Exploring the biology of ctDNA release in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a promising tool for early cancer detection and minimal residual disease monitoring. However, the biology underlying ctDNA release and its variation across cancer types and histologies remains poorly understood. This study investigated the biology behind ctDNA shedding in colorectal cancer. METHODS: The study included a local cohort of 747 stage I-III colorectal cancer patients. All patients had ctDNA measurement prior to treatment and extensive clinical data. Primary tumor RNA sequencing and whole exome sequencing was performed in 95 and 652 patients respectively. Additionally, the study evaluated 89 non-small cell lung cancer patients from the TRACERx cohort, comprising primary tumor RNA sequencing and ctDNA measurement. RESULTS: We found tumor size and proliferative capacity to be key factors associated with ctDNA shedding in colorectal cancer. Furthermore, we found that the secretory and CMS3 colorectal cancer subtypes exhibited lower ctDNA shedding, while microsatellite instability (MSI) tumors had higher levels of ctDNA. Mutational analysis did not reveal any genes or pathways associated with ctDNA shedding in colorectal cancer. A comparison of transcriptomic profiles across multiple cancer types demonstrated that colorectal cancer and lung squamous cell carcinoma tumors shared a high-proliferative ctDNA shedding phenotype, while lung adenocarcinoma tumors displayed a distinct low-proliferative subgroup. Additionally, proliferation levels correlated with ctDNA detection sensitivity across multiple cancer types. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that tumor size and proliferative capacity are drivers of ctDNA release in colorectal cancer and provide insights into the biology of ctDNA shedding on a pan-cancer level.

Beyond basics: Key mutation selection features for successful tumor-informed ctDNA detection.

Tumor-informed mutation-based approaches are frequently used for detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Not all mutations make equally effective ctDNA markers. The objective was to explore if prioritizing mutations using mutational features-such as cancer cell fraction (CCF), multiplicity, and error rate-would improve the success rate of tumor-informed ctDNA analysis. Additionally, we aimed to develop a practical and easily implementable analysis pipeline for identifying and prioritizing candidate mutations from whole-exome sequencing (WES) data. We analyzed WES and ctDNA data from three tumor-informed ctDNA studies, one on bladder cancer (Cohort A) and two on colorectal cancer (Cohorts I and N). The studies included 390 patients. For each patient, a unique set of mutations (median mutations/patient: 6, interquartile 13, range: 1-46, total n = 4023) were used as markers of ctDNA. The tool PureCN was used to assess the CCF and multiplicity of each mutation. High-CCF mutations were detected more frequently than low-CCF mutations (Cohort A: odds ratio [OR] 20.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.72-173, p = 1.73e-12; Cohort I: OR 2.24, 95% CI 1.44-3.52, p = 1.66e-04; and Cohort N: OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.14-2.79, p = 7.86e-03). The detection-likelihood was additionally improved by selecting mutations with multiplicity of two or above (Cohort A: OR 1.55, 95% CI 1. 14-2.11, p = 3.85e-03; Cohort I: OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.23-2.56, p = 1.34e-03; and Cohort N: OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.63-2.31, p = 2.83e-14). Furthermore, selecting the mutations for which the ctDNA detection method had the lowest error rates, additionally improved the detection-likelihood, particularly evident when plasma cell-free DNA tumor fractions were below 0.1% (p = 2.1e-07). Selecting mutational markers with high CCF, high multiplicity, and low error rate significantly improve ctDNA detection likelihood. We provide free access to the analysis pipeline enabling others to perform qualified prioritization of mutations for tumor-informed ctDNA analysis.

Tumour-agnostic circulating tumour DNA analysis for improved recurrence surveillance after resection of colorectal liver metastases: A prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: Nearly 50% of patients recur within two years after curatively intended resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). The optimal surveillance strategy is unknown due to the lack of evidence. Here, we explored the potential for improving postoperative CRLM surveillance by performing serial circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) assessments parallel to standard-of-care surveillance. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: 499 prospectively collected serial plasma samples from 96 patients undergoing CRLM resection were analysed using the tumour-agnostic methylation multiplex droplet-digital PCR test 'TriMeth'. RESULTS: Patients with ctDNA postoperatively or post adjuvant chemotherapy experienced a significant lower recurrence-free survival than patients without ctDNA (hazard ratio (HR) 4.5; P < 0.0001 and HR 8.4, P < 0.0001). ctDNA status was a stronger predictor of recurrence than standard clinical risk factors and carcinoembryonic antigen. Serial TriMeth analysis detected ctDNA before radiological recurrence in 55.6% of ctDNA-positive patients, with up to 10.6 months lead-time (median 3.1 months). During surveillance, 24% of patients had inconclusive CT scans, which was associated with a significant delay in recurrence diagnosis (median 3.5 months versus 1.0 month, P < 0.0001). Uniquely, ctDNA status at the time of inconclusive CT scans predicted recurrence with positive and negative predictive values of 100%, and 75% (P = 0.0003). Serial TriMeth analysis allowed ctDNA growth rate assessment and revealed that fast ctDNA growth was associated with poor overall survival (HR: 1.6, P = 0.0052). CONCLUSIONS: Serial postoperative ctDNA analysis has a strong prognostic value and is more sensitive for recurrence detection than standard-of-care CRLM surveillance tools. Altogether, TriMeth provides several opportunities for improving postoperative surveillance of CRLM patients.

Error Characterization and Statistical Modeling Improves Circulating Tumor DNA Detection by Droplet Digital PCR.

BACKGROUND: Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) is a widely used and sensitive application for circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection. As ctDNA is often found in low abundance, methods to separate low-signal readouts from noise are necessary. We aimed to characterize the ddPCR-generated noise and, informed by this, create a sensitive and specific ctDNA caller. METHODS: We built 2 novel complimentary ctDNA calling methods: dynamic limit of blank and concentration and assay-specific tumor load estimator (CASTLE). Both methods are informed by empirically established assay-specific noise profiles. Here, we characterized noise for 70 mutation-detecting ddPCR assays by applying each assay to 95 nonmutated samples. Using these profiles, the performance of the 2 new methods was assessed in a total of 9447 negative/positive reference samples and in 1311 real-life plasma samples from colorectal cancer patients. Lastly, performances were compared to 7 literature-established calling methods. RESULTS: For many assays, noise increased proportionally with the DNA input amount. Assays targeting transition base changes were more error-prone than transversion-targeting assays. Both our calling methods successfully accounted for the additional noise in transition assays and showed consistently high performance regardless of DNA input amount. Calling methods that were not noise-informed performed less well than noise-informed methods. CASTLE was the only calling method providing a statistical estimate of the noise-corrected mutation level and call certainty. CONCLUSIONS: Accurate error modeling is necessary for sensitive and specific ctDNA detection by ddPCR. Accounting for DNA input amounts ensures specific detection regardless of the sample-specific DNA concentration. Our results demonstrate CASTLE as a powerful tool for ctDNA calling using ddPCR.

The effect of surgical trauma on circulating free DNA levels in cancer patients-implications for studies of circulating tumor DNA.

Detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) post-treatment is an emerging marker of residual disease. ctDNA constitutes only a minor fraction of the cell-free DNA (cfDNA) circulating in cancer patients, complicating ctDNA detection. This is exacerbated by trauma-induced cfDNA. To guide optimal blood sample timing, we investigated the duration and magnitude of surgical trauma-induced cfDNA in patients with colorectal or bladder cancer. DNA levels were quantified in paired plasma samples collected before and up to 6 weeks after surgery from 436 patients with colorectal cancer and 47 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer. To assess whether trauma-induced cfDNA fragments are longer than ordinary cfDNA fragments, the concentration of short (< 1 kb) and long (> 1 kb) fragments was determined for 91 patients. Previously reported ctDNA data from 91 patients with colorectal cancer and 47 patients with bladder cancer were used to assess how trauma-induced DNA affects ctDNA detection. The total cfDNA level increased postoperatively-both in patients with colorectal cancer (mean threefold) and bladder cancer (mean eightfold). The DNA levels were significantly increased up to 4 weeks after surgery in both patient cohorts (P = 0.0005 and P ≤ 0.0001). The concentration of short, but not long, cfDNA fragments increased postoperatively. Of 25 patients with radiological relapse, eight were ctDNA-positive and 17 were ctDNA-negative in the period with trauma-induced DNA. Analysis of longitudinal samples revealed that five of the negative patients became positive shortly after the release of trauma-induced cfDNA had ceased. In conclusion, surgery was associated with elevated cfDNA levels, persisting up to 4 weeks, which may have masked ctDNA in relapse patients. Trauma-induced cfDNA was of similar size to ordinary cfDNA. To mitigate the impact of trauma-induced cfDNA on ctDNA detection, it is recommended that a second blood sample collected after week 4 is analyzed for patients initially ctDNA negative.