A machine learning model for colorectal liver metastasis post-hepatectomy prognostications.

Background: Currently, surgical resection is the mainstay for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) management and the only potentially curative treatment modality. Prognostication tools can support patient selection for surgical resection to maximize therapeutic benefit. This study aimed to develop a survival prediction model using machine learning based on a multicenter patient sample in Hong Kong. Methods: Patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2018 in four hospitals in Hong Kong were included in the study. Survival analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards (CPH). A stepwise selection on Cox multivariable models with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was applied to a multiply-imputed dataset to build a prediction model. The model was validated in the validation set, and its performance was compared with that of Fong Clinical Risk Score (CRS) using concordance index. Results: A total of 572 patients were included with a median follow-up of 3.6 years. The full models for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) consist of the same 8 established and novel variables, namely colorectal cancer nodal stage, CRLM neoadjuvant treatment, Charlson Comorbidity Score, pre-hepatectomy bilirubin and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, CRLM largest tumor diameter, extrahepatic metastasis detected on positron emission-tomography (PET)-scan as well as KRAS status. Our CRLM Machine-learning Algorithm Prognostication model (CMAP) demonstrated better ability to predict OS (C-index =0.651), compared with the Fong CRS for 1-year (C-index =0.571) and 5-year OS (C-index =0.574). It also achieved a C-index of 0.651 for RFS. Conclusions: We present a promising machine learning algorithm to individualize prognostications for patients following resection of CRLM with good discriminative ability.

Association Between Team-Based Continuity of Care and Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases Among Patients With Diabetes: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a long-term sequela of diabetes. Better individual-based continuity of care has been reported to reduce the risk of chronic complications among patients with diabetes. Maintaining a one-to-one patient-physician relationship is often challenging, especially in public health care settings. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between higher team-based continuity of care, defined as consultations provided by the same physician team, and CVD risks in patients with diabetes from public primary care clinics. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study in Hong Kong of 312,068 patients with type 2 diabetes and without any history of CVD at baseline (defined as the earliest attendance at a doctor's consultation in a public-sector clinic between 2008 and 2018). Team-based continuity of care was measured using the usual provider continuity index (UPCI), calculated by the proportion of consultations provided by the most visited physician team in the 2 years before baseline. Patients were divided into quartiles based on their UPCI, and the characteristics of the quartiles were balanced using propensity score fine stratification weights. Multivariable Cox regression was applied to assess the effect of team-based continuity of care on CVD incidence. Patient demographics, smoking status, physiological measurements, number of attendances, comorbidities, and medications were adjusted for in the propensity weightings and regression analyses. RESULTS: After an average follow-up of 6.5 years, the total number of new CVD events was 52,428. Compared with patients in the 1st quartile, patients in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quartiles of the UCPI had a CVD hazard ratio (95% CI) of 0.95 (0.92-0.97), 0.92 (0.89-0.94), and 0.87 (0.84-0.89), respectively, indicating that higher continuity of care was associated with lower CVD risks. The subtypes of CVD, including coronary heart disease and stroke, also showed a similar pattern. Subgroup analyses suggested that patients <65 years of age had greater benefits from higher team-based continuity of care. CONCLUSIONS: Team-based continuity of care was associated with lower CVD risk among individuals with type 2 diabetes, especially those who were younger. This suggests a potential flexible alternative implementation of continuity of care in public clinics.

The association between trajectories of risk factors and risk of cardiovascular disease or mortality among patients with diabetes or hypertension: A systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiometabolic risk factors and renal function are monitored regularly for patients with diabetes mellitus (DM)/ hypertension (HT). In addition to risk factor levels at a single time point, their trajectory (changes over time) can also be differentially related to the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and mortality. This study aimed to systematically examine the evidence regarding the association between risk factor trajectories and risk of CVD/mortality in patients with DM/HT. METHOD: PubMed, MEDLINE, and Embase were searched for articles from January 1963 to April 2021. Inclusion criteria: studies that 1) analyzed trajectories of risk factors including haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), body mass index (BMI), and blood lipids; 2) were performed in the DM/HT population and, 3) included risk of CVD/mortality as outcomes. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale. RESULTS: A total of 22,099 articles were identified. After screening by title and abstract, 22,027 articles were excluded by irrelevant outcomes, exposure, population, or type of articles. Following full-text screening, 11 articles investigating the trajectories of HbA1c (N = 7), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (N = 3), and eGFR (N = 1) were included for data extraction and analysis. No studies were identified examining the association of BMI or lipid trajectories with CVD/mortality. All included studies were of good quality based on the NOS criteria. In general, stable trajectories within optimal ranges of the risk factors (HbA1c: <7%, SBP: 120-139mmHg, eGFR: >60mL/min/1.73m2) had the lowest CVD/mortality risk compared to an increasing HbA1c trajectory (from 8% to 10%), an increasing SBP trajectory (from 120-139 to ≥140mmHg), or a decreasing eGFR trajectory (from 90 to 70mL/min/1.73m2). CONCLUSION: A relatively stable and well-controlled trajectory for cardiometabolic risk factors was associated with the lowest risk of CVD/mortality. Risk factor trajectories have important clinical implications in addition to single time point measurements. More attention should be given to patients with suboptimal control and those with unstable trends of cardiometabolic risk factors.

Cross-sectional case-control study on medical students' psychosocial stress during COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in significant changes in pedagogy for undergraduate medical curriculum. Many physical clinical teachings have been replaced by online pedagogy. This study aims to evaluate the relation between medical students' stress during COVID-19 pandemic and their academic performance at the final examination. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional questionnaire-based study. Student's stress level were evaluated by the COVID-19 Student Stress Questionnaire (CSSQ). Correlation of stress level and students' performance at the final examination was performed. RESULTS: 110 out of 221 (49.8%) final-year medical students responded to the questionnaire, 13 students failed in the final examination (case) while 97 students passed in the final MBBS examination (control).Baseline demographic data between case and control were comparable. The median age for both cases and controls were 24 years.Compared to controls, cases reported higher levels of stress in all domains, namely in relation to risk of contagion, social isolation, interpersonal relationships with relatives, university colleagues and professors, academic life, and sexual life. Notably, a significantly higher proportion of cases reported academic-related stress compared to controls (p < 0.01), with 100% of cases perceiving their academic studying experience during the COVID-19 pandemic to be "very" or "extremely" stressful, compared to 35.1% of controls. CONCLUSION: Increased stress to academic and study during COVID-19 was associated with worse examination outcome at the final examination. Extra academic support will be needed to cater students' need during the pandemic.

Effects of continuity of care on health outcomes among patients with diabetes mellitus and/or hypertension: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as diabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HT) has placed a tremendous burden on healthcare systems around the world, resulting in a call for more effective service delivery models. Better continuity of care (CoC) has been associated with improved health outcomes. This review examines the association between CoC and health outcomes in patients with DM and/or HT. METHODS: This was a systematic review with searches carried out on 13 March 2021 through PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE and CINAHL plus, clinical trials registry and bibliography reviews. Eligibility criteria were: published in English; from 2000 onwards; included adult DM and/or HT patients; examined CoC as their main intervention/exposure; and utilised quantifiable outcome measures (categorised into health indicators and service utilisation). The study quality was evaluated with Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) appraisal checklists. RESULTS: Initial searching yielded 21,090 results with 42 studies meeting the inclusion criteria. High CoC was associated with reduced hospitalisation (16 out of 18 studies), emergency room attendances (eight out of eight), mortality rate (six out of seven), disease-related complications (seven out of seven), and healthcare expenses (four out of four) but not with blood pressure (two out of 13), lipid profile (one out of six), body mass index (zero out of three). Six out of 12 studies on diabetic outcomes reported significant improvement in haemoglobin A1c by higher CoC. Variations in the classification of continuity of care and outcome definition were identified, making meta-analyses inappropriate. CASP evaluation rated most studies fair in quality, but found insufficient adjustment on confounders, selection bias and short follow-up period were common limitations of current literatures. CONCLUSION: There is evidence of a strong association between higher continuity of care and reduced mortality rate, complication risks and health service utilisation among DM and/or HT patients but little to no improvement in various health indicators. Significant methodological heterogeneity in how CoC and patient outcomes are assessed limits the ability for meta-analysis of findings. Further studies comprising sufficient confounding adjustment and standardised definitions are needed to provide stronger evidence of the benefits of CoC on patients with DM and/or HT.

A cross-sectional study on the attitudes and perceptions of outpatients towards palliative care at the Hong Kong Queen Mary Hospital Hospice Centre.

BACKGROUND: Palliative care aims to improve the quality of life for patients and their families, by helping them to cope with problems associated with illness. It targets four aspects of health: physical, psychological, social, and spiritual. Most of the current literature on palliative care is limited to the perspectives of health professionals. This study aims to investigate the views of outpatients receiving palliative care at the Hong Kong Queen Mary Hospital Hospice Centre (HKQMHHC), which offers palliative care services to cancer patients. METHODS: This observational cross-sectional study was performed with the completion of a single paper- based original questionnaire over 18 afternoon clinic sessions on Thursdays and Fridays from December 2017 to February 2018 at the HKQMHHC. The questionnaire was designed to examine patients' perspectives; in particular, the Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale (ESAS) was used to assess their symptoms. Descriptive and univariate analyses were performed. RESULTS: One hundred patients attending HKQMHHC were included in the study. The study revealed that all the mean scores for aspects of care offered at the centre were above 8, on a scale of 0-10 with 0 being extremely inadequate and 10 being extremely adequate. Each respondent was able to identify an average of 1.82 of the 4 aspects of palliative care. Eighty-seven percent of respondents perceived the physical aspect of this care to be of the highest priority. A negative correlation (P<0.05) was found between the extent of symptoms experienced by the patient and their satisfaction towards the services offered. CONCLUSIONS: Patients generally held very positive attitudes, reflecting that the services sufficiently met their needs. However, owing to their rather limited knowledge, this may have restricted their perspectives to a largely superficial level, as many discerned palliative care to be simply targeting physical health with medical consultations. Considering the implications of the results, the addition of accessibility and education components to Hong Kong's current system of palliative care is crucial in the betterment of such services for patients. There should also be increased local coverage of palliative care services to facilitate convenience of access. With reference to the World Health Organisation (WHO) palliative care model, the inclusion of a continued spectrum of services, such as physical and mental health activities and psychosocial counselling, should be reinforced throughout the progression of disease so as to better help patients to cope with illness. The discovery of the relationship between extent of symptoms experienced and patients' satisfaction towards services provided is a new direction for further study.