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Lyme disease surveillance based on provider and laboratory reports underestimates incidence. We developed an algorithm for automating surveillance using electronic health record data. We identified potential Lyme disease markers in electronic health record data (laboratory tests, diagnosis codes, prescriptions) from January 2017-December 2018 in 2 large practice groups in Massachusetts, USA. We calculated their sensitivities and positive predictive values (PPV), alone and in combination, relative to medical record review. Sensitivities ranged from 57% (95% CI 47%-69%) for immunoassays to 87% (95% CI 70%-100%) for diagnosis codes. PPVs ranged from 53% (95% CI 43%-61%) for diagnosis codes to 58% (95% CI 50%-66%) for immunoassays. The combination of a diagnosis code and antibiotics within 14 days or a positive Western blot had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 86%-100%) and PPV of 82% (95% CI 75%-89%). This algorithm could make Lyme disease surveillance more efficient and consistent.
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Enfermedad de Lyme , Humanos , Enfermedad de Lyme/epidemiología , Massachusetts/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Algoritmos , Historia del Siglo XXIRESUMEN
Viral respiratory illness surveillance has traditionally focused on single pathogens (e.g., influenza) and required fever to identify influenza-like illness (ILI). We developed an automated system applying both laboratory test and syndrome criteria to electronic health records from 3 practice groups in Massachusetts, USA, to monitor trends in respiratory viral-like illness (RAVIOLI) across multiple pathogens. We identified RAVIOLI syndrome using diagnosis codes associated with respiratory viral testing or positive respiratory viral assays or fever. After retrospectively applying RAVIOLI criteria to electronic health records, we observed annual winter peaks during 2015-2019, predominantly caused by influenza, followed by cyclic peaks corresponding to SARS-CoV-2 surges during 2020-2024, spikes in RSV in mid-2021 and late 2022, and recrudescent influenza in late 2022 and 2023. RAVIOLI rates were higher and fluctuations more pronounced compared with traditional ILI surveillance. RAVIOLI broadens the scope, granularity, sensitivity, and specificity of respiratory viral illness surveillance compared with traditional ILI surveillance.
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Algoritmos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/virología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Massachusetts/epidemiología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , SARS-CoV-2 , Masculino , Adolescente , Niño , Anciano , Femenino , Estaciones del Año , Virosis/epidemiología , Virosis/diagnóstico , Virosis/virología , Preescolar , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: During the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient electronic health records (EHRs) have been used to conduct public health surveillance and assess treatments and outcomes. Invasive mechanical ventilation (MV) and supplemental oxygen (O2) use are markers of severe illness in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. In a large US system (n = 142 hospitals), we assessed documentation of MV and O2 use during COVID-19 hospitalization in administrative data versus nursing documentation. METHODS: We identified 319 553 adult hospitalizations with a COVID-19 diagnosis, February 2020-October 2022, and extracted coded, administrative data for MV or O2. Separately, we developed classification rules for MV or O2 supplementation from semi-structured nursing documentation. We assessed MV and O2 supplementation in administrative data versus nursing documentation and calculated ordinal endpoints of decreasing COVID-19 disease severity. Nursing documentation was considered the gold standard in sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) analyses. RESULTS: In nursing documentation, the prevalence of MV and O2 supplementation among COVID-19 hospitalizations was 14% and 75%, respectively. The sensitivity of administrative data was 83% for MV and 41% for O2, with both PPVs above 91%. Concordance between sources was 97% for MV (κ = 0.85), and 54% for O2 (κ = 0.21). For ordinal endpoints, administrative data accurately identified intensive care and MV but underestimated hospitalizations with O2 requirements (42% vs. 18%). CONCLUSIONS: In comparison to nursing documentation, administrative data under-ascertained O2 supplementation but accurately estimated severe endpoints such as MV. Nursing documentation improved ascertainment of O2 among COVID-19 hospitalizations and can capture oxygen requirements in adults hospitalized with COVID-19 or other respiratory illnesses.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Pacientes Internos , Pandemias , Prueba de COVID-19 , OxígenoRESUMEN
CONTEXT: Potentially inappropriate prescribing of medications in older adults, particular those with dementia, can lead to adverse drug events including falls and fractures, worsening cognitive impairment, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations. Educational mailings from health plans to patients and their providers to encourage deprescribing conversations may represent an effective, low-cost, "light touch", approach to reducing the burden of potentially inappropriate prescription use in older adults with dementia. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the Developing a PRogram to Educate and Sensitize Caregivers to Reduce the Inappropriate Prescription Burden in Elderly with Alzheimer's Disease (D-PRESCRIBE-AD) trial is to evaluate the effect of a health plan based multi-faceted educational outreach intervention to community dwelling patients with dementia who are currently prescribed sedative/hypnotics, antipsychotics, or strong anticholinergics. METHODS: The D-PRESCRIBE-AD is an open-label pragmatic, prospective randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing three arms: 1) educational mailing to both the health plan patient and their prescribing physician (patient plus physician arm, n = 4814); 2) educational mailing to prescribing physician only (physician only arm, n = 4814); and 3) usual care (n = 4814) among patients with dementia enrolled in two large United States based health plans. The primary outcome is the absence of any dispensing of the targeted potentially inappropriate prescription during the 6-month study observation period after a 3-month black out period following the mailing. Secondary outcomes include dose-reduction, polypharmacy, healthcare utilization, mortality and therapeutic switching within targeted drug classes. CONCLUSION: This large pragmatic RCT will contribute to the evidence base on promoting deprescribing of potentially inappropriate medications among older adults with dementia. If successful, such light touch, inexpensive and highly scalable interventions have the potential to reduce the burden of potentially inappropriate prescribing for patients with dementia. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05147428.
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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos , Humanos , Anciano , Prescripción Inadecuada/prevención & control , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Cuidadores , Lista de Medicamentos Potencialmente Inapropiados , Polifarmacia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) may be at risk for more severe COVID-19 outcomes. We compared risk for severe COVID-19 in PWH with matched individuals without HIV. METHODS: We identified adults in Massachusetts with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, March 2020-July 2022, using electronic medical record data from 3 large clinical practice groups. We then used regression models to compare outcomes among PWH versus propensity score-matched people without HIV (matched 20:1) for severe COVID-19 (pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome), hospitalization, and hospital length of stay. RESULTS: We identified 171,058 individuals with COVID-19; among them, 768 PWH were matched to 15,360 individuals without HIV. Overall, severe COVID-19 and hospitalization were similar in PWH and those without HIV (severe COVID-19: 3.8% vs 3.0%, adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.86-1.87; hospitalization: 12.1% vs 11.3%, adjusted OR: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.87 to 1.35). Compared with people without HIV, PWH with low CD4 T-cell counts (<200 cells/mm 3 ) had more severe COVID-19 (adjusted OR: 3.99, 95% CI: 2.06 to 7.74) and hospitalization (adjusted OR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.35 to 3.80), but PWH with high CD4 counts had lower odds of hospitalization (adjusted OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.52 to 1.03). CONCLUSIONS: PWH with low CD4 T-cell counts had worse COVID-19 outcomes compared with people without HIV, but outcomes for those with high CD4 counts were similar to, or better than, those without HIV. It is unclear whether these findings are generalizable to settings where PWH have less access to and engagement with health care.
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COVID-19 , Infecciones por VIH , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Recuento de Linfocito CD4 , Registros Electrónicos de SaludRESUMEN
Purpose: Few studies have examined how the absolute risk of thromboembolism with COVID-19 has evolved over time across different countries. Researchers from the European Medicines Agency, Health Canada, and the United States (US) Food and Drug Administration established a collaboration to evaluate the absolute risk of arterial (ATE) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) in the 90 days after diagnosis of COVID-19 in the ambulatory (eg, outpatient, emergency department, nursing facility) setting from seven countries across North America (Canada, US) and Europe (England, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, and Spain) within periods before and during COVID-19 vaccine availability. Patients and Methods: We conducted cohort studies of patients initially diagnosed with COVID-19 in the ambulatory setting from the seven specified countries. Patients were followed for 90 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. The primary outcomes were ATE and VTE over 90 days from diagnosis date. We measured country-level estimates of 90-day absolute risk (with 95% confidence intervals) of ATE and VTE. Results: The seven cohorts included 1,061,565 patients initially diagnosed with COVID-19 in the ambulatory setting before COVID-19 vaccines were available (through November 2020). The 90-day absolute risk of ATE during this period ranged from 0.11% (0.09-0.13%) in Canada to 1.01% (0.97-1.05%) in the US, and the 90-day absolute risk of VTE ranged from 0.23% (0.21-0.26%) in Canada to 0.84% (0.80-0.89%) in England. The seven cohorts included 3,544,062 patients with COVID-19 during vaccine availability (beginning December 2020). The 90-day absolute risk of ATE during this period ranged from 0.06% (0.06-0.07%) in England to 1.04% (1.01-1.06%) in the US, and the 90-day absolute risk of VTE ranged from 0.25% (0.24-0.26%) in England to 1.02% (0.99-1.04%) in the US. Conclusion: There was heterogeneity by country in 90-day absolute risk of ATE and VTE after ambulatory COVID-19 diagnosis both before and during COVID-19 vaccine availability.
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Compared with notifiable disease surveillance, claims-based algorithms estimate higher Lyme disease incidence, but their accuracy is unknown. We applied a previously developed Lyme disease algorithm (diagnosis code plus antimicrobial drug prescription dispensing within 30 days) to an administrative claims database in Massachusetts, USA, to identify a Lyme disease cohort during July 2000-June 2019. Clinicians reviewed and adjudicated medical charts from a cohort subset by using national surveillance case definitions. We calculated positive predictive values (PPVs). We identified 12,229 Lyme disease episodes in the claims database and reviewed and adjudicated 128 medical charts. The algorithm's PPV for confirmed, probable, or suspected cases was 93.8% (95% CI 88.1%-97.3%); the PPV was 66.4% (95% CI 57.5%-74.5%) for confirmed and probable cases only. In a high incidence setting, a claims-based algorithm identified cases with a high PPV, suggesting it can be used to assess Lyme disease burden and supplement traditional surveillance data.
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Algoritmos , Enfermedad de Lyme , Humanos , Massachusetts/epidemiología , Costo de Enfermedad , Prescripciones de Medicamentos , Enfermedad de Lyme/diagnóstico , Enfermedad de Lyme/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Syndromic surveillance can help identify the onset, location, affected populations, and trends in infectious diseases quickly and efficiently. We developed an electronic medical record-based surveillance algorithm for COVID-19-like illness (CLI) and assessed its performance in 5 Massachusetts medical practice groups compared with statewide counts of confirmed cases. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using data from February 2020 through November 2022, the CLI algorithm was implemented in sites that provide ambulatory and inpatient care for about 25% of the state. The initial algorithm for CLI was modeled on influenza-like illness: an International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnosis code for COVID-19 and an ICD-10-CM diagnosis code suggesting severe lower respiratory tract infection or ≥1 ICD-10-CM diagnosis code for upper or lower respiratory tract infection plus fever. We generated weekly counts of CLI cases and patients with ≥1 clinical encounter and visually compared trends with those of statewide laboratory-confirmed cases. RESULTS: The initial algorithm tracked well with the spring 2020 wave of COVID-19, but the components that required fever did not clearly detect the November 2020-January 2021 surge and identified <1% of weekly encounters as CLI. We revised the algorithm by adding more mild symptoms and removing the fever requirement; this revision improved alignment with statewide confirmed cases through spring 2022 and increased the proportion of encounters identified as CLI to about 2% to 6% weekly. Alignment between CLI trends and confirmed COVID-19 case counts diverged again in fall 2022, likely because of decreased COVID-19 testing and increases in other respiratory viruses. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Our work highlights the importance of using a broad definition for COVID-19 syndromic surveillance and the need for surveillance systems that are flexible and adaptable to changing trends and patterns in disease or care.
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COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Vigilancia de Guardia , COVID-19/epidemiología , Prueba de COVID-19 , Massachusetts/epidemiología , AlgoritmosRESUMEN
We described care received by hospitalized children with COVID-19 or multi-system inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) prior to the 2021 COVID-19 Omicron variant surge in the US. We identified hospitalized children <18 years of age with a COVID-19 or MIS-C diagnosis (COVID-19 not required), separately, from February 2020-September 2021 (n = 126 hospitals). We described high-risk conditions, inpatient treatments, and complications among these groups. Among 383,083 pediatric hospitalizations, 2,186 had COVID-19 and 395 had MIS-C diagnosis. Less than 1% had both COVID-19 and MIS-C diagnosis (n = 154). Over half were >6 years old (54% COVID-19, 70% MIS-C). High-risk conditions included asthma (14% COVID-19, 11% MIS-C), and obesity (9% COVID-19, 10% MIS-C). Pulmonary complications in children with COVID-19 included viral pneumonia (24%) and acute respiratory failure (11%). In reference to children with COVID-19, those with MIS-C had more hematological disorders (62% vs 34%), sepsis (16% vs 6%), pericarditis (13% vs 2%), myocarditis (8% vs 1%). Few were ventilated or died, but some required oxygen support (38% COVID-19, 45% MIS-C) or intensive care (42% COVID-19, 69% MIS-C). Treatments included: methylprednisolone (34% COVID-19, 75% MIS-C), dexamethasone (25% COVID-19, 15% MIS-C), remdesivir (13% COVID-19, 5% MIS-C). Antibiotics (50% COVID-19, 68% MIS-C) and low-molecular weight heparin (17% COVID-19, 34% MIS-C) were frequently administered. Markers of illness severity among hospitalized children with COVID-19 prior to the 2021 Omicron surge are consistent with previous studies. We report important trends on treatments in hospitalized children with COVID-19 to improve the understanding of real-world treatment patterns in this population.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Niño , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/terapia , SARS-CoV-2 , HospitalesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There are unique opportunities related to the design and conduct of pragmatic trials embedded in health insurance plans, which have longitudinal data on member/patient demographics, dates of coverage, and reimbursed medical care, including prescription drug dispensings, vaccine administrations, behavioral healthcare encounters, and some laboratory results. Such trials can be large and efficient, using these data to identify trial-eligible patients and to ascertain outcomes. METHODS: We use our experience primarily with the National Institutes of Health Pragmatic Trials Collaboratory Distributed Research Network, which comprises health plans that participate in the US Food & Drug Administration's Sentinel System, to describe lessons learned from the conduct and planning of embedded pragmatic trials. RESULTS: Information is available for research on more than 75 million people with commercial or Medicare Advantage health plans. We describe three studies that have used or plan to use the Network, as well as a single health plan study, from which we glean our lessons learned. CONCLUSIONS: Studies that are conducted in health plans provide much-needed evidence to drive clinically meaningful changes in care. However, there are many unique aspects of these trials that must be considered in the planning, implementation, and analytic phases. The type of trial best suited for studies embedded in health plans will be those that require large sample sizes, simple interventions that could be disseminated through health plans, and where data available to the health plan can be leveraged. These trials hold potential for substantial long-term impact on our ability to generate evidence to improve care and population health.
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Medicare , Proyectos de Investigación , Anciano , Humanos , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , Tamaño de la Muestra , Estados Unidos , Ensayos Clínicos Pragmáticos como AsuntoRESUMEN
Objective: To measure the 90 day risk of arterial thromboembolism and venous thromboembolism among patients diagnosed with covid-19 in the ambulatory (ie, outpatient, emergency department, or institutional) setting during periods before and during covid-19 vaccine availability and compare results to patients with ambulatory diagnosed influenza. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Four integrated health systems and two national health insurers in the US Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System. Participants: Patients with ambulatory diagnosed covid-19 when vaccines were unavailable in the US (period 1, 1 April-30 November 2020; n=272 065) and when vaccines were available in the US (period 2, 1 December 2020-31 May 2021; n=342 103), and patients with ambulatory diagnosed influenza (1 October 2018-30 April 2019; n=118 618). Main outcome measures: Arterial thromboembolism (hospital diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke) and venous thromboembolism (hospital diagnosis of acute deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) within 90 days after ambulatory covid-19 or influenza diagnosis. We developed propensity scores to account for differences between the cohorts and used weighted Cox regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios of outcomes with 95% confidence intervals for covid-19 during periods 1 and 2 versus influenza. Results: 90 day absolute risk of arterial thromboembolism with covid-19 was 1.01% (95% confidence interval 0.97% to 1.05%) during period 1, 1.06% (1.03% to 1.10%) during period 2, and with influenza was 0.45% (0.41% to 0.49%). The risk of arterial thromboembolism was higher for patients with covid-19 during period 1 (adjusted hazard ratio 1.53 (95% confidence interval 1.38 to 1.69)) and period 2 (1.69 (1.53 to 1.86)) than for patients with influenza. 90 day absolute risk of venous thromboembolism with covid-19 was 0.73% (0.70% to 0.77%) during period 1, 0.88% (0.84 to 0.91%) during period 2, and with influenza was 0.18% (0.16% to 0.21%). Risk of venous thromboembolism was higher with covid-19 during period 1 (adjusted hazard ratio 2.86 (2.46 to 3.32)) and period 2 (3.56 (3.08 to 4.12)) than with influenza. Conclusions: Patients diagnosed with covid-19 in the ambulatory setting had a higher 90 day risk of admission to hospital with arterial thromboembolism and venous thromboembolism both before and after covid-19 vaccine availability compared with patients with influenza.
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CONTEXT: Electronic health record (EHR) data can potentially make chronic disease surveillance more timely, actionable, and sustainable. Although use of EHR data can address numerous limitations of traditional surveillance methods, timely surveillance data with broad population coverage require scalable systems. This report describes implementation, challenges, and lessons learned from the Multi-State EHR-Based Network for Disease Surveillance (MENDS) to help inform how others work with EHR data to develop distributed networks for surveillance. PROGRAM: Funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), MENDS is a data modernization demonstration project that aims to develop a timely national chronic disease sentinel surveillance system using EHR data. It facilitates partnerships between data contributors (health information exchanges, other data aggregators) and data users (state and local health departments). MENDS uses query and visualization software to track local emerging trends. The program also uses statistical and geospatial methods to generate prevalence estimates of chronic disease risk measures at the national and local levels. Resulting data products are designed to inform public health practice and improve the health of the population. IMPLEMENTATION: MENDS includes 5 partner sites that leverage EHR data from 91 health system and clinic partners and represents approximately 10 million patients across the United States. Key areas of implementation include governance, partnerships, technical infrastructure and support, chronic disease algorithms and validation, weighting and modeling, and workforce education for public health data users. DISCUSSION: MENDS presents a scalable distributed network model for implementing national chronic disease surveillance that leverages EHR data. Priorities as MENDS matures include producing prevalence estimates at various geographic and subpopulation levels, developing enhanced data sharing and interoperability capacity using international data standards, scaling the network to improve coverage nationally and among underrepresented geographic areas and subpopulations, and expanding surveillance of additional chronic disease measures and social determinants of health.
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Indicadores de Enfermedades Crónicas , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Prevalencia , Enfermedad Crónica , Vigilancia de la Población/métodosRESUMEN
The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) created the Sentinel System in response to a requirement in the FDA Amendments Act of 2007 that the agency establish a system for monitoring risks associated with drug and biologic products using data from disparate sources. The Sentinel System has completed hundreds of analyses, including many that have directly informed regulatory decisions. The Sentinel System also was designed to support a national infrastructure for a learning health system. Sentinel governance and guiding principles were designed to facilitate Sentinel's role as a national resource. The Sentinel System infrastructure now supports multiple non-FDA projects for stakeholders ranging from regulated industry to other federal agencies, international regulators, and academics. The Sentinel System is a working example of a learning health system that is expanding with the potential to create a global learning health system that can support medical product safety assessments and other research.
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Aprendizaje del Sistema de Salud , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration , Preparaciones FarmacéuticasRESUMEN
Importance: The incidence of arterial thromboembolism and venous thromboembolism in persons with COVID-19 remains unclear. Objective: To measure the 90-day risk of arterial thromboembolism and venous thromboembolism in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 before or during COVID-19 vaccine availability vs patients hospitalized with influenza. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study of 41â¯443 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 before vaccine availability (April-November 2020), 44â¯194 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during vaccine availability (December 2020-May 2021), and 8269 patients hospitalized with influenza (October 2018-April 2019) in the US Food and Drug Administration Sentinel System (data from 2 national health insurers and 4 regional integrated health systems). Exposures: COVID-19 or influenza (identified by hospital diagnosis or nucleic acid test). Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospital diagnosis of arterial thromboembolism (acute myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke) and venous thromboembolism (deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) within 90 days. Outcomes were ascertained through July 2019 for patients with influenza and through August 2021 for patients with COVID-19. Propensity scores with fine stratification were developed to account for differences between the influenza and COVID-19 cohorts. Weighted Cox regression was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes during each COVID-19 vaccine availability period vs the influenza period. Results: A total of 85â¯637 patients with COVID-19 (mean age, 72 [SD, 13.0] years; 50.5% were male) and 8269 with influenza (mean age, 72 [SD, 13.3] years; 45.0% were male) were included. The 90-day absolute risk of arterial thromboembolism was 14.4% (95% CI, 13.6%-15.2%) in patients with influenza vs 15.8% (95% CI, 15.5%-16.2%) in patients with COVID-19 before vaccine availability (risk difference, 1.4% [95% CI, 1.0%-2.3%]) and 16.3% (95% CI, 16.0%-16.6%) in patients with COVID-19 during vaccine availability (risk difference, 1.9% [95% CI, 1.1%-2.7%]). Compared with patients with influenza, the risk of arterial thromboembolism was not significantly higher among patients with COVID-19 before vaccine availability (adjusted HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.97-1.11]) or during vaccine availability (adjusted HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.00-1.14]). The 90-day absolute risk of venous thromboembolism was 5.3% (95% CI, 4.9%-5.8%) in patients with influenza vs 9.5% (95% CI, 9.2%-9.7%) in patients with COVID-19 before vaccine availability (risk difference, 4.1% [95% CI, 3.6%-4.7%]) and 10.9% (95% CI, 10.6%-11.1%) in patients with COVID-19 during vaccine availability (risk difference, 5.5% [95% CI, 5.0%-6.1%]). Compared with patients with influenza, the risk of venous thromboembolism was significantly higher among patients with COVID-19 before vaccine availability (adjusted HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.43-1.79]) and during vaccine availability (adjusted HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.68-2.12]). Conclusions and Relevance: Based on data from a US public health surveillance system, hospitalization with COVID-19 before and during vaccine availability, vs hospitalization with influenza in 2018-2019, was significantly associated with a higher risk of venous thromboembolism within 90 days, but there was no significant difference in the risk of arterial thromboembolism within 90 days.
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COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Infarto del Miocardio , Embolia Pulmonar , Trombosis de la Vena , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Tromboembolia/epidemiología , Trombosis/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Trombosis de la Vena/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) remain the largest global public health threat. The emerging field of precision public health (PPH) offers a transformative opportunity to capitalize on digital health data to create an agile, responsive and data-driven public health system to actively prevent NCDs. Using learnings from digital health, our aim is to propose a vision toward PPH for NCDs across three horizons of digital health transformation: Horizon 1-digital public health workflows; Horizon 2-population health data and analytics; Horizon 3-precision public health. This perspective provides a high-level strategic roadmap for public health practitioners and policymakers, health system stakeholders and researchers to achieving PPH for NCDs. Two multinational use cases are presented to contextualize our roadmap in pragmatic action: ESP and RiskScape (USA), a mature PPH platform for multiple NCDs, and PopHQ (Australia), a proof-of-concept population health informatics tool to monitor and prevent obesity. Our intent is to provide a strategic foundation to guide new health policy, investment and research in the rapidly emerging but nascent area of PPH to reduce the public health burden of NCDs.
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Enfermedades no Transmisibles , Australia , Política de Salud , Humanos , Enfermedades no Transmisibles/prevención & control , Salud PúblicaRESUMEN
Observational studies of oseltamivir use and influenza complications could suffer from residual confounding. Using negative control risk periods and a negative control outcome, we examined confounding control in a health-insurance-claims-based study of oseltamivir and influenza complications (pneumonia, all-cause hospitalization, and dispensing of an antibiotic). Within the Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System, we identified individuals aged ≥18 years who initiated oseltamivir use on the influenza diagnosis date versus those who did not, during 3 influenza seasons (2014-2017). We evaluated primary outcomes within the following 1-30 days (the primary risk period) and 61-90 days (the negative control period) and nonvertebral fractures (the negative control outcome) within days 1-30. We estimated propensity-score-matched risk ratios (RRs) per season. During the 2014-2015 influenza season, oseltamivir use was associated with a reduction in the risk of pneumonia (RR = 0.72, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.70, 0.75) and all-cause hospitalization (RR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.55) in days 1-30. During days 61-90, estimates were near-null for pneumonia (RR = 1.04, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.15) and hospitalization (RR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.91, 0.98) but slightly increased for antibiotic dispensing (RR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.21). The RR for fractures was near-null (RR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.20). Estimates for the 2016-2017 influenza season were comparable, while the 2015-2016 season had conflicting results. Our study suggests minimal residual confounding for specific outcomes, but results differed by season.
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Gripe Humana , Neumonía , Adolescente , Adulto , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Electrónica , Hospitalización , Humanos , Gripe Humana/complicaciones , Gripe Humana/tratamiento farmacológico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Oseltamivir/uso terapéutico , Neumonía/etiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Atrius Health implemented a best practice alert (BPA) to encourage clinicians to provide expedited partner therapy (EPT) in October 2014. We assessed (1) the impact of the BPA on EPT provision and chlamydial reinfection and (2) the impact of EPT on testing for chlamydia reinfection and reinfection rates. METHODS: We included patientsâ ≥15 years withâ ≥1 positive chlamydia test between January 2013 and March 2019. Tests-of-reinfection were defined as chlamydia tests 28-120 days after initial infection, and corresponding positive results were considered evidence of reinfection. We used interrupted time series analyses to identify changes in (1) frequency of EPT, (2) tests-of-reinfection, and (3) reinfections after the BPA was released. Log-binomial regression models, with generalized estimating equation methods, assessed associations between (1) EPT and tests-of-reinfection and (2) EPT and reinfection. RESULTS: Among 7267 chlamydia infections, EPT was given to 1475 (20%) patients. Expedited partner therapy frequency increased from 15% to 22% of infections between January 2013 and September 2014 (ßâ =â 0.003, Pâ =â .03). After the BPA was released, EPT frequency declined to 19% of infections by March 2019 (ßâ =â -0.004, Pâ =â .008). On average, 35% of chlamydia infections received a test-of-reinfection and 7% were reinfected; there were no significant changes in these percentages after BPA implementation. Patients given EPT were more likely to receive tests-of-reinfection (prevalence ratio [PR] 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.16) but without change in reinfections (PR 0.88; 95% CI, 0.66-1.17). CONCLUSIONS: Best practice alerts in electronic medical record systems may not be effective at increasing EPT prescribing and decreasing chlamydial reinfection. However, patients given EPT were more likely to receive a test of chlamydia reinfection.