The effect of rural hospital closures on maternal and infant health.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of rural hospital closures on infant and maternal health outcomes. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SETTING: We used restricted National Vital Statistics System birth and linked birth and infant death data, merged with county-level hospital closures from the Sheps Center for the period 2005-2019. STUDY DESIGN: We used difference-in-difference and event study methods, employing new estimators that account for staggered treatment timing. Our key outcome variables were prenatal care initiation; birth outcomes (<2500 g; <1500 g; <37 weeks; <28 weeks; 5-min Apgar); delivery outcomes (cesarean, induction, hospital birth); and infant death (<1 year of birth; <=30 days of birth; <=7 days of birth; <= 1 day after birth). DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: The analysis covered all births in the United States in rural counties (by rurality: all, most, moderately rural). PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We found evidence that fewer individuals delivered in their county of residence after a hospital closure, and this was most pronounced for residents of the most rural counties (29%-52% decline (p < 0.01) in the likelihood of delivering in their residence county). We found that hospital closures worsen prenatal, infant, and delivery outcomes for residents of moderately rural counties but improve those outcomes for those in the most rural counties. In moderately rural counties, low birth weight births increased by 10.4% (p < 0.01). We found suggestive evidence of decreased infant deaths in the most rural counties. This pattern of findings is consistent with closures leading residents of the most rural counties to seek care in a different county and residents of moderately rural counties to seek care at a different hospital in the same county. CONCLUSIONS: Loss of hospital care has meaningful effects on the rural populations; investigating rural counties in aggregate may miss nuanced differences in the effects on the margin of rurality.

The effects of pregnancy-related Medicaid expansions on maternal, infant, and child health.

Prior research has examined how late 1980s pregnancy-related Medicaid eligibility expansions influenced outcomes around the time of birth and, more recently, adult outcomes. We offer a close examination of early childhood effects to better understand the mechanism(s) underlying the improved longer-term outcomes. The restricted-access National Maternal and Infant Health Survey allows us to explore the effects of these expansions on maternal and child outcomes near the time of birth as well as three years post-birth. Our evidence suggests earlier connection with prenatal care and possible modest improvements in birthweight and gestational age. In our follow-up data, we also identify evidence of persistent effects as measured by child developmental scores. However, the most consistent finding is our strong evidence of reduced levels of maternal depression-both during the child's infancy and three years later. We conclude that the alleviation of maternal stress is one likely mechanism for the longer-term improvements in later-life outcomes identified in studies of children exposed to Medicaid in-utero and in early infancy.

Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates.

We estimate the effects of temperature shocks on birth rates in the United States between 1931 and 2010. We find that days with a mean temperature above 80°F cause a large decline in birth rates 8 to 10 months later. Unlike prior studies, we demonstrate that the initial decline is followed by a partial rebound in births over the next few months, implying that populations mitigate some of the fertility cost by shifting conception month. This shift helps explain the observed peak in late-summer births in the United States. We also present new evidence that hot weather most likely harms fertility via reproductive health as opposed to sexual activity. Historical evidence suggests that air conditioning could be used to substantially offset the fertility costs of high temperatures.

Worth the Wait? The Effect of Early Term Birth on Maternal and Infant Health.

Early term birth is defined as birth at 37 or 38 weeks gestation. While infants born early term are not considered premature, the medical literature suggests that they have an increased risk of serious adverse health outcomes compared to infants born at term (39 or 40 weeks). Despite these known harms, we document a rise in early term births in the United States from 1989 to the mid-2000s, followed by a decline in recent years. We posit that the recent decline in early term births has been driven by changes in medical practice advocated by the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, programs such as the March of Dimes' "Worth the Wait" campaign, and by Medicaid policy. We first show that this pattern cannot be attributed to changes in the demographic composition of mothers, and provide some evidence that efforts to reduce early term elective deliveries (EEDs) through Medicaid policy were effective. We next exploit county-level variation in the timing of these changes in medical practice to examine the effect of early term inductions (our proxy for EEDs) on infant and maternal health. We find that early term inductions lower birth weights and increase the risks of precipitous labor, birth injury, and required ventilation. Our results suggest that reductions in early term inductions can explain about one-third of the overall increase in birth weights between 2010 and 2013 for births at 37 weeks gestation and above.

Saving babies? Revisiting the effect of very low birth weight classification.

We reconsider the effect of very low birth weight classification on infant mortality. We demonstrate that the estimates are highly sensitive to the exclusion of observations in the immediate vicinity of the 1,500-g threshold, weakening the confidence in the results originally reported in Almond, Doyle, Kowalski, and Williams (2010).

Fertility effects of abortion and birth control pill access for minors.

This article empirically assesses whether age-restricted access to abortion and the birth control pill influence minors' fertility in the United States. There is not a strong consensus in previous literature regarding the relationship between laws restricting minors' access to abortion and minors' birth rates. This is the first study to recognize that state laws in place prior to the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision enabled minors to legally consent to surgical treatment-including abortion-in some states but not in others, and to construct abortion access variables reflecting this. In this article, age-specific policy variables measure either a minor's legal ability to obtain an abortion or to obtain the birth control pill without parental involvement. I find fairly strong evidence that young women's birth rates dropped as a result of abortion access as well as evidence that birth control pill access led to a drop in birth rates among whites.