ASSESSING PREDICTORS OF DIRECTLY ACTING ANTIVIRALS' FAILURE AS A FURTHER STEP TOWARDS MORE EFFICIENT HCV ELIMINATION PROGRAMS: IL28B (IFNL4) GENE POLYMORPHISM HAS NO ROLE WHILE HIGHER ESTIMATED CREATININE CLEARANCE IS A FORGOTTEN FACTOR.

BACKGROUND: Sustained virologic response (SVR) rates after directly acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) exceed 95%. This encouraged policymakers to put plans to achieve HCV elimination by 2030. The remaining percentage of non-SVR12 can affect HCV eradication strategies in the real-world especially the compliance of large numbers of treated persons to follow up for assessment of virologic response cannot be guaranteed. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess predictors of failure to achieve SVR after receiving sofosbuvir plus NS5A inhibitor as an important step towards achieving better HCV eradication strategies. METHODS: During the period from 1st November 2018 to 1st November 2019, 1581 treatment-naive patients received sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir ± ribavirin at our unit and 10 patients were referred to us with HCV relapse after the same regimens. A total of 163 out of the 1581 patients were lost for follow-up before assessment of virologic response and excluded from the analysis. 20 out of the remaining patients failed to achieve SVR12. Data from the 30 patients with non-SVR12 were included in the case-control analysis. RESULTS: Every unit increase in estimated creatinine clearance using modification of diet in renal disease study (MDRD) score, total bilirubin, and INR was associated with 1.03, 13.92, and 80.08 times greater odds of non-SVR12 (P<0.001, P=0.0016, P=0.02) respectively. The presence of liver cirrhosis on ultrasonography increases the odds by 10.03. (P=0.009). CONCLUSION: Higher MDRD score, INR, total bilirubin, and presence of sonographic features of liver cirrhosis are predictors of failure to achieve SVR12 using sofosbuvir plus NS5A inhibitor.

Avaliação dos preditores da falha dos antivirais de ação direta como mais um passo para programas de eliminação de VHC mais eficiente: o polimorfismo genético IL28B (IFNL4) não tem destaque, enquanto maior liberação estimada do "clearence" de creatinina é um fator esquecido / Assessing predictors of directly acting antivirals' failure as a further step towards more efficient hcv elimination programs: il28b (ifnl4) gene polymorphism has no role while higher estimated creatinine clearance is a forgotten factor

ABSTRACT Background: Sustained virologic response (SVR) rates after directly acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) exceed 95%. This encouraged policymakers to put plans to achieve HCV elimination by 2030. The remaining percentage of non-SVR12 can affect HCV eradication strategies in the real-world especially the compliance of large numbers of treated persons to follow up for assessment of virologic response cannot be guaranteed. Objective: We aimed to assess predictors of failure to achieve SVR after receiving sofosbuvir plus NS5A inhibitor as an important step towards achieving better HCV eradication strategies. Methods: During the period from 1st November 2018 to 1st November 2019, 1581 treatment-naive patients received sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir ± ribavirin at our unit and 10 patients were referred to us with HCV relapse after the same regimens. A total of 163 out of the 1581 patients were lost for follow-up before assessment of virologic response and excluded from the analysis. 20 out of the remaining patients failed to achieve SVR12. Data from the 30 patients with non-SVR12 were included in the case-control analysis. Results: Every unit increase in estimated creatinine clearance using modification of diet in renal disease study (MDRD) score, total bilirubin, and INR was associated with 1.03, 13.92, and 80.08 times greater odds of non-SVR12 (P<0.001, P=0.0016, P=0.02) respectively. The presence of liver cirrhosis on ultrasonography increases the odds by 10.03. (P=0.009). Conclusion: Higher MDRD score, INR, total bilirubin, and presence of sonographic features of liver cirrhosis are predictors of failure to achieve SVR12 using sofosbuvir plus NS5A inhibitor.

RESUMO Contexto: As taxas de resposta virológica sustentada (SVR) após ação direta de antivirais (DAAs) para o vírus da hepatite C (VHC) excedem 95%. Isso encorajou os formuladores de políticas a colocar planos para alcançar a eliminação do VHC até 2030. O percentual remanescente de não-respondedores pode afetar as estratégias de erradicação do VHC no mundo real, especialmente a conformidade de um grande número de pessoas tratadas para acompanhamento para avaliação da resposta virológica não pode ser garantida. Objetivo: Nosso objetivo foi avaliar os preditores de não atingir o SVR após receber o inibidor sofosbuvir mais NS5A como um passo importante para alcançar melhores estratégias de erradicação do VHC. Métodos: No período de 1º de novembro de 2018 a 1º de novembro de 2019, 1581 pacientes receberam sofosbuvir mais daclatasvir ± ribavirin em nossa unidade e 10 pacientes foram encaminhados por recaída do VHC após os mesmos regimes. Um total de 163 dos 1581 pacientes foram perdidos para o acompanhamento antes da avaliação da resposta virológica e excluídos da análise. 20 dos demais pacientes não conseguiram a resposta virológica sustentada (SVR12). Os dados de 30 pacientes com não SVR12 foram incluídos na análise caso-controle. Resultados: Cada unidade aumentada no clearence estimado de creatinina usando o escore do estudo Modificação da Dieta em Doença Renal (MDRD), bilirrubina total e INR foram associadas a 1,03, 13,92 e 80,08 vezes maiores chances de não-SVR12 (P<0,001, P=0,0016, P=0,02) respectivamente. A presença de cirrose hepática na ultrassonografia aumenta as chances em 10,03. (P=0,009). Conclusão: Maior escore de MDRD, INR, bilirrubina total e presença de características sonográficas de cirrose hepática são preditores de falha na realização do SVR12 utilizando o inibidor sofosbuvir mais NS5A.