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1.
Hepatol Int ; 18(1): 138-154, 2024 Feb.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37747618

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fatty liver disease (FLD) is associated with several metabolic derangements. We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional and longitudinal study to evaluate the role of FL severity in the risk of new-onset and co-existing hypertension (HTN) and diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: The cross-sectional cohort consisted of 41,888 adults who received health checkups in a tertiary hospital of Taiwan from 1999 to 2013. Of them, 34,865 without HTN and/or DM at baseline and within 1 year after enrollment were included as a longitudinal cohort (mean, 6.45 years for HTN; 6.75 years for DM). FL severity based on the degree of hepatic steatosis was assessed by ultrasound sonography. RESULTS: In cross-sectional cohort, 22,852 (54.6%) subjects had FL (18,203 [43.46%] mild FL and 4,649 [11.10%] moderate/severe FL); 13.5% (n = 5668) had HTN; and 3.4% (n = 1411) had DM. Moderate/severe FL and mild FL had significantly higher risks of existing HTN (adjusted odds ratio/95% confidence interval [CI] 1.59/1.43-1.77 and 1.22/1.13-1.32, respectively). In longitudinal cohort, 3,209 and 822 subjects developed new-onset HTN and DM, respectively (annual incidence, 14.3 and 3.5 per 1000 person-years; 10-year cumulative incidence, 14.35% and 3.89%, respectively). Moderate/severe and mild FL had significantly higher risks of new-onset HTN (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]/CI 1.54/1.34-1.77 and 1.26/1.16-1.37, respectively) and DM (aHR/CI 5.88/4.44-7.81 and 3.22/2.56-4.07, respectively). Resolved FL during follow-up decreased the risk of HTN and/or DM. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with FL are at high risk of prevalent and incident HTN and/or DM. The risk increases with the severity of FL.


Diabetes Mellitus , Hypertension , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Adult , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Retrospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Risk Factors , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/diagnostic imaging , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications
2.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 33(12): 2479-2487, 2023 Dec.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37788955

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is currently unclear whether the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score, when compared to major anthropometric indices, is useful in estimating the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included 3886 adults undergoing a health checkup. An elevated risk of ASCVD was determined as a 10-year ASCVD risk ≥7.5% using Pooled Cohort Equations. NAFLD was diagnosed with abdominal ultrasonography. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the performance of estimating an elevated ASCVD risk. Among study participants, 521 (13.4%) had an elevated ASCVD risk and 1473 (37.9%) had NAFLD. Subjects with NAFLD had a significantly higher rate of ASCVD risk ≥7.5% (p < 0.001) compared to those without NAFLD. After adjusting for cardiometabolic risk factors, NAFLD (OR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.10-2.00, p = 0.009) in all participants and NAFLD fibrosis score >0.676 (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.30-2.92, p = 0.001) in individuals with NAFLD were significantly associated with an elevated risk of ASCVD. When compared to different anthropometric indices, NAFLD fibrosis score exhibited the largest area under the curve (AUC) in individuals with NAFLD (AUC = 0.750) in estimating an elevated ASCVD risk. Furthermore, NAFLD fibrosis score displayed the best predictive performance for identifying an elevated ASCVD risk in male participants with NAFLD (AUC = 0.737). CONCLUSION: NAFLD was a significant risk factor for elevated ASCVD risk. NAFLD fibrosis score >0.676 was associated with increased ASCVD risk in individuals with NAFLD. Compared with anthropometric indices, NAFLD fibrosis score demonstrated the best performance in estimating elevated ASCVD risk among those with NAFLD.


Atherosclerosis , Cardiovascular Diseases , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Adult , Humans , Male , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/diagnostic imaging , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Risk Factors , Atherosclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Fibrosis
3.
Biomedicines ; 11(9)2023 Sep 12.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37760959

The controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) measurement obtained from FibroScan® is a low-risk method of assessing fatty liver. This study investigated the association between the FibroScan® CAP values and nine anthropometric indicators, including the abdominal volume index (AVI), body fat percentage (BFP), body mass index (BMI), conicity index (CI), ponderal index (PI), relative fat mass (RFM), waist circumference (WC), waist-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), and risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (fatty liver). We analyzed the medical records of adult patients who had FibroScan® CAP results. CAP values <238 dB/m were coded as 0 (non- fatty liver) and ≥238 dB/m as 1 (fatty liver). An individual is considered to have class 1 obesity when their body mass index (BMI) ranges from 30 kg/m2 to 34.9 kg/m2. Class 2 obesity is defined by a BMI ranging from 35 kg/m2 to 39.9 kg/m2, while class 3 obesity is designated by a BMI of 40 kg/m2 or higher. Out of 1763 subjects, 908 (51.5%) had fatty liver. The BMI, WHtR, and PI were found to be more strongly correlated with the CAP by the cluster dendrogram with correlation coefficients of 0.58, 0.54, and 0.54, respectively (all p < 0.0001). We found that 28.3% of the individuals without obesity had fatty liver, and 28.2% of the individuals with obesity did not have fatty liver. The BMI, CI, and PI were significant predictors of fatty liver. The BMI, PI, and WHtR demonstrated better predictive ability, indicated by AUC values of 0.72, 0.68, and 0.68, respectively, a finding that was echoed in our cluster group analysis that showed interconnected clustering with the CAP. Therefore, of the nine anthropometric indicators we studied, the BMI, CI, PI, and WHtR were found to be more effective in predicting the CAP score, i.e., fatty liver.

4.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 11(2)2023 Feb 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36851225

After the mass vaccination project in Taiwan, the prevalence of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection for the college-aged population of 18 to 21 years is uncertain. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of hepatitis B markers in different birth cohorts. A total of 38,075 students in universities in Kaohsiung area undergoing entrance examinations between July 2006 to September 2020 were included. Seroprevalence of the hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs) status and laboratory data were collected. The seropositive rate of HBsAg was less than 1% for students born after 1991. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), were significantly higher, and body mass index (BMI) was significantly lower in HBV carriers compared to those who were not carriers (all p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression showed that age, male, higher BMI, and positive HBsAg were risk factors of abnormal ALT value. A decrease in the positive rate of anti-HBs which was significantly higher in the cohort of plasma-derived vaccines than recombinant vaccines was found. We concluded that there were decreasing trends in seropositive rates of HBsAg and anti-HBs for students of the college-aged population in the Kaohsiung area. The status of HBsAg was a predictive factor of abnormal ALT levels. The period effect on anti-HBs seropositivity for DNA recombinant vaccine somehow existed.

5.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36673675

Shift work (SW) is the main working schedule worldwide, and it may cause sleep disorders, breast cancer, and cardiovascular disease. Low back pain (LBP) is a common problem in the workplace; however, the association between LBP and SW remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to determine the association between SW and LBP. This study was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases using a set of associated keywords were queried. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) adult employees hired by a company or organization; (2) SW exposure; and (3) the outcome of LBP according to examination or assessment. A total of 40 studies were included that met the inclusion criteria for the meta-analysis. SW was significantly associated with LBP (odds ratio [OR]: 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18−1.47, p < 0.00001). Furthermore, it was observed that LBP was significantly associated with night shift (NS) (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.24−1.82, p < 0.0001) but not with rotating shift (RS) (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.76−1.22, p = 0.49). Moreover, LBP was significantly associated with SW in health care workers (HCWs) (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.20−1.63, p < 0.0001) but not in non-HCWs (OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 0.94−1.50, p = 0.14). SW was significantly associated with LBP. Furthermore, the subgroup analysis showed that NS, but not RS, was associated with LBP. Compared with SW in non-HCWs, SW in HCWs was significantly associated with LBP.


Low Back Pain , Shift Work Schedule , Adult , Humans , Low Back Pain/etiology , Low Back Pain/complications , Workplace , Health Personnel , Working Conditions
7.
Int Arch Occup Environ Health ; 95(5): 1091-1101, 2022 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35083550

PURPOSE: The association between secondhand smoke (SHS) and peripheral arterial disease (PAD) was inconsistent and the studies were relatively scarce, hence, we conducted a meta-analysis of the association between SHS and PAD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We systematically searched three electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science), and calculated the pooled prevalence risk ratio (RR) and estimated standard error by random effect model from the meta-analysis. Furthermore, we performed a subgroup meta-analysis according to the location of SHS exposure. RESULTS: We initially identified 502 articles from the electronic database, and 6 articles, cross-sectional data from 4 cross-sectional studies and 2 prospective cohort studies, were included in the meta-analysis. Among these six articles, two studies showed a significant correlation between SHS exposure and PAD, whereas no study showed a negative correlation between SHS exposure and PAD. In the meta-analysis, pooled prevalence showed a significant association between SHS exposure and PAD (RR = 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.41; z = 3.02, p = 0.003). In the subgroup analysis based on location of SHS exposure, the prevalence RR of PAD at home was 1.30 (95% CI 1.14-1.49, Z-3.99, p < 0.0001). The prevalence RR in the subgroup of SHS exposure at work was not significant (RR = 0.89; 95% CI 0.55-1.44; z = 0.48, p = 0.63). CONCLUSION: Exposure to SHS was significantly and positively associated with PAD. Moreover, we found a significant association between exposure to SHS and PAD at home, but the association was not significant at work.


Peripheral Arterial Disease , Tobacco Smoke Pollution , Cross-Sectional Studies , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Humans , Odds Ratio , Peripheral Arterial Disease/epidemiology , Peripheral Arterial Disease/etiology , Prospective Studies , Tobacco Smoke Pollution/adverse effects
8.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34209878

Ambient temperature change is one of the risk factors of human health. Moreover, links between white blood cell counts (WBC) and diseases have been revealed in the literature. Still, we do not know of any association between ambient temperature change and WBC counts. The aim of our study is to investigate the relationship between ambient temperature change and WBC counts. We conducted this two-year population-based observational study in Kaohsiung city, recruiting voluntary community participants. Total WBC and differential counts, demographic data and health hazard habits were collected and matched with the meteorological data of air-quality monitoring stations with participants' study dates and addresses. Generalized additive models (GAM) with penalized smoothing spline functions were performed for the trend of temperature changes and WBC counts. There were 9278 participants (45.3% male, aged 54.3 ± 5.9 years-old) included in analysis. Compared with stable weather conditions, the WBC counts were statistically higher when the one-day lag temperature changed over 2 degrees Celsius, regardless of whether colder or hotter. We found a V-shaped pattern association between WBC counts and temperature changes in GAM. The ambient temperature change was associated with WBC counts, and might imply an impact on systematic inflammation response.


Hot Temperature , Weather , Aged , Female , Humans , Leukocyte Count , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Temperature
9.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33804362

The links of air pollutants to health hazards have been revealed in literature and inflammation responses might play key roles in the processes of diseases. WBC count is one of the indexes of inflammation, however the l iterature reveals inconsistent opinions on the relationship between WBC counts and exposure to air pollutants. The goal of this population-based observational study was to examine the associations between multiple air pollutants and WBC counts. This study recruited community subjects from Kaohsiung city. WBC count, demographic and health hazard habit data were collected. Meanwhile, air pollutants data (SO2, NO2, CO, PM10, and O3) were also obtained. Both datasets were merged for statistical analysis. Single- and multiple-pollutants models were adopted for the analysis. A total of 10,140 adults (43.2% males; age range, 33~86 years old) were recruited. Effects of short-term ambient concentrations (within one week) of CO could increase counts of WBC, neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes. However, SO2 could decrease counts of WBC, neutrophils, and monocytes. Gender, BMI, and smoking could also contribute to WBC count increases, though their effects are minor when compared to CO. Air pollutants, particularly SO2, NO2 and CO, may thus be related to alterations of WBC counts, and this would imply air pollution has an impact on human systematic inflammation.


Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Air Pollutants/analysis , Air Pollutants/toxicity , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , China , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Female , Humans , Inflammation/chemically induced , Inflammation/epidemiology , Leukocytes , Male , Particulate Matter/analysis , Particulate Matter/toxicity
13.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 27(16): 19502-19509, 2020 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32212084

To evaluate the association between the presence of asthma and allergy, and airborne endotoxin in homes of school-age children in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, with a case-control study design by matching the age and class exposure. Data collection of home visits included an interviewer-administered questionnaire and air sampling of participants' homes for endotoxin, bacteria, and fungi, as well as temperature and relative humidity measurements. Endotoxin was detected in all air samples with a median value of 0.67 EU m-3. In the adjusted logistic regression model, household airborne endotoxin was associated with higher prevalence of asthma and allergy; OR = 4.88 (95% CI 1.16-20.55) for Q3 (between 0.67 and 1.97 EU m -3) vs. Q1 (< 0.31 EU m -3), with statistical significance. Airborne fungi were associated with higher prevalence of asthma and allergy; OR = 4.47 (95% CI 1.13-17.69) for Q3 (between 314 and 699 CFU m -3) vs. Q1 (< 159 CFU m -3) in adjusted logistic regression models. Airborne endotoxin and fungi were significantly associated with children's asthma and allergy.


Air Pollution, Indoor/analysis , Asthma , Case-Control Studies , Child , Cities , Endotoxins/analysis , Fungi , Humans , Taiwan
14.
Sci Total Environ ; 705: 135810, 2020 Feb 25.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31972944

BACKGROUND: To date, the effect of household airborne pollutants on the association between airborne endotoxin and lung function of schoolchildren is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to evaluate whether indoor air pollutants such as carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <10 and 2.5 µm (PM10, PM2.5) can modify the association between airborne endotoxin and school children's lung function in a heavy industrial city in Taiwan. METHODS: We recruited 120 elementary school-age children in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan. Aerosol samples were collected on a filter membrane for 24 h period and then analyzed for endotoxin. Air pollutants were measured for 24 h in living rooms while school children's lung function was measured. The modification of air pollutants on the relationship between airborne endotoxin and children's lung function was estimated after adjusting the gender, age, height, weight, and case-control status. RESULTS: We found that both O3 and PM10 concentrations significantly modified the relationships between airborne endotoxin and school children's lung function. Among children living in homes with O3 ≥ 0.01 ppm or PM10 ≥ 62 µg/m3, airborne endotoxin was negatively associated with lung functions, whereas among those living in homes with O3 < 0.01 ppm or PM10 < 62 µg/m3, airborne endotoxin was positively associated with lung functions. CONCLUSIONS: The indoor air pollutant concentration of O3 and PM10 modifies the association between airborne endotoxin and school children's lung function.


Air Pollution , Lung , Air Pollutants , Child , Cities , Endotoxins , Humans , Nitrogen Dioxide , Ozone , Particulate Matter , Respiratory Function Tests , Sulfur Dioxide , Taiwan
15.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30691187

Research has shown that long-term exposure to lead harms the hematological system. The homeostatic iron regulator HFE (hemochromatosis) mutation, which has been shown to affect iron absorption and iron overload, is hypothesized to be related to lead intoxication in vulnerable individuals. The aim of our study was to investigate whether the HFE genotype modifies the blood lead levels that affect the distributions of serum iron and other red blood cell indices. Overall, 121 lead workers and 117 unexposed age-matched subjects were recruited for the study. The collected data included the blood lead levels, complete blood count, serum iron, total iron binding capacity, transferrin, and ferritin, which were measured during regular physical examinations. All subjects filled out questionnaires that included demographic information, medical history, and alcohol and tobacco consumption. HFE genotyping for C282Y and H63D was determined using polymerase chain reaction and restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR/RFLP). The mean blood lead level in lead workers was 19.75 µg/dL and was 2.86 µg/dL in unexposed subjects. Of 238 subjects, 221 (92.9%) subjects were wild-type (CCHH) for HFE C282Y and H63D, and 17 (7.1%) subjects were heterozygous for a H63D mutation (CCHD). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that blood lead was significantly negatively associated with hemoglobin (Hb), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and mean corpuscular volume (MCV), whereas the HFE variant was associated negatively with MCV and positively with ferritin. An interactive influence on MCV was identified between blood lead and HFE variants. Our research found a significant modifying effect of the HFE variant, which possibly affected MCV. The HFE H63D heterozygous (CCHD) variant seemed to provide a protective factor against lead toxicity. Future studies should focus on competing binding proteins between iron and lead influenced by gene variation.


Hemochromatosis Protein/genetics , Iron/blood , Lead/blood , Adult , Erythrocyte Indices , Erythrocytes/metabolism , Female , Ferritins/blood , Genotype , Hemoglobins/metabolism , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Mutation , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Transferrin/metabolism
17.
Oncotarget ; 8(44): 75952-75967, 2017 Sep 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29100283

We investigated whether circulating microparticles (MPs) could serve as prognostic biomarkers in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. We enrolled 25 control subjects and 136 NSCLC patients categorized into disease-progression (DP, n=42) and disease-control (DC, n=94) groups. Flow cytometric analysis showed that levels of four types of circulating microparticles (EDAc-MPs, EDAp-MPs, PDAc-MPs and PDAp-MPs) were higher in the study patients than the control subjects (P < 0.04). DP patients showed poor initially performance status and more non-adenocarcinomas than DC patients. DC patients showed more EGFR mutations and poorer performance to targeted therapy than DP patients (P < 0.01). Three months after therapy, the levels of all four types of circulating MPs were lower in DC than DP patients (P < 0.02), and were comparable to the levels in control subjects. In addition, the levels of circulating MPs after 3 months accurately predicted one-year prognostic outcomes (P < 0.05). This study showed that circulating MPs are valuable prognostic biomarkers in advanced NSCLC patients.

18.
Epidemiology ; 28 Suppl 1: S113-S120, 2017 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29028684

BACKGROUND: Lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), and arsenic (As) could cause health issues through oxidative stress that is indicated in the elevated tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α). However, some of the essential elements-selenium (Se), zinc (Zn), cobalt (Co), and copper (Cu)-are cofactors or structural components of antioxidant enzymes. It is suggested that single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the TNF-α gene have different TNF-α responses. This study aims to evaluate the effect of serum TNF-α levels through the interactions between toxic metals and essential elements and how the interactions between the toxic metals and TNF-α SNPs (-1031 T > C, -863 C > A, -857 C > T, -308 G > A, -238 G > A) influence serum TNF-α levels. METHODS: Blood samples were collected from 455 workers who carried out annual health examinations and multielements determined by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). TNF-α levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). TNF-α promoter SNPs were analyzed by specific primer probes using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) methods. RESULTS: Increasing blood Pb, Cd, and As levels were associated with elevated TNF-α levels. The interaction between Pb and Cu decreased TNF-α levels and so did the interaction between Cd and Se. In the interaction between Pb and SNPs, individuals with AA/AG (-308 G > A) and AA/AG (-238 G > A) had higher serum TNF-α levels. However, lower TNF-α levels were noted in those individuals with AA/CA (-863 C > A). In the interaction between As and SNPs, workers with AA/AG (-238 G > A) had synergic effect with As and induced higher serum TNF-α levels. CONCLUSIONS: Blood Cu and Se were antagonists of toxic metals (Pb, As, and Cd) through lower serum TNF-α levels. Variant types of TNF-α SNPs (-308 G > A, -238 G > A) and wild type of -863 CC would be more susceptible to toxic metals.


Metals/blood , Occupational Exposure , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/blood , Adult , Arsenic/blood , Cadmium/blood , Cobalt/blood , Copper/blood , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Gene-Environment Interaction , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Humans , Lead/blood , Male , Middle Aged , Oxidative Stress , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Promoter Regions, Genetic , Selenium/blood , Spectrophotometry, Atomic , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics , Zinc/blood
19.
Biomed Res Int ; 2017: 2963172, 2017.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28900621

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the impact on clinical outcomes using a cloud computing system to reduce percutaneous coronary intervention hospital door-to-balloon (DTB) time for ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS: A total of 369 patients before and after implementation of the transfer protocol were enrolled. Of these patients, 262 were transferred through protocol while the other 107 patients were transferred through the traditional referral process. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in DTB time, pain to door of STEMI receiving center arrival time, and pain to balloon time between the two groups. Pain to electrocardiography time in patients with Killip I/II and catheterization laboratory to balloon time in patients with Killip III/IV were significantly reduced in transferred through protocol group compared to in traditional referral process group (both p < 0.05). There were also no remarkable differences in the complication rate and 30-day mortality between two groups. The multivariate analysis revealed that the independent predictors of 30-day mortality were elderly patients, advanced Killip score, and higher level of troponin-I. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that patients transferred through our present protocol could reduce pain to electrocardiography and catheterization laboratory to balloon time in Killip I/II and III/IV patients separately. However, this study showed that using a cloud computing system in our present protocol did not reduce DTB time.


Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/methods , Emergency Service, Hospital , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Aged , Cloud Computing , Electrocardiography , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/physiopathology , Time Factors , Time-to-Treatment , Treatment Outcome
20.
Sci Rep ; 6: 35028, 2016 10 13.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27733774

In Kaohsiung, a metropolitan city in Taiwan at high risk of dengue epidemic, weather factors combined with an accidental petrochemical gas explosion (PGE) may affect mosquito‒human dynamics in 2014. Generalized estimating equations with lagged-time Poisson regression analyses were used to evaluate the effect of meteorological/mosquito parameters and PGE on dengue incidences (2000-2014) in Kaohsiung. Increased minimum temperatures rendered a 2- and 3-month lagging interactive effect on higher dengue risks, and higher rainfall exhibited a 1- and 2-month lagging interplay effect on lower risks (interaction, P ≤ 0.001). The dengue risk was significantly higher than that in a large-scale outbreak year (2002) from week 5 after PGE accident in 2014 (2.9‒8.3-fold for weeks 5‒22). The greatest cross-correlation of dengue incidences in the PGE-affected and PGE-neighboring districts was identified at weeks 1 after the PGE (rs = 0.956, P < 0.001). Compared with the reference years, the combined effect of minimum temperature, rainfall, and PGE accounted for 75.1% of excess dengue risk in 2014. In conclusion, time-lagging interplay effects from minimum temperature and rainfall may be respectively associated with early and near environments facilitating dengue transmission. Events that interact with weather and influence mosquito‒human dynamics, such as PGEs, should not be ignored in dengue prevention and control.


Blast Injuries/complications , Culicidae/virology , Dengue/epidemiology , Animals , Dengue/transmission , Explosions , Humans , Incidence , Meteorology , Poisson Distribution , Taiwan/epidemiology , Temperature , Time Factors
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