Vaccine effectiveness of 3rd generation mpox vaccines against mpox and disease severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Before the global mpox outbreak which began in 2022, the real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) of mpox vaccines was unknown. We quantified the VE in the global population of 3rd generation or later mpox vaccines (MVA-BN, LC16m8, OrthopoxVac) compared with unvaccinated or other vaccinated states for infection, hospitalization and death. VE was stratified by 1-dose and 2-doses and post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP). METHODS: Studies were included if they measured vaccine efficacy or effectiveness in humans. Animal studies and immunogenicity studies were excluded. MEDLINE, Web of Science, Google Scholar, Embase, MedRxiv and grey literature were searched from January 1st, 1970, with the last search run on November 3, 2023 (Prospero, CRD42022345240). Risk of publication bias was assessed via funnel plots and Egger's test, and study quality via Newcastle-Ottawa scales. RESULTS: A total of 11,892 records were identified via primary search, 3,223 via citation chasing. Thirty-three studies were identified of 3rd generation vaccines, 32 of which were MVA-BN. Two additional studies were re-analysis of existing data. Most of these studies were focused on gay, bisexual, or other men who have sex with men between the ages of 18-49 in May to October of 2022. VE of 1 dose of MVA-BN was 76% (95%CI 64-88%) from twelve studies. VE of 2 doses was 82% (95%CI 72-92%) from six studies. VE of MVA-BN PEP against mpox was 20% (95%CI -24-65%) from seven studies. All VE are calculated from random effects estimates. 18/33(55%) studies were rated as poor, 3/33(9%) as fair and 12/33(36%) as good. Studies included in the meta-analysis had higher quality: 11/16 (69%) were rated as good quality. CONCLUSION: Both 1 and 2 doses of MVA-BN are highly effective at preventing mpox. Effectiveness estimates, specifically of PEP are limited by immortal time bias, predominant mode of mpox transmission, and real-world vaccine timing of administration.

Cancer research is not correlated with driver gene mutation burdens.

BACKGROUND: Cancer research is pursued with the goal of positively impacting patients with cancer. Decisions regarding how to allocate research funds reflect a complex balancing of priorities and factors. Even though these are subjective decisions, they should be made with consideration of all available objective facts. An accurate estimate of the affected cancer patient population by mutation is one variable that has only recently become available to inform funding decisions. METHODS: We compared the overall incident burden of mutations within each cancer-associated gene with two measures of cancer research efforts: research grant funding amounts and numbers of academic manuscripts. We ask to what degree the aggregate set of cancer research efforts reflects the relative burdens of the different cancer genetic drivers. We thoroughly investigate the design of our queries to ensure that the presented results are robust and conclusions are well justified. FINDINGS: We find cancer research is generally not correlated with the relative burden of mutation within the different genetic drivers of cancer. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that cancer research would benefit from incorporating, among other factors, an epidemiologically informed mutation-estimate baseline into a larger framework for funding and research allocation decisions. FUNDING: This work was supported in part by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) P30CA014195 and NIH DP2AT011327.

Severe, Refractory Primary Warm Autoimmune Hemolytic Anemia Requiring 90 Erythrocyte Transfusions.

A previously healthy 60-year-old man presented to the hospital with a hemoglobin of 3.5 g/dL. He was diagnosed with severe warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia (wAIHA) with reticulocytopenia on hospital day 1 that was not responsive to steroids, immune globulin, and rituximab. Over a 42-day hospital stay, the patient remained continuously transfusion-dependent with a ninety red cell unit requirement for his refractory disease. He was trialed on therapeutic plasma exchange before ultimately undergoing inpatient splenectomy that led to a response within hours. He remains in complete remission at six months of follow-up.

Cost-effectiveness of sutimlimab in cold agglutinin disease.

Primary cold agglutinin disease (CAD) is a rare autoimmune hemolytic anemia caused by cold-reactive antibodies that bind to red blood cells and lead to complement-mediated hemolysis. Patients with primary CAD experience the burden of increased health resource utilization and reduced quality of life. The standard-of-care (SOC) in patients with primary CAD has included cold avoidance, transfusion support, and chemoimmunotherapy. The use of sutimlimab, a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively inhibits C1-mediated hemolysis, was shown to reduce transfusion-dependence and improve quality of life across two pivotal phase 3 studies, further supported by 2-year extension data. Using data from the transfusion-dependent patient population that led to sutimlimab's initial FDA approval, we performed the first-ever cost-effectiveness analysis in primary CAD. The projected incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in our Markov model was $2 340 000/QALY, significantly above an upper-end conventional US willingness-to-pay threshold of $150 000/QALY. These results are consistent across scenarios of higher body weight and a pan-refractory SOC patient phenotype (i.e., treated sequentially with bendamustine-rituximab, bortezomib, ibrutinib, and eculizumab). No parameter variations in deterministic sensitivity analyses changed our conclusion. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, SOC was favored over sutimlimab in 100% of 10 000 iterations. Exploratory threshold analyses showed that significant price reduction (>80%) or time-limited treatment (<18 months) followed by lifelong clinical remission off sutimlimab would allow sutimlimab to become cost-effective. The impact of sutimlimab on health system costs with longer term follow-up data merits future study and consideration through a distributional cost-effectiveness framework.

Cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis with recombinant vs plasma-derived VWF in severe von Willebrand disease in the United States.

ABSTRACT: We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis with recombinant von Willebrand factor (rVWF) vs with plasma-derived von Willebrand factor (pdVWF) for patients with severe Von Willebrand disease. We found that rVWF is a cost-saving factor replacement compared with pdVWF across all willingness-to-pay thresholds in the United States.

Cost-effectiveness of adding quizartinib to induction chemotherapy for patients with FLT3-mutant acute myeloid leukemia.

The FLT3 inhibitor quizartinib has been shown to improve overall survival when added to intensive induction chemotherapy ("7 + 3") in patients 18-75 years old with newly diagnosed AML harboring a FLT3-ITD mutation. However, the health economic implications of this approval are unknown. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of quizartinib using a partitioned survival analysis model. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. In the base case scenario, the addition of quizartinib to 7 + 3 resulted in incremental costs of $289,932 compared with 7 + 3 alone. With an incremental gain of 0.84 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with quizartinib + 7 + 3 induction vs. 7 + 3 alone, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the addition of quizartinib to standard 7 + 3 was $344,039/QALY. Only an 87% reduction in the average wholesale price of quizartinib or omitting quizartinib continuation therapy after completion of consolidation therapy and allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant would make quizartinib a cost-effective option.

Cost-effectiveness of bevacizumab therapy in the care of patients with hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia.

ABSTRACT: No US Food and Drug Administration- or European Medicines Agency-approved therapies exist for bleeding due to hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia (HHT), the second-most common inherited bleeding disorder worldwide. The current standard of care (SOC) includes iron and red cell supplementation, alongside the necessary hemostatic procedures, none of which target underlying disease pathogenesis. Recent evidence has demonstrated that bleeding pathophysiology is amenable to systemic antiangiogenic therapy with the anti-vascular endothelial growth factor bevacizumab. Despite its high cost, the addition of longitudinal bevacizumab to the current SOC may reduce overall health care resource use and improve patient quality of life. We conducted, to our knowledge, the first cost-effectiveness analysis of IV bevacizumab in patients with HHT with the moderate-to-severe phenotype, comparing bevacizumab added to SOC vs SOC alone. The primary outcome was the incremental net monetary benefit (iNMB) reported over a lifetime time horizon and across accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds, in US dollar per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Bevacizumab therapy accrued 9.3 QALYs while generating $428 000 in costs, compared with 8.3 QALYs and $699 000 in costs accrued in the SOC strategy. The iNMB of bevacizumab therapy vs the SOC was $433 000. No parameter variation and no scenario analysis, including choice of iron supplementation product, changed the outcome of bevacizumab being a cost-saving strategy. Bevacizumab therapy also saved patients an average of 133 hours spent receiving HHT-specific care per year of life. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, bevacizumab was favored in 100% of all 10 000 Monte Carlo iterations across base-case and all scenario analyses. Bevacizumab should be considered for more favorable formulary placement in the care of patients with moderate-to-severe HHT.

Cost-effectiveness of rapid vs in-house vs send-out ADAMTS13 testing for immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura.

ABSTRACT: While awaiting confirmatory results, empiric therapy for patients suspected to have immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) provides benefits and also accrues risks and costs. Rapid assays for ADAMTS13 may be able to avoid the cost and risk exposure associated with empiric treatment. We conducted, to our knowledge, the first cost-effectiveness evaluation of testing strategies with rapid vs traditional ADAMTS13 assays in patients with intermediate- to high-risk PLASMIC scores, with and without caplacizumab use. We built a Markov cohort simulation with 4 clinical base-case analyses: (1) intermediate-risk PLASMIC score with caplacizumab; (2) intermediate-risk PLASMIC score without caplacizumab; (3) high-risk PLASMIC score with caplacizumab; and (4) high-risk PLASMIC score without caplacizumab. Each of these evaluated 3 testing strategies: (1) rapid assay (<1-hour turnaround); (2) in-house fluorescence resonance energy transfer (FRET)-based assay (24-hour turnaround); and (3) send-out FRET-based assay (72-hour turnaround). The primary outcome was the incremental net monetary benefit reported over a 3-day time horizon and across accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds in US dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). While accruing the same amount of QALYs, the rapid assay strategy saved up to $46 820 (95% CI, $41 961-$52 486) per patient tested. No parameter variation changed the outcome. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, the rapid assay strategy was favored in 100% (3 base cases and scenario analyses) and 99% (1 base-case and scenario analysis) across 100 000 Monte Carlo iterations within each. Rapid ADAMTS13 testing for patients with intermediate- or high-risk PLASMIC scores yields significant per patient cost savings, achieved by reducing the costs associated with unnecessary therapeutic plasma exchange and caplacizumab therapy in patients without iTTP.

Decreasing alloimmunization-specific mortality in sickle cell disease in the United States: Cost-effectiveness of a shared transfusion resource.

Red blood cell alloimmunization and consequent delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction (DHTR) incidence and mortality in patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) are high. A shared transfusion resource has decreased both in other countries, while in the United States cost concerns persist. We conducted a Markov cohort simulation of a birth cohort of alloimmunized patients with SCD to estimate lifetime DHTR incidence, DHTR-specific mortality, quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE), and costs with the implementation of a shared transfusion resource to identify antibody history versus without (i.e., status quo). We conducted our analysis using a lifetime analytic time horizon and from a United States health system perspective. Implementation of shared transfusion resource projects to decrease cumulative DHTR-specific mortality by 26% for alloimmunized patients with SCD in the United States, relative to the status quo. For an average patient population of 32 000, this intervention would generate a discounted increment of 4000 QALYs at an incremental discounted cost of $0.3 billion, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $75 600/QALY [95% credible interval $70 200-81 400/QALY]. The results are most sensitive to the baseline lifetime medical expenditure of patients with SCD. Alloantibody data exchange is cost-effective in 100% of 10 000 Monte Carlo simulations. The resource would theoretically need a minimum patient population of 1819 patients or cost no more than $5.29 million annually to be cost-effective. By reducing DHTR-specific mortality, a shared transfusion resource in the United States projects to be a life-saving and cost-effective intervention for patients with SCD in the United States.

Napkin math can change the world.

Mathematical models hold the key to equitable patient care.

Global Health Resource Utilization and Cost-Effectiveness of Therapeutics and Diagnostics in Immune Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic Purpura (TTP).

In this review, we examine the current landscape of health resource utilization and cost-effectiveness data in the care of patient populations with immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura. We focus on the therapeutic (therapeutic plasma exchange, glucocorticoids, rituximab, caplacizumab) and diagnostic (ADAMTS13 assay) health technologies employed in the care of patients with this rare disease. Health resource utilization and cost-effectiveness data are limited to the high-income country context. Measurement of TTP-specific utility weights in the high-income country context and collection of health resource utilization data in the low- and middle-income country settings would enable an evaluation of country-specific quality-adjusted life expectancy and cost-effectiveness of these therapeutic and diagnostic health technologies. This quantification of value is one way to mitigate cost concerns where they exist.

Cost-effectiveness of prophylactic emicizumab versus prophylactic recombinant factor VIII in patients with moderate or mild hemophilia A without inhibitors in the United States.

Prophylactic emicizumab is cost-ineffective in adults with moderate or mild hemophilia A without inhibitors at current pricing. The price of prophylactic emicizumab would need to decrease by >35% to become cost-effective in this patient population.

Distributional Cost-Effectiveness of Equity-Enhancing Gene Therapy in Sickle Cell Disease in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Gene therapy is a potential cure for sickle cell disease (SCD). Conventional cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) does not capture the effects of treatments on disparities in SCD, but distributional CEA (DCEA) uses equity weights to incorporate these considerations. OBJECTIVE: To compare gene therapy versus standard of care (SOC) in patients with SCD by using conventional CEA and DCEA. DESIGN: Markov model. DATA SOURCES: Claims data and other published sources. TARGET POPULATION: Birth cohort of patients with SCD. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: U.S. health system. INTERVENTION: Gene therapy at age 12 years versus SOC. OUTCOME MEASURES: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) (in dollars per quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs] gained) and threshold inequality aversion parameter (equity weight). RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: Gene therapy versus SOC for females yielded 25.5 versus 15.7 (males: 24.4 vs. 15.5) discounted lifetime QALYs at costs of $2.8 million and $1.0 million (males: $2.8 million and $1.2 million), respectively, with an ICER of $176 000 per QALY (full SCD population). The inequality aversion parameter would need to be 0.90 for the full SCD population for gene therapy to be preferred per DCEA standards. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: SOC was favored in 100.0% (females) and 87.1% (males) of 10 000 probabilistic iterations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per QALY. Gene therapy would need to cost less than $1.79 million to meet conventional CEA standards. LIMITATION: Benchmark equity weights (as opposed to SCD-specific weights) were used to interpret DCEA results. CONCLUSION: Gene therapy is cost-ineffective per conventional CEA standards but can be an equitable therapeutic strategy for persons living with SCD in the United States per DCEA standards. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Yale Bernard G. Forget Scholars Program and Bunker Endowment.

Cost-effectiveness of azacitidine and ivosidenib in newly diagnosed older, intensive chemotherapy-ineligible patients with IDH1-mutant acute myeloid leukemia.

Ivosidenib + azacitidine (IVO/AZA) is approved in the United States for newly diagnosed, older or intensive chemotherapy-ineligible patients with IDH1-mutated acute myeloid leukemia. We created a partitioned survival analysis model to evaluate the health economic implications of this approval. Model outputs were used to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of IVO/AZA versus AZA. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. In the base case scenario, IVO/AZA and AZA resulted in life-time costs of $403,062 and $161,887, respectively. With an incremental gain of 0.95 QALYs, the ICER of IVO/AZA was $252,782/QALY. In sensitivity analyses, only a reduction in the price of IVO by 59.3% lowered the ICER to below $150,000/QALY and 99.95% of model calculations yielded ICERs of >$150,000/QALY. In a model in which all patients received IVO monotherapy after progression on AZA monotherapy, the ICER was $155,453/QALY and various model inputs that would make IVO/AZA cost-effective were identified.

Cost-effectiveness of second-line therapies in adults with chronic immune thrombocytopenia.

Major options for second-line therapy in adults with chronic immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) include splenectomy, rituximab, and thrombopoietin receptor agonists (TRAs). The American Society of Hematology guidelines recommend rituximab over splenectomy, TRAs over rituximab, and splenectomy or TRAs while noting a lack of evidence on the cost-effectiveness of these therapies. Using prospective, observational, and meta-analytic data, we performed the first cost-effectiveness analysis of second-line therapies in chronic ITP, from the perspective of the U.S. health system. Over a 20-year time-horizon, our six-strategy Markov model shows that a strategy incorporating early splenectomy, an approach at odds with current guidelines and clinical practice, is the cost-effective strategy. All four strategies utilizing TRAs in the first or second position cost over $1 million per quality-adjusted life-year, as compared to strategies involving early use of splenectomy and rituximab. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, early use of splenectomy and rituximab in either order was favored in 100% of 10 000 iterations. The annual cost of TRAs would have to decrease over 80% to begin to become cost-effective in any early TRA strategy. Our data indicate that effectiveness of early TRA and late TRA strategies is similar with the cost significantly greater with early TRA strategies. Contrary to current practice trends and guidelines, early use of splenectomy and rituximab, rather than TRAs, constitutes cost-effective treatment in adults with chronic ITP.

Thrombosis questions from the inpatient wards.

The multifaceted pathophysiologic processes that comprise thrombosis and thromboembolic diseases take on a particular urgency in the hospitalized setting. In this review, we explore 3 cases of thrombosis from the inpatient wards: purpura fulminans, cancer-associated thrombosis with thrombocytopenia, and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the use of dose-escalated anticoagulation therapy and antiplatelet agents. We discuss the evaluation and management of purpura fulminans and the roles of plasma transfusion, protein C and antithrombin replacement, and anticoagulation in treating this disease. We present a framework for evaluating the etiologies of thrombocytopenia in cancer and review 2 strategies for anticoagulation management in patients with cancer-associated thrombosis and thrombocytopenia, including recent prospective data supporting the use of dose-modified anticoagulation based on platelet count. Last, we dissect the major clinical trials of therapeutic- and intermediate-dose anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapy in hospitalized patients with COVID-19, reviewing key recommendations from consensus guidelines while highlighting ways in which institutional and patient-tailored practices regarding antithrombotic therapies in COVID-19 may differ. Together, the cases highlight the diverse and dramatic presentations of macro- and microvascular thrombosis as encountered on the inpatient wards.