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BACKGROUND: No routinely recommended cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction equations have adjusted for CVD preventive medications initiated during follow-up (treatment drop-in) in their derivation cohorts. This will lead to underestimation of risk when equations are applied in clinical practice if treatment drop-in is common. We aimed to quantify the treatment drop-in in a large contemporary national cohort to determine whether equations are likely to require adjustment. METHODS: Eight de-identified individual-level national health administrative datasets in Aotearoa New Zealand were linked to establish a cohort of almost all New Zealanders without CVD and aged 30-74 years in 2006. Individuals dispensing blood-pressure-lowering and/or lipid-lowering medications between 1 July 2006 and 31 December 2006 (baseline dispensing), and in each 6-month period during 12 years' follow-up to 31 December 2018 (follow-up dispensing), were identified. Person-years of treatment drop-in were determined. RESULTS: A total of 1 399 348 (80%) out of the 1 746 695 individuals in the cohort were not dispensed CVD medications at baseline. Blood-pressure-lowering and/or lipid-lowering treatment drop-in accounted for 14% of follow-up time in the group untreated at baseline and increased significantly with increasing predicted baseline 5-year CVD risk (12%, 31%, 34% and 37% in <5%, 5-9%, 10-14% and ≥15% risk groups, respectively) and with increasing age (8% in 30-44 year-olds to 30% in 60-74 year-olds). CONCLUSIONS: CVD preventive treatment drop-in accounted for approximately one-third of follow-up time among participants typically eligible for preventive treatment (≥5% 5-year predicted risk). Equations derived from cohorts with long-term follow-up that do not adjust for treatment drop-in effect will underestimate CVD risk in higher risk individuals and lead to undertreatment. Future CVD risk prediction studies need to address this potential flaw.
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BACKGROUND: Incrementing numbers of patients treated for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) call for scrutiny concerning long-term drug-safety. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to investigate associations between long-term use of ADHD treatment and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: Using nationwide registers, adult patients first-time initiated on ADHD treatment between 1998 and 2020 were identified. Exposure groups were prior users, <1 defined daily dose (DDD) per day, ≥1 DDD per day determined at start of follow-up, and 1 year after patients' first claimed prescription. Outcomes were acute coronary syndromes, stroke, heart failure, and a composite of the above. RESULTS: At start of follow-up, 26,357, 31,211, and 15,696 individuals were correspondingly categorized as prior users (42% female, median age: 30 years [Q1-Q3: 23-41 years]), <1 DDD per day (47% female, median age: 31 years [Q1-Q3: 24-41 years]), and ≥1 DDD per day (47% female, median age: 33 years [Q1-Q3: 25-41 years]), respectively. Comparing ≥1 DDD per day with prior users, elevated standardized 10-year absolute risk of stroke (2.1% [95% CI: 1.8%-2.4%] vs 1.7% [95% CI: 1.5%-1.9%]), heart failure (1.2% [95% CI: 0.9%-1.4%] vs 0.7% [95% CI: 0.6%-0.8%]), and the composite outcome (3.9% [95% CI: 3.4%-4.3%] vs 3.0% [95% CI: 2.8 %-3.2%]) was found-with corresponding risk ratios of 1.2 (95% CI: 1.0-1.5), 1.7 (95% CI: 1.3-2.2), and 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1-1.5). No apparent associations were found for acute coronary syndrome (1.0% [95% CI: 0.8%-1.2%] vs 0.9% [95% CI: 0.8%-1.0%]). CONCLUSIONS: Possible associations between elevated long-term cardiovascular risk and increasing dosage of ADHD treatment use in a young patient group should warrant further investigation.
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Trastorno por Déficit de Atención con Hiperactividad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Trastorno por Déficit de Atención con Hiperactividad/epidemiología , Trastorno por Déficit de Atención con Hiperactividad/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Adulto Joven , Sistema de Registros , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Seguimiento , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Estimulantes del Sistema Nervioso Central/efectos adversos , Estimulantes del Sistema Nervioso Central/uso terapéutico , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Limited knowledge of antihypertensive treatment of the elderly potentially impedes effective strategies for hypertension management in this growing patient group. We aimed to investigate temporal trends for first-line drug choice for antihypertensive treatment and treatment continuity among patients ≥75 years from 2000 to 2021. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registers, patients ≥75 years initiated for the first time on antihypertensive drugs: Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi), angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB), beta blockers (BB), calcium channel blockers (CCB), thiazides, or combinations, were identified. Patients with other indications than hypertension were excluded. Treatment continuity was described using claimed prescriptions the first 180 days following study entry. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2021, 170,769 patients (median age 80 years [interquartile range:77-84], 60.3% female) were included. From 2000 to 2003 to 2015-2021 the proportion of first-line drug choice increased for ACEi (8.7% to 14.9%), ARB (4.1% to 23.9%), and CCB (10.7% to 27.6%), decreased for thiazides (60.6% to 15.9%) and remained stable for BB (12.9% to 14.1%) and combinations (2.9% to 3.6%). For 157,457 patients alive after 180 days, discontinuation was highest among patients initiated on thiazides (28.3%) whereas most patients continued the same single drug regimen if they started on ACEi (55.2%), ARB (65.0%), BB (57.2%) or CCB (59.3%). CONCLUSIONS: From 2000 to 2021 thiazides have been replaced by ACEi, ARB and CCB. Thiazides had the lowest treatment continuity while ARB appeared preferred slightly over ACEi. Differences in adherence in relation to first-line drug choice may warrant scrutiny regarding recommendations for the elderly.
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Antihipertensivos , Hipertensión , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Inhibidores de la Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina/uso terapéutico , Continuidad de la Atención al Paciente/tendencias , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapéutico , Bloqueadores de los Canales de Calcio/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is described as a prognostic factor in patients with cancer however, the prognostic impact of PE remains unknown. This study investigated, the 1-year prognosis following PE in patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer stratified by cancer status. METHODS: All Danish patients with first-time PE from 2008 to 2018 were included. Cancer status was categorized as no cancer, history of cancer, non-active cancer and active cancer. Unadjusted and age-stratified 1-year risk of death was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Cause of death was reported using the Aalen-Johansen method. RESULTS: Of 35,679 patients with PE, 18% had a breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer. Patients with cancer were older compared with no cancer (69.8 years [IQR: 56.2-79.8]). One-year risk of death (95% confidence interval) for active breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer was 49.5% (44.0%-54.9%), 75.0% (72.5%-77.4%) and 80.1% (78.0%-82.3%) respectively, compared with 18.9% (18.4%-19.3%) for no cancer. Age-stratified analysis revealed no association with increasing age in non-active lung cancer and all active cancers. Further, non-cardiovascular death accounted for an increasing proportion by cancer status (no cancer < history of cancer < non-active cancer < active cancer). CONCLUSIONS: One-year risk of death was dependent on both cancer type and status; no association with age was found for patients with active cancers. Non-cardiovascular death was leading in non-active and active cancers. Thus, the occurrence of first-time PE could be regarded as a marker of cancer severity for patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Neoplasias Gastrointestinales , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Embolia Pulmonar , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias de la Mama/complicaciones , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Estudios de Cohortes , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Neoplasias Gastrointestinales/complicaciones , Neoplasias Gastrointestinales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Gastrointestinales/mortalidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/complicaciones , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Pronóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Embolia Pulmonar/etiología , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven , AdultoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A rising number of countries allow physicians to treat chronic pain with medical cannabis. However, recreational cannabis use has been linked with cardiovascular side effects, necessitating investigations concerning the safety of prescribed medical cannabis. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registers, patients with chronic pain initiating first-time treatment with medical cannabis during 2018-21 were identified and matched 1:5 to corresponding control patients on age, sex, chronic pain diagnosis, and concomitant use of other pain medication. The absolute risks of first-time arrhythmia (atrial fibrillation/flutter, conduction disorders, paroxysmal tachycardias, and ventricular arrhythmias) and acute coronary syndrome were reported comparing medical cannabis use with no use. RESULTS: Among 1.88 million patients with chronic pain (46% musculoskeletal, 11% cancer, 13% neurological, and 30% unspecified pain), 5391 patients claimed a prescription of medical cannabis [63.2% women, median age: 59 (inter-quartile range 48-70) years] and were compared with 26 941 control patients of equal sex- and age composition. Arrhythmia was observed in 42 and 107 individuals, respectively, within 180 days. Medical cannabis use was associated with an elevated risk of new-onset arrhythmia {180-day absolute risk: 0.8% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.6%-1.1%]} compared with no use [180-day absolute risk: 0.4% (95% CI 0.3%-0.5%)]: a risk ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.34-2.80) and a 1-year risk ratio of 1.36 (95% CI 1.00-1.73). No significant association was found for acute coronary syndrome [180-day risk ratio: 1.20 (95% CI 0.35-2.04)]. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic pain, the use of prescribed medical cannabis was associated with an elevated risk of new-onset arrhythmia compared with no use-most pronounced in the 180 days following the initiation of treatment.
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Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Fibrilación Atrial , Cannabis , Dolor Crónico , Marihuana Medicinal , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Masculino , Cannabis/efectos adversos , Marihuana Medicinal/efectos adversos , Dolor Crónico/tratamiento farmacológico , Dolor Crónico/epidemiología , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
AIMS: Multiple health administrative databases can be individually linked in Aotearoa New Zealand, using encrypted identifiers. These databases were used to develop cardiovascular risk prediction equations for patients with known cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Administrative health databases were linked to identify all people aged 18-84 years with known CVD, living in Auckland and Northland, Aotearoa New Zealand, on 1 January 2014. The cohort was followed until study outcome, death, or 5 years. The study outcome was death or hospitalization due to ischaemic heart disease, stroke, heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease. Sex-specific 5-year CVD risk prediction equations were developed using multivariable Fine and Gray models. A total of 43 862 men {median age: 67 years [interquartile range (IQR): 59-75]} and 32 724 women [median age: 70 years (IQR: 60-77)] had 14 252 and 9551 cardiovascular events, respectively. Equations were well calibrated with good discrimination. Increasing age and deprivation, recent cardiovascular hospitalization, Mori ethnicity, smoking history, heart failure, diabetes, chronic renal disease, atrial fibrillation, use of blood pressure lowering and anti-thrombotic drugs, haemoglobin A1c, total cholesterol/HDL cholesterol, and creatinine were statistically significant independent predictors of the study outcome. Fourteen per cent of men and 23% of women had predicted 5-year cardiovascular risk <15%, while 28 and 24% had ≥40% risk. CONCLUSION: Robust cardiovascular risk prediction equations were developed from linked routine health databases, a currently underutilized resource worldwide. The marked heterogeneity demonstrated in predicted risk suggests that preventive therapy in people with known CVD would be better informed by risk stratification beyond a one-size-fits-all high-risk categorization.
Using regionwide New Zealand health databases, methods of predicting hospitalization risk in patients with existing heart disease were developed. Using only data from health databases, it was possible to predict the risk accurately.Among patients with existing heart disease, the predicted risk varied markedly which could help improve preventive strategies.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Severe, symptomatic aortic stenosis may cause heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, or syncope; limited data exist on the occurrence of such events before transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and their impact on subsequent outcomes. Thus, we investigated the association between a preceding event and outcomes after TAVR. METHODS: From 2014 to 2021 all Danish patients who underwent TAVR were included. Preceding events up to 180 days before TAVR were identified. A preceding event was defined as a hospitalization for heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, or syncope. The 1-year risk of all-cause death, and cardiovascular or all-cause hospitalization was compared for patients with versus without a preceding event using Kaplan-Meier, Aalen-Johansen, and in Cox regression analyses adjusted for patient characteristics. RESULTS: Of 5,851 patients included, 759 (13.0%) had a preceding event. The median age was 81 years in both groups. Male sex and frailty were more prevalent in patients with a preceding event (males: 64.7% vs 55.2%, frailty: 49.6% vs 40.6%). The most common type of preceding event was a hospitalization for heart failure (n = 524). For patients with a preceding event, the 1-year risk of death was 11.7% (95% CI: 9.4%-14.1%) versus 8.0% (95% CI: 7.2%-8.7%) for patients without. The corresponding adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) was 1.29 (95%CI: 1.01-1.64). Mortality was highest for patients with a preceding event of a heart failure admission (1-year risk: 13.5% [95%CI: 10.5%-16.5%]). Comparing patients with a preceding event to those without, the 1-year risk for cardiovascular rehospitalization was 15.0% versus 8.2% (aHR 1.60 [95%CI: 1.29-1.99]) and 57.6% versus 50.6% for all-cause rehospitalization (aHR 1.08 [95%CI: 0.87-1.20]). CONCLUSIONS: A hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, or syncope prior to TAVR was associated with a poorer prognosis and could represent a group to focus resource management on. Interventions to prevent preceding events and improvements in pre- and post-TAVR optimization of these patients are warranted.
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Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Fragilidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Infarto del Miocardio , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter , Humanos , Masculino , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter/efectos adversos , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/complicaciones , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Hospitalización , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Infarto del Miocardio/etiología , Síncope/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Válvula Aórtica/cirugíaRESUMEN
AIM: Expected 1-year survival is essential to risk stratification of patients with heart failure (HF); however, little is known about the 1-year prognosis of patients with HF and cancer. Thus, the objective was to investigate the 1-year prognosis following new-onset HF stratified by cancer status in patients with breast, gastrointestinal, or lung cancer. METHODS AND RESULTS: All Danish patients with new-onset HF from 2000 to 2018 were included. Cancer status was categorized as history of cancer (no cancer-related contact within 5 years of HF diagnosis), non-active cancer (curative intended procedure administered) and active cancer. Standardized 1-year all-cause mortality was reported using G-computation. Age-stratified 1-year all-cause mortality was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. In total, 193 359 patients with HF were included, 7.3% had either a breast, gastrointestinal, or lung cancer diagnosis. Patients with cancer were older and more comorbid than patients without cancer. Standardized 1-year all-cause mortality (95% confidence intervals) was 24.6% (23.0-26.2%), 27.1% (25.5-28.6%), and 29.9% (25.9-34.0%) for history of breast, gastrointestinal and lung cancer, respectively, which was comparable to patients with non-active cancers. For active breast, gastrointestinal and lung cancer, standardized 1-year all-cause mortality was 36.2% (33.8-38.6%), 49.0% (47.2-50.9%), and 61.6% (59.7-63.5%), respectively. One-year all-cause mortality increased incrementally with age, except for active lung cancer. CONCLUSION: Standardized 1-year all-cause mortality was comparable for patients with history of cancer and non-active cancer regardless of cancer type, but varied comprehensively for active cancers. Prognostic impact of age was limited for active lung cancer. Thus, granular stratification of cancer is necessary for optimized management of new-onset HF.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Comorbilidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/complicacionesRESUMEN
AIM: To identify the absolute risk, causes and factors associated with rehospitalization within 1 year of discharge with a pulmonary embolism (PE). METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Danish nationwide registries, all patients admitted with a first-time PE between 2000 and 2020 and discharged alive were included. Subsequent hospitalizations were categorized and crude cumulative incidences, were used to estimate the absolute risk (AR) of any rehospitalization and specific causes of rehospitalizations. Risk factors for rehospitalization were investigated using cause specific Cox regression models.A total of 55 201 patients were identified. The median age of the study population was 70 years (inter quartile range: 59;79), and the most prevalent comorbidities were cancer (29.3%) and ischemic heart disease (12.7%). The 1-year AR of any rehospitalization after discharge with a PE was 48.6% (95% confidence interval (CI); 48.2%-48.8%). The most common cause for being rehospitalized was due to respiratory disease (1-year AR: 9.5% (95% CI: 9.3%-9.8%)), followed by cardiovascular disease (1-year AR: 6.3% (95% CI: 5.9%-6.5%)), cancer (1-year AR: 6.0% (95% CI: 5.8%-6.4%)), venous thromboembolism (1-year AR: 5.2% (95% CI: 5.0%-5.2%)), and symptom diagnoses (1-year AR: 5.2% (95%CI: 5.0%-5.4%)). Factors that were associated with an increased risk of rehospitalization were cancer, liver disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, and immobilization. CONCLUSION: Patients with PE have a high risk of rehospitalization, with almost half of patients being rehospitalized within 1 year. Identification of high-risk patients may help target interventions aiming at reducing the risk of rehospitalization.
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AIMS: We studied the effect of discontinuing beta-blockers following myocardial infarction in comparison to continuous beta-blocker use in optimally treated, stable patients without heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using nationwide registers, we identified first-time myocardial infarction patients treated with beta-blockers following percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary angiography. The analysis was based on landmarks selected as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after the first redeemed beta-blocker prescription date. The outcomes included all-cause death, cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and a composite outcome of cardiovascular events and procedures. We used logistic regression and reported standardized absolute 5-year risks and risk differences at each landmark year. Among 21 220 first-time myocardial infarction patients, beta-blocker discontinuation was not associated with an increased risk of all-cause death, cardiovascular death, or recurrent myocardial infarction compared with patients continuing beta-blockers (landmark year 5; absolute risk difference [95% confidence interval]), correspondingly; -4.19% [-8.95%; 0.57%], -1.18% [-4.11%; 1.75%], and -0.37% [-4.56%; 3.82%]). Further, beta-blocker discontinuation within 2 years after myocardial infarction was associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome (landmark year 2; absolute risk [95% confidence interval] 19.87% [17.29%; 22.46%]) compared with continued beta-blocker use (landmark year 2; absolute risk [95% confidence interval] 17.10% [16.34%; 17.87%]), which yielded an absolute risk difference [95% confidence interval] at -2.8% [-5.4%; -0.1%], however, there was no risk difference associated with discontinuation hereafter. CONCLUSION: Discontinuation of beta-blockers 1 year or later after a myocardial infarction without heart failure was not associated with increased serious adverse events.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Duración de la Terapia , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Infarto del Miocardio/tratamiento farmacológico , Infarto del Miocardio/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Fluid retention and endothelial dysfunction have been related to use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been linked to both a decline in kidney function and subclinical cardiomyopathy. OBJECTIVES: The authors hypothesized that short-term use of NSAIDs could lead to subsequent development of incident heart failure (HF) in patients with T2DM. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registers, we identified patients diagnosed with T2DM during 1998 to 2021 and included patients without previous HF, rheumatic disease, or use of NSAIDs 120 days before diagnosis. Associations between NSAIDs and first-time HF hospitalization were investigated using a case-crossover design with 28-day exposure windows, and ORs with 95% CIs were reported. RESULTS: Included were 331,189 patients with T2DM: 44.2% female, median age of 62 years (IQR: 52-71 years); 23,308 patients were hospitalized with HF during follow-up, and 16% of patients claimed at least 1 NSAID prescription within 1 year. Short-term use of NSAIDs was associated with increased risk of HF hospitalization (OR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.27-1.63), most notably in subgroups with age ≥80 years (OR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.39-2.28), elevated hemoglobin (Hb) A1c levels treated with 0 to 1 antidiabetic drug (OR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.00-2.88), and without previous use of NSAIDs (OR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.78-4.23). CONCLUSIONS: NSAIDs were widely used and were associated with an increased risk of first-time HF hospitalization in patients with T2DM. Patients with advanced age, elevated HbA1c levels, and new users of NSAID seemed more susceptible. These findings could guide physicians prescribing NSAIDs.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Enfermedades Vasculares , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamiento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Enfermedades Vasculares/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Loss of autonomy associated with nursing home admission (NHA) is a concern for patients. Yet the incidence of NHA after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence and factors associated with NHA following TAVR compared with the general population. METHODS: Through Danish registries, patients alive at discharge after TAVR were identified from January 2014 to October 2021. Patients were matched 1:5 on sex, age, and calendar year to the general population. The 3-year cumulative incidence and 95% CI of NHA were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen estimator, accounting for the competing risk for death. Through multivariate cause-specific Cox regression models, factors associated with NHA were examined. RESULTS: In total, 5,312 TAVR patients were matched to 26,560 control subjects with a median age of 81 years and 56.1% males. Comorbidity burden was higher for TAVR patients. The 3-year cumulative incidence of NHA was 6.3% (95% CI: 5.5%-7.1%) for TAVR patients compared with 5.8% (95% CI: 5.4%-6.1%) for the general population. For TAVR patients >85 years of age, the cumulative incidence of NHA was 11.6% (95% CI: 9.5%-13.8%), and the risk for death was 23.3% (95% CI: 20.4%-26.2%). Factors associated with NHA were increasing age, frailty, living alone, and atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS: TAVR was not associated with an increased incidence of NHA compared with the general population. Despite the increased incidence of NHA for TAVR patients >85 years of age, approximately 2 in 3 patients were still alive and not admitted to nursing homes 3 years after TAVR.
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Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter , Masculino , Humanos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter/efectos adversos , Válvula Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estudios de Cohortes , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Casas de Salud , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To investigated the prognosis of the most prevalent cancers (breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer), according to cancer status (i.e., active-, non-active-, history of-, and no cancer), following first-time of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: Danish nationwide registers were used to identify patients with first-time ACS from 2000-2018. Patients were stratified according to cancer type and status. Hazard ratios (HR) estimated by adjusted Cox regression models for 1year all-cause mortality reported. Further absolute risks of 1year cardiovascular versus non-cardiovascular death and 30-day cumulative incidence of coronary angiograms (CAG) was estimated, using the Aalen-Johansen non-parametric method, with competing risk of death. RESULTS: We identified 150,478 (95.7%) with no cancer, 2,370 (1.5%) with history of cancer, 2,712 (1.7%) with non-active cancer and 1,704 (1.1%) with active cancer. Cancer patients were older with more comorbidities than patients with no cancer. When compared with no cancer, we found HRs (95% confidence intervals) of 1.71 (1.44-2.02), 2.47 (2.23-2.73) and 4.22 (3.87-4.60) correspondingly for active breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer. Increased HRs were also found for non-active cancers, but not for history of cancer. Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of death in all patients. Among patients with active breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer 43%, 43%, and 31% underwent CAG, correspondingly, compared with 77% of patients without cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Active- and non-active cancers were associated with an increased 1-year all-cause mortality compared with patients with history of cancer and no cancer. Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of death; notably CAG was less frequently performed in cancer patients.
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Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Comorbilidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Simple logistic regression can be adapted to deal with right-censoring by inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW). We here compare two such IPCW approaches, one based on weighting the outcome, the other based on weighting the estimating equations. We study the large sample properties of the two approaches and show that which of the two weighting methods is the most efficient depends on the censoring distribution. We show by theoretical computations that the methods can be surprisingly different in realistic settings. We further show how to use the two weighting approaches for logistic regression to estimate causal treatment effects, for both observational studies and randomized clinical trials (RCT). Several estimators for observational studies are compared and we present an application to registry data. We also revisit interesting robustness properties of logistic regression in the context of RCTs, with a particular focus on the IPCW weighting. We find that these robustness properties still hold when the censoring weights are correctly specified, but not necessarily otherwise.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Probabilidad , Causalidad , Simulación por ComputadorRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Concomitant use of oral organic nitrates (nitrates) and phosphodiesterase type 5 (PDE5) inhibitors is contraindicated. OBJECTIVE: To measure temporal trends in the coprescription of nitrates and PDE5 inhibitors and to measure the association between cardiovascular outcomes and the coprescription of nitrates with PDE5 inhibitors. DESIGN: Case-crossover design. SETTING: Nationwide study of Danish patients from 2000 to 2018. PATIENTS: Male patients with International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) codes for ischemic heart disease (IHD), including those who had a continuing prescription for nitrates and a new, filled prescription for PDE5 inhibitors. MEASUREMENTS: Two composite outcomes were measured: 1) cardiac arrest, shock, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or acute coronary arteriography and 2) syncope, angina pectoris, or drug-related adverse event. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2018, 249 541 male patients with IHD were identified. Of these, 42 073 patients had continuing prescriptions for nitrates. During this period, the prescription rate for PDE5 inhibitors in patients with IHD who were taking nitrates increased from an average of 0.9 prescriptions (95% CI, 0.5 to 1.2 prescriptions) per 100 persons per year in 2000 to 19.5 prescriptions (CI, 18.0 to 21.1 prescriptions) in 2018. No statistically significant association was found between the coprescription of nitrates with PDE5 inhibitors and the risk for either composite outcome (odds ratio [OR], 0.58 [CI, 0.28 to 1.13] for the first outcome and OR, 0.73 [CI, 0.40 to 1.32] for the second outcome). LIMITATION: An assumption was made that concurrently filled prescriptions for nitrates and PDE5 inhibitors equaled concomitant use. CONCLUSION: From 2000 to 2018, the use of PDE5 inhibitors increased 20-fold among Danish patients with IHD who were taking nitrates. A statistically significant association between concomitant use of these medications and cardiovascular adverse events could not be identified. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Ib Mogens Kristiansens Almene Fond and Helsefonden.
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Disfunción Eréctil , Isquemia Miocárdica , Estudios Cruzados , Disfunción Eréctil/inducido químicamente , Disfunción Eréctil/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Masculino , Isquemia Miocárdica/tratamiento farmacológico , Nitratos/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de Fosfodiesterasa 5/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of new-onset type 2 diabetes (T2D) in heart failure (HF) remains unknown. We aimed to describe the cardiovascular outcome profile in HF patients with new-onset, no and prevalent T2D. METHODS: We constructed a cohort of patients with first HF admission between 1998 and 2016 from nationwide Danish registers. Outcomes were ischemic event, HF event, and death from other causes. The landmarking approach and the Aalen Johansen estimator were used together to estimate 5-year absolute and 5-year relative risk of the outcomes in HF patients with new-onset, no and prevalent T2D. Risk among subgroups were investigated by stratification. RESULTS: A total of 139 264 HF patients were included between 1998 and 2016, of which 29 078 patients had prevalent T2D. A total of 11 819 developed new-onset T2D. The 5-year risks of ischemic event in new-onset, no, and prevalent T2D were: 17.9% [17.2; 18.6], 18.8% [18.6; 19.0], and 26.1% [25.6; 26.7]. The 5-year risks of HF event were: 31.5% [30.6; 32.3], 30.7% [30.5; 31.0], and 33.6% [33.0; 34.2]. For other causes of death, the 5-year risks were: 20.9% [20.2; 21.7], 18.6% [18.4; 18.8], and 18.9% [18.4; 19.3]. The 5-year risk ratios of HF event or death from other causes versus ischemic event were: 2.9 [2.8; 3.1], 2.6 [2.6; 2.7], and 2.0 [2.0; 2.1] in patients with new-onset, no, and prevalent T2D. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with new-onset T2D, death from other causes were more likely to occur than an ischemic event, whereas in patients with prevalent T2D and no T2D, ischemic events were more common.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Hospitalización , Humanos , Pronóstico , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Bleeding safety in relation to use of systemic fluconazole and topical azoles among patients with atrial fibrillation treated with apixaban, rivaroxaban, or dabigatran is insufficiently explored, despite clinical relevance and several reports suggesting associations. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registers, we identified patients with atrial fibrillation initiated on apixaban, rivaroxaban, or dabigatran from 2012-2018. We investigated associations between bleeding incidents and systemic fluconazole or topical azole treatment using a case-crossover design with 30-day exposure windows and reported odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: We included 32,340 (36%), 32,409 (36%), and 24,940 (28%) patients initiated on apixaban, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran, respectively. Patients on apixaban were older (median age: 77 years; interquartile range [IQR] 70-84) compared with rivaroxaban users (median age: 75 years; IQR 68-82) and patients on dabigatran (median age: 73 years; IQR 66-80). Apixaban users had a significantly increased risk of bleeding following exposure to systemic fluconazole: odds ratio (OR) 3.5; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.4-10.6. No increased risk was found among rivaroxaban and dabigatran users: ORs of 0.9 (95% CI, 0.2-3.0) and 1.7 (95% CI, 0.5-5.6), respectively. As to bleeding risk pertaining to topical azole exposure among apixaban, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran users, no association was found, with corresponding ORs of 0.8 (95% CI, 0.5-1.3); 1.3 (95% CI, 0.9-2.1); and 1.2 (95% CI 0.8-1.8), respectively. CONCLUSION: In patients with atrial fibrillation on either apixaban, rivaroxaban, or dabigatran, an association between an elevated bleeding risk and use of systemic fluconazole was found among patients on apixaban. We found no increased risk of bleeding following co-exposure to topical azoles.