The COVID-19 pandemic's impact on all-cause mortality disparities in Medicare: By race, income, chronic health, mental/behavioral health, disability.

BACKGROUND: The Medicare-enrolled population is heterogeneous across race, ethnicity, age, dual eligibility, and a breadth of chronic health, mental and behavioral health, and disability-related conditions, which may be differentially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVE: To quantify changes in all-cause mortality prior-to and in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic across Medicare's different sociodemographic and health-condition subpopulations. METHODS: This observational, population-based study used stratified bivariate regression to investigate Medicare fee-for-service subpopulation differences in pre-pandemic (i.e., 2019 versus 2016) and pandemic-related (2020 versus 2019) changes in all-cause mortality. RESULTS: All-cause mortality in the combined Medicare-Advantage (i.e., managed care) and fee-for-service beneficiary population improved by a relative 1% in the ten years that preceded the COVID-19 pandemic, but then escalated by a relative 15.9% in 2020, the pandemic's first year. However, a closer look at Medicare's fee-for-service subpopulations reveals critical differences. All-cause mortality had actually been worsening prior to the pandemic among most psychiatric and disability-related condition groups, all race and ethnicity groups except White Non-Hispanic, and Medicare-Medicaid dual-eligible (i.e., low-income) beneficiaries. Many of these groups then experienced all-cause mortality spikes in 2020 that were over twice that of the overall Medicare fee-for-service population. Of all 61 chronic health conditions studied, beneficiaries with schizophrenia were the most adversely affected, with all-cause mortality increasing 38.4% between 2019 and 2020. CONCLUSION: This analysis reveals subpopulation differences in all-cause mortality trends, both prior to and in year-one of the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating that the events of 2020 exacerbated preexisting health-related inequities.

Red Blood Cell Product Transfusion Thresholds and Clinical Outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether patients transfused red blood cell (RBC) products according to guideline-specified pretransfusion hemoglobin (Hb) concentrations or for other reasons were more likely to survive their intensive care unit (ICU) stay. DESIGN: An observational study of 375 478 episodes of ICU care, over 5 years, was performed with ICU survival as the primary outcome. Outcomes were analyzed as a function of pretransfusion Hb concentration for groups with distinct transfusion indications while adjusting for potential confounders. SETTING AND PATIENTS: This study included all adult patients discharged from 1 of 203 adult ICUs from 32 US health-care systems. The patients were from community hospitals, tertiary, and academic medical centers. INTERVENTION: Transfusion of allogenic packed RBCs or whole blood was prescribed at the discretion of the treating clinicians. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We found that 15% of adult ICU patients are transfused RBC products, and most transfusions for hemodynamically stable patients are administered above the guideline-specified pretransfusion Hb threshold of 7 g/dL. Hemodynamically stable patients transfused below this threshold were significantly more likely to survive their ICU stay than those not transfused (odds ratio [OR] 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.43-0.81; P = .001), and patients transfused at thresholds above 9 g/dL were less likely to survive their ICU stay than those not transfused. Patients of the acute blood loss group who were transfused appeared to benefit or were not harmed by transfusion. CONCLUSION: Conservative RBC product transfusion practices for groups that are targeted by guidelines are justified by outcomes observed in clinical practice. This study provides evidence for the liberal administration of RBC products to critically ill adults with acute blood loss based on association with lower risk of mortality.