Predictors of Length of Stay, Mortality and Rehospitalization in COPD Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a highly prevalent chronic lung disease that has a significant impact on individuals and healthcare systems worldwide. This study aimed to identify factors that predict the length of a hospital stay (LOHS), one-year mortality, and rehospitalization within 6 months in patients admitted for acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from 170 patients admitted to a district general hospital in Switzerland between January 2019 and February 2020. Sociodemographic and health-related variables measured at admission were analyzed as potential predictors. Multivariable zero-truncated negative binomial and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the risk factors for LOHS (primary endpoint), mortality, and rehospitalization. The results show that an indication for oxygen supplementation was the only significant predictor of LOHS. In the logistic regression analysis, older age, COPD severity stages GOLD III and IV, active cancer and arrhythmias were associated with higher mortality, whereas rehabilitation after discharge was associated with lower mortality. There were no significant associations regarding rehospitalization. This study identified routinely available predictors for LOHS and mortality, which may further advance our understanding of AECOPD and thereby improve patient management, discharge planning, and hospital costs. The protective effect of rehabilitation after hospitalization regarding lower mortality warrants further confirmation and may improve the comprehensive management of patients with AECOPD.

Audit of Asthma Exacerbation Management in a Swiss General Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Adequate management is crucial to reduce symptoms, hospitalization, and relapses in patients with asthma. Hospitals often struggle to meet treatment guidelines, and no recent data for Switzerland are available. OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to audit the asthma exacerbation management in the Cantonal Hospital of Baselland in order to evaluate the level of compliance with guidelines in a narrative discussion. METHOD: The study design is a retrospective observational cohort study. We evaluated all adult patients presenting to the hospital with a physician-diagnosed asthma exacerbation in 2018 and 2019. The asthma management patients received was compared to the Swiss guidelines and the international GINA guidelines. RESULTS: 160 patients were included (mean age: 50 years old, 57.5% female). SpO2 and heart rate were assessed at presentation in nearly all patients. Peak expiratory flow (PEF) was measured in only 14%. Adequate management of asthma exacerbation with inhaled bronchodilator medication in a combination of short-acting beta-agonists and short-acting anticholinergics was administered to 96% of the patients. Patients with severe symptoms received systemic glucocorticosteroids within 6 h in 55%. At discharge, a reliever medication was prescribed for 64% of the patients and 55% received a new or increased controller therapy with inhaled glucocorticosteroid (ICS). 49% of the patients had no follow-up organized. CONCLUSION: To increase the guideline conformity and quality of asthma exacerbation management, the severity should be better assessed, especially by routinely performing PEF measurements. Treatment needs to be intensified; in particular, the ICS dose should be increased significantly and systemic glucocorticosteroids should be given with a lower threshold.

Prediction of Acute COPD Exacerbation in the Swiss Multicenter COPD Cohort Study (TOPDOCS) by Clinical Parameters, Medication Use, and Immunological Biomarkers.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Whether immunological biomarkers combined with clinical characteristics measured during an exacerbation-free period are predictive of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) frequency and severity is unknown. METHOD: We measured immunological biomarkers and clinical characteristics in 271 stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients (67% male, mean age 63 years) from "The Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Outcomes Cohort of Switzerland" cohort on a single occasion. One-year follow-up data were available for 178 patients. Variables independently associated with AECOPD frequency and severity were identified by multivariable regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to obtain optimal cutoff levels and measure the area under the curve (AUC) in order to assess if baseline data can be used to predict future AECOPD. RESULTS: Higher number of COPD medications (adjusted incident rate ratio [aIRR] 1.17) and platelet count (aIRR 1.03), and lower FEV1% predicted (aIRR 0.84) and IgG2 (aIRR 0.84) were independently associated with AECOPD frequency in the year before baseline. Optimal cutoff levels for experiencing frequent (>1) AECOPD were ≥3 COPD medications (AUC = 0.72), FEV1 ≤40% predicted (AUC = 0.72), and IgG2 ≤2.6 g/L (AUC = 0.64). The performance of a model using clinical and biomarker parameters to predict future, frequent AECOPD events in the same patients was fair (AUC = 0.78) but not superior to a model using only clinical parameters (AUC = 0.79). The IFN-lambda rs8099917GG-genotype was more prevalent in patients who had severe AECOPD. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical and biomarker parameters assessed at a single point in time correlated with the frequency of AECOPD events during the year before and the year after assessment. However, only clinical parameters had fair discriminatory power in identifying patients likely to experience frequent AECOPD.

Reduction of corticosteroid use in outpatient treatment of exacerbated COPD - Study protocol for a randomized, double-blind, non-inferiority study, (The RECUT-trial).

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major public health issue affecting approximately 4% to 7% of the Swiss population. According to current inpatient guidelines, systemic corticosteroids are important in the treatment of acute COPD exacerbations and should be given for 5 to 7 days. Several studies suggest that corticosteroids accelerate the recovery of FEV1 (forced expiratory volume in 1 second), enhance oxygenation, decrease the duration of hospitalization, and improve clinical outcomes. However, the additional therapeutic benefit regarding FEV1 recovery appears to be most apparent in the first 3 to 5 days. No data are available on the optimum duration of corticosteroid treatment in primary-care patients with acute COPD exacerbations. Given that many COPD patients are treated as outpatients, there is an urgent need to improve the evidence base on COPD management in this setting. The aim of this study is to investigate whether a 3-day treatment with orally administered corticosteroids is non-inferior to a 5-day treatment in acute exacerbations of COPD in a primary-care setting. METHODS/DESIGN: This study is a prospective double-blind randomized controlled trial conducted in a primary-care setting. It is anticipated that 470 patients with acutely exacerbated COPD will be recruited. Participants are randomized to receive systemic corticosteroid treatment of 40 mg prednisone daily for 5 days (conventional arm, n = 235) or for 3 days followed by 2 days of placebo (experimental arm, n = 235). Antibiotic treatment for 7 days is given to all patients with CRP ≥ 50 mg/l, those with a known diagnosis of bronchiectasis, or those presenting with Anthonisen type I exacerbation. Additional treatment after inclusion is left at the discretion of the treating general practitioner. Follow-up visits are performed on days 3 and 7, followed by telephone interviews on days 30, 90, and 180 after inclusion in the study. The primary endpoint is the time to next exacerbation during the 6-month follow-up period. DISCUSSION: The study is designed to assess whether a 3-day course of corticosteroid treatment is not inferior to the conventional 5-day treatment course in outpatients with exacerbated COPD regarding time to next exacerbation. Depending on the results, this trial may lead to a reduction in the cumulative corticosteroid dose in COPD patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02386735. Registered on 12 March 2015.

The ADO index as a predictor of two-year mortality in general practice-based chronic obstructive pulmonary disease cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Existing prediction models for mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients have not yet been validated in primary care, which is where the majority of patients receive care. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to validate the ADO (age, dyspnoea, airflow obstruction) index as a predictor of 2-year mortality in 2 general practice-based COPD cohorts. METHODS: Six hundred and forty-six patients with COPD with GOLD (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease) stages I-IV were enrolled by their general practitioners and followed for 2 years. The ADO regression equation was used to predict a 2-year risk of all-cause mortality in each patient and this risk was compared with the observed 2-year mortality. Discrimination and calibration were assessed as well as the strength of association between the 15-point ADO score and the observed 2-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Fifty-two (8.1%) patients died during the 2-year follow-up period. Discrimination with the ADO index was excellent with an area under the curve of 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71-0.84]. Overall, the predicted and observed risks matched well and visual inspection revealed no important differences between them across 10 risk classes (p = 0.68). The odds ratio for death per point increase according to the ADO index was 1.50 (95% CI 1.31-1.71). CONCLUSIONS: The ADO index showed excellent prediction properties in an out-of-population validation carried out in COPD patients from primary care settings.