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1.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(4): e13292, 2024 Apr.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38654485

Using a common protocol across seven countries in the European Union/European Economic Area, we estimated XBB.1.5 monovalent vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 hospitalisation and death in booster-eligible ≥ 65-year-olds, during October-November 2023. We linked electronic records to construct retrospective cohorts and used Cox models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and derive VE. VE for COVID-19 hospitalisation and death was, respectively, 67% (95%CI: 58-74) and 67% (95%CI: 42-81) in 65- to 79-year-olds and 66% (95%CI: 57-73) and 72% (95%CI: 51-85) in ≥ 80-year-olds. Results indicate that periodic vaccination of individuals ≥ 65 years has an ongoing benefit and support current vaccination strategies in the EU/EEA.


COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , European Union , Hospitalization , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccine Efficacy , Humans , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , Aged , Male , Aged, 80 and over , Female , COVID-19 Vaccines/immunology , COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , Retrospective Studies , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Europe/epidemiology , Electronic Health Records
2.
Euro Surveill ; 29(1)2024 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38179626

To monitor relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) against COVID-19-related hospitalisation of the first, second and third COVID-19 booster (vs complete primary vaccination), we performed monthly Cox regression models using retrospective cohorts constructed from electronic health registries in eight European countries, October 2021-July 2023. Within 12 weeks of administration, each booster showed high rVE (≥ 70% for second and third boosters). However, as of July 2023, most of the relative benefit has waned, particularly in persons ≥ 80-years-old, while some protection remained in 65-79-year-olds.


COVID-19 , Humans , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , Vaccine Efficacy , Europe/epidemiology , Hospitalization
3.
Microbiol Spectr ; 12(1): e0341823, 2024 Jan 11.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38063356

IMPORTANCE: This study is important because it shows the potential epidemiological silence associated with the use of culture as the primary diagnostic method for the laboratory identification of human campylobacteriosis. Also, we show how polymerase chain reaction methods are associated with a systematic increase in the number of human campylobacteriosis episodes as reported by routine disease surveillance. These findings are operationally relevant and have public health implications because they tell how crucial it is to consider changes in diagnostic methods, e.g., in the epidemiological analysis of historical data and in the interpretation of future data in light of the past. We also believe that this study highlights how the synergy between microbiology and epidemiology is essential for disease surveillance.


Campylobacter Infections , Campylobacter , Gastroenteritis , Humans , Campylobacter Infections/diagnosis , Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Campylobacter Infections/microbiology , Retrospective Studies , Campylobacter/genetics , Denmark/epidemiology , Polymerase Chain Reaction
4.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 36(7): 715-725, 2021 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34420152

Seroprevalence studies have proven an important tool to monitor the progression of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We present results of consecutive population-based seroprevalence surveys performed in Denmark in 2020. In spring, late summer and autumn/winter of 2020, invitation letters including a questionnaire covering symptoms were sent to representative samples of the population above 12 years and to parents of children below 18 years in the sample. Blood samples were analysed for total Ig and seroprevalence estimates per population segment were calculated and compared to other surveillance parameters. Based on 34 081 participants (participation rate 33%), seroprevalence estimates increased from 1.2% (95%CI: 0.3-1.9%) in May to 4.1% (95%CI: 3.1-4.9%) in December 2020. Seroprevalence estimates were roughly three times higher in those aged 12-29 years compared to 65 + and higher in metropolitan municipalities. By December 2020, 1.5% of the population had tested positive by RT-PCR. Infected individuals in older age groups were hospitalised several fold more often than in younger. Amongst seropositives, loss of taste/smell were the more specific symptoms, 32-56% did not report any symptoms. In more than half of seroconverted families, we did not see evidence of transmission between generations. Seroprevalence increased during 2020; adolescents were primarily infected in the autumn/winter. Denmark has a high per capita test rate; roughly one undiagnosed infection of SARS-CoV-2 were estimated to occur for each diagnosed case. Approximately half were asymptomatically infected. The epidemic appears to have progressed relatively modestly during 2020 in Denmark.


Antibodies, Viral/blood , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Child , Denmark , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Prevalence , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Surveys and Questionnaires
5.
Sex Transm Infect ; 96(3): 211-219, 2020 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31221744

OBJECTIVES: Cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Data on human papillomavirus (HPV) epidemiology in adolescent girls in SSA are essential to inform HPV vaccine policy recommendations for cervical cancer prevention. We assessed the burden of HPV infection, and risk factors for infection, among adolescent girls around the time of sexual debut. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of secondary school girls aged 17-18 years in Tanzania. Consenting participants provided samples for HPV and STI testing. Vaginal swabs were tested for 37 HPV genotypes by Roche Linear Array. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with HPV infection. Y chromosome was tested as a marker of recent condomless sex. RESULTS: 163/385 girls (42.3%) reported previous penetrative sex. HPV was detected in 125/385 (32.5%) girls, including 84/163 (51.5%) girls reporting previous sex and 41/222 (18.5%) reporting no previous sex. High-risk (HR) genotypes were detected in 70/125 (56.0%) girls with HPV infection. The most common HR genotype was HPV-16 (15/385; 3.9%). The prevalence of other HR HPV vaccine genotypes was between 0.8% and 3.1%. Among 186 girls who reported no previous sex, were negative for Y chromosome, and had no STI, 32 (17%) had detectable HPV. Lactobacillus sp and bacterial vaginosis-associated bacteria were negatively and positively associated, respectively, with HPV. CONCLUSIONS: HPV prevalence among adolescent girls around the time of sexual debut was high. However, prevalence of most vaccine genotypes was low, indicating that extending the age range of HPV vaccination in this region may be cost-effective.


Genotype , Papillomaviridae/classification , Papillomaviridae/isolation & purification , Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology , Adolescent , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Papillomaviridae/genetics , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Tanzania/epidemiology , Time Factors
6.
Sex Transm Infect ; 95(3): 219-227, 2019 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30518620

OBJECTIVES: Bacterial vaginosis (BV) increases women's susceptibility to sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and HIV and may partly explain the high incidence of STI/HIV among girls and young women in East and southern Africa. The objectives of this study were to investigate the association between BV and sexual debut, to investigate other potential risk factors of BV and to estimate associations between BV and STIs. METHODS: Secondary school girls in Mwanza, aged 17 and 18 years, were invited to join a cross-sectional study. Consenting participants were interviewed and samples were obtained for STI and BV testing. Factors associated with prevalent BV were analysed using multivariable logistic regression. Y-chromosome was tested as a biomarker for unprotected penile-vaginal sex. RESULTS: Of the 386 girls who were enrolled, 163 (42%) reported having ever had penile-vaginal sex. Ninety-five (25%) girls had BV. The prevalence of BV was 33% and 19% among girls who reported or did not report having ever had penile-vaginal sex, respectively. BV was weakly associated with having ever had one sex partner (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.59;95% CI 0.93 to 2.71) and strongly associated with two or more partners (aOR = 3.67; 95% CI 1.75 to 7.72), receptive oral sex (aOR 6.38; 95% CI 1.22 to 33.4) and having prevalent human papillomavirus infection (aOR = 1.73; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.95). Of the 223 girls who reported no penile-vaginal sex, 12 (5%) tested positive for an STI and 7 (3%) tested positive for Y-chromosome. Reclassifying these positive participants as having ever had sex did not change the key results. CONCLUSIONS: Tanzanian girls attending school had a high prevalence of BV. Increasing number of sex partner was associated with BV; however, 19% of girls who reported no penile-vaginal sex had BV. This suggests that penile-vaginal sexual exposure may not be a prerequisite for BV. There was evidence of under-reporting of sexual debut.


Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology , Sexual Behavior , Students , Vaginosis, Bacterial/epidemiology , Adolescent , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Papillomavirus Infections/etiology , Prevalence , Reproductive Health , Risk Factors , Tanzania/epidemiology , Vaginosis, Bacterial/etiology
7.
Stat Methods Med Res ; 26(6): 2681-2699, 2017 Dec.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26423728

It is often unclear what specific adaptive trial design features lead to an efficient design which is also feasible to implement. This article describes the preparatory simulation study for a Bayesian response-adaptive dose-finding trial design. Dexamethasone for Excessive Menstruation aims to assess the efficacy of Dexamethasone in reducing excessive menstrual bleeding and to determine the best dose for further study. To maximise learning about the dose response, patients receive placebo or an active dose with randomisation probabilities adapting based on evidence from patients already recruited. The dose-response relationship is estimated using a flexible Bayesian Normal Dynamic Linear Model. Several competing design options were considered including: number of doses, proportion assigned to placebo, adaptation criterion, and number and timing of adaptations. We performed a fractional factorial study using SAS software to simulate virtual trial data for candidate adaptive designs under a variety of scenarios and to invoke WinBUGS for Bayesian model estimation. We analysed the simulated trial results using Normal linear models to estimate the effects of each design feature on empirical type I error and statistical power. Our readily-implemented approach using widely available statistical software identified a final design which performed robustly across a range of potential trial scenarios.


Adaptive Clinical Trials as Topic/statistics & numerical data , Bayes Theorem , Dexamethasone/administration & dosage , Menorrhagia/drug therapy , Adaptive Clinical Trials as Topic/methods , Biostatistics/methods , Computer Simulation , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Female , Glucocorticoids/administration & dosage , Humans , Linear Models , Models, Statistical , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/methods , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/statistics & numerical data , Software
8.
J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) ; 18(3): 207-16, 2016 Mar.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26279168

Hypertension control rates are low in sub-Saharan Africa. Population-specific determinants of blood pressure (BP) control have not been adequately described. The authors measured BP and conducted interviews to determine factors associated with BP control among adults attending a hypertension clinic in Tanzania. Three hundred adults were enrolled. BP was controlled in 47.7% of patients at the study visit but only 28.3% over three consecutive visits. Demographic and socioeconomic factors were not associated with control. Obesity and higher medication cost were associated with decreased control. Their effect was mediated through adherence. Good knowledge of (odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-6.1; P=.047), attitudes towards (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.0-7.1; P=.04), and practices concerning (OR, 5.4; 95% CI, 2.3-13.0; P<.001) hypertension were independently associated with increased control, even after adjusting for mediation through adherence. Good adherence had the strongest association with control (OR, 14.6; 95% CI, 5.8-37.0; P<.001). Strategies to reduce hypertension-related morbidity and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa should target these factors. Interventional studies of such strategies are needed.


Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Hypertension/drug therapy , Antihypertensive Agents/economics , Cross-Sectional Studies , Disease Management , Female , Humans , Hypertension/economics , Interviews as Topic , Male , Medication Adherence , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Risk Factors , Tanzania
9.
Lancet ; 384(9948): 1099-108, 2014 Sep 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25175478

BACKGROUND: Medical conditions are often complicated by major depression, with consequent additional impairment of quality of life. We aimed to compare the effectiveness of an integrated treatment programme for major depression in patients with cancer (depression care for people with cancer) with usual care. METHODS: SMaRT Oncology-2 is a parallel-group, multicentre, randomised controlled effectiveness trial. We enrolled outpatients with major depression from three cancer centres and their associated clinics in Scotland, UK. Participants were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the depression care for people with cancer intervention or usual care, with stratification (by trial centre) and minimisation (by age, primary cancer, and sex) with allocation concealment. Depression care for people with cancer is a manualised, multicomponent collaborative care treatment that is delivered systematically by a team of cancer nurses and psychiatrists in collaboration with primary care physicians. Usual care is provided by primary care physicians. Outcome data were collected up until 48 weeks. The primary outcome was treatment response (≥50% reduction in Symptom Checklist Depression Scale [SCL-20] score, range 0-4) at 24 weeks. Trial statisticians and data collection staff were masked to treatment allocation, but participants could not be masked to the allocations. Analyses were by intention to treat. This trial is registered with Current Controlled Trials, number ISRCTN40568538. FINDINGS: 500 participants were enrolled between May 12, 2008, and May 13, 2011; 253 were randomly allocated to depression care for people with cancer and 247 to usual care. 143 (62%) of 231 participants in the depression care for people with cancer group and 40 (17%) of 231 in the usual care group responded to treatment: absolute difference 45% (95% CI 37-53), adjusted odds ratio 8·5 (95% CI 5·5-13·4), p<0·0001. Compared with patients in the usual care group, participants allocated to the depression care for people with cancer programme also had less depression, anxiety, pain, and fatigue; and better functioning, health, quality of life, and perceived quality of depression care at all timepoints (all p<0·05). During the study, 34 cancer-related deaths occurred (19 in the depression care for people with cancer group, 15 in the usual care group), one patient in the depression care for people with cancer group was admitted to a psychiatric ward, and one patient in this group attempted suicide. None of these events were judged to be related to the trial treatments or procedures. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that depression care for people with cancer is an effective treatment for major depression in patients with cancer. It offers a model for the treatment of depression comorbid with other medical conditions. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK and Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government.


Depressive Disorder, Major/psychology , Depressive Disorder, Major/therapy , Neoplasms/psychology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Analysis of Variance , Antidepressive Agents/therapeutic use , Delivery of Health Care, Integrated , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neoadjuvant Therapy , Neoplasms/therapy , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Patient Care Team , Psychotherapy/statistics & numerical data , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
10.
Qual Life Res ; 19(7): 965-8, 2010 Sep.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20446045

PURPOSE: This study aimed to determine which methods of remote symptom assessment cancer outpatients would be comfortable using, including those involving information technology, and whether this varied with age and gender. METHODS: A questionnaire survey of 477 outpatients attending the Edinburgh Cancer Centre in Edinburgh, UK. RESULTS: Most patients reported that they would not feel comfortable using methods involving technology such as a secure website, email, mobile phone text message, or a computer voice on the telephone but that they would be more comfortable using more traditional methods such as a paper questionnaire, speaking to a nurse on the telephone, or giving information in person. CONCLUSIONS: The uptake of new, potentially cost-effective technology-based methods of monitoring patients' symptoms at home might be limited by patients' initial discomfort with the idea of using them. It will be important to develop methods of addressing this potential barrier (such as detailed explanation and supervised practice) if these methods are to be successfully implemented.


Home Care Services , Neoplasms/therapy , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Telemedicine , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cross-Sectional Studies , Data Collection , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Monitoring, Ambulatory/methods , Young Adult
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