Statin Eligibility in Primary Prevention: From a Risk-Based Strategy to a Personalized Approach Based on the Predicted Benefit.

Guidelines have recommended statin initiation based on the absolute cardiovascular risk. We tested the hypothesis that a strategy based on the predicted cardiovascular benefit, compared with the risk-based approach, modifies statin eligibility and the estimated benefit in a population in primary cardiovascular prevention. The study included 16,008 subjects (48 ± 6 years, 73% men) with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels of 70 to <190 mg/dl, not on lipid-lowering drugs, who underwent a routine health screening in a single center. For the risk-based strategy, criterion for statin eligibility was defined as a 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk of ≥7.5%. In the benefit-based strategy, subjects were considered for statin according to the predicted absolute cardiovascular risk reduction, so that the number of statin candidates would be the same as in the risk-based strategy. The benefit-based strategy would replace 11% of statin candidates allocated in the risk-based approach with younger, lower risk subjects with higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Using the benefit-based strategy, 13% of subjects with 5.0% to < 7.5% ASCVD risk would shift from a statin-ineligible to a statin-eligible status, whereas 24% of those with 7.5% to <10.0% ASCVD risk would become statin ineligible. These effects would transfer the benefit from higher to lower risk subjects. In the entire population, no clinically meaningful change in the benefit would be expected. In conclusion, switching from a risk-based strategy to a benefit-based approach, while keeping the same rate of statin use in the population, is expected to promote substantial changes in statin eligibility in subjects at intermediate cardiovascular risk, modifying the subpopulation to be benefited by the treatment.

Association between clinical factors and self-underestimation of cardiovascular risk in subjects submitted to a routine health evaluation.

BACKGROUND: The perception of cardiovascular (CV) risk is essential for adoption of healthy behaviors. However, subjects underestimate their own risk. HYPOTHESIS: Clinical characteristics might be associated with self-underestimation of CV risk. METHODS: This is a retrospective, cross-sectional study of individuals submitted to routine health evaluation between 2006 and 2012, with calculated lifetime risk score (LRS) indicating intermediate or high risk for CV disease (CVD). Self-perception of risk was compared with LRS. Logistic regression analysis was performed to test the association between clinical characteristics and subjective underestimation of CV risk. RESULTS: Data from 5863 subjects (age 49.4 ± 7.1 years; 19.9% female) were collected for analysis. The LRS indicated an intermediate risk for CVD in 45.7% and a high risk in 54.3% of individuals. The self-perception of CV risk was underestimated compared with the LRS in 4918 (83.9%) subjects. In the adjusted logistic regression model, age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10-1.47 per 10 years, P = 0.001), smoking (OR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.40-2.83, P < 0.001), dyslipidemia (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.01-1.46, P = 0.045), physical activity (OR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.36-2.02, P < 0.001), and use of antihypertensive (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.15-1.92, P = 0.002) and lipid-lowering medications (OR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.56-2.91, P < 0.001) were associated with higher chance of risk underestimation, whereas higher body mass index (OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.90-0.94, P < 0.001), depressive symptoms (OR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.37-0.57, P < 0.001), and stress (OR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.33-0.50, P < 0.001) decreased the chance. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals submitted to routine medical evaluation, aging, smoking, dyslipidemia, physical activity, and use of antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medications were associated with higher chance of CV risk underestimation. Subjects with these characteristics may benefit from a more careful risk orientation.

Extremely elevated HDL-cholesterol levels are not associated with increased carotid intima-media thickness: data from ELSA Brasil.

BACKGROUND: There is evidence that extremely elevated high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), that is, hyperalphalipoproteinemia (HALP) may indicate dysfunctional HDL, conferring increased cardiovascular risk. OBJECTIVE: We studied carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) a marker of subclinical vascular disease according to HDL-c distribution. METHODS: cIMT was studied in subjects with "normal" HDL-c levels (HDL-c 40-50 mg/dL for men; 50-60 mg/dL for women, mean 49.6 ± 5.7 mg/dL, n = 3226); in those with HALP (HDL-c ≥90 mg/dL for both sexes, mean 101.2 ± 10 mg/dL, n = 264) and according to HDL-c quintile distribution (n = 9779). Multiple linear regression was used to test the association of HDL-c and cIMT. RESULTS: Subjects with HALP were older (54.5 ± 9.6 vs 51.1 ± 8.8 years, P < .001); more frequently females (86.4% vs 49%, P < .001); and presented a lower burden of risk factors: hypertension (24.6% vs 32.7%, P = .009), diabetes (10.2% vs 20.4%, P < .001), and obesity (18.6% vs 37.6%, P < .001). A similar profile was seen with higher HDL-c quintiles in the whole study population. When compared to normal HDL-c values, HALP was associated with lower maximal cIMT (0.779 ± 0.189 mm vs 0.818 ± 0.200 mm, P = .002), and there was a lower prevalence of individuals with cIMT ≥ 75(th) percentile for age and gender or high cIMT (17.5% vs 26.2%, P = .003). After multivariate analysis, no association was seen between HALP and increasing cIMT values, indeed the 5(th) HDL-c quintile was associated with lower risk of high cIMT (OR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.68-0.95). CONCLUSION: HALP is associated with lower cIMT and does not indicate a pro-atherogenic phenotype.

Calculated and perceived cardiovascular risk in asymptomatic subjects submitted to a routine medical evaluation: The perception gap.

BACKGROUND: Poor adherence to medical treatment represents a major health problem. A subject's misperception of his own cardiovascular risk has been indicated as a key driver for low compliance with preventive measures. This study analysed the relationship between objectively calculated short- and long-term cardiovascular risk and its subjective perception. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study in asymptomatic Brazilian subjects. METHODS: Individuals (N = 6544, mean age 49.1 ± 7 years, 22.2% female) who underwent a routine mandatory health evaluation were studied. A questionnaire in which each individual rated his own cardiovascular risk as low, intermediate or high according to his own perception was used. The 10-year and lifetime cardiovascular risk were calculated respectively using the Framingham risk (FRS) and Lifetime risk (LRS) scores. Individuals were classified as hypo-perceivers (i.e. perceived risk lower than estimated risk), normo-perceivers (i.e. perceived risk coincident with estimated risk) and hyper-perceivers (i.e. perceived risk higher than estimated risk). RESULTS: Cardiovascular risk, using the FRS, was low in 77.9% (N = 5071), intermediate in 14.4% (N = 939) and high in 7.7% (N = 499) of subjects. Cardiovascular risk, using the LRS, was low in 7.6% (N = 492), intermediate in 43.1% (N = 2787) and high in 49.3% (N = 3184) of the study population. The prevalence of normo-perceivers was 57.6% using the FRS and only 20.6% using the LRS. Using the LRS, 72.3% of the intermediate and 91.2% of the high-risk subjects were hypo-perceivers. CONCLUSIONS: In a large sample of asymptomatic individuals, there was a gap between calculated and perceived cardiovascular risk. Using a long-term risk score, most of the intermediate- and high-risk subjects were hypo-perceivers.

Dislipidemia, estatinas e insuficiência renal crônica / Dyslipidemia, statins and chronic renal failure

Portadores de insuficiência renal crônica (IRC) apresentamelevado risco cardiovascular. Parte do excesso de riscopode ser atribuída à alta incidência de dislipidemia que essapopulação apresenta. O fenótipo lipídico caracteristicamenteassociado à IRC é uma dislipidemia mista com predomínio dehipertrigliceridemia e HDL-c baixo. As evidências disponíveisindicam que as estatinas reduzem o risco cardiovascular emportadores de IRC na mesma proporção que na populaçãogeral. Faltam, entretanto, evidências conclusivas do benefíciopara estágios mais avançados da doença, incluindo pacientessubmetidos à diálise e pacientes transplantados. Existemtambém indícios de nefroproteção, embora os dados atualmentedisponíveis sejam limitados e o benefício registrado,discreto. As estatinas são seguras e bem toleradas em todosos estágios da IRC, mas ajustes posológicos são necessáriospara a maioria das estatinas quando a taxa de filtração glomerular(TFG) é menor que 60 mL/min. Dois grandes estudosem andamento, o SHARP e o AURORA, deverão esclarecerulteriormente o papel das estatinas no contexto da IRC.

Cardiovascular risk of patients with chronic kidney disease(CKD) is very high. Part of the excess in the risk can beattributed to the high incidence of dyslipidaemia in thispopulation. The lipid profile characteristically associatedwith CKD is a mixed dyslipidaemia with a predominance ofhypertriglyceridemia and low HDL-c. The available evidencesuggests that statins reduce cardiovascular risk in individualswith CKD in the same proportion as in the generalpopulation. However, conclusive evidence for advancedstages of the disease, including patients undergoing dialysisand renal transplant recipients, is still missing. There is alsoevidence of renoprotection, although the data currentlyavailable are limited and the benefit appears to be small.Statins are safe and well tolerated in all stages of CKD,but dose adjustments are required for most statins whenglomerular filtration rate (GFR) is less than 60 mL/min.Two major trials actually in progress, the SHARP trial andthe AURORA study, will further clarify the role of statinsin this context.