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The carcinogenicity of benzene was reevaluated by the International Agency for Research on Cancer in 2017, with the Working Group reaffirming positive yet inconclusive associations with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). To extend our previous observation of a significant exposure-response for cumulative occupational benzene exposure and NHL risk among Chinese women in a population-based cohort in Shanghai, we extended follow-up of this cohort and pooled the data with a similarly designed population-based cohort of men in Shanghai. Cumulative exposure estimates were derived for 134,449 participants in the pooled analysis by combining ordinal job-exposure matrix intensity ratings with quantitative benzene measurements from an inspection database of Shanghai factories. Associations between benzene exposure metrics and NHL (n = 363 cases including multiple myeloma [MM]) were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models. Ever occupational exposure to benzene in the pooled population was associated with NHL risk (HR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.2-2.0), and exposure-response relationships were observed for increasing duration (ptrend = .003) and cumulative exposure (ptrend = .003). Associations with ever exposure, duration, and cumulative exposure were similar for NHL with and without MM in the case definition, including lifetime cumulative exposures in the highest quartile (HR = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.1-2.4 with MM included; HR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.1-2.7 with MM excluded). An elevated risk of the chronic lymphocytic leukemia subtype was suggested in the pooled analyses (HR for ever vs. never exposure = 2.3, 95% CI = 0.9-5.6). These observations provide additional support for a plausible association between occupational benzene exposure and risk of NHL.
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Importance: The global burden of obesity is increasing, as are colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality. Objectives: To assess the association between body mass index (BMI) and risks of incident CRC and CRC-related death in the Asian population. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study includes data pooled from 17 prospective cohort studies included in The Asia Cohort Consortium. Cohort enrollment was conducted from January 1, 1984, to December 31, 2002. Median follow-up time was 15.2 years (IQR, 12.1-19.2 years). Data were analyzed from January 15, 2023, through January 15, 2024. Exposure: Body mass index, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were CRC incidence and CRC-related mortality. The risk of events is reported as adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) and 95% CIs for incident CRC and death from CRC using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results: To assess the risk of incident CRC, 619 981 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.8 [10.1] years; 52.0% female; 11 900 diagnosed incident CRC cases) were included in the study, and to assess CRC-related mortality, 650 195 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.5 [10.2] years; 51.9% female; 4550 identified CRC deaths) were included in the study. A positive association between BMI and risk of CRC was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 25.0 to 27.5 (AHR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.03-1.16]), greater than 27.5 to 30.0 (AHR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.11-1.29]), and greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.19-1.46]) compared with those with a BMI greater than 23.0 to 25.0 (P < .001 for trend), and BMI was associated with a greater increase in risk for colon cancer than for rectal cancer. A similar association between BMI and CRC-related death risk was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 27.5 (BMI >27.5-30.0: AHR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04-1.34]; BMI >30.0: AHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.18-1.62]; P < .001 for trend) and was present among men with a BMI greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.49-2.34]; P < .001 for trend) but not among women (P = .15 for trend) (P = .02 for heterogeneity). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study that included a pooled analysis of 17 cohort studies comprising participants across Asia, a positive association between BMI and CRC incidence and related mortality was found. The risk was greater among men and participants with colon cancer. These findings may have implications to better understand the burden of obesity on CRC incidence and related deaths in the Asian population.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Neoplasias Colorrectales/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Incidencia , Asia/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Obesidad/epidemiología , Obesidad/complicaciones , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
A fusion between tubulin polymerization-promoting protein (TPPP), a regulatory cytoskeletal gene, and the chromatin remodeling factor, bromodomain-containing protein 9 (BRD9), TPPP-BRD9 fusion has been found in rare cancer cases, including lung and gallbladder cancers (GBC). In this study, we investigated the histopathological features of 16 GBCs previously shown by RNA sequencing to harbor the TPPP-BRD9 fusion. Findings in the fusion-positive GBCs were compared with 645 GBC cases from the authors' database. Among the 16 TPPP-BRD9 fusion-positive GBC cases, most were females (F:M = 7:1) of Chinese ethnicity (12/16), whereas the remaining cases were from Chile. The histopathological examination showed the following findings: 1) Intracholecystic neoplasm (ICN) in 7/15 (47% vs. 7% 645 reference GBCs, p < 0.001), all with gastro-pancreatobiliary phenotype, often with clear cell change, and in the background of pyloric gland metaplasia and extensive high-grade dysplasia. 2) Neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) morphology: 3 cases (27% vs. 4.6% in the reference database, p = 0.001) showed a sheet-like and nested/trabecular growth pattern of monotonous cells with salt-and-pepper chromatin characteristic of NECs. Two were large cell type, one had prominent clear cell features, a rare finding in GBNECs; the other one had relatively bland, well-differentiated morphology, and the remaining case was small cell type. 3) Adenocarcinoma identified in 8 cases had a distinctive pattern characterized by widely separated small, round tubular units with relatively uniform nuclei in a fashion seen in mesonephric adenocarcinomas, including hobnail-like arrangement and apical snouts, reminiscent of tubular carcinomas of the breast in many areas. In some foci, the epithelium was attenuated, and glands were elongated, some with comma shapes, which along with the mucinous/necrotic intraluminal debris created a "syringoid" appearance. 4) Other occasional patterns included the cribriform, glomeruloid patterns, and metaplastic tubular-spindle cell pattern accompanied by hemorrhage. In conclusion, TPPP-BRD9 fusion-positive GBCs often develop through intracholecystic neoplasms (adenoma-carcinoma sequence) of gastro-pancreatobiliary lineage, appear more prone to form NEC morphology and have a propensity to display clear cell change. Invasive adenocarcinomas arising in this setting often seem to display a distinctive appearance that we tentatively propose as the TPPP-BRD9 fusion-positive pattern of GBC.
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Adenocarcinoma , Carcinoma Neuroendocrino , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adenocarcinoma/patología , Adenocarcinoma/genética , Biomarcadores de Tumor/análisis , Biomarcadores de Tumor/genética , Carcinoma Neuroendocrino/patología , Carcinoma Neuroendocrino/genética , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/patología , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/genética , Fusión Génica , Proteínas del Tejido Nervioso/genética , Proteínas de Fusión Oncogénica/genética , Factores de Transcripción/genéticaRESUMEN
The multiple physical fields of hot mix asphalt (HMA) during the compaction process have a significant impact on the durability of asphalt pavement, and this research aimed to evaluate the synergistic effect of the HMA field compaction of multi-physical field evolution during the compaction process. First, the temperature field, structural layer thickness variation, and structural layer density variation were monitored during field compaction. Second, the evolution properties of compaction thickness were obtained under the synergistic influence of multi-physical fields by temperature field and compaction thickness. Finally, the evolution properties of compaction density were obtained under the synergistic influence of multi-physical fields based on the temperature field and structural layer density. The results showed that the field compaction process could be characterized by three stages under the synergistic impact of multi-physical fields. The cooling of the temperature field presents two-stage characteristics. There were cubic polynomial evolution properties for the temperature field versus time and the density versus temperature field. There was an exponential relationship between the thickness of the compacted layer and the number of mills. The aggregate particles showed different motion characteristics in the horizontal and vertical directions and vertical directions. The vertical displacement was larger than the horizontal displacement under the synergistic influence of multi-physical fields during the three stages of compaction. The migration and reorganization of aggregate particles affected the evolution of the multi-physics fields of the compaction process under the action of different compaction modes.
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BACKGROUND: The aetiology of lung cancer among individuals who never smoked remains elusive, despite 15% of lung cancer cases in men and 53% in women worldwide being unrelated to smoking. Epigenetic alterations, particularly DNA methylation (DNAm) changes, have emerged as potential drivers. Yet, few prospective epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS), primarily focusing on peripheral blood DNAm with limited representation of never smokers, have been conducted. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study of 80 never-smoking incident lung cancer cases and 83 never-smoking controls within the Shanghai Women's Health Study and Shanghai Men's Health Study. DNAm was measured in prediagnostic oral rinse samples using Illumina MethylationEPIC array. Initially, we conducted an EWAS to identify differentially methylated positions (DMPs) associated with lung cancer in the discovery sample of 101 subjects. The top 50 DMPs were further evaluated in a replication sample of 62 subjects, and results were pooled using fixed-effect meta-analysis. RESULTS: Our study identified three DMPs significantly associated with lung cancer at the epigenome-wide significance level of p<8.22×10-8. These DMPs were identified as cg09198866 (MYH9; TXN2), cg01411366 (SLC9A10) and cg12787323. Furthermore, examination of the top 1000 DMPs indicated significant enrichment in epithelial regulatory regions and their involvement in small GTPase-mediated signal transduction pathways. Additionally, GrimAge acceleration was identified as a risk factor for lung cancer (OR=1.19 per year; 95% CI 1.06 to 1.34). CONCLUSIONS: While replication in a larger sample size is necessary, our findings suggest that DNAm patterns in prediagnostic oral rinse samples could provide novel insights into the underlying mechanisms of lung cancer in never smokers.
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Metilación de ADN , Epigenoma , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/genética , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Anciano , Epigénesis GenéticaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests a possible link between diabetes and gastric cancer risk, but the findings remain inconclusive, with limited studies in the Asian population. We aimed to assess the impact of diabetes and diabetes duration on the development of gastric cancer overall, by anatomical and histological subtypes. METHODS: A pooled analysis was conducted using 12 prospective studies included in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Among 558 981 participants (median age 52), after a median follow-up of 14.9 years and 10.5 years, 8556 incident primary gastric cancers and 8058 gastric cancer deaths occurred, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Diabetes was associated with an increased incidence of overall gastric cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.25). The risk association did not differ significantly by sex (women vs men: HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.07-1.60 vs 1.12, 1.01-1.23), anatomical subsites (noncardia vs cardia: 1.14, 1.02-1.28 vs 1.17, 0.77-1.78) and histological subtypes (intestinal vs diffuse: 1.22, 1.02-1.46 vs 1.00, 0.62-1.61). Gastric cancer risk increased significantly during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis (HR 4.70, 95% CI 3.77-5.86), and decreased with time (nonlinear p < .01). Positive associations between diabetes and gastric cancer mortality were observed (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.28) but attenuated after a 2-year time lag. CONCLUSION: Diabetes was associated with an increased gastric cancer incidence regardless of sex, anatomical subsite, or subtypes of gastric cancer. The risk of gastric cancer was particularly high during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Gástricas/patología , Incidencia , Masculino , Femenino , Asia/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidad , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Anciano , AdultoRESUMEN
The etiology of lung cancer in never-smokers remains elusive, despite 15% of lung cancer cases in men and 53% in women worldwide being unrelated to smoking. Here, we aimed to enhance our understanding of lung cancer pathogenesis among never-smokers using untargeted metabolomics. This nested case-control study included 395 never-smoking women who developed lung cancer and 395 matched never-smoking cancer-free women from the prospective Shanghai Women's Health Study with 15,353 metabolic features quantified in pre-diagnostic plasma using liquid chromatography high-resolution mass spectrometry. Recognizing that metabolites often correlate and seldom act independently in biological processes, we utilized a weighted correlation network analysis to agnostically construct 28 network modules of correlated metabolites. Using conditional logistic regression models, we assessed the associations for both metabolic network modules and individual metabolic features with lung cancer, accounting for multiple testing using a false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.20. We identified a network module of 121 features inversely associated with all lung cancer (p = .001, FDR = 0.028) and lung adenocarcinoma (p = .002, FDR = 0.056), where lyso-glycerophospholipids played a key role driving these associations. Another module of 440 features was inversely associated with lung adenocarcinoma (p = .014, FDR = 0.196). Individual metabolites within these network modules were enriched in biological pathways linked to oxidative stress, and energy metabolism. These pathways have been implicated in previous metabolomics studies involving populations exposed to known lung cancer risk factors such as traffic-related air pollution and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Our results suggest that untargeted plasma metabolomics could provide novel insights into the etiology and risk factors of lung cancer among never-smokers.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Metabolómica , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias Pulmonares/sangre , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metabolómica/métodos , China/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , Redes y Vías Metabólicas , No Fumadores/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Salud de la Mujer , Biomarcadores de Tumor/sangre , Fumar/efectos adversos , Fumar/sangreRESUMEN
Early detection is critical for improving pancreatic cancer prognosis. Our study aims to identify circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) associated with pancreatic cancer risk. The two-stage study used plasma samples collected ≤5 years prior to cancer diagnosis, from case-control studies nested in five prospective cohort studies. The discovery stage included 185 case-control pairs from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Replication stage samples comprised 277 pairs from Shanghai Women's Health Study/Shanghai Men's Health Study, Southern Community Cohort Study, and Multiethnic Cohort Study. Seven hundred and ninety-eight miRNAs were measured using the NanoString nCounter Analysis System. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for per 10% change in miRNAs in association with pancreatic cancer risk were derived from conditional logistic regression analysis in discovery and replication studies, separately, and then meta-analyzed. Stratified analysis was conducted by age at diagnosis (<65/≥65 years) and time interval between sample collection and diagnosis (≤2/>2 years). In the discovery stage, 120 risk associated miRNAs were identified at p < .05. Three were validated in the replication stage: hsa-miR-199a-3p/hsa-miR-199b-3p, hsa-miR-767-5p, and hsa-miR-191-5p, with respective ORs (95% CI) being 0.89 (0.84-0.95), 1.08 (1.02-1.13), and 0.90 (0.85-0.95). Five additional miRNAs, hsa-miR-640, hsa-miR-874-5p, hsa-miR-1299, hsa-miR-22-3p, and hsa-miR-449b-5p, were validated among patients diagnosed at ≥65 years, with OR (95% CI) of 1.23 (1.09-1.39), 1.33 (1.16-1.52), 1.25 (1.09-1.43), 1.28 (1.12-1.46), 0.76 (0.65-0.89), and 1.22 (1.07-1.39), respectively. The miRNA targets were enriched in pancreatic carcinogenesis/progression-related pathways. Our study suggests that circulating miRNAs may identify individuals at high risk for pancreatic cancer ≤5 years prior to diagnosis, indicating its potential utility in cancer screening and surveillance.
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Biomarcadores de Tumor , MicroARN Circulante , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/genética , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/sangre , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Femenino , Masculino , MicroARN Circulante/sangre , MicroARN Circulante/genética , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Anciano , Biomarcadores de Tumor/genética , Biomarcadores de Tumor/sangre , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , MicroARNs/sangre , MicroARNs/genética , PronósticoRESUMEN
There has been growing evidence suggesting that diabetes may be associated with increased liver cancer risk. However, studies conducted in Asian countries are limited. This project considered data of 968,738 adults pooled from 20 cohort studies of Asia Cohort Consortium to examine the association between baseline diabetes and liver cancer incidence and mortality. Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk approach was used for pooled data. Two-stage meta-analysis across studies was also done. There were 839,194 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer incidence (5654 liver cancer cases [48.29/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (44,781 with diabetes [5.3%]). There were 747,198 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer mortality (5020 liver cancer deaths [44.03/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (43,243 with diabetes [5.8%]). Hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [95%CI]) of liver cancer diagnosis in those with vs. without baseline diabetes was 1.97 (1.79, 2.16) (p < .0001) after adjusting for baseline age, gender, body mass index, tobacco smoking, alcohol use, and heterogeneity across studies (n = 586,072; events = 4620). Baseline diabetes was associated with increased cumulative incidence of death due to liver cancer (adjusted HR (95%CI) = 1.97 (1.79, 2.18); p < .0001) (n = 595,193; events = 4110). A two-stage meta-analytic approach showed similar results. This paper adds important population-based evidence to current literature regarding the increased incidence and mortality of liver cancer in adults with diabetes. The analysis of data pooled from 20 studies of different Asian countries and the meta-analysis across studies with large number of subjects makes the results robust.
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Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Incidencia , Asia/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidad , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , AncianoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The family history of gastric cancer holds important implications for cancer surveillance and prevention, yet existing evidence predominantly comes from case-control studies. We aimed to investigate the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer risk overall and by various subtypes in Asians in a prospective study. METHODS: We included 12 prospective cohorts with 550,508 participants in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate study-specific adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer incidence and mortality, then pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. Stratified analyses were performed for the anatomical subsites and histological subtypes. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up of 15.6 years, 2258 incident gastric cancers and 5194 gastric cancer deaths occurred. The risk of incident gastric cancer was higher in individuals with a family history of gastric cancer (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58), similarly in males (1.44, 1.31-1.59) and females (1.45, 1.23-1.70). Family history of gastric cancer was associated with both cardia (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.00-1.60) and non-cardia subsites (1.49, 1.35-1.65), and with intestinal- (1.48, 1.30-1.70) and diffuse-type (1.59, 1.35-1.87) gastric cancer incidence. Positive associations were also found for gastric cancer mortality (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.41). CONCLUSIONS: In this largest prospective study to date on family history and gastric cancer, a familial background of gastric cancer increased the risk of gastric cancer in the Asian population. Targeted education, screening, and intervention in these high-risk groups may reduce the burden of gastric cancer.
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Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Gástricas/genética , Masculino , Femenino , Incidencia , Asia/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Adulto , Estudios de Seguimiento , Predisposición Genética a la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We characterized age at diagnosis and estimated sex differences for lung cancer and its histological subtypes among individuals who never smoke. METHODS: We analyzed the distribution of age at lung cancer diagnosis in 33,793 individuals across 8 cohort studies and two national registries from East Asia, the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK). Student's t-tests were used to assess the study population differences (Δ years) in age at diagnosis comparing females and males who never smoke across subgroups defined by race/ethnicity, geographic location, and histological subtypes. RESULTS: We found that among Chinese individuals diagnosed with lung cancer who never smoke, females were diagnosed with lung cancer younger than males in the Taiwan Cancer Registry (n = 29,832) (Δ years = -2.2 (95% confidence interval (CI):-2.5, -1.9), in Shanghai (n = 1049) (Δ years = -1.6 (95% CI:-2.9, -0.3), and in Sutter Health and Kaiser Permanente Hawai'i in the US (n = 82) (Δ years = -11.3 (95% CI: -17.7, -4.9). While there was a suggestion of similar patterns in African American and non-Hispanic White individuals. the estimated differences were not consistent across studies and were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of sex differences for age at lung cancer diagnosis among individuals who never smoke.
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Etnicidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Humo , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , China , BlancoRESUMEN
Previous studies have investigated the association between reproductive factors and lung cancer risk; however, findings have been inconsistent. In order to assess this association among Asian women, a total of 308,949 female participants from 11 prospective cohorts and four Asian countries (Japan, Korea, China, and Singapore) were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 3,119 primary lung cancer cases and 2247 lung cancer deaths were identified with a mean follow-up of 16.4 years. Parous women had a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality as compared with nulliparous women, with HRs of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.70-0.96) and 0.78 (95% CI = 0.65-0.94). The protective association of parity and lung cancer incidence was greater among ever-smokers (HR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.49-0.87) than in never-smokers (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.74-1.09) (P-interaction = 0.029). Compared with age at first delivery ≤20 years, older age at first delivery (21-25, ≥26 years) was associated with a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality. Women who ever used hormone replacements had a higher likelihood of developing non-small cell lung cancer (HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.02-1.68), compared to those who never used hormone replacements. Future studies are needed to assess the underlying mechanisms, the relationships within these female reproductive factors, and the potential changes in smoking habits over time.
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Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Asia/epidemiología , Hormonas , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Although lung cancer prediction models are widely used to support risk-based screening, their performance outside Western populations remains uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the performance of 11 existing risk prediction models in multiple Asian populations and to refit prediction models for Asians. METHODS: In a pooled analysis of 186,458 Asian ever-smokers from 19 prospective cohorts, we assessed calibration (expected-to-observed ratio) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) for each model. In addition, we developed the "Shanghai models" to better refine risk models for Asians on the basis of two well-characterized population-based prospective cohorts and externally validated them in other Asian cohorts. RESULTS: Among the 11 models, the Lung Cancer Death Risk Assessment Tool yielded the highest AUC (AUC [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 0.71 [0.67-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.69 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial Model had good calibration overall (expected-to-observed ratio [95% CI] = 1.06 [0.90-1.25]). Nevertheless, these models substantially underestimated lung cancer risk among Asians who reported less than 10 smoking pack-years or stopped smoking more than or equal to 20 years ago. The Shanghai models were found to have marginal improvement overall in discrimination (AUC [95% CI] = 0.72 [0.69-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.70 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) but consistently outperformed the selected Western models among low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters. CONCLUSIONS: The Shanghai models had comparable performance overall to the best existing models, but they improved much in predicting the lung cancer risk of low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters in Asia.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Fumadores , Estudios Prospectivos , China/epidemiología , Pulmón , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Detección Precoz del CáncerRESUMEN
Body fatness is considered a probable risk factor for biliary tract cancer (BTC), whereas cholelithiasis is an established factor. Nevertheless, although obesity is an established risk factor for cholelithiasis, previous studies of the association of body mass index (BMI) and BTC did not take the effect of cholelithiasis fully into account. To better understand the effect of BMI on BTC, we conducted a pooled analysis using population-based cohort studies in Asians. In total, 905 530 subjects from 21 cohort studies participating in the Asia Cohort Consortium were included. BMI was categorized into four groups: underweight (<18.5 kg/m2 ); normal (18.5-22.9 kg/m2 ); overweight (23-24.9 kg/m2 ); and obese (25+ kg/m2 ). The association between BMI and BTC incidence and mortality was assessed using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by Cox regression models with shared frailty. Mediation analysis was used to decompose the association into a direct and an indirect (mediated) effect. Compared to normal BMI, high BMI was associated with BTC mortality (HR 1.19 [CI 1.02-1.38] for males, HR 1.30 [1.14-1.49] for females). Cholelithiasis had significant interaction with BMI on BTC risk. BMI was associated with BTC risk directly and through cholelithiasis in females, whereas the association was unclear in males. When cholelithiasis was present, BMI was not associated with BTC death in either males or females. BMI was associated with BTC death among females without cholelithiasis. This study suggests BMI is associated with BTC mortality in Asians. Cholelithiasis appears to contribute to the association; and moreover, obesity appears to increase BTC risk without cholelithiasis.
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Neoplasias del Sistema Biliar , Colelitiasis , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/epidemiología , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios de Cohortes , Asia/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Sistema Biliar/epidemiología , Colelitiasis/complicaciones , Colelitiasis/epidemiología , Índice de Masa CorporalRESUMEN
Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) have identified many putative susceptibility genes for colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, susceptibility miRNAs, critical dysregulators of gene expression, remain unexplored. We genotyped DNA samples from 313 CRC East Asian patients and performed small RNA sequencing in their normal colon tissues distant from tumors to build genetic models for predicting miRNA expression. We applied these models and data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) including 23 942 cases and 217 267 controls of East Asian ancestry to investigate associations of predicted miRNA expression with CRC risk. Perturbation experiments separately by promoting and inhibiting miRNAs expressions and further in vitro assays in both SW480 and HCT116 cells were conducted. At a Bonferroni-corrected threshold of P < 4.5 × 10-4, we identified two putative susceptibility miRNAs, miR-1307-5p and miR-192-3p, located in regions more than 500 kb away from any GWAS-identified risk variants in CRC. We observed that a high predicted expression of miR-1307-5p was associated with increased CRC risk, while a low predicted expression of miR-192-3p was associated with increased CRC risk. Our experimental results further provide strong evidence of their susceptible roles by showing that miR-1307-5p and miR-192-3p play a regulatory role, respectively, in promoting and inhibiting CRC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion, which was consistently observed in both SW480 and HCT116 cells. Our study provides additional insights into the biological mechanisms underlying CRC development.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , MicroARNs , Humanos , MicroARNs/genética , MicroARNs/metabolismo , Transcriptoma/genética , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Neoplasias Colorrectales/metabolismo , Células HCT116 , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica/genética , Proliferación Celular/genéticaRESUMEN
We evaluated whether aflatoxin B1 (AFB1 ) exposure was associated with later risk of developing gallbladder cancer (GBC). We measured AFB1 -lysine albumin adducts in baseline samples from the Shanghai Cohort Study of 18 244 men aged 45 to 64 years (recruited 1986-1989). We included 84 GBC cases with sufficient serum and 168 controls matched on age at sample collection, date of blood draw and residence. We calculated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for detectable vs non-detectable AFB1 -lysine albumin adducts and gallbladder cancer. AFB1 -lysine albumin adducts were detected in 50.0% of GBC cases, and risk of GBC was twice as high in those with detectable vs undetectable levels (OR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.0-3.9). ORs ranged from 1.8 (95% CI = 0.75-4.3) for 0.5 to <1.75 pg/mg vs undetectable adduct levels to 2.2 (95% CI = 0.91-5.6) for >3.36 pg/mg vs undetectable, suggesting a dose-response (Ptrend = .05). When restricted to cases diagnosed before the median time to diagnosis after blood draw (18.4 years), results were similar (OR = 2.2, 95% CI = 0.80-5.8) to those for the entire follow-up duration. The OR was 9.4 (95% CI = 1.7-51.1) for individuals with detectable AFB1 -lysine albumin adducts and self-reported gallstones compared to individuals with neither. Participants with detectable AFB1 -lysine albumin adducts at baseline had increased risk of developing GBC, replicating the previously observed association between AFB1 exposure and providing the first evidence of temporality.
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Aflatoxinas , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar , Masculino , Humanos , Aflatoxinas/toxicidad , Aflatoxinas/análisis , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/inducido químicamente , Neoplasias de la Vesícula Biliar/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Lisina , Estudios de Cohortes , China/epidemiología , Aflatoxina B1/efectos adversos , Aflatoxina B1/análisis , AlbúminasRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Theoretically, some metabolic traits may predispose older individuals to weight loss during aging, leading to increased all-cause mortality and many serious health issues. Biomarkers to robustly predict progressive weight loss during aging are, however, lacking. We prospectively assessed if urinary levels of F2-isoprostanes and their peroxisomal ß-oxidation metabolite, 2,3-dinor-5,6-dihydro-15-F2t-isoprostane (F2-IsoP-M), were associated with subsequent weight loss in middle-aged and older women. METHODS: Included in the analysis were 2,066 women aged 40-70 years, a subset of a prospective cohort study. F2-isoprostanes (F2-IsoPs) and its ß-oxidation metabolite, F2-IsoP-M, were measured in urine using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Measurements of anthropometry and exposures to major determinants of body weight were performed at baseline and repeated thrice over 15-year follow-up. The longitudinal associations of F2-IsoP-M and the F2-IsoP-M to its parent compound, F2-IsoP, ratio (MPR) with repeatedly measured weight changes were examined using linear mixed-effect models. RESULTS: After adjusting for time-varying covariates: energy intake, physical activity, and comorbidity index, among others, levels of F2-IsoP-M and the MPR were both inversely associated with percentage of weight change. Weight in the highest quartile of these two biomarkers was 1.33% (95% CI = -2.41, -0.24) and 1.09% (95% CI = -2.16, -0.02) lower than those in the lowest quartile group, with p for trend of 0.01 and 0.03, respectively. The inverse association was consistently seen across follow-up periods, although appearing stronger with prolonged follow-up. There was no association between the parent compound, F2-IsoPs, and weight change. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the first piece of evidence to associate F2-IsoP metabolism, peroxisomal ß-oxidation, with weight loss in older women. Further investigations into the role of lipid peroxidation and peroxisomal ß-oxidation in weight change among older individuals are warranted.
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F2-Isoprostanos , Estrés Oxidativo , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , F2-Isoprostanos/metabolismo , Estudios Prospectivos , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Pérdida de PesoRESUMEN
Background: Stroke, a leading cause of disability worldwide, has been associated with periodontitis. However, whether stroke risk is related to oral microbiota remains unknown. This study aims to evaluate the associations between the oral microbiome and ischemic stroke risk. Methods: In a case-control study of 134 case-control pairs nested within a prospective cohort study, we examined pre-diagnostic oral microbiome in association with stroke risk via shotgun metagenomic sequencing. The microbial sub-community and functional profiling were performed using Latent Dirichlet Allocation and HUMAnN2. Associations of microbial diversity, sub-community structure, and individual microbial features with ischemic stroke risk were evaluated via conditional logistic regression. Results: Alpha and beta diversities differ significantly between cases and controls. One genus- and two species-level sub-communities were significantly associated with decreased ischemic stroke risk, with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 0.52 (0.31-0.90), 0.51 (0.31-0.84), and 0.60 (0.36-0.99), respectively. These associations were potentially driven by the representative taxa in these sub-communities, i.e., genus Corynebacterium and Lautropia, and species Lautropia mirabilis and Neisseria elongate (p < 0.05). Additionally, 55 taxa, 1,237 gene families, and 90 metabolic pathways were associated with ischemic stroke risk at p < 0.05. Conclusion: Our study highlights the role of oral microbiota in the etiology of ischemic stroke and calls for further research.
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Importance: Despite evidence of an association between reproductive factors and endometrial cancer risk, prospective studies have been conducted mainly in non-Asian countries. Objective: To assess the association between reproductive factors, such as number of deliveries, age at menarche, or menopause, and endometrial cancer risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used pooled individual data from 13 prospective cohort studies conducted between 1963 and 2014 in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Participants were Asian women. Data analysis was conducted from September 2019 to April 2023. Exposures: Reproductive factors were assessed using a questionnaire in each cohort. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was time to incidence of endometrial cancer. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results: A total of 1005 endometrial cancer cases were detected among 332â¯625 women (mean [SD] age, 54.3 [10.4] years) during a mean (SD) of 16.5 (6.4) years of follow-up. Increasing number of deliveries was associated with a decreased endometrial cancer risk in a dose-response manner (≥5 deliveries vs nulliparous [reference]: HR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.26-0.53; P for trend < .001). Compared with menarche at younger than 13 years, menarche at 17 years or older had an HR of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.48-0.86; P for trend < .001). Late menopause (age ≥55 years) showed an HR of 2.84 (95% CI, 1.78-4.55; P for trend < .001) compared with the youngest age category for menopause (<45 years). Age at first delivery, hormone therapy, and breastfeeding were not associated with endometrial cancer risk. Conclusions and Relevance: This large pooled study of individual participant data found that late menarche, early menopause, and a higher number of deliveries were significantly associated with a lower risk of endometrial cancer. These convincing results from Asian prospective studies add to the growing body of evidence for the association between reproductive factors and endometrial cancer.
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Neoplasias Endometriales , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Neoplasias Endometriales/epidemiología , Neoplasias Endometriales/etiología , Historia Reproductiva , ParidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The complex relationship between measured leukocyte telomere length (LTL), genetically predicted LTL (gTL), and carcinogenesis is exemplified by lung cancer. We previously reported associations between longer pre-diagnostic LTL, gTL, and increased lung cancer risk among European and East Asian populations. However, we had limited statistical power to examine the associations among never smokers by gender and histology. METHODS: To investigate further, we conducted nested case-control analyses on an expanded sample of never smokers from the prospective Shanghai Women's Health Studies (798 cases and 792 controls) and Shanghai Men's Health Studies (161 cases and 162 controls). We broke the case-control matching and used multivariable unconditional logistic regression models to estimate the ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of incident lung cancer and adenocarcinoma (LUAD), in relation to LTL measured using quantitative PCR and gTL determined using a polygenic score. In addition, we conducted Mendelian randomization (MR) using MR-PRESSO. RESULTS: We found striking dose-response relationships between longer LTL and gTL, and increased lung cancer risk among never-smoking women (P trendLTL = 4×10-6; P trendgTL = 3×10-4). Similarly, among never-smoking men, longer measured LTL was associated with over triple the risk compared with those with the shortest (OR, 3.48; 95% CI, 1.85-6.57). The overall results were similar for LUAD among women and men. MR analyses supported causal associations with LUAD among women (OR1 SD gTL, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03-1.37; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Longer pre-diagnostic LTL is associated with increased lung cancer risk among never smokers. IMPACT: Our findings firmly support the role of longer telomeres in lung carcinogenesis.