The safety of a low protein diet in older adults with advanced chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: A low protein diet (LPD) is recommended to patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), whereas geriatric guidelines recommend a higher amount of protein. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety of LPD treatment in older adults with advanced CKD. METHODS: The EQUAL study is a prospective, observational study, including patients ≥65 years, incident estimated glomerular filtration rate <20 ml/min/1.73m², in six European countries with follow-up up till six years. Nutritional status was assessed by 7-point subjective global assessment (SGA) every 3-6 months. Prescribed diet (gram protein/kilogram/bodyweight) was recorded on every study visit; measured protein intake was available in three countries. Time to death and decline in nutritional status (SGA decrease by ≥2 points) were analysed using marginal structural models with dynamic inverse probability of treatment and censoring weights. RESULTS: Out of 1738 adults (631 prescribed LPD at any point during follow-up) there were 1319 with repeated SGA measurements of which 267 (20%) declined in SGA ≥ 2 points and 565 (32.5%) died. There was no difference in survival or decline in nutritional status for patients prescribed LPD ≤0.8 g/kg ideal bodyweight (Odds Ratio (OR) for mortality 1.15 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 0.86-1.55) and OR for decline in SGA 1.11 (95% CI 0.74-1.66) in the adjusted models. In patients prescribed LPD <0.6 g/kg ideal bodyweight, the results were similar. There was a significant interaction with LPD and higher age >75 years, lower SGA, and higher comorbidity burden for both mortality and nutritional status decline. CONCLUSIONS: In older adults with CKD approaching end-stage kidney disease, a traditional LPD prescribed and monitored according to routine clinical practice in Europe appears to be safe.

Protein Biomarkers and Major Cardiovascular Events in Older People With Advanced CKD: The European Quality (EQUAL) Study.

Rationale & Objective: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated 184 inflammatory and cardiovascular proteins to determine their potential as biomarkers for major cardiovascular events (MACEs). Study Design: The European Quality (EQUAL) is an observational cohort study that enrolled people aged ≥65 years with an estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2. Setting & Participants: Recruited participants were split into the discovery (n = 611) and replication cohorts (n = 292). Exposure: Levels of 184 blood proteins were measured at the baseline visit, and each protein was analyzed individually. Outcome: MACE. Analytical Approach: Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate, previous MACE, and country were used to determine the risk of MACE. Proteins with false discovery rate adjusted P values of <0.05 in the discovery cohort were tested in the replication cohort. Sensitivity analyses were performed by adjusting for traditional risk factors, CKD-specific risk factors, and level of proteinuria and segregating atherosclerotic and nonatherosclerotic MACE. Results: During a median follow-up of 2.9 years, 349 people (39%) experienced a MACE. Forty-eight proteins were associated with MACE in the discovery cohort; 9 of these were reproduced in the replication cohort. Three of these proteins maintained a strong association with MACE after adjustment for traditional and CKD-specific risk factors and proteinuria. Tenascin (TNC), fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23), and V-set and immunoglobulin domain-containing protein 2 (VSIG2) were associated with both atherosclerotic and nonatherosclerotic MACE. All replicated proteins except carbonic anhydrase 1 and carbonic anhydrase 3 were associated with nonatherosclerotic MACE. Limitations: Single protein concentration measurements and limited follow-up time. Conclusions: Our findings corroborate previously reported relationships between FGF-23, vascular cell adhesion protein-1, TNC, and placental growth factor with cardiovascular outcomes in CKD. We identify 5 proteins not previously linked with MACE in CKD that may be targets for future therapies. Plain-Language Summary: Kidney disease increases the risk of heart disease, stroke, and other vascular conditions. Blood tests that predict the likelihood of these problems may help to guide treatment, but studies are needed in people with kidney disease. We analyzed blood tests from older people with kidney disease, looking for proteins associated with higher risk of these conditions. Nine proteins were identified, of which 3 showed a strong effect after all other information was considered. This work supports previous research regarding 4 of these proteins and identifies 5 additional proteins that may be associated with higher risk. Further work is needed to confirm our findings and to determine whether these proteins can be used to guide treatment.

Differences in the epidemiology, management and outcomes of kidney disease in men and women.

Improved understanding of differences in kidney disease epidemiology, management and outcomes in men and women could help nephrologists to better meet the needs of their patients from a sex- and gender-specific perspective. Evidence of sex differences in the risk and outcomes of acute kidney injury is mixed and dependent on aetiology. Women have a higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3-5 than men, whereas men have a higher prevalence of albuminuria and hence CKD stages 1-2. Men show a faster decline in kidney function, progress more frequently to kidney failure and have higher mortality and risk of cardiovascular disease than women. However, the protective effect of female sex is reduced with CKD progression. Women are less likely than men to be aware of, screened for and diagnosed with CKD, started on antiproteinuric medication and referred to nephrologist care. They also consistently report a poorer health-related quality of life and a higher symptom burden than men. Women experience greater barriers than men to access the waiting list for kidney transplantation, particularly with respect to older age and obesity. However, women also have longer survival than men after transplantation, which may partly explain the comparable prevalence of transplantation between the sexes.

The impact of gender on the risk of cardiovascular events in older adults with advanced chronic kidney disease.

Background: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at a higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) compared with the general population, but gender differences in this risk, especially in older adults, are not fully known. We aim to identify gender differences in the risk of MACE in older European CKD patients, and explore factors that may explain these differences. Methods: The European Quality study (EQUAL) is a prospective study on stage 4-5 CKD patients, ≥65 years old, not on dialysis, from Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden and the UK. Cox regression and cumulative incidence competing risk curves were used to identify gender differences in MACE risks. Mediation analysis was used to identify variables which may explain risk differences between men and women. Results: A total of 417 men out of 1134 (37%) and 185 women out of 602 women (31%) experienced at least one MACE, over a follow-up period of 5 years. Women had an 18% lower risk of first MACE compared with men (hazard ratio 0.82; 95% confidence interval 0.69-0.97; P = .02), which was attenuated after adjusting for pre-existing cardiometabolic comorbidities and cardiovascular risk factors. There were no significant gender differences in the risk of recurrent MACE or fatal MACE. The risk difference in MACE by gender was larger in patients aged 65-75 years, compared with patients over 75 years. Conclusions: In a cohort of older adults with advanced CKD, women had lower risks of MACE. These risk differences were partially explained by pre-existing cardiometabolic comorbidities and cardiovascular risk factors.

Regional Variation in Hemoglobin Distribution Among Individuals With CKD: the ISN International Network of CKD Cohorts.

Introduction: Despite recognized geographic and sex-based differences in hemoglobin in the general population, these factors are typically ignored in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in whom a single therapeutic range for hemoglobin is recommended. We sought to compare the distribution of hemoglobin across international nondialysis CKD populations and evaluate predictors of hemoglobin. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, hemoglobin distribution was evaluated in each cohort overall and stratified by sex and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Relationships between candidate predictors and hemoglobin were assessed from linear regression models in each cohort. Estimates were subsequently pooled in a random effects model. Results: A total of 58,613 participants from 21 adult cohorts (median eGFR range of 17-49 ml/min) and 3 pediatric cohorts (median eGFR range of 26-45 ml/min) were included with broad geographic representation. Hemoglobin values varied substantially among the cohorts, overall and within eGFR categories, with particularly low mean hemoglobin observed in women from Asian and African cohorts. Across the eGFR range, women had a lower hemoglobin compared to men, even at an eGFR of 15 ml/min (mean difference 5.3 g/l, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.7-6.9). Lower eGFR, female sex, older age, lower body mass index, and diabetic kidney disease were all independent predictors of a lower hemoglobin value; however, this only explained a minority of variance (R2 7%-44% across cohorts). Conclusion: There are substantial regional differences in hemoglobin distribution among individuals with CKD, and the majority of variance is unexplained by demographics, eGFR, or comorbidities. These findings call for a renewed interest in improving our understanding of hemoglobin determinants in specific CKD populations.

Clinical and patient-reported trajectories at end-of-life in older patients with advanced CKD.

BACKGROUND: We explore longitudinal trajectories of clinical indicators, patient-reported outcomes, and hospitalizations, in the years preceding death in a population of older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: The EQUAL study is a European observational prospective cohort study with an incident eGFR <20 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and ≥65 years of age. The evolution of each clinical indicator was explored using generalized additive models during the 4 years preceding death. RESULTS: We included 661 decedents with a median time to death of 2.0 years (IQR 0.9-3.2). During the years preceding death, eGFR, Subjective Global Assessment score, and blood pressure declined, with accelerations seen at 6 months preceding death. Serum hemoglobin, hematocrit, cholesterol, calcium, albumin, and sodium values declined slowly during follow-up, with accelerations observed between 6 and 12 months preceding death. Physical and mental quality of life declined linearly throughout follow-up. The number of reported symptoms was stable up to 2 years prior to death, with an acceleration observed at 1 year prior to death. The rate of hospitalization was stable at around one hospitalization per person year, increasing exponentially at 6 months preceding death. CONCLUSIONS: We identified clinically relevant physiological accelerations in patient trajectories that began ∼6 to 12 months prior to death, which are likely multifactorial in nature, but correlate with a surge in hospitalizations. Further research should focus on how to effectively use this knowledge to inform patient and family expectations, to benefit the planning of (end-of-life) care, and to establish clinical alert systems.

Serum Potassium and Risk of Death or Kidney Replacement Therapy in Older People With CKD Stages 4-5: Eight-Year Follow-up.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Hypokalemia may accelerate kidney function decline. Both hypo- and hyperkalemia can cause sudden cardiac death. However, little is known about the relationship between serum potassium and death or the occurrence of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy (KRT). We investigated this relationship in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We followed 1,714 patients (≥65 years old) from the European Quality (EQUAL) study for 8 years from their first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<20mL/min/1.73m2 measurement. EXPOSURE: Serum potassium was measured every 3 to 6 months and categorized as≤3.5,>3.5-≤4.0,>4.0-≤4.5,>4.5-≤5.0 (reference),>5.0-≤5.5, >5.5-≤6.0, and>6.0mmol/L. OUTCOME: The combined outcome death before KRT or start of KRT. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: The association between categorical and continuous time-varying potassium and death or KRT start was examined using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline analyses, adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibition, eGFR, and subjective global assessment (SGA). RESULTS: At baseline, 66% of participants were men, 42% had diabetes, 47% cardiovascular disease, and 54% used RAAS inhibitors. Their mean age was 76±7 (SD) years, mean eGFR was 17±5 (SD) mL/min/1.73m2, and mean SGA was 6.0±1.0 (SD). Over 8 years, 414 (24%) died before starting KRT, and 595 (35%) started KRT. Adjusted hazard ratios for death or KRT according to the potassium categories were 1.6 (95% CI, 1.1-2.3), 1.4 (95% CI, 1.1-1.7), 1.1 (95% CI, 1.0-1.4), 1 (reference), 1.1 (95% CI, 0.9-1.4), 1.8 (95% CI, 1.4-2.3), and 2.2 (95% CI, 1.5-3.3). Hazard ratios were lowest at a potassium of about 4.9mmol/L. LIMITATIONS: Shorter intervals between potassium measurements would have allowed for more precise estimations. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a U-shaped relationship between serum potassium and death or KRT start among patients with incident CKD 4-5, with a nadir risk at a potassium level of 4.9mmol/L. These findings underscore the potential importance of preventing both high and low potassium in patients with CKD 4-5. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Abnormal potassium blood levels may increase the risk of death or kidney function decline, especially in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied 1,714 patients aged≥65 years with advanced CKD from the European Quality (EQUAL) study and followed them for 8 years. We found that both low and high levels of potassium were associated with an increased risk of death or start of kidney replacement therapy, with the lowest risk observed at a potassium level of 4.9 mmol/L. In patients with CKD, the focus is often on preventing high blood potassium. However, this relatively high optimum potassium level stresses the potential importance of also preventing low potassium levels in older patients with advanced CKD.

Association between CKD-MBD and mortality in older patients with advanced CKD-results from the EQUAL study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) is a common complication of CKD; it is associated with higher mortality in dialysis patients, while its impact in non-dialysis patients remains mostly unknown. We investigated the associations between parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphate and calcium (and their interactions), and all-cause, cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. METHODS: We used data from the European Quality study, which includes patients aged ≥65 years with estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries. Sequentially adjusted Cox models were used to assess the association between baseline and time-dependent CKD-MBD biomarkers and all-cause, CV and non-CV mortality. Effect modification between biomarkers was also assessed. RESULTS: In 1294 patients, the prevalence of CKD-MBD at baseline was 94%. Both PTH [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.23, P = .01] and phosphate (aHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.00-1.84, P = .05), but not calcium (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.57-2.17, P = .76), were associated with all-cause mortality. Calcium was not independently associated with mortality, but modified the effect of phosphate, with the highest mortality risk found in patients with both hypercalcemia and hyperphosphatemia. PTH level was associated with CV mortality, but not with non-CV mortality, whereas phosphate was associated with both CV and non-CV mortality in most models. CONCLUSIONS: CKD-MBD is very common in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. PTH and phosphate are independently associated with all-cause mortality in this population. While PTH level is only associated with CV mortality, phosphate seems to be associated with both CV and non-CV mortality.

Machine learning models for predicting acute kidney injury: a systematic review and critical appraisal.

Background: The number of studies applying machine learning (ML) to predict acute kidney injury (AKI) has grown steadily over the past decade. We assess and critically appraise the state of the art in ML models for AKI prediction, considering performance, methodological soundness, and applicability. Methods: We searched PubMed and ArXiv, extracted data, and critically appraised studies based on the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD), Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS), and Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) guidelines. Results: Forty-six studies from 3166 titles were included. Thirty-eight studies developed a model, five developed and externally validated one, and three studies externally validated one. Flexible ML methods were used more often than deep learning, although the latter was common with temporal variables and text as predictors. Predictive performance showed an area under receiver operating curves ranging from 0.49 to 0.99. Our critical appraisal identified a high risk of bias in 39 studies. Some studies lacked internal validation, whereas external validation and interpretability of results were rarely considered. Fifteen studies focused on AKI prediction in the intensive care setting, and the US-derived Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) data set was commonly used. Reproducibility was limited as data and code were usually unavailable. Conclusions: Flexible ML methods are popular for the prediction of AKI, although more complex models based on deep learning are emerging. Our critical appraisal identified a high risk of bias in most models: Studies should use calibration measures and external validation more often, improve model interpretability, and share data and code to improve reproducibility.

Symptom Burden before and after Dialysis Initiation in Older Patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: For older patients with kidney failure, lowering symptom burden may be more important than prolonging life. Dialysis initiation may affect individual kidney failure-related symptoms differently, but the change in symptoms before and after start of dialysis has not been studied. Therefore, we investigated the course of total and individual symptom number and burden before and after starting dialysis in older patients. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: The European Quality (EQUAL) study is an ongoing, prospective, multicenter study in patients ≥65 years with an incident eGFR ≤20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Using the dialysis symptom index (DSI), 30 symptoms were assessed every 3-6 months between 2012 and 2021. Scores for symptom number range from zero to 30 and, for burden, from zero to 150, with higher scores indicating more severity. Using mixed effects models, we studied symptoms during the year preceding and the year after dialysis initiation. RESULTS: We included 456 incident patients on dialysis who filled out at least one DSI during the year before or after dialysis. At dialysis initiation, mean (SD) participant age was 76 (6) years, 75% were men, mean (SD) eGFR was 8 (3) ml/min per 1.73 m2, 44% had diabetes, and 46% had cardiovascular disease. In the year before dialysis initiation, symptom number increased +3.6 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], +2.5 to +4.6) and symptom burden increased +13.3 (95% CI, +9.5 to +17.0). In the year after, symptom number changed -0.9 (95% CI, -3.4 to +1.5) and burden decreased -5.9 (95% CI, -14.9 to -3.0). At dialysis initiation, "fatigue," "decreased interest in sex," and "difficulty becoming sexually aroused" had the highest prevalence of 81%, 69%, and 68%, respectively, with a burden of 2.7, 2.4, and 2.3, respectively. "Fatigue" somewhat improved after dialysis initiation, whereas the prevalence and burden of sexual symptoms further increased. CONCLUSIONS: Symptom burden worsened considerably before and stabilized after dialysis initiation. "Fatigue," "decreased interest in sex," and "difficulty becoming sexually aroused" were considered most burdensome, of which only "fatigue" somewhat improved after dialysis initiation.

Predicting Kidney Failure, Cardiovascular Disease and Death in Advanced CKD Patients.

Introduction: Predicting the timing and occurrence of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), cardiovascular events, and death among patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is clinically useful and relevant. We aimed to externally validate a recently developed CKD G4+ risk calculator for these outcomes and to assess its potential clinical impact in guiding vascular access placement. Methods: We included 1517 patients from the European Quality (EQUAL) study, a European multicentre prospective cohort study of nephrology-referred advanced CKD patients aged ≥65 years. Model performance was assessed based on discrimination and calibration. Potential clinical utility for timing of referral for vascular access placement was studied with diagnostic measures and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The model showed a good discrimination for KRT and "death after KRT," with 2-year concordance (C) statistics of 0.74 and 0.76, respectively. Discrimination for cardiovascular events (2-year C-statistic: 0.70) and overall death (2-year C-statistic: 0.61) was poorer. Calibration was fairly accurate. Decision curves illustrated that using the model to guide vascular access referral would generally lead to less unused arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) than following estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) thresholds. Conclusion: This study shows moderate to good predictive performance of the model in an older cohort of nephrology-referred patients with advanced CKD. Using the model to guide referral for vascular access placement has potential in combating unnecessary vascular surgeries.

The association between TMAO, CMPF, and clinical outcomes in advanced chronic kidney disease: results from the European QUALity (EQUAL) Study.

BACKGROUND: Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), a metabolite from red meat and fish consumption, plays a role in promoting cardiovascular events. However, data regarding TMAO and its impact on clinical outcomes are inconclusive, possibly due to its undetermined dietary source. OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that circulating TMAO derived from fish intake might cause less harm compared with red meat sources by examining the concomitant level of 3-carboxy-4-methyl-5-propyl-2-furanpropionate (CMPF), a known biomarker of fish intake, and investigated the association between TMAO, CMPF, and outcomes. METHODS: Patients were recruited from the European QUALity (EQUAL) Study on treatment in advanced chronic kidney disease among individuals aged ≥65 y whose estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) had dropped for the first time to ≤20 mL/min per 1.73 m2 during the last 6 mo. The association between TMAO, CMPF, and outcomes including all-cause mortality and kidney replacement therapy (KRT) was assessed among 737 patients. Patients were further stratified by median cutoffs of TMAO and CMPF, suggesting high/low red meat and fish intake. RESULTS: During a median of 39 mo of follow-up, 232 patients died. Higher TMAO was independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (multivariable HR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.17, 1.83). Higher CMPF was associated with a reduced risk of both all-cause mortality (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.89) and KRT (HR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.90), independently of TMAO and other clinically relevant confounders. In comparison to patients with low TMAO and CMPF, patients with low TMAO and high CMPF had reduced risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.31, 0.73), whereas those with high TMAO and high CMPF showed no association across adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: High CMPF conferred an independent role in health benefits and might even counteract the unfavorable association between TMAO and outcomes. Whether higher circulating CMPF concentrations are due to fish consumption, and/or if CMPF is a protective factor, remains to be verified.

Quality of Life before and after the Start of Dialysis in Older Patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In older people with kidney failure, improving health-related quality of life is often more important than solely prolonging life. However, little is known about the effect of dialysis initiation on health-related quality of life in older patients. Therefore, we investigated the evolution of health-related quality of life before and after starting dialysis in older patients with kidney failure. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: The European Quality study is an ongoing prospective, multicenter study in patients aged ≥65 years with an incident eGFR ≤20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Between April 2012 and December 2021, health-related quality of life was assessed every 3-6 months using the 36-item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36), providing a mental component summary (MCS) and a physical component summary (PCS). Scores range from zero to 100, with higher scores indicating better health-related quality of life. With linear mixed models, we explored the course of health-related quality of life during the year preceding and following dialysis initiation. RESULTS: In total, 457 patients starting dialysis were included who filled out at least one SF-36 during follow-up. At dialysis initiation, mean ± SD age was 76±6 years, eGFR was 8±3 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 75% were men, 9% smoked, 45% had diabetes, and 46% had cardiovascular disease. Median (interquartile range) MCS was 53 (38-73), and median PCS was 39 (27-58). During the year preceding dialysis, estimated mean change in MCS was -13 (95% confidence interval, -17 to -9), and in PCS, it was -11 (95% confidence interval, -15 to -7). In the year following dialysis, estimated mean change in MCS was +2 (95% confidence interval, -7 to +11), and in PCS, it was -2 (95% confidence interval, -11 to +7). Health-related quality-of-life patterns were similar for most mental (mental health, role emotional, social functioning, vitality) and physical domains (physical functioning, bodily pain, role physical). CONCLUSIONS: Patients experienced a clinically relevant decline of both mental and physical health-related quality of life before dialysis initiation, which stabilized thereafter. These results may help inform older patients with kidney failure who decided to start dialysis.

Blood pressure and kidney outcomes in patients with severely decreased glomerular filtration rate: a nationwide observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between blood pressure (BP) and kidney outcomes in patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 30 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and different degrees of albuminuria. METHODS: National observational cohort study of 18 071 chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5 patients in routine nephrology care 2010-2017. The association between both baseline and repeated clinic office BP and eGFR slope and kidney replacement therapy (KRT) was explored using multivariable adjusted joint models. The analyses were stratified on albuminuria at baseline. RESULTS: The adjusted yearly eGFR slope became increasingly steeper from -0,91 (95% CI -0.83 to -1.05) ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year in those with SBP less than 120 mmHg at baseline to -2.09 (-1.83 to -2.37) ml/min per 1.73 m 2 in those with BP greater than 160 mmHg. Similarly, eGFR slope was steeper with higher DBP. Lower SBP and DBP was associated with slower eGFR decline in patients with albuminuria grade A3 (>30 mg/mmol) but not consistently in albuminuria A1-A2. Those with diabetes progressed faster and the association between BP and eGFR slope was stronger. In repeated BP measurement analyses, every 10 mmHg higher SBP over time was associated with 39% additional risk of KRT. CONCLUSION: In people with eGFR less than 30 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , lower clinic office BP is associated with more favorable kidney outcomes. Our results support lower BP targets also in people with CKD stage 4-5.

Associations between depressive symptoms and disease progression in older patients with chronic kidney disease: results of the EQUAL study.

Background: Depressive symptoms are associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with end-stage kidney disease; however, few small studies have examined this association in patients with earlier phases of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied associations between baseline depressive symptoms and clinical outcomes in older patients with advanced CKD and examined whether these associations differed depending on sex. Methods: CKD patients (≥65 years; estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2) were included from a European multicentre prospective cohort between 2012 and 2019. Depressive symptoms were measured by the five-item Mental Health Inventory (cut-off ≤70; 0-100 scale). Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to study associations between depressive symptoms and time to dialysis initiation, all-cause mortality and these outcomes combined. A joint model was used to study the association between depressive symptoms and kidney function over time. Analyses were adjusted for potential baseline confounders. Results: Overall kidney function decline in 1326 patients was -0.12 mL/min/1.73 m2/month. A total of 515 patients showed depressive symptoms. No significant association was found between depressive symptoms and kidney function over time (P = 0.08). Unlike women, men with depressive symptoms had an increased mortality rate compared with those without symptoms [adjusted hazard ratio 1.41 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.93)]. Depressive symptoms were not significantly associated with a higher hazard of dialysis initiation, or with the combined outcome (i.e. dialysis initiation and all-cause mortality). Conclusions: There was no significant association between depressive symptoms at baseline and decline in kidney function over time in older patients with advanced CKD. Depressive symptoms at baseline were associated with a higher mortality rate in men.

The relationship between uremic toxins and symptoms in older men and women with advanced chronic kidney disease.

Background: Patients with stage 4/5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) suffer from various symptoms. The retention of uremic solutes is thought to be associated with those symptoms. However, there are relatively few rigorous studies on the potential links between uremic toxins and symptoms in patients with CKD. Methods: The EQUAL study is an ongoing observational cohort study of non-dialyzed patients with stage 4/5 CKD. EQUAL patients from Germany, Poland, Sweden and the UK were included in the present study (n = 795). Data and symptom self-report questionnaires were collected between April 2012 and September 2020. Baseline uric acid and parathyroid hormone and 10 uremic toxins were quantified. We tested the association between uremic toxins and symptoms and adjusted P-values for multiple testing. Results: Symptoms were more frequent in women than in men with stage 4/5 CKD, while levels of various uremic toxins were higher in men. Only trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO; positive association with fatigue), p-cresyl sulfate (PCS) with constipation and 3-carboxy-4-methyl-5-propyl-2-furanpropionic acid (negative association with shortness of breath) demonstrated moderately strong associations with symptoms in adjusted analyses. The association of phenylacetylglutamine with shortness of breath was consistent in both sexes, although it only reached statistical significance in the full population. In contrast, TMAO (fatigue) and PCS and phenylacetylglutamine (constipation) were only associated with symptoms in men, who presented higher serum levels than women. Conclusion: Only a limited number of toxins were associated with symptoms in persons with stage 4/5 CKD. Other uremic toxins, uremia-related factors or psychosocial factors not yet explored might contribute to symptom burden.

Converting from face-to-face to postal follow-up and its effects on participant retention, response rates and errors: lessons from the EQUAL study in the UK.

BACKGROUND: Prospective cohort studies are challenging to deliver, with one of the main difficulties lying in retention of participants. The need to socially distance during the COVID-19 pandemic has added to this challenge. The pre-COVID-19 adaptation of the European Quality (EQUAL) study in the UK to a remote form of follow-up for efficiency provides lessons for those who are considering changing their study design. METHODS: The EQUAL study is an international prospective cohort study of patients ≥65 years of age with advanced chronic kidney disease. Initially, patients were invited to complete a questionnaire (SF-36, Dialysis Symptom Index and Renal Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire) at research clinics every 3-6 months, known as "traditional follow-up" (TFU). In 2018, all living patients were invited to switch to "efficient follow-up" (EFU), which used an abbreviated questionnaire consisting of SF-12 and Dialysis Symptom Index. These were administered centrally by post. Response rates were calculated using returned questionnaires as a proportion of surviving invitees, and error rates presented as the average percentage of unanswered questions or unclear answers, of total questions in returned questionnaires. Response and error rates were calculated 6-monthly in TFU to allow comparisons with EFU. RESULTS: Of the 504 patients initially recruited, 236 were still alive at the time of conversion to EFU; 111 of these (47%) consented to the change in follow-up. In those who consented, median TFU was 34 months, ranging from 0 to 42 months. Their response rates fell steadily from 88% (98/111) at month 0 of TFU, to 20% (3/15) at month 42. The response rate for the first EFU questionnaire was 60% (59/99) of those alive from TFU. With this improvement in response rates, the first EFU also lowered errors to baseline levels seen in early follow-up, after having almost trebled throughout traditional follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, this study demonstrates that administration of shorter follow-up questionnaires by post rather than in person does not negatively impact patient response or error rates. These results may be reassuring for researchers who are trying to limit face-to-face contact with patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Association of Longitudinal High-Sensitivity Troponin T With Mortality in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac troponin T (cTnT) is associated with mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the association between longitudinal cTnT measurements and survival has not previously been assessed. OBJECTIVES: This study determined whether various parameterizations of longitudinal cTnT measurements were associated with patient survival in the older population with advanced CKD. METHODS: The EQUAL (European QUALity) study is an observational prospective cohort study that includes subjects with stage 4-5 CKD aged ≥65 years and not on dialysis. The study includes 176 participants in Sweden, where longitudinal information of cTnT was collected. The study uses joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data to assess the longitudinal association between cTnT and survival. RESULTS: There were 927 cTnT measurements (median 6 per patient) collected over a median follow-up of 2.4 years. The overall 5-year survival was 57% (95% CI: 46%-69%). Longitudinally measured cTnT was associated with mortality risk, with every SD increase in cTnT, at any time point, associated with a 3.3-fold increase in mortality risk (HR: 3.3; 95% CI: 2.5-4.6). The slope of the cTnT trajectory was also associated with increased mortality risk (HR: 3.2; 95% CI: 2.0-6.0), as was the area under the cTnT trajectory (HR: 4.2; 95% CI: 2.6-7.2), which reflected the cumulative cTnT exposure. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinally measured cTnT is independently associated with mortality risk in older patients with stage 4 and 5 CKD, which suggests that monitoring patients with cTnT could be a valuable tool for the identification of subjects with a high mortality risk.

Health-Related Quality-of-Life Trajectories over Time in Older Men and Women with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The effect of sex on longitudinal health-related quality of life remains unknown in CKD. Here we assess differences in the sex-specific evolution of health-related quality of life in older men and women with advanced CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: The European Quality Study on Treatment in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease is a European observational prospective cohort study in referred patients with CKD and an incident eGFR<20 ml/min per 1.73 m2 who are ≥65 years of age not on dialysis. Health-related quality of life was measured using the 36-Item Short Form Survey at 3- to 6-month intervals between April 2012 and September 2020, providing Physical Component Summary and Mental Component Summary scores. Trajectories were modeled by sex using linear mixed models, and sex differences in health-related quality-of-life slope were explored. RESULTS: We included 5345 health-related quality-of-life measurements in 1421 participants. At baseline, women had considerably lower mean Physical Component Summary (42) and Mental Component Summary (60) compared with men (Physical Component Summary: 55; Mental Component Summary: 69; P<0.001). However, during follow-up, Physical Component Summary and Mental Component Summary scores declined approximately twice as fast in men (Physical Component Summary: 2.5 per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.8 to 3.1; Mental Component Summary: 2.7 per year; 95% confidence interval, 2.0 to 3.4) compared with in women (Physical Component Summary: 1.1 per year; 95% confidence interval, 0.1 to 2.0; Mental Component Summary: 1.6 per year; 95% confidence interval, 0.7 to 2.6). This difference was partly attenuated after adjusting for important covariates, notably eGFR decline. Higher serum phosphate, lower hemoglobin, and the presence of preexisting diabetes were associated with lower Physical Component Summary and Mental Component Summary scores in men but to a lesser extent in women. CONCLUSIONS: Among older men and women with advanced CKD, women had lower health-related quality of life at baseline, but men experienced a more rapid decline in health-related quality of life over time.