A disease model predicting placebo response and remission status of patients with ulcerative colitis using modified Mayo score.

The Mayo Clinical Score is used in clinical trials to describe the clinical status of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). It comprises four subscores: rectal bleeding (RB), stool frequency (SF), physician's global assessment, and endoscopy (ENDO). According to recent US Food and Drug Administration guidelines (Ulcerative colitis: developing drugs for treatment, Guidance Document, https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-information/s. 2022), clinical response and remission should be based on modified Mayo Score (mMS) relying on RB, SF, and ENDO. Typically, ENDO is performed at the beginning and end of each phase, whereas RB and SF are more frequently available. Item response theory (IRT) models allow the shared information to be used for prediction of all subscores at each observation time; therefore, it leverages information from RB and SF to predict ENDO. A UC disease IRT model was developed based on four etrolizumab phase III studies to describe the longitudinal mMS subscores, placebo response, and remission at the end of induction and maintenance. For each subscore, a bounded integer model was developed. The placebo response was characterized by a mono-exponential function acting on all mMS subscores similarly. The final model reliably predicted longitudinal mMS data. In addition, remission was well-predicted by the model, with only 5% overprediction at the end of induction and 3% underprediction at the end of maintenance. External evaluation of the final model using placebo arms from five different studies indicated adequate performance for both longitudinal mMS subscores and remission status. These results suggest utility of the current disease model for informed decision making in UC clinical development, such as assisting future clinical trial designs and evaluations.

Concentration QTc analysis of giredestrant: Overcoming QT/heart rate confounding in the presence of drug-induced heart rate changes.

Concentration-QTc (C-QTc) analysis has become a common approach for evaluating proarrhythmic risk and delayed cardiac repolarization of oncology drug candidates. Significant heart rate (HR) change has been associated with certain classes of oncology drugs and can result in over- or underestimation of the true QT prolongation risk. Because oncology early clinical trials typically lack a placebo control arm or time-matched, treatment-free baseline electrocardiogram collection, significant HR change brings additional challenges to C-QTc analysis in the oncology setting. In this work, a spline-based correction method (QTcSPL) was explored to mitigate the impact of HR changes in giredestrant C-QTc analysis. Giredestrant is a selective estrogen receptor degrader being developed for the treatment of patients with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer. A dose-related HR decrease has been observed in patients under giredestrant treatment, with significant reductions (>10 bpm) observed at supratherapeutic doses. The QTcSPL method demonstrated superior functionality to reduce the correlation between QTc and HR as compared with the Fridericia correction (QTcF). The effect of giredestrant exposure on QTc was evaluated at the clinical dose of 30 mg and supratherapeutic dose of 100 mg based on a prespecified linear mixed effect model. The upper 90% confidence interval of ΔQTcSPL and ΔQTcF were below the 10 ms at both clinical and supratherapeutic exposures, suggesting giredestrant has a low risk of QT prolongation at clinically relevant concentrations. This work demonstrated the use case of QTcSPL to address HR confounding challenges in the context of oncology drug development for the first time.

How to Successfully Generate an Alternative Approach to a Thorough QT Study: GLPG1972 as an Example.

During development of a drug, the requirement of evaluating the proarrhythmic risk and delayed repolarization needs to be fulfilled. Would it be possible to create an alternative to a thorough QT (TQT) study or is there a need to perform a dedicated TQT study? How is an alternative approach generated, what information is available, and which instructions are considered missing today to generate such an approach? This tutorial describes the considerations and path followed to create an early and feasible alternative to a TQT study using experience-based insights from a successful application to the US Food and Drug Administration for GLPG1972, an ADAMTS-5 inhibitor, and discusses the approach used in light of the current guidelines and literature.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Tenecteplase in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction and Application to Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke.

The pharmacokinetics (PK) of tenecteplase in patients with acute ischemic stroke has not been extensively studied. This study aimed to describe PK characteristics of tenecteplase in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) using a population PK approach and to assess applicability of the findings to patients with acute ischemic stroke by means of external validation. A population PK model was developed using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling based on the phase II TIMI 10B study in patients with AMI (785 PK observations from 103 patients). The statistical and clinical impact of selected covariates on PK parameters were evaluated by a stepwise covariate modeling procedure and simulations, respectively. The performance of the final model was evaluated for patients with acute ischemic stroke using summary statistics of tenecteplase concentrations of 75 patients from investigator-initiated study N1811s. Tenecteplase PK was well described by a 2-compartment linear model, incorporating allometric scaling of clearance and volume parameters and weight-normalized creatinine clearance on clearance. Simulations showed that the identified covariates (weight and creatinine clearance) were of limited influence on exposure at the intended dosing regimen for patients with acute ischemic stroke. The model overpredicted mean tenecteplase plasma concentrations from N1811s by 39%, but 72% of the distribution from N1811s was within the 90% prediction interval of the model predictions. The PK characteristics of tenecteplase in patients with AMI were well described by the final model. Simulations from the model indicated that no specific dose recommendations based on covariates are warranted for patients with AMI.

Exposure-response relationships of etrolizumab in patients with moderately-to-severely active ulcerative colitis.

Etrolizumab is an IgG1-humanized monoclonal anti-ß7 integrin antibody. Phase III trials with induction and/or maintenance phases were conducted in patients with moderately-to-severely active ulcerative colitis (UC) who were either previously treated with tumor necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors (HICKORY) or were TNF inhibitor naïve (HIBISCUS I/II, LAUREL, and GARDENIA). A total of eight exposure-response analyses were conducted for two clinical outcomes (remission and endoscopic improvement) at the end of induction for studies HIBISCUS I/II (combined) and HICKORY and at the end of maintenance for studies HICKORY and LAUREL. Trough concentration at week 4 (Ctrough,wk4 ) of induction was selected as the exposure metric. Exposure-response (ER) modeling was conducted using logistic regression. A full covariate model was used to examine the impact of covariates on clinical outcomes. Linear models with a single intercept for placebo and active treatments adequately described the data for all eight analyses. The etrolizumab exposure-response slope was significant (p < 0.05) for seven of the eight analyses. Baseline Mayo Clinic Score (MCS) was the only statistically significant covariate that impacted induction remission and endoscopic improvement. No statistically significant covariate was identified to impact maintenance outcomes except for baseline fecal calprotectin on endoscopic improvement for LAUREL study. A statistically significant positive ER relationship was identified for most of the clinical outcomes tested, reflecting a better treatment effect in patients with UC with higher etrolizumab Ctrough,wk4 of induction. Baseline MCS was the only other significant covariate impacting induction efficacy. Besides Ctrough,wk4 of induction, no consistent covariate was identified to impact maintenance efficacy.

CD4+ T-cell reconstitution predicts survival outcomes after acute graft-versus-host-disease: a dual-center validation.

Acute graft-versus-host-Disease (aGVHD) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We previously showed that early CD4+ T-cell immune reconstitution (IR; CD4+ IR) predicts survival after HCT. Here, we studied the relation between CD4+ IR and survival in patients developing aGVHD. Pediatric patients undergoing first allogeneic HCT at University Medical Center Utrecht (UMC)/Princess Máxima Center (PMC) or Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSK) were included. Primary outcomes were nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival (OS), stratified for aGVHD and CD4+ IR, defined as ≥50 CD4+ T cells per µL within 100 days after HCT or before aGVHD onset. Multivariate and time-to-event Cox proportional hazards models were applied, and 591 patients (UMC/PMC, n = 276; MSK, n = 315) were included. NRM in patients with grade 3 to 4 aGVHD with or without CD4+ IR within 100 days after HCT was 30% vs 80% (P = .02) at UMC/PMC and 5% vs 67% (P = .02) at MSK. This was associated with lower OS without CD4+ IR (UMC/PMC, 61% vs 20%; P = .04; MSK, 75% vs 33%; P = .12). Inadequate CD4+ IR before aGVHD onset was associated with significantly higher NRM (74% vs 12%; P < .001) and inferior OS (24% vs 78%; P < .001). In this retrospective analysis, we demonstrate that early CD4+ IR, a simple and robust marker predictive of outcomes after HCT, is associated with survival after moderate to severe aGVHD. This association must be confirmed prospectively but suggests strategies to improve T-cell recovery after HCT may influence survival in patients developing aGVHD.

A semi-mechanistic model based on glutathione depletion to describe intra-individual reduction in busulfan clearance.

AIM: To develop a semi-mechanistic model, based on glutathione depletion and predict a previously identified intra-individual reduction in busulfan clearance to aid in more precise dosing. METHODS: Busulfan concentration data, measured as part of regular care for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) patients, were used to develop a semi-mechanistic model and compare it to a previously developed empirical model. The latter included an empirically estimated time effect, where the semi-mechanistic model included theoretical glutathione depletion. As older age has been related to lower glutathione levels, this was tested as a covariate in the semi-mechanistic model. Lastly, a therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) simulation was performed comparing the two models in target attainment. RESULTS: In both models, a similar clearance decrease of 7% (range -82% to 44%), with a proportionality to busulfan metabolism, was found. After 40 years of age, the time effect increased with 4% per year of age (0.6-8%, P = 0.009), causing the effect to increase more than a 2-fold over the observed age-range (0-73 years). Compared to the empirical model, the final semi-mechanistic model increased target attainment from 74% to 76%, mainly through better predictions for adult patients. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the time-dependent decrease in busulfan clearance may be related to gluthathione depletion. This effect increased with older age (>40 years) and was proportional to busulfan metabolism. The newly constructed semi-mechanistic model could be used to further improve TDM-guided exposure target attainment of busulfan in patients undergoing HCT.

Clinical Trial Simulation To Optimize Trial Design for Fludarabine Dosing Strategies in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation.

Optimal fludarabine exposure has been associated with improved treatment outcome in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation, suggesting potential benefit of individualized dosing. A randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing alternative fludarabine dosing strategies to current practice may be warranted, but should be sufficiently powered for a relevant end point, while still feasible to enroll. To find the optimal design, we simulated RCTs comparing current practice (160 mg/m2 ) to either covariate-based or therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM)-guided dosing with potential outcomes being nonrelapse mortality (NRM), graft failure, or relapse, and ultimately overall survival (covering all three aforementioned outcomes). The inclusion in each treatment arm (n) required to achieve 80% power was calculated for all combinations of end points and dosing comparisons. The trial requiring the lowest n for sufficient power compared TDM-guided dosing to current practice with NRM as primary outcome (n = 70, NRM decreasing from 21% to 5.7%). We conclude that a superiority trial is feasible.

Predictors for Autoimmune Cytopenias after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation in Children.

Development of autoimmune cytopenia (AIC) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is a serious complication requiring urgent intensification of immunosuppressive therapy. The pathophysiology and predictors of AIC are not completely understood. In this retrospective cohort analysis of 380 pediatric patients, we evaluated the incidence, outcomes, and related various variables, including immune reconstitution markers to AIC. Three hundred eighty patients (median age, 7.4 years; range, .1 to 22.7) were included, of which 30 patients (7.8%) developed AIC in 1 (n = 6), 2 (n = 6), or 3 (n = 16) cell lineages at a median of 133 days (range, 46 to 445) after HCT. Using multivariate analysis we found that chemo-naivety before HCT, acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) grades II to IV, and serotherapy were associated with the development of AIC. Development of AIC was preceded by increased levels of IgM, IgA, and IgG. Immune profiles of total absolute lymphocytes were very similar between AIC patients and control subjects. However, CD3-CD16+CD56+ natural killer cells, CD3+ T cells, CD3+CD4+ T cell subset, and CD3+CD8+ T cell subset were lower in AIC patients. Overall survival was good, at 83% (similar between AIC patients and control subjects). In conclusion, we identified chemo-naivety before HCT, preceding aGVHD grades II to IV, and serotherapy as predictors for development of AIC. Increasing levels of IgM, IgA, and IgG preceded AIC development. These data provide clues to further study the biology of AIC.

Optimization of a clofarabine-based drug combination regimen for the preclinical evaluation of pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to improve the predictive power of patient-derived xenografts (PDXs, also known as mouse avatars) to more accurately reflect outcomes of clofarabine-based treatment in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) patients. PROCEDURE: Pharmacokinetic (PK) studies were conducted using clofarabine at 3.5 to 15 mg/kg in mice. PDXs were established from relapsed/refractory ALL patients who exhibited good or poor responses to clofarabine. PDX engraftment and response to clofarabine (either as a single agent or in combinations) were assessed based on stringent objective response measures modeled after the clinical setting. RESULTS: In naïve immune-deficient NSG mice, we determined that a clofarabine dose of 3.5 mg/kg resulted in systemic exposures equivalent to those achieved in pediatric ALL patients treated with clofarabine-based regimens. This dose was markedly lower than the doses of clofarabine used in previously reported preclinical studies (typically 30-60 mg/kg) and, when scheduled consistent with the clinical regimen (daily × 5), resulted in 34-fold lower clofarabine exposures. Using a well-tolerated clofarabine/etoposide/cyclophosphamide combination regimen, we then found that the responses of PDXs better reflected the clinical responses of the patients from whom the PDXs were derived. CONCLUSIONS: This study has identified an in vivo clofarabine treatment regimen that reflects the clinical responses of relapsed/refractory pediatric ALL patients. This regimen could be used prospectively to identify patients who might benefit from clofarabine-based treatment. Our findings are an important step toward individualizing prospective patient selection for the use of clofarabine in relapsed/refractory pediatric ALL patients and highlight the need for detailed PK evaluation in murine PDX models.

Sialic Acid-Engineered IL4-10 Fusion Protein is Bioactive and Rapidly Cleared from the Circulation.

PURPOSE: Modulating sialylation of therapeutic glycoproteins may be used to influence their clearance and systemic exposure. We studied the effect of low and high sialylated IL4-10 fusion protein (IL4-10 FP) on in vitro and in vivo bioactivity and evaluated the effect of differential sialylation on pharmacokinetic parameters. METHODS: CHO cell lines producing low (IL4-10 FP lowSA) and high sialylated (IL4-10 FP highSA) fusion protein were generated. Bioactivity of the proteins was evaluated in an LPS-stimulated whole blood assay. Pharmacokinetics were studied in rats, analyzing plasma levels of IL4-10 FP upon intravenous injection. In vivo activity was assessed in an inflammatory pain mice model upon intrathecal injection. RESULTS: IL4-10 FP lowSA and IL4-10 FP highSA had similar potency in vitro. The pharmacokinetics study showed a 4-fold higher initial systemic clearance of IL4-10 FP lowSA, whereas the calculated half-life of both IL4-10 FP lowSA and IL4-10 FP highSA was 20.7 min. Finally, both IL4-10 FP glycoforms inhibited persistent inflammatory pain in mice to the same extent. CONCLUSIONS: Differential sialylation of IL4-10 fusion protein does not affect the in vitro and in vivo activity, but clearly results in a difference in systemic exposure. The rapid systemic clearance of low sialylated IL4-10 FP could be a favorable characteristic to minimize systemic exposure after administration in a local compartment.

The influence of stem cell source on transplant outcomes for pediatric patients with acute myeloid leukemia.

When hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) is necessary for children with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), there remains debate about the best stem cell source. Post-HSCT relapse is a common cause of mortality, and complications such as chronic graft versus host disease (cGVHD) are debilitating and life-threatening. To compare post-HSCT outcomes of different donor sources, we retrospectively analyzed consecutive transplants performed in several international centers from 2005 to 2015. A total of 317 patients were studied: 19% matched sibling donor (MSD), 23% matched unrelated donor (MUD), 39% umbilical cord blood (UCB), and 19% double UCB (dUCB) recipients. The median age at transplant was 10 years (range, 0.42-21 years), and median follow-up was 4.74 years (range, 4.02-5.39 years). Comparisons were made while controlling for patient, transplant, and disease characteristics. There were no differences in relapse, leukemia-free survival, or nonrelapse mortality. dUCB recipients had inferior survival compared with matched sibling recipients, but all other comparisons showed similar overall survival. Despite the majority of UCB transplants being HLA mismatched, the rates of cGVHD were low, especially compared with the well-matched MUD recipients (hazard ratio, 0.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.14-0.67; P = .02). The composite measure of cGVHD and leukemia-free survival (cGVHD-LFS), which represents both the quality of life and risk for mortality, was significantly better in the UCB compared with the MUD recipients (HR, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.34-1; P = .03). In summary, the use of UCB is an excellent donor choice for pediatric patients with AML when a matched sibling cannot be identified.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Fludarabine in Children and Adults during Conditioning Prior to Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Fludarabine is often used as an important drug in reduced toxicity conditioning regimens prior to hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). As no definitive pharmacokinetic (PK) basis for HCT dosing for the wide age and weight range in HCT is available, linear body surface area (BSA)-based dosing is still used. OBJECTIVE: We sought to describe the population PK of fludarabine in HCT recipients of all ages. METHODS: From 258 HCT recipients aged 0.3-74 years, 2605 samples were acquired on days 1 (42%), 2 (17%), 3 (4%) and 4 (37%) of conditioning. Herein, the circulating metabolite of fludarabine was quantified, and derived concentration-time data were used to build a population PK model using non-linear mixed-effects modelling. RESULTS: Variability was extensive where area under the curve ranged from 10 to 66 mg h/L. A three-compartment model with first-order kinetics best described the data. Actual body weight (BW) with standard allometric scaling was found to be the best body-size descriptor for all PK parameters. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was included as a descriptor of renal function. Thus, clearance was differentiated into a non-renal (3.24 ± 20% L/h/70 kg) and renal (eGFR × 0.782 ± 11% L/h/70 kg) component. The typical volumes of distribution of the central (V1), peripheral (V2), and second peripheral (V3) compartments were 39 ± 8%, 20 ± 11%, and 50 ± 9% L/70 kg respectively. Intercompartmental clearances between V1 and V2, and V1 and V3, were 8.6 ± 8% and 3.8 ± 13% L/h/70 kg, respectively. CONCLUSION: BW and eGFR are important predictors of fludarabine PK. Therefore, current linear BSA-based dosing leads to highly variable exposure, which may lead to variable treatment outcome.

Innate Immune Recovery Predicts CD4+ T Cell Reconstitution after Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation.

Innate immune cells are the first to recover after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Nevertheless, reports of innate immune cell recovery and their relation to adaptive recovery after HCT are largely lacking. Especially predicting CD4+ T cell reconstitution is of clinical interest, because this parameter directly associates with survival chances after HCT. We evaluated whether innate recovery relates to CD4+ T cell reconstitution probability and investigated differences between innate recovery after cord blood transplantation (CBT) and bone marrow transplantation (BMT). We developed a multivariate, combined nonlinear mixed-effects model for monocytes, neutrophils, and natural killer (NK) cell recovery after transplantation. A total of 205 patients undergoing a first HCT (76 BMT, 129 CBT) between 2007 and 2016 were included. The median age was 7.3years (range, .16 to 23). Innate recovery was highly associated with CD4+ T cell reconstitution probability (P < .001) in multivariate analysis correcting for covariates. Monocyte (P < .001), neutrophil (P < .001), and NK cell (P < .001) recovery reached higher levels during the first 200days after CBT compared with BMT. The higher innate recovery after CBT may be explained by increased proliferation capacity (measured by Ki-67 expression) of innate cells in CB grafts compared with BM grafts (P = .041) and of innate cells in vivo after CBT compared with BMT (P = .048). At an individual level, patients with increased innate recovery after either CBT or BMT had received grafts with higher proliferating innate cells (CB; P = .004, BM; P = .01, respectively). Our findings implicate the use of early innate immune monitoring to predict the chance of CD4+ T cell reconstitution after HCT, with respect to higher innate recovery after CBT compared with BMT.

Filgrastim enhances T-cell clearance by antithymocyte globulin exposure after unrelated cord blood transplantation.

Residual antithymocyte globulin (ATG; Thymoglobulin) exposure after allogeneic hematopoietic (stem) cell transplantation (HCT) delays CD4+ T-cell immune reconstitution (CD4+ IR), subsequently increasing morbidity and mortality. This effect seems particularly present after cord blood transplantation (CBT) compared to bone marrow transplantation (BMT). The reason for this is currently unknown. We investigated the effect of active-ATG exposure on CD4+ IR after BMT and CBT in 275 patients (CBT n = 155, BMT n = 120; median age, 7.8 years; range, 0.16-19.2 years) receiving their first allogeneic HCT between January 2008 and September 2016. Multivariate log-rank tests (with correction for covariates) revealed that CD4+ IR was faster after CBT than after BMT with <10 active-ATG × day/mL (P = .018) residual exposure. In contrast, >10 active-ATG × day/mL exposure severely impaired CD4+ IR after CBT (P < .001), but not after BMT (P = .74). To decipher these differences, we performed ATG-binding and ATG-cytotoxicity experiments using cord blood- and bone marrow graft-derived T-cell subsets, B cells, natural killer cells, and monocytes. No differences were observed. Nevertheless, a major covariate in our cohort was Filgrastim treatment (only given after CBT). We found that Filgrastim (granulocyte colony-stimulating factor [G-CSF]) exposure highly increased neutrophil-mediated ATG cytotoxicity (by 40-fold [0.5 vs 20%; P = .002]), which explained the enhanced T-cell clearance after CBT. These findings imply revision of the use (and/or timing) of G-CSF in patients with residual ATG exposure.

Simultaneous quantification of busulfan, clofarabine and F-ARA-A using isotope labelled standards and standard addition in plasma by LC-MS/MS for exposure monitoring in hematopoietic cell transplantation conditioning.

In allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) it has been shown that over- or underexposure to conditioning agents have an impact on patient outcomes. Conditioning regimens combining busulfan (Bu) and fludarabine (Flu) with or without clofarabine (Clo) are gaining interest worldwide in HCT. To evaluate and possibly adjust full conditioning exposure a simultaneous analysis of Bu, F-ARA-A (active metabolite of Flu) and Clo in one analytical run would be of great interest. However, this is a chromatographical challenge due to the large structural differences of Bu compared to F-ARA-A and Clo. Furthermore, for the bioanalysis of drugs it is common to use stable isotope labelled standards (SILS). However, when SILS are unavailable (in case of Clo and F-ARA-A) or very expensive, standard addition may serve as an alternative to correct for recovery and matrix effects. This study describes a fast analytical method for the simultaneous analysing of Bu, Clo and F-ARA-A with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) including standard addition methodology using 604 spiked samples. First, the analytical method was validated in accordance with European Medicines Agency guidelines. The lower limits of quantification (LLOQ) were for Bu 10µg/L and for Clo and F-ARA-A 1µg/L, respectively. Variation coefficients of LLOQ were within 20% and for low medium and high controls were all within 15%. Comparison of Bu, Clo and F-ARA-A standard addition results correspond with those obtained with calibration standards in calf serum. In addition for Bu, results obtained by this study were compared with historical data analysed within TDM. In conclusion, an efficient method for the simultaneous quantification of Bu, Clo and F-ARA-A in plasma was developed. In addition, a robust and cost-effective method to correct for matrix interference by standard addition was established.