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Importance: Little is known about the degree to which suspected sepsis drives broad-spectrum antibiotic use in hospitals, what proportion of antibiotic courses are unnecessarily broad in retrospect, and whether these patterns are changing over time. Objective: To describe trends in empiric broad-spectrum antibiotic use for suspected community-onset sepsis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used clinical data from adults admitted to 241 US hospitals in the PINC AI Healthcare Database. Eligible participants were aged 18 years or more and were admitted between 2017 and 2021 with suspected community-onset sepsis, defined by a blood culture draw, lactate measurement, and intravenous antibiotic administration on admission. Exposures: Empiric anti-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and/or antipseudomonal ß-lactam agent use. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual rates of empiric anti-MRSA and/or antipseudomonal ß-lactam agent use and the proportion that were likely unnecessary in retrospect based on the absence of ß-lactam resistant gram-positive or ceftriaxone-resistant gram-negative pathogens from clinical cultures obtained through hospital day 4. Annual trends were calculated using mixed-effects logistic regression models, adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics. Results: Among 6â¯272â¯538 hospitalizations (median [IQR] age, 66 [53-78] years; 443â¯465 male [49.6%]; 106â¯095 Black [11.9%], 65â¯763 Hispanic [7.4%], 653â¯907 White [73.1%]), 894â¯724 (14.3%) had suspected community-onset sepsis, of whom 582â¯585 (65.1%) received either empiric anti-MRSA (379â¯987 [42.5%]) or antipseudomonal ß-lactam therapy (513â¯811 [57.4%]); 311â¯213 (34.8%) received both. Patients with suspected community-onset sepsis accounted for 1â¯573â¯673 of 3â¯141â¯300 (50.1%) of total inpatient anti-MRSA antibiotic days and 2â¯569â¯518 of 5â¯211â¯745 (49.3%) of total antipseudomonal ß-lactam days. Between 2017 and 2021, the proportion of patients with suspected sepsis administered anti-MRSA or antipseudomonal therapy increased from 63.0% (82â¯731 of 131â¯275 patients) to 66.7% (101â¯003 of 151â¯435 patients) (adjusted OR [aOR] per year, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.03-1.04). However, resistant organisms were isolated in only 65â¯434 cases (7.3%) (30â¯617 gram-positive [3.4%], 38â¯844 gram-negative [4.3%]) and the proportion of patients who had any resistant organism decreased from 9.6% to 7.3% (aOR per year, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.87-0.88). Most patients with suspected sepsis treated with empiric anti-MRSA and/or antipseudomonal therapy had no resistant organisms (527â¯356 of 582â¯585 patients [90.5%]); this proportion increased from 88.0% in 2017 to 91.6% in 2021 (aOR per year, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.11-1.13). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of adults admitted to 241 US hospitals, empiric broad-spectrum antibiotic use for suspected community-onset sepsis accounted for half of all anti-MRSA or antipseudomonal therapy; the use of these types of antibiotics increased between 2017 and 2021 despite resistant organisms being isolated in less than 10% of patients treated with broad-spectrum agents.
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Antibacterianos , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas , Sepsis , Humanos , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Estudios Transversales , Sepsis/tratamiento farmacológico , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/tratamiento farmacológico , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The U.S. antibiotic market failure has threatened future innovation and supply. Understanding when and why clinicians underutilize recently approved gram-negative antibiotics might help prioritize the patient in future antibiotic development and potential market entry rewards. OBJECTIVE: To determine use patterns of recently U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved gram-negative antibiotics (ceftazidime-avibactam, ceftolozane-tazobactam, meropenem-vaborbactam, plazomicin, eravacycline, imipenem-relebactam-cilastatin, and cefiderocol) and identify factors associated with their preferential use (over traditional generic agents) in patients with gram-negative infections due to pathogens displaying difficult-to-treat resistance (DTR; that is, resistance to all first-line antibiotics). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: 619 U.S. hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Adult inpatients. MEASUREMENTS: Quarterly percentage change in antibiotic use was calculated using weighted linear regression. Machine learning selected candidate variables, and mixed models identified factors associated with new (vs. traditional) antibiotic use in DTR infections. RESULTS: Between quarter 1 of 2016 and quarter 2 of 2021, ceftolozane-tazobactam (approved 2014) and ceftazidime-avibactam (2015) predominated new antibiotic usage whereas subsequently approved gram-negative antibiotics saw relatively sluggish uptake. Among gram-negative infection hospitalizations, 0.7% (2551 [2631 episodes] of 362 142) displayed DTR pathogens. Patients were treated exclusively using traditional agents in 1091 of 2631 DTR episodes (41.5%), including "reserve" antibiotics such as polymyxins, aminoglycosides, and tigecycline in 865 of 1091 episodes (79.3%). Patients with bacteremia and chronic diseases had greater adjusted probabilities and those with do-not-resuscitate status, acute liver failure, and Acinetobacter baumannii complex and other nonpseudomonal nonfermenter pathogens had lower adjusted probabilities of receiving newer (vs. traditional) antibiotics for DTR infections, respectively. Availability of susceptibility testing for new antibiotics increased probability of usage. LIMITATION: Residual confounding. CONCLUSION: Despite FDA approval of 7 next-generation gram-negative antibiotics between 2014 and 2019, clinicians still frequently treat resistant gram-negative infections with older, generic antibiotics with suboptimal safety-efficacy profiles. Future antibiotics with innovative mechanisms targeting untapped pathogen niches, widely available susceptibility testing, and evidence demonstrating improved outcomes in resistant infections might enhance utilization. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: U.S. Food and Drug Administration; NIH Intramural Research Program.
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Antibacterianos , Infecciones por Bacterias Gramnegativas , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina , Humanos , Infecciones por Bacterias Gramnegativas/tratamiento farmacológico , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Combinación de Medicamentos , Masculino , Tazobactam/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cefalosporinas/uso terapéutico , Cefiderocol , Compuestos de Azabiciclo/uso terapéutico , Aprobación de Drogas , Sisomicina/análogos & derivados , Sisomicina/uso terapéutico , Bacterias Gramnegativas/efectos de los fármacos , United States Food and Drug Administration , Ceftazidima , TetraciclinasRESUMEN
Broad-range 16S rRNA PCR and sequencing of 1,183 blood specimens from 853 unique patients yielded an interpretable sequence and bacterial identification in 29%, 16S rRNA amplification with uninterpretable sequences in 53%, and no amplification in 18%. This study highlights the potential utility of this technique in identifying fastidious gram-negative and anaerobic bacteria but the frequent recovery of environmental and contaminant organisms argues for its judicious use. IMPORTANCE: The existing literature focuses on its performance compared to blood cultures in patients with sepsis, leaving a gap in the literature regarding other blood specimens in suspected infectious syndrome across the severity spectrum. We aimed to characterize its microbiological outcomes and provide insight into its potential clinical utility.
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ARN Ribosómico 16S , Humanos , ARN Ribosómico 16S/genética , Estudios Retrospectivos , ADN Bacteriano/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Canadá , Análisis de Secuencia de ADNRESUMEN
Bronchoalveolar lavage is usually employed for molecular diagnosis of Pneumocystis jirovecii but requires a specialized procedure. By contrast, nasopharyngeal (NP) specimens are easily obtained. In this retrospective study of 35 patients with paired NP and bronchoscopy specimens, NP specimens had a 100% negative percent agreement (95% CI 80.5-100) but only 72.2% positive percent agreement (95% CI 46.5-90.3).
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Pneumocystis carinii , Neumonía por Pneumocystis , Humanos , Neumonía por Pneumocystis/diagnóstico , Neumonía por Pneumocystis/microbiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Líquido del Lavado Bronquioalveolar/microbiología , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Canadá , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Pneumocystis carinii/genéticaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Early identification of extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) and carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CP-CRE) is critical for timely therapy. Rapid phenotypic tests identifying these resistance mechanisms from pure bacterial colonies have been developed. OBJECTIVES: To determine the operating characteristics of available rapid phenotypic tests when applied directly to positive blood cultures. METHODS OF DATA SYNTHESIS: Bivariate random effects models were used unless convergence was not achieved where we used separate univariate models for sensitivity and specificity. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, CENTRAL, Embase, BIOSIS, and Scopus from inception to 16 March 2021. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies using any rapid phenotypic assay for detection of ESBL or CP-CRE directly from blood cultures positive for Enterobacterales, including those utilizing spiked blood cultures. Case reports/series, posters, abstracts, review articles, those with ≤5 resistant isolates, and studies lacking data or without full text were excluded. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive patient samples (main analysis) or spiked blood cultures (sensitivity analysis). TESTS: Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry assays (MALDI-TOF) and commercially available chromogenic or immunogenic assays. REFERENCE STANDARD: Conventional laboratory methods and/or polymerase chain reaction (PCR). ASSESSMENT OF RISK OF BIAS: Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies Version 2 (QUADAS-2). RESULTS: For detection of the ESBL phenotype the respective pooled sensitivities and specificities for consecutive clinical samples were as follows: 94% (95% CI 93-99%) and 97% (95% CI 95-100%) for MALDI-TOF/mass spectrometry (n = 1); and 98% (95% CI 92-100%) and 100% (95% CI 96-100%) for chromogenic assays (n = 7). For the CP-CRE phenotype the respective pooled sensitivity and specificities for consecutive clinical samples were as follows: 100% (95% CI 99-100%) and 100% (95% CI 100-100%) for MALDI-TOF (n = 2); 96% (95% CI 77-99%) and 100% (95% CI 81-100%) for chromogenic assays (n = 4); and 98% (95% CI 96-100%) and 100% (95% CI 100-100%) for immunogenic testing (n = 2). CONCLUSIONS: Rapid phenotypic assays that can be directly applied to positive blood cultures to detect ESBL and carbapenemase production from Enterobacterales exist and, although clinical studies are limited, they appear to have high sensitivity and specificity. Their potential to facilitate patient care through timely identification of bacterial resistance should be further explored.
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Antibacterianos , Cultivo de Sangre , Humanos , Cultivo de Sangre/métodos , beta-Lactamasas/genética , Proteínas Bacterianas/genética , Fenotipo , Pruebas de Sensibilidad MicrobianaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Serum procalcitonin is often ordered at admission for patients with suspected sepsis and bloodstream infections (BSIs), although its performance characteristics in this setting remain contested. This study aimed to evaluate use patterns and performance characteristics of procalcitonin-on-admission in patients with suspected BSI, with or without sepsis. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Cerner HealthFacts Database (2008-2017). PATIENTS: Adult inpatients (≥ 18 yr) who had blood cultures and procalcitonin drawn within 24 hours of admission. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Testing frequency of procalcitonin was determined. Sensitivity of procalcitonin-on-admission for detecting BSI due to different pathogens was calculated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess discrimination by procalcitonin-on-admission for BSI in patients with and without fever/hypothermia, ICU admission and sepsis defined by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Adult Sepsis Event criteria. AUCs were compared using Wald test and p values were adjusted for multiple comparisons. At 65 procalcitonin-reporting hospitals, 74,958 of 739,130 patients (10.1%) who had admission blood cultures also had admission procalcitonin testing. Most patients (83%) who had admission day procalcitonin testing did not have a repeat procalcitonin test. Median procalcitonin varied considerably by pathogen, BSI source, and acute illness severity. At a greater than or equal to 0.5 ng/mL cutoff, sensitivity for BSI detection was 68.2% overall, ranging between 58.0% for enterococcal BSI without sepsis and 96.4% for pneumococcal sepsis. Procalcitonin-on-admission displayed moderate discrimination at best for overall BSI (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.72-0.73) and showed no additional utility in key subgroups. Empiric antibiotic use proportions were not different between blood culture sampled patients with a positive procalcitonin (39.7%) and negative procalcitonin (38.4%) at admission. CONCLUSIONS: At 65 study hospitals, procalcitonin-on-admission demonstrated poor sensitivity in ruling out BSI, moderate-to-poor discrimination for both bacteremic sepsis and occult BSI and did not appear to meaningfully alter empiric antibiotic usage. Diagnostic stewardship of procalcitonin-on-admission and risk assessment of admission procalcitonin-guided clinical decisions is warranted.
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Bacteriemia , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , Polipéptido alfa Relacionado con Calcitonina , Estudios Retrospectivos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Biomarcadores , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Bacteriemia/diagnóstico , Hospitales , AntibacterianosRESUMEN
Background: Clinical data informing antimicrobial susceptibility breakpoints for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infections are lacking. We sought to leverage real-world data to identify MIC values within the currently defined susceptible range that could discriminate mortality risk for patients with S. maltophilia infections and guide future breakpoint revisions. Methods: Inpatients with S. maltophilia infection who received single-agent targeted therapy with levofloxacin or trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole were identified in the Cerner HealthFacts electronic health record database. Encounters were restricted to those with MIC values reported to be in the susceptible range for both agents. Curation for exact (non-range) MIC values yielded sequentially granular model populations. Logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted OR (aOR) of mortality or hospice discharge associated with different susceptible-range MICs, controlling for patient- and centre-related factors, and infection site, polymicrobial infection and receipt of empirical therapy. Results: Seventy-three of 851 levofloxacin-treated patients had levofloxacin MIC of exactly 2â mg/L (current Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI) susceptibility breakpoint) and served as the reference category for levofloxacin breakpoint models. In breakpoint model I (nâ=â501), aOR of mortality associated with infection due to isolates with levofloxacin MIC of ≤1 versus 2â mg/L were similar [aOR = 1.79 (95% CI 0.88-3.62), Pâ=â0.11]. In breakpoint model IIa (nâ=â358), aOR of mortality associated with MIC ≤0.5 versus 2â mg/L were also similar [aOR 0.1.36 (95% CI 0.65-2.83), Pâ=â0.41]. However, breakpoint model IIb (nâ=â297) displayed higher aOR of mortality associated with an MIC of 1 versus 2â mg/L [aOR 2.36 (95% CI 1.14-4.88), Pâ=â0.02]. Only 9/645 trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole-treated patients had trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole MIC of exactly 2/38â mg/L precluding informative models for this agent. Conclusions: In this retrospective study of real-world patients with S. maltophilia infection, risk-adjusted survival data do not appear to stratify patients clinically within current susceptible-range MIC breakpoint for levofloxacin (≤2â mg/L) by mortality.
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Introduction: A recent randomized trial has suggested an increased risk of mortality for ceftriaxone-non-susceptible Enterobacterales infections treated with piperacillin/tazobactam compared with meropenem despite MICs within the susceptible range. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of clinical encounters within the Cerner Health Facts database to identify all encounters between 2001 and 2017 in which Enterobacterales infections were treated empirically with piperacillin/tazobactam and for which MICs to the drug were available. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to enable partitioning of MICs into discrete strata based on statistically significant difference in mortality risk. Results: During the study period, 10â101 inpatient encounters were identified meeting inclusion criteria. The crude in-hospital mortality for the entire cohort was 16.5%. Partitioning analysis identified a breakpoint of ≤16/4â mg/L that dichotomized encounters into lower versus higher mortality risk strata in the primary cohort of overall infections. This finding persisted in sequentially granular subsets where specific MICs ≤8/4â mg/L were reported (in lieu of ranges) as well as in the high-reliability subset with bloodstream infections. A higher clinical breakpoint of ≥128/4â mg/L dichotomized encounters with respiratory tract infection. No breakpoint was identified when restricting to encounters with urinary tract infections, ICU admits or upon restricting analysis to encounters with ceftriaxone-resistant isolates. Conclusions: Clinical data suggest improved outcomes when piperacillin/tazobactam is prescribed for Enterobacterales infections with an MIC of ≤16/4â mg/L compared with ≥32/4â mg/L.
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INTRODUCTION: Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP) is an opportunistic infection of immunocompromised hosts with significant morbidity and mortality. The current standard of care, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) at a dose of 15-20 mg/kg/day, is associated with serious adverse drug events (ADE) in 20%-60% of patients. ADEs include hypersensitivity reactions, drug-induced liver injury, cytopenias and renal failure, all of which can be treatment limiting. In a recent meta-analysis of observational studies, reduced dose TMP-SMX for the treatment of PJP was associated with fewer ADEs, without increased mortality. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A phase III randomised, placebo-controlled, trial to directly compare the efficacy and safety of low-dose TMP-SMX (10 mg/kg/day of TMP) with the standard of care (15 mg/kg/day of TMP) among patients with PJP, for a composite primary outcome of change of treatment, new mechanical ventilation, or death. The trial will be undertaken at 16 Canadian hospitals. Data will be analysed as intention to treat. Primary and secondary outcomes will be compared using logistic regression adjusting for stratification and presented with 95% CI. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been conditionally approved by the McGill University Health Centre; Ethics approval will be obtained from all participating centres. Results will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04851015.
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Pneumocystis carinii , Neumonía por Pneumocystis , Canadá , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Humanos , Neumonía por Pneumocystis/inducido químicamente , Neumonía por Pneumocystis/tratamiento farmacológico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Combinación Trimetoprim y Sulfametoxazol/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Bloodstream infections in septic patients may be missed due to preceding antibiotic therapy prior to obtaining blood cultures. We leveraged the FABLED cohort study to determine if the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score could reliably identify patients at higher risk of bacteremia in patients who may have false negative blood cultures due to previously administered antibiotic therapy. METHODS: We conducted a multi-centre diagnostic study among adult patients with severe manifestations of sepsis. Patients were enrolled in one of seven participating centres between November 2013 and September 2018. All patients from the FABLED cohort had two sets of blood cultures drawn prior to the administration of antimicrobial therapy, as well as additional blood cultures within 4 hours of treatment initiation. Participants were categorized according to qSOFA score, with a score ≥2 being considered positive. RESULTS: Among 325 patients with severe manifestations of sepsis, a positive qSOFA score (defined as a score ≥2) on admission was 58% sensitive (95% CI 48% to 67%) and 41% specific (95% CI 34% to 48%) for predicting bacteremia. Among patients with negative post-antimicrobial blood cultures, a positive qSOFA score was 57% sensitive (95% CI 42% to 70%) and 42% specific (95% CI 35% to 49%) to detect patients who were originally bacteremic prior to the initiation of therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the qSOFA score cannot be used to identify patients at risk for occult bacteremia due to the administration of antibiotics pre-blood culture.
HISTORIQUE: Les infections sanguines peuvent rester non diagnostiquées chez les patients septiques avant l'obtention des cultures sanguines, en raison d'une antibiothérapie antérieure. Les chercheurs ont puisé dans l'étude de cohorte FABLED pour déterminer si le score rapide de l'évaluation séquentielle d'insuffisance des organes (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, qSOFA) pourrait dépister les patients à plus haut risque de bactériémie avec fiabilité, malgré la possibilité de cultures sanguines faussement négatives en raison d'une antibiothérapie antérieure. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Les chercheurs ont réalisé une étude diagnostique multicentrique chez des patients adultes ayant de graves manifestations de sepsis. Les patients ont été inscrits dans l'un des sept centres participants entre novembre 2013 et septembre 2018. Tous les patients de l'étude de cohorte FABLED avaient subi deux séries de cultures sanguines avant de recevoir une thérapie antimicrobienne, de même qu'une autre série de cultures sanguines dans les quatre heures suivant le début du traitement. Les participants ont été classés en fonction de leur score de qSOFA, un score d'au moins 2 étant considéré comme positif. RÉSULTATS: Chez les 325 patients ayant de graves manifestations de sepsis, un score de qSOFA positif (défini comme un score d'au moins 2) à l'admission était sensible à 58 % (IC à 95 %, 48 % à 67 %) et spécifique à 41 % (IC à 95 %, 34 % à 48 %) pour prédire la bactériémie. Chez les patients dont les cultures sanguines étaient négatives après la prise d'antimicrobiens, un score de qSOFA positif était sensible à 57 % (IC à 95 %, 42 % à 70 %) et spécifique à 42 % (IC à 95 %, 35 % à 49 %) pour dépister les patients atteints d'une bactériémie avant le début du traitement. CONCLUSIONS: Selon les résultats, le score de qSOFA ne peut pas être utilisé pour dépister les patients à risque de bactériémie occulte à cause de l'administration d'antibiotiques avant la culture sanguine.
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In a retrospective cohort study, among 131 773 patients with previous coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), reinfection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) was suspected in 253 patients (0.2%) at 238 US healthcare facilities between 1 June 2020 and 28 February 2021. Women displayed a higher cumulative reinfection risk. Healthcare burden and illness severity were similar between index and reinfection encounters.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Reinfección , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Several U.S. hospitals had surges in COVID-19 caseload, but their effect on COVID-19 survival rates remains unclear, especially independent of temporal changes in survival. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between hospitals' severity-weighted COVID-19 caseload and COVID-19 mortality risk and identify effect modifiers of this relationship. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04688372). SETTING: 558 U.S. hospitals in the Premier Healthcare Database. PARTICIPANTS: Adult COVID-19-coded inpatients admitted from March to August 2020 with discharge dispositions by October 2020. MEASUREMENTS: Each hospital-month was stratified by percentile rank on a surge index (a severity-weighted measure of COVID-19 caseload relative to pre-COVID-19 bed capacity). The effect of surge index on risk-adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice was calculated using hierarchical modeling; interaction by surge attributes was assessed. RESULTS: Of 144 116 inpatients with COVID-19 at 558 U.S. hospitals, 78 144 (54.2%) were admitted to hospitals in the top surge index decile. Overall, 25 344 (17.6%) died; crude COVID-19 mortality decreased over time across all surge index strata. However, compared with nonsurging (<50th surge index percentile) hospital-months, aORs in the 50th to 75th, 75th to 90th, 90th to 95th, 95th to 99th, and greater than 99th percentiles were 1.11 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.23), 1.24 (CI, 1.12 to 1.38), 1.42 (CI, 1.27 to 1.60), 1.59 (CI, 1.41 to 1.80), and 2.00 (CI, 1.69 to 2.38), respectively. The surge index was associated with mortality across ward, intensive care unit, and intubated patients. The surge-mortality relationship was stronger in June to August than in March to May (slope difference, 0.10 [CI, 0.033 to 0.16]) despite greater corticosteroid use and more judicious intubation during later and higher-surging months. Nearly 1 in 4 COVID-19 deaths (5868 [CI, 3584 to 8171]; 23.2%) was potentially attributable to hospitals strained by surging caseload. LIMITATION: Residual confounding. CONCLUSION: Despite improvements in COVID-19 survival between March and August 2020, surges in hospital COVID-19 caseload remained detrimental to survival and potentially eroded benefits gained from emerging treatments. Bolstering preventive measures and supporting surging hospitals will save many lives. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and the National Cancer Institute.
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COVID-19/mortalidad , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Corticoesteroides/uso terapéutico , Adulto , COVID-19/terapia , Cuidados Críticos/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Capacidad de Camas en Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Masculino , Oportunidad Relativa , Respiración Artificial , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2 , Tasa de Supervivencia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a leading cause of morbidity, mortality, and health care costs worldwide. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, prospective cohort study evaluating the yield of blood cultures drawn before and after empiric antimicrobial administration among adults presenting to the emergency department with severe manifestations of sepsis. Enrolled patients who had the requisite blood cultures drawn were followed for 90 days. We explored the independent association between blood culture positivity and its time to positivity in relation to 90-day mortality. RESULTS: Three hundred twenty-five participants were enrolled; 90-day mortality among the 315 subjects followed up was 25.4% (80/315). Mortality was associated with age (mean age [standard deviation] in those who died was 72.5 [15.8] compared with 62.9 [17.7] years among survivors; P < .0001), greater Charlson Comorbidity Index (2 [interquartile range {IQR}, 1-3] vs 1 [IQR, 0-3]; P = .008), dementia (13/80 [16.2%] vs 18/235 [7.7%]; P = .03), cancer (27/80 [33.8%] vs 47/235 [20.0%]; P = .015), positive quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (57/80 [71.2%] vs 129/235 [54.9%]; P = .009), and normal white blood cell count (25/80 [31.2%] vs 42/235 [17.9%]; P = .02). The presence of bacteremia, persistent bacteremia after antimicrobial infusion, and shorter time to blood culture positivity were not associated with mortality. Neither the source of infection nor pathogen affected mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Although severe sepsis is an inflammatory condition triggered by infection, its 90-day survival is not influenced by blood culture positivity nor its time to positivity. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT01867905.
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Importance: Nasopharyngeal swab nucleic acid amplification testing (NAAT) is the noninvasive criterion standard for diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, it requires trained personnel, limiting its availability. Saliva NAAT represents an attractive alternative, but its diagnostic performance is unclear. Objective: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of saliva NAAT for COVID-19. Data Sources: In this systematic review, a search of the MEDLINE and medRxiv databases was conducted on August 29, 2020, to find studies of diagnostic test accuracy. The final meta-analysis was performed on November 17, 2020. Study Selection: Studies needed to provide enough data to measure salivary NAAT sensitivity and specificity compared with imperfect nasopharyngeal swab NAAT as a reference test. An imperfect reference test does not perfectly reflect the truth (ie, it can give false results). Studies were excluded if the sample contained fewer than 20 participants or was neither random nor consecutive. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool was used to assess the risk of bias. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses reporting guideline was followed for the systematic review, with multiple authors involved at each stage of the review. To account for the imperfect reference test sensitivity, we used a bayesian latent class bivariate model for the meta-analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was pooled sensitivity and specificity. Two secondary analyses were performed: one restricted to peer-reviewed studies, and a post hoc analysis limited to ambulatory settings. Results: The search strategy yielded 385 references, and 16 unique studies were identified for quantitative synthesis. Eight peer-reviewed studies and 8 preprints were included in the meta-analyses (5922 unique patients). There was significant variability in patient selection, study design, and stage of illness at which patients were enrolled. Fifteen studies included ambulatory patients, and 9 exclusively enrolled from an outpatient population with mild or no symptoms. In the primary analysis, the saliva NAAT pooled sensitivity was 83.2% (95% credible interval [CrI], 74.7%-91.4%) and the pooled specificity was 99.2% (95% CrI, 98.2%-99.8%). The nasopharyngeal swab NAAT had a sensitivity of 84.8% (95% CrI, 76.8%-92.4%) and a specificity of 98.9% (95% CrI, 97.4%-99.8%). Results were similar in secondary analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest that saliva NAAT diagnostic accuracy is similar to that of nasopharyngeal swab NAAT, especially in the ambulatory setting. These findings support larger-scale research on the use of saliva NAAT as an alternative to nasopharyngeal swabs.