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1.
J Chin Med Assoc ; 87(2): 156-162, 2024 Feb 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38095597

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Performance status (PS) is associated with the severity of liver cirrhosis and is also an important survival determinant in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and easy (EZ)-ALBI grade have been proposed to evaluate liver dysfunction in HCC, but their role in patients with different PS is unclear. We aimed to investigate the prognostic role of ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade in a large HCC cohort with variable PS. METHODS: A total of 3355 newly diagnosed HCC patients between 2002 and 2018 were identified and retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic predictors associated with survival were investigated using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Patients with poor PS had decreased survival compared with those with good PS. In the Cox model, creatinine ≥1.2 mg/dL, α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥20 ng/mL, vascular invasion, distant metastasis, total tumor volume >100 cm 3 , presence of ascites, ALBI grades 2 and 3, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and grade 3, PS 1-4, and noncurative treatment were independently associated with higher mortality in the entire cohort (all p < 0.001). ALBI grade and EZ-ALBI grade can well stratify overall survival in subgroup patients with PS 0, PS 1-2, and PS 3-4 (all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with good PS have better long-term survival compared with those with poor PS. ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade can discriminate long-term outcome in the entire cohort as well as in patients with different PS. ALBI and EZ-ALBI are objective and feasible prognostic models to evaluate liver dysfunction in HCC patients independent of PS.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Pronóstico , Bilirrubina , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Albúmina Sérica
2.
Int J Mol Sci ; 24(23)2023 Nov 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38069310

RESUMEN

The severity of liver functional reserve is an important prognostic predictor in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), easy (EZ)-ALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI), platelet-albumin (PAL) score, and MELD 3.0 score are used to evaluate the severity of liver dysfunction. However, their prognostic role in HCC patients, specifically with renal insufficiency (RI), is unclear. We aimed to investigate the predictive accuracy of the five models in these patients. A total of 1120 newly diagnosed HCC patients with RI were enrolled. A multivariate Cox proportional analysis was used to identify independent predictors associated with survival. In the Cox model, older age, an α-fetoprotein ≥20 ng/mL, vascular invasion, a medium and high tumor burden score, poor performance status, a higher ALBI grade, an EZ-ALBI grade, a PALBI grade, a PAL grade, and MELD 3.0 score were all independently associated with decreased overall survival (all p < 0.001). Among the five liver reserve models, the ALBI grade is the best surrogate marker to represent liver functional reserve in terms of outcome prediction. The albumin-based liver reserve models (ALBI, EZ-ALBI, PALBI, and PAL) and MELD 3.0 are all feasible prognostic markers to indicate liver injury, specifically in HCC patients with RI. Among them, the ALBI grade is the most robust tool for survival prediction in these patients.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Insuficiencia Renal , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/complicaciones , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Albúminas , Bilirrubina
3.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 13871, 2023 08 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37620558

RESUMEN

Tumor burden score (TBS) has been recently introduced to indicate the extent of tumor burden in different cancers, but its role in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. We aimed to determine the prognostic role of TBS in patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria receiving surgical resection (SR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). A total of 1303 newly diagnosed HCC patients beyond Milan criteria receiving SR or TACE as the primary therapy were retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic predictors were examined by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. SR was associated with better overall survival compared with TACE in these patients. Multivariate Cox analysis of the entire cohort revealed that age > 66 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.145, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.004-1.305, p = 0.043), serum α-fetoprotein > 200 ng/mL (HR: 1.602, 95% CI: 1.402-1.831, p < 0.001), performance status 2-4 (HR: 1.316, 95% CI: 1.115-1.553, p < 0.001), medium TBS (HR: 1.225, 95% CI:1.045-1.436, p = 0.012), high TBS (HR: 1.976, 95% CI: 1.637-2.384, p < 0.001), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2-3 (HR: 1.529, 95% CI: 1.342-1.743, p < 0.001), presence of vascular invasion (HR: 1.568, 95% CI: 1.354-1.816, p < 0.001), and TACE (HR: 2.396, 95% CI: 2.082-2.759, p < 0.001) were linked with decreased survival. SR consistently predicted a significantly better survival in different TBS subgroups. TBS is a feasible and independent prognostic predictor in HCC beyond the Milan criteria. SR provides better long-term outcome compared with TACE in these patients independent of TBS grade, and should be considered as the primary treatment modality in this special patient group.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Quimioembolización Terapéutica , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Anciano , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Carga Tumoral , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia
4.
Cancers (Basel) ; 15(7)2023 Mar 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37046586

RESUMEN

(1) Background: The severity of liver functional reserve plays an important role in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Noninvasive models such as the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and easy (EZ)-ALBI grade, platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) and platelet-albumin (PAL) are used to evaluate liver dysfunction. We aimed to compare the prognostic performance of these four albumin-based models against MELD in HCC patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). (2) Methods: A total of 1038 treatment naïve HCC patients who received TACE as the primary treatment were enrolled. A multivariate Cox model was used to determine independent survival predictors. (3) Results: Multivariate analysis revealed that higher serum creatinine and α-fetoprotein level, vascular invasion, large tumor size, ALBI grades 2-3, EZ-ALBI grades 2-3, PALBI grades 2-3, PAL grades 2-3, but not the MELD score, were independent predictors associated with decreased survival in different Cox models. Among these models, the PALBI grade had the highest homogeneity and lowest corrected Akaike information criteria value, followed by EZ-ALBI, PAL, ALBI and, lastly, MELD. (4) Conclusions: All four albumin-based liver reserve models are better prognostic tools than MELD score in HCC patients undergoing TACE. Of these, the PALBI score is the best model to evaluate the liver reserve and should be considered a surrogate marker in these patients.

5.
Cancers (Basel) ; 15(3)2023 Jan 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36765711

RESUMEN

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often have co-existing ascites, which is a hallmark of liver decompensation. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and EZ (easy)-ALBI grade are used to assess liver functional reserve in HCC, but the predictive accuracy of these two models in HCC patients with ascites is unclear. We aimed to determine the prognostic role of ALBI and EZ-ALBI grades in these patients. A total of 4431 HCC patients were prospectively enrolled and retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic predictors were identified by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Of all patients, 995 (22.5%) patients had ascites. Grade 1, 2, and 3 ascites were found in 16%, 4%, and 3% of them, respectively. A higher ascites grade was associated with higher ALBI and EZ-ALBI scores and linked with decreased overall survival. In the Cox multivariate analysis, serum bilirubin level > 1.1 mg/dL, creatinine level ≥ 1.2 mg/dL, α-fetoprotein ≥ 20 ng/mL, total tumor volume > 100 cm3, vascular invasion, distant metastasis, poor performance status, ALBI grade 2 and 3, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and 3, and non-curative treatments were independently associated with increased mortality (all p < 0.05) among HCC patients with ascites. The ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade can adequately stratify overall survival in both the entire cohort and specifically in patients with ascites. Ascites is highly prevalent and independently predict patient survival in HCC. The ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade are feasible markers of liver dysfunction and can stratify long-term survival in HCC patients with ascites.

6.
Scand J Gastroenterol ; 58(1): 61-69, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35830511

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The characteristics and prognosis of cryptogenic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and its updated version, the easy ALBI (EZ-ALBI) grade, are important prognostic predictors for HCC. We aimed to investigate the long-term survival of patients with cryptogenic HCC and the prognostic role of ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade in these patients. METHODS: A prospective cohort of 2,937 HCC patients with viral or cryptogenic etiology were retrospectively analyzed. The multivariate Cox model was used to determine prognostic predictors. RESULTS: Cryptogenic HCC patients were often older and diabetic, had lower serum ɑ-fetoprotein (AFP) levels, larger tumor burden, poor performance status, advanced cancer stage, and received non-curative treatments compared with hepatitis B or C-related HCC. The Cox analysis showed that age > 65 years, serum AFP > 400 ng/mL, presence of vascular invasion or distant metastasis, presence of ascites, performance status 2-4, ALBI grade 2 and 3, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and 3, and non-curative treatment, were independent predictors of decreased survival in cryptogenic HCC (p < .001). Significant survival differences were found across ALBI grade and EZ-ALBI grade in cryptogenic HCC and subgroup patients receiving curative or non-curative treatments. The Cancer of Liver Italian Program was the best staging system for patients with cryptogenic HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cryptogenic HCC have a larger tumor burden and advanced cancer stage at disease presentation compared with those with viral HCC. The ALBI and EZ-ALBI score are robust models to evaluate liver functional reserve for these patients independent of treatment modality.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Anciano , Pronóstico , Bilirrubina , alfa-Fetoproteínas , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios Prospectivos , Albúmina Sérica/análisis
7.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(17)2022 Aug 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36077743

RESUMEN

Tumor burden score (TBS), estimated by the diameter and number of tumor nodules, was recently proposed to assess the tumor burden in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of TBS on HCC patients within the Milan criteria undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). A total of 883 patients undergoing RFA and TACE were included. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine independent prognostic predictors in different patient cohorts. The TACE group had significantly higher TBS compared with the RFA group. The RFA group had better long-term survival than the TACE group in patients within the Milan criteria in univariate survival analysis. In the Cox model, serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) > 20 ng/mL, performance status 1−2, medium and high TBS, albumin−bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2 and grade 3 were independent predictors linked with mortality (all p < 0.001). Overall, TACE was not an independent predictor; among patients with low TBS, TACE was independently associated with decreased survival compared with RFA (p = 0.034). Conclusions: TBS is a feasible prognostic marker for HCC patients within the Milan criteria. TACE may be an effective treatment alternative for these patients. Among patients with low TBS, RFA should be considered the priority treatment modality.

8.
Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 16(9): 903-911, 2022 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35999514

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Tumor burden score (TBS) was proposed to represent tumor burden in solid tumors, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prognostic role of TBS in HCC patients in relation to recently introduced liver reserve markers, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and easy (EZ)-ALBI grade, is unclear. We aimed to investigate the feasibility of TBS in HCC patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 576 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing RFA were analyzed. The multivariate Cox analysis was used to identify independent predictors associated with tumor recurrence and long-term survival. RESULTS: Patients with high TBS had increased risk of tumor recurrence and mortality compared with those with low TBS. The Cox analysis showed that serum ɑ-fetoprotein (AFP) level >20 ng/mL, medium and high TBS, ALBI grade 2 and grade 3, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and grade 3 were associated with tumor recurrence and decreased patient survival (all p <0.05). In addition, TBS can reliably stratify tumor recurrence and overall survival in different ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade groups. CONCLUSIONS: TBS is a simple and feasible prognostic surrogate to predict tumor recurrence and survival in HCC patients undergoing RFA. Its prognostic ability remains stable in patients with variable liver functional reserve.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Ablación por Radiofrecuencia , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Bilirrubina , alfa-Fetoproteínas , Pronóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Carga Tumoral , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Albúmina Sérica/análisis , Estudios Retrospectivos , Ablación por Radiofrecuencia/efectos adversos
9.
Int J Clin Oncol ; 27(4): 739-748, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35119581

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is used to evaluate the outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) which is often associated with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics, outcome, and prognostic role of ALBI grade in dual HBV/HCV-related HCC. METHODS: A total 3341 HCC patients with viral etiology were prospectively enrolled and retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify independent prognostic predictors. RESULTS: Of all patients, 2083 (62%), 1068 (32%), and 190 (6%) patients had HBV, HCV, and dual HBV/HCV infection, respectively. The mean age of HBV, HCV, and dual virus group was 60, 68, and 64 years (p < 0.001), respectively. There was no significant survival difference between HBV, HCV, and dual HBV/HCV-related HCC group (p = 0.712). Multivariate Cox analysis in dual HBV/HCV-related HCC showed that multiple tumors [hazard ratio (HR): 1.537, p = 0.044], tumor size >3 cm (HR 2.014, p = 0.044), total tumor volume (TTV) >50 cm3 (HR 3.050, p < 0.001), vascular invasion (HR 3.258, p < 0.001), performance status 2-4 (HR 2.232, p < 0.001), ALBI grade 2-3 (HR 2.177, p < 0.001), and BCLC stage B-D (HR 2.479, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of poor survival. CONCLUSIONS: Dual viral infection does not accelerate the development of HCC in HBV carriers. Patient survival is similar between dual HBV/HCV-related HCC and single HBV- or HCV-related HCC group. The ALBI grade is a robust prognostic model in dual virus-related HCC to discriminate patient long-term survival.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis B Crónica , Hepatitis C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Albúminas , Bilirrubina , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virología , Hepatitis B Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis C/complicaciones , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virología , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos
10.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(3)2022 Jan 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35158917

RESUMEN

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) varies widely due to variable tumor extent and liver reserve. We aimed to develop and validate a new prognostic model based on tumor burden score (TBS) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade for HCC. We prospectively identified 3794 HCC patients who were randomized into derivation and validation groups. Survival predictors were evaluated by a multivariate Cox model. The TBS-ALBI system allocated two points for high TBS and ALBI grade 3, and one point each for the presence of ascites, serum α-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/mL, vascular invasion or distant metastasis, performance status 2-4, medium TBS, and ALBI grade 2, with a maximal score of 8 points. Significant survival differences were found across different TBS-ALBI score groups in the validation cohort (all p < 0.001). The TBS-ALBI system had the lowest corrected Akaike information criterion (AICc) and the highest homogeneity compared with other proposed staging models. The discriminative ability of the TBS-ALBI system was consistently stable across different viral etiologies, cancer stages, and treatment strategies. Conclusions: This new TBS-ALBI system is a feasible and robust prognostic system in comparison with other systems; it is a user-friendly tool for long-term outcome assessment independent of treatment modality and cancer stage in HCC.

12.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 36(11): 3196-3203, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34159651

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Size and number are major determinants of tumor burden in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) have variable outcomes due to heterogeneity of tumor burden. Recently, tumor burden score (TBS) was proposed to evaluate the extent of tumor involvement. However, the prognostic accuracy of TBS has not been well evaluated in HCC. This study aimed to assess its prognostic role in HCC patients undergoing TACE. METHODS: A total of 935 treatment-naïve HCC patients receiving TACE were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine independent prognostic predictors. RESULTS: Tumor burden score tended to increase with increasing size and number of tumors in study patients. The Cox model showed that serum creatinine ≥ 1.2 mg/dL (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.296, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.077-1.559, P = 0.006), serum α-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/dL (HR: 2.245, 95% CI: 1.905-2.645, P < 0.001), vascular invasion (HR: 1.870, 95% CI: 1.520-2.301, P < 0.001), medium TBS (HR: 1.489, 95% CI: 1.206-1.839, P < 0.001) and high TBS (HR: 2.563, 95% CI: 1.823-3.602, P < 0.001), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2-3 (HR: 1.521, 95% CI: 1.291-1.792, P < 0.001), and performance status 1 (HR: 1.362, 95% CI: 1.127-1.647, P < 0.001) and status 2 (HR: 1.553, 95% CI: 1.237-1.948, P < 0.001) were associated with increased mortality. Patients with high TBS had poor overall survival in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B/C and different ALBI grades. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor burden score is a feasible new prognostic surrogate marker of tumor burden in HCC and can well discriminate survival in patients undergoing TACE across different baseline characteristics.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Quimioembolización Terapéutica , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Carga Tumoral , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia , Pronóstico , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Estudios Retrospectivos
13.
Hepatol Res ; 51(11): 1129-1138, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34038019

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Liver functional reserve is a major prognostic determinant in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is an objective method to assess the severity of cirrhosis in this setting. However, calculation of the ALBI score is complex and difficult to access in clinical practice. Recently, the EZ (easy)-ALBI score was proposed as an alternative biomarker of liver injury. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of the EZ-ALBI score in HCC from early to advanced stages. METHODS: A total of 3794 newly diagnosed HCC patients were prospectively enrolled and retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic predictors were determined by using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: The EZ-ALBI score showed good correlation with the ALBI score (correlation coefficient, 0.965; p < 0.001). The correlation of the EZ-ALBI score was highly preserved in different Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classifications, treatment methods, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages (correlation coefficients, 0.90-0.97). In the Cox multivariate analysis, age >65 years, male sex, serum α-fetoprotein >20 ng/ml, large or multiple tumors, total tumor volume >100 cm3 , vascular invasion or distant metastasis, ascites, poor performance status, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and 3, and noncurative treatments were independently associated with increased mortality (all p < 0.05). Moreover, EZ-ALBI grade can stratify long-term survival in patients with different CTP class, treatment strategy, and BCLC stage. CONCLUSIONS: The EZ-ALBI score is an easy and feasible method to evaluate liver functional reserve. As a new prognostic biomarker in HCC, the predictive power of the EZ-ALBI grade is independent across different cancer stages and treatments.

14.
J Gastrointest Oncol ; 12(2): 722-734, 2021 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34012661

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may develop end-stage renal disease and receive dialysis, but the impact of dialysis on the prognosis is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the outcome of dialysis HCC patients and the prognostic role of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade in these patients. METHODS: Among the consecutive 3,794 HCC patients between 2002-2017, 43 patients undergoing dialysis, and 129 age, sex-matched controls were analyzed. Multivariate Cox hazards model was used to identify independent prognostic predictors. RESULTS: Dialysis patients had decreased overall survival when compared with non-dialysis patients (n=3,751) and matched controls (n=129; each P=0.004). Patients with ALBI grade 1 had the best survival in the pooled cohort of dialysis and matched controls (n=172). In the Cox model, total tumor volume >33 cm3 [hazard ratio (HR): 6.763, P<0.001], presence of ascites (HR: 6.168, P<0.001), dialysis duration less than 24 months (HR: 3.144, P=0.006), diabetes-related dialysis (HR: 9.366, P=0.001) and non-curative treatments (HR: 9.220, P<0.001) were poor prognosis factors associated with increase mortality among dialysis patients. Of the 9 currently-used HCC staging systems, the CLIP score was the optimal cancer staging for dialysis patients. CONCLUSIONS: Patients receiving dialysis had decreased overall survival compared with non-dialysis patients. Longer duration of dialysis, non-diabetes related dialysis, absence of ascites, and curative treatments were associated with improved survival in these patients. The ALBI grade is a feasible prognostic model to evaluate liver functional reserve, and the CLIP model is the best staging system for dialysis patients with HCC.

15.
Dig Dis Sci ; 66(12): 4508-4517, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33387126

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIM: Patients with cirrhosis have poor outcomes once decompensation occurs; however, we lack adequate predictors of decompensation. To use a national claim database to compare the predictive accuracy of seven models for decompensation and hospitalization in patients with compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We defined decompensation as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, hepato-renal syndrome, and variceal bleeding. Patients without decompensation at the time of cirrhosis diagnosis were enrolled from 2001 to 2015. Patients with hepatitis B and/or C were grouped as viral cirrhosis. We compared the predictive accuracy of models with the AUC (area under the curve) and c-statistic. The cumulative incidence of decompensation and incidence risk ratios of hospitalization were calculated with the Fine-Gray competing risk and negative binomial models, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 3722 unique patients were enrolled with a mean follow-up time of 524 days. The mean age was 59 (standard deviation 12), and the majority were male (55%) and white (65%). Fifty-three percent of patients had non-viral cirrhosis. Sixteen and 20 percent of patients with non-viral and viral cirrhosis, respectively, developed decompensation (P = 0.589). The FIB-4 model had the highest 3-year AUC (0.73) and overall c-statistic (0.692) in patients with non-viral cirrhosis. The ALBI-FIB-4 model had the best 1-year (AUC = 0.741), 3-year (AUC = 0.754), and overall predictive accuracy (c-statistic = 0.681) in patients with viral cirrhosis. The MELD score had the best predictive power for hospitalization in both non-viral and viral patients. CONCLUSIONS: FIB-4-based models provide more accurate prediction for decompensation, and the MELD model has the best predictive ability of hospitalization.


Asunto(s)
Cirrosis Hepática , Modelos Estadísticos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo
16.
Dig Dis Sci ; 66(5): 1730-1738, 2021 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32548811

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIM: The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is highly heterogeneous because of variable characteristics of tumor burden and liver dysfunction. We aimed to propose and validate an albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade-based prognostic nomogram for HCC patients undergoing TACE. METHODS: A total of 1051 patients with HCC undergoing TACE were randomly assigned to derivation (n = 525) and validation (n = 526) set in this retrospective study based on prospective data. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model in derivation set was used to generate the nomogram. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated by discrimination and calibration tests. RESULTS: In multivariate analysis, presence of ascites, ALBI grade 2-3, serum ɑ-fetoprotein level ≥ 400 ng/mL, total tumor volume ≥ 396 cm3, presence of vascular invasion, and poor performance status were independently associated with decreased survival of patients in the derivation set. Each patient had an individualized score from 0 to 41 by adding up the points from these six prognostic predictors. The nomogram generated from the derivation set had a concordance index of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.82). Discrimination test in the validation set provided a good concordance index 0.72 (95% CI 0.62-0.81), and the calibration plots consistently matched the ideal 45-degree reference line for 3- and 5-year survival prediction. CONCLUSIONS: The ALBI grade-based prognostic model can well discriminate the survival in HCC patients undergoing TACE. The proposed easy-to-use nomogram may accurately predict the survival at 3 and 5 years for individual HCC patient in the precision medicine era.


Asunto(s)
Bilirrubina/sangre , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Quimioembolización Terapéutica , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Nomogramas , Albúmina Sérica Humana/metabolismo , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/sangre , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/mortalidad , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Quimioembolización Terapéutica/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/sangre , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
Dig Dis Sci ; 66(9): 3192-3198, 2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32980956

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic. Obesity has been associated with increased disease severity in COVID-19, and obesity is strongly associated with hepatic steatosis (HS). However, how HS alters the natural history of COVID-19 is not well characterized, especially in Western populations. AIMS: To characterize the impact of HS on disease severity and liver injury in COVID-19. METHODS: We examined the association between HS and disease severity in a single-center cohort study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients at Michigan Medicine. HS was defined by either hepatic steatosis index > 36 (for Asians) or > 39 (for non-Asians) or liver imaging demonstrating steatosis > 30 days before onset of COVID-19. The primary predictor was HS. The primary outcomes were severity of cardiopulmonary disease, transaminitis, jaundice, and portal hypertensive complications. RESULTS: In a cohort of 342 patients, metabolic disease was highly prevalent including nearly 90% overweight. HS was associated with increased transaminitis and need for intubation, dialysis, and vasopressors. There was no association between HS and jaundice or portal hypertensive complications. In a sensitivity analysis including only patients with liver imaging > 30 days before onset of COVID-19, imaging evidence of hepatic steatosis remained associated with disease severity and risk of transaminitis. CONCLUSIONS: HS was associated with increased disease severity and transaminitis in COVID-19. HS may be relevant in predicting risk of complications related to COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/patología , Hígado Graso/complicaciones , Hígado Graso/patología , Hígado/patología , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Prevalencia , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
19.
Sci Rep ; 10(1): 18482, 2020 Oct 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33093645

RESUMEN

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

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