RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Physician prediction of outcome in critically ill neurologic patients impacts treatment decisions and goals of care. In this observational study, we prospectively compared predictions by neurointensivists to patient outcomes at 6 months. METHODS: Consecutive neurologic patients requiring mechanical ventilation for 72 hours or more were enrolled. The attending neurointensivist was asked to predict 6-month 1) functional outcome (modified Rankin scale [mRS]), 2) quality of life (QOL), and 3) whether supportive care should be withdrawn. Six-month functional outcome was determined by telephone interviews and dichotomized to good (mRS 0-3) and poor outcome (mRS 4-6). RESULTS: Of 187 eligible patients, 144 were enrolled. Neurointensivists correctly predicted 6-month functional outcome in 80% (95% confidence interval [CI], 72%-86%) of patients. Accuracy for a predicted good outcome was 63% (95% CI, 50%-74%) and for poor outcome 94% (95% CI, 85%-98%). Excluding patients who had life support withdrawn, accuracy for good outcome was 73% (95% CI, 60%-84%) and for poor outcome 87% (95% CI, 74%-94%). Accuracy for exact agreement between neurointensivists' mRS predictions and actual 6-month mRS was only 43% (95% CI, 35%-52%). Predicted accuracy for QOL was 58% (95% CI, 39%-74%) for good/excellent and 67% (95% CI, 46%-83%) for poor/fair. Of 27 patients for whom withdrawal of care was recommended, 1 patient survived in a vegetative state. CONCLUSIONS: Prediction of long-term functional outcomes in critically ill neurologic patients is challenging. Our neurointensivists were more accurate in predicting poor outcome than good outcome in patients requiring mechanical ventilation >or=72 hours.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Aguda/terapia , Encefalopatías/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Errores Diagnósticos/prevención & control , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Respiración Artificial/mortalidad , Actividades Cotidianas , Encefalopatías/terapia , Protocolos Clínicos/normas , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Evaluación de la Discapacidad , Escala de Consecuencias de Glasgow , Médicos Hospitalarios/normas , Médicos Hospitalarios/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/normas , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Neurología/métodos , Neurología/estadística & datos numéricos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Calidad de Vida , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Privación de Tratamiento/normasRESUMEN
The N-terminal amino acid sequence of a 42.5 kDa subunit of the NADH: ubiquinone oxidoreductase (complex I) from potato has been determined by direct protein sequencing. The sequence was found to be homologous to that of the nuclear-encoded 49 kDa complex I subunit of bovine and Neurospora mitochondria and to the sequence deduced from the mitochondrial nad7 gene identified in the mitochondrial (mt) DNA of tryp anosomes and the moss Marchantia. An oligonucleotide probe derived from the potato N-terminal protein sequence hybridized only to the plant mtDNA. Immunoprecipitation of in-organello 35S-labelled potato and wheat mitochondrial translation products with an antibody directed against the Neurospora 49 kDa complex I subunit indicates that at least in these plants the NAD7 protein is synthesized within the organelle. Comparisons of genomic, cDNA and protein sequences of the 5' coding region reveal three codons that are changed by RNA-editing and confirm translation of the edited transcripts in plant mitochondria. The NAD7 protein appears to undergo post-translational processing since the N-terminal methionine residue is absent from the mature mitochondrial protein.