Postoperative haemoglobin and anaemia-associated ischaemic events after major noncardiac surgery: A sex-stratified cohort study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine the sex-specific associations between postoperative haemoglobin and mortality or complications reflecting ischaemia or inadequate oxygen supply after major noncardiac surgery. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study with prospective validation. SETTING: A large university hospital health system in China. PATIENTS: Men and women undergoing elective major noncardiac surgery. INTERVENTIONS AND MEASUREMENTS: The primary exposure was nadir haemoglobin within 48 h after surgery. The outcome of interest was a composite of postoperative mortality or ischaemic events including myocardial injury, acute kidney injury and stroke within hospitalisation. MAIN RESULTS: The study included 26,049 patients (15,757 men and 10,292 women). Low postoperative haemoglobin was a strong predictor of the composite outcome in both sexes, with the risk progressively increasing as the nadir haemoglobin concentration dropped below 130 g l-1 in men and 120 g l-1 in women (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.43, 95% CI 1.37-1.50 in men, and OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.35-1.55 in women, per 10 g l-1 decrease in postoperative nadir haemoglobin). Above these sex-specific thresholds, the change of nadir haemoglobin was no longer associated with odds of the composite outcome in either men or women. There was no significant interaction between patient sex and the association between postoperative haemoglobin and the composite outcome (Pinteraction = 0.673). Validation in an external prospective cohort (n = 2120) with systematic postoperative troponin and creatinine measurement confirmed our findings. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative haemoglobin levels following major noncardiac surgery were nonlinearly associated with ischaemic complications or mortality, without any clinically important interaction with patient sex.

Preoperative risk prediction models for acute kidney injury after noncardiac surgery: an independent external validation cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Numerous models have been developed to predict acute kidney injury (AKI) after noncardiac surgery, yet there is a lack of independent validation and comparison among them. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature search to review published risk prediction models for AKI after noncardiac surgery. An independent external validation was performed using a retrospective surgical cohort at a large Chinese hospital from January 2019 to October 2022. The cohort included patients undergoing a wide range of noncardiac surgeries with perioperative creatinine measurements. Postoperative AKI was defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes creatinine criteria. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUROC), calibration (calibration plot), and clinical utility (net benefit), before and after model recalibration through intercept and slope updates. A sensitivity analysis was conducted by including patients without postoperative creatinine measurements in the validation cohort and categorising them as non-AKI cases. RESULTS: Nine prediction models were evaluated, each with varying clinical and methodological characteristics, including the types of surgical cohorts used for model development, AKI definitions, and predictors. In the validation cohort involving 13,186 patients, 650 (4.9%) developed AKI. Three models demonstrated fair discrimination (AUROC between 0.71 and 0.75); other models had poor or failed discrimination. All models exhibited some miscalibration; five of the nine models were well-calibrated after intercept and slope updates. Decision curve analysis indicated that the three models with fair discrimination consistently provided a positive net benefit after recalibration. The results were confirmed in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: We identified three models with fair discrimination and potential clinical utility after recalibration for assessing the risk of acute kidney injury after noncardiac surgery.

Sex-Specific Associations Between Preoperative Hemoglobin and Outcomes After Major Noncardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative anemia is an established risk factor for morbidity and mortality after surgery. Men and women have different hemoglobin concentrations and are at different risks of postoperative complications. However, sex-stratified analysis on the association between preoperative hemoglobin and outcomes after noncardiac surgery has been limited in previous studies. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of adult patients undergoing elective major noncardiac surgery in a large academic hospital. The primary outcome was a collapsed composite of postoperative mortality or cardiovascular, renal, pulmonary, and infectious complications during hospitalization. Sex-specific univariable associations between preoperative hemoglobin and the composite outcome were visualized using moving-average and cubic-spline smoothing plots. Multivariable regression models adjusting for patient demographics, comorbidities, medication uses, laboratory tests, and anesthesia/surgery features were used to estimate confounder-adjusted associations. Restricted cubic spline and piecewise linear functions were used to assess the possible nonlinear relationships between preoperative hemoglobin and the outcomes. The interaction between patient sex and hemoglobin on outcomes was assessed using a likelihood-ratio test. RESULTS: We included 22,550 patients, with 6.7% (622 of 9268) of women and 9.7% (1293 of 13,282) of men developing the primary outcome. Lower preoperative hemoglobin was associated with a higher incidence of the primary composite outcome in both men and women. Nonlinearity for the association was not statistically significant in either women ( P = .539) or men ( P = .165). The multivariable-adjusted odds ratios per 1 g/dL increase in hemoglobin were 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-0.98; P = .013) for women and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.90-0.97; P < .001) for men, with no interaction by sex ( Pinteraction = .923). No hemoglobin thresholds were confirmed at which the associations with the primary outcome changed significantly. CONCLUSIONS: Low preoperative hemoglobin was associated with a higher risk of complications or mortality after elective noncardiac surgery in both men and women. No differences in the strength of associations between sexes were found. Further studies are needed to assess whether these associations are linear or there are sex-specific thresholds of preoperative hemoglobin concentrations below which postoperative risks begin to increase.

Acute Kidney Injury After General Thoracic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The clinical importance of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing general thoracic surgery is unclear. We aimed to systematically review the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic implications of AKI as a complication after general thoracic surgery. METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from January 2004 to September 2021. Observational or interventional studies that enrolled ≥50 patients undergoing general thoracic surgery and reported postoperative AKI defined using contemporary consensus criteria were included for meta-analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-seven articles reporting 35 unique cohorts were eligible. In 29 studies that enrolled 58,140 consecutive patients, the pooled incidence of postoperative AKI was 8.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.2-10.0). The incidence was 3.8 (2.0-6.2) % after sublobar resection, 6.7 (4.1-9.9) % after lobectomy, 12.1 (8.1-16.6) % after bilobectomy/pneumonectomy, and 10.5 (5.6-16.7) % after esophagectomy. Considerable heterogeneity in reported incidences of AKI was observed across studies. Short-term mortality was higher (unadjusted risk ratio: 5.07, 95% CI: 2.99-8.60) and length of hospital stay was longer (weighted mean difference: 3.53, 95% CI: 2.56-4.49, d) in patients with postoperative AKI (11 studies, 28,480 patients). Several risk factors for AKI after thoracic surgery were identified. CONCLUSIONS: AKI occurs frequently after general thoracic surgery and is associated with increased short-term mortality and length of hospital stay. For patients undergoing general thoracic surgery, AKI may be an important postoperative complication that needs early risk evaluation and mitigation.

Pre-operative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide for prediction of acute kidney injury after noncardiac surgery: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with poor outcomes after noncardiac surgery. Whether pre-operative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) predicts AKI after noncardiac surgery is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive role of pre-operative NT-proBNP on postoperative AKI. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, China. PATIENTS: Adult patients who had a serum creatinine and NT-proBNP measurement within 30 pre-operative days and at least one serum creatinine measurement within 7 days after noncardiac surgery between February 2008 and May 2018 were identified. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was postoperative AKI, defined by the kidney disease: improving global outcomes creatinine criteria. RESULTS: In all, 6.1% (444 of 7248) of patients developed AKI within 1 week after surgery. Pre-operative NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of AKI after adjustment for clinical variables (OR comparing top to bottom quintiles 2.29, 95% CI, 1.47 to 3.65, P < 0.001 for trend; OR per 1-unit increment in natural log transformed NT-proBNP 1.27, 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.39). Compared with clinical variables alone, the addition of NT-proBNP improved model fit, modestly improved the discrimination (change in area under the curve from 0.764 to 0.773, P = 0.005) and reclassification (continuous net reclassification improvement 0.210, 95% CI, 0.111 to 0.308, improved integrated discrimination 0.0044, 95% CI, 0.0016 to 0.0072) of AKI and non-AKI cases, and achieved higher net benefit in decision curve analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-operative NT-proBNP concentrations provided predictive information for AKI in a cohort of patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, independent of and incremental to conventional risk factors. Prospective studies are required to confirm this finding and examine its clinical impact. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR1900024056. www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=40385.

Assessment of prognostic value of intraoperative oliguria for postoperative acute kidney injury: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Oliguria is often viewed as a sign of renal hypoperfusion and an indicator for volume expansion during surgery. However, the prognostic association and the predictive utility of intraoperative oliguria for postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) are unclear. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on patients undergoing major thoracic surgery in an academic hospital to assess the association of intraoperative oliguria with postoperative AKI and its predictive value. To contextualise our findings, we included our results in a meta-analysis of observational studies on the importance of oliguria during noncardiac surgery. RESULTS: In our cohort study, 3862 patients were included; 205 (5.3%) developed AKI after surgery. Intraoperative urine output of 0.3 ml kg-1 h-1 was the optimal threshold for oliguria in multivariable analysis. Patients with oliguria had an increased risk of AKI (adjusted odds ratio: 2.60; 95% confidence interval: 1.24-5.05). However, intraoperative oliguria had a sensitivity of 5.9%, specificity of 98%, positive likelihood ratio of 2.74, and negative likelihood ratio of 0.96, suggesting poor predictive ability. Moreover, it did not improve upon the predictive performance of a multivariable model, based on discrimination and reclassification indices. Our findings were generally consistent with the results of a systematic review and meta-analysis, including six additional studies. CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative oliguria has moderate association with, but poor predictive ability for, postoperative AKI. It remains of clinical interest as a risk factor potentially modifiable to interventions.

Relationships of sleep disturbance, intestinal microbiota, and postoperative pain in breast cancer patients: a prospective observational study.

PURPOSE: Our study was designed to examine the possible relationship between gut microbiota, sleep disturbances, and acute postoperative pain. METHODS: Using 16S rRNA sequencing, we analyzed preoperative fecal samples from women undergoing breast cancer surgery. Preoperative sleep disturbance was evaluated with the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) questionnaire. Peak and average pain at rest and movement were evaluated 24 h after surgery, using a numerical rating scale (NRS). Preoperative symptoms of depression and anxiety were assessed with the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), respectively. Inflammation was measured using white blood cell and neutrophil counts, together with platelet-lymphocyte ratio, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. RESULTS: Preoperative sleep disturbance was associated with more severe acute postoperative pain. At the phylum level, women with poor sleep quality had higher relative abundance of Firmicutes (p = 0.021) and lower relative abundance of Bacteroidetes (p = 0.013). At the genus level, women with poor sleep quality harbored higher relative abundance of Acidaminococcus and lower relative abundance of several genera. The genus Alloprevotella was negatively associated with peak pain at movement during the first 24 h (r = - 0.592, p < 0.001). The genus Desulfovibrio was negatively associated with symptoms of anxiety (r = - 0.448, p = 0.006). However, partial correlations suggested that the relationship between Alloprevotella and peak pain at movement during the first 24 h was not statistically significant after controlling for sleep (r = - 0.134, p = 0.443). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the changed gut microbiota may be involved in sleep-pain interaction and could be applied as a potential preventive method for postoperative pain. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The present clinical study has been registered on Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ( www.chictr.org.cn ); the clinical trial registration number is ChiCTR1900021730; the date of registration is March 7, 2019.

Prevalence and prognostic value of elevated troponins in patients hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The clinical significance of cardiac troponin measurement in patients hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) is uncertain. We investigated the prevalence of elevated troponins in these patients and its prognostic value for predicting mortality. METHODS: Studies were identified by searching electronic databases and preprint servers. We included studies of hospitalised covid-19 patients that reported the frequency of troponin elevations above the upper reference limit and/or the association between troponins and mortality. Meta-analyses were performed using random-effects models. RESULTS: Fifty-one studies were included. Elevated troponins were found in 20.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.8-25.0 %) of patients who received troponin test on hospital admission. Elevated troponins on admission were associated with a higher risk of subsequent death (risk ratio 2.68, 95% CI 2.08-3.46) after adjusting for confounders in multivariable analysis. The pooled sensitivity of elevated admission troponins for predicting death was 0.60 (95% CI 0.54-0.65), and the specificity was 0.83 (0.77-0.88). The post-test probability of death was about 42% for patients with elevated admission troponins and was about 9% for those with non-elevated troponins on admission. There was significant heterogeneity in the analyses, and many included studies were at risk of bias due to the lack of systematic troponin measurement and inadequate follow-up. CONCLUSION: Elevated troponins were relatively common in patients hospitalised for covid-19. Troponin measurement on admission might help in risk stratification, especially in identifying patients at high risk of death when troponin levels are elevated. High-quality prospective studies are needed to validate these findings. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020176747.