imaging studies, and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Between January 1, 2010, and May 31, 2017, 205 pregnant patients presented to the ED with a neurologic chief complaint. The majority of patients had a normal neurologic examination result. Patients with an abnormal examination result were not more likely to have clinically significant imaging findings. Within our population, 28% underwent imaging, and noncontrast magnetic resonance imaging was the most common modality. Five patients had clinically significant imaging findings. Specifically, 3.3% of patients with abnormal examination result had significant findings and 2.3% of those with a normal examination result had significant findings. A minority of the patients with a visit resulting in discharge (9.8%) returned to the ED within a 7-day period. None required additional neuroimaging. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, our study is unique in that it incorporated all neurologic complaints. Headache was the most common complaint, followed by dizziness and seizures. Most of the headaches were related to first-trimester migraines. There was a high incidence of imaging used in clinical practice even when there was a normal neurologic examination result. A normal examination result does not adequately exclude serious intracranial pathology, and diagnostic vigilance is justified.

Ambulatory Follow-up and Outcomes Among Medicare Beneficiaries After Emergency Department Discharge.

Importance: Ambulatory follow-up care is frequently recommended after an emergency department (ED) visit. However, the frequency with which follow-up actually occurs and the degree to which follow-up is associated with postdischarge outcomes is unknown. Objectives: To examine the frequency and variation in ambulatory follow-up among Medicare beneficiaries discharged from US EDs and the association between ambulatory follow-up and postdischarge outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study of 9 470 626 ED visits to 4728 US EDs among Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 and older from 2011 to 2016 who survived the ED visit and were discharged to home used Kaplan-Meier curves and proportional hazards regression. Data analysis was conducted from December 2019 to July 2020. Exposures: Ambulatory follow-up after discharge from the ED. Main Outcomes and Measures: Postdischarge mortality, subsequent ED visit, or inpatient hospitalization within 30 days of an index ED visit. Results: The study sample consisted of 9 470 626 index outpatient ED visits to 4684 EDs; most visits (5 776 501 [61.0%]) were among women, and the mean (SD) age of patients was 77.3 (8.4) years. In this sample, the cumulative incidence of ambulatory follow-up was 40.5% (3 822 133 patients) at 7 days and 70.8% (6 662 525 patients) at 30 days, after accounting for censoring and for mortality as a competing risk. Characteristics associated with lower rates of ambulatory follow-up included beneficiary Medicaid eligibility (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% CI, 0.77-0.78; P < .001), Black race (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.83; P < .001), and treatment at a rural ED (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.73-0.77; P < .001) in the multivariable regression model. Ambulatory follow-up was associated with lower risk of postdischarge mortality (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.49-0.50; P < .001) but higher risk of subsequent inpatient hospitalization (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.21-1.23; P < .001) and ED visits (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01; P < .001), adjusting for visit diagnosis, patient demographic characteristics, and chronic conditions. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries discharged from the ED, nearly 30% lacked ambulatory follow-up at 30 days, with variation in follow-up rates by patient and hospital characteristics. Having an ambulatory follow-up visit was associated with higher risk of subsequent hospitalization but lower risk of mortality. Ambulatory care access may be an important driver of clinical outcomes after an ED visit.

Trends in Costs of Care for Medicare Beneficiaries Treated in the Emergency Department From 2011 to 2016.

Importance: There is little evidence regarding how total costs of care associated with an emergency department (ED) visit have changed, despite increasing policy focus on the value of acute care. Objective: To examine trends in total standardized 30-day costs of care associated with an ED visit. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study of 14 113 088 ED visits at 4730 EDs from 2011 to 2016 included a 20% national sample of traditional Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older. Data analysis was conducted from August 2018 to April 2020. Exposures: Time (year) as a continuous variable. Main Outcomes and Measures: Trends in disposition from the ED and 30-day total standardized costs for all ED visits as well as the following spending components: index visit cost, physician costs, subsequent ED visit costs, subsequent inpatient costs, subsequent observation costs, non-ED outpatient care, postacute care, and aggregated total spending after the index ED visit. Results: The analytic sample consisted of 14 113 088 ED visits at 4730 EDs. The mean (SD) beneficiary age was 78.6 (8.6) years, 8 573 652 visits (60.7%) were among women, and 11 908 691 visits (84.7%) were among white patients. The proportion of patients discharged from the ED rose from 1 233 701 of 2 309 563 visits (53.4%) in 2011 to 1 279 701 of 2 268 363 visits (56.4%) in 2016. Total adjusted 30-day standardized costs of care declined from a mean (SE) of $8851 ($35.3) in 2011 to a mean (SE) of $8143 ($35.4) in 2016 (-$126/y; 95% CI, -$130 to -$121; P < .001) for all ED visits. This decrease was primarily associated with a decline in total spending on the index ED visit (-$48/y; 95% CI, -$50 to -$47; P < .001) as well as lower spending on postacute care (-$42/y; 95% CI, -$44 to -$41; P < .001) and subsequent inpatient care (-$34/y; 95% CI, -$36 to -$32; P < .001). There was an increase in spending after the index visit on downstream observation care ($3.6/y; 95% CI, $3.5 to $3.7; P < .001), outpatient ED care ($4.6/y; 95% CI, $4.4 to $4.8; P < .001), and other outpatient care ($15/y; 95% CI, $12 to $18; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, total 30-day standardized costs of ED care for Medicare beneficiaries decreased in recent years. It may be that more intensive ED spending up front is associated with reductions in total costs of an acute episode.