Glycated haemoglobin trajectories and one-year risk of potentially avoidable hospitalisations among adult patients with type 2 diabetes from specialist outpatient clinics of a tertiary hospital: A cohort study.

AIM: To evaluate the association between trajectories of glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and potentially avoidable hospitalisations (PAH). METHODS: We performed a cohort study in a tertiary hospital in Singapore among adult type 2 diabetes patients with ≥ 3 HbA1c tests over two years. Then, we followed up for one year after the last HbA1c reading to determine the PAH outcome. Glycaemic control was analysed by (1) HbA1c trajectories through group-based trajectory modelling, and (2) mean HbA1c. PAH was defined using the Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality criteria, categorising as overall, diabetes, acute, and chronic-composites. RESULTS: A total of 14,923 patients (mean age: 62.9 ± 12.8 years; 55.2% men) were included. Four HbA1c trajectories were observed; low-stable (n = 9854, 66.0%), moderate-stable (n = 3125, 20.9%), high-decrease (n = 1017, 6.8%) and high-persistent (n = 927, 6.2%). Compared to the low-stable trajectory, one-year risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), respectively for moderate-stable, high-decrease and high-persistent trajectories were as follows: (1) overall PAH: 1.15 (1.00-1.31), 1.53 (1.31-1.80), 1.96 (1.58-2.43); (2) diabetes PAH: 1.30 (1.04-1.64), 1.98 (1.55-2.53), 2.24 (1.59-3.15); (3) acute PAH: 1.14 (0.90-1.44), 1.29 (0.95-1.77), 1.75 (1.17-2.62); and (4) chronic PAH: 1.21 (1.02-1.43), 1.62 (1.34-1.97), 2.14 (1.67-2.75). Mean HbA1c was significantly associated with overall and chronic-composites of PAH whilst evidence of a non-linear relationship with diabetes-composite of PAH was noted. CONCLUSION: Patients with high-decrease trajectory had a risk lower than those with persistently-high HbA1c, highlighting that a greater risk of hospitalisation conferred by poor glycaemic control is potentially reversible. Determining HbA1c trajectories could help to identify the high-risk individuals for targeted and intensive management to improve care and reduce hospitalisations.

Using the Johns Hopkins ACG Case-Mix System for population segmentation in a hospital-based adult patient population in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: Population health management involves risk characterisation and patient segmentation. Almost all population segmentation tools require comprehensive health information spanning the full care continuum. We assessed the utility of applying the ACG System as a population risk segmentation tool using only hospital data. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary hospital in central Singapore. PARTICIPANTS: 100 000 randomly selected adult patients from 1 January to 31 December 2017. INTERVENTION: Hospital encounters, diagnoses codes and medications prescribed to the participants were used as input data to the ACG System. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital costs, admission episodes and mortality of these patients in the subsequent year (2018) were used to assess the utility of ACG System outputs such as resource utilisation bands (RUBs) in stratifying patients and identifying high hospital care users. RESULTS: Patients placed in higher RUBs had higher prospective (2018) healthcare costs, and were more likely to have healthcare costs in the top five percentile, to have three or more hospital admissions, and to die in the subsequent year. A combination of RUBs and ACG System generated rank probability of high healthcare costs, age and gender that had good discriminatory ability for all three outcomes, with area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.827, 0.889 and 0.876, respectively. Application of machine learning methods improved AUCs marginally by about 0.02 in predicting the top five percentile of healthcare costs and death in the subsequent year. CONCLUSION: A population stratification and risk prediction tool can be used to appropriately segment populations in a hospital patient population even with incomplete clinical data.

Functional improvement after inpatient rehabilitation in community hospitals following acute hospital care.

INTRODUCTION: There are limited studies exploring functional improvement in relation to characteristics of patients who, following acute hospital care, receive inpatient rehabilitation in community hospitals. We evaluated the association of acute hospital admission-related factors with functional improvement on community hospital discharge. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among patients who were transferred to community hospitals within 14-day post-discharge from acute hospital between 2016 and 2018. Modified Barthel Index (MBI) on a 100-point ordinal scale was used to assess functional status on admission to and discharge from the community hospital. We categorised MBI into 6 bands: 0-24, 25-49, 50-74, 75-90, 91-99 and 100. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to determine factors associated with categorical improvement in functional status, defined as an increase in at least one MBI band between admission and discharge. RESULTS: A total of 5,641 patients (median age 77 years, interquartile range 69-84; 44.2% men) were included for analysis. After adjusting for potential confounders, factors associated with functional improvement were younger age, a higher MBI on admission, and musculoskeletal diagnosis for the acute hospital admission episode. In contrast, a history of dementia or stroke; lower estimated glomerular filtration rate; abnormal serum albumin or anaemia measured during the acute hospital episode; and diagnoses of stroke, cardiac disease, malignancy, falls or pneumonia; and other chronic respiratory diseases were associated with lower odds of functional improvement. CONCLUSION: Clinicians may want to take into account the presence of these high-risk factors in their patients when planning rehabilitation programmes, in order to maximise the likelihood of functional improvement.

Sepsis, cardiovascular events and short-term mortality risk in critically ill patients.

INTRODUCTION: There is paucity of data on the occurrence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in critically ill patients with sepsis. We aimed to describe the incidence, risk factors and impact on mortality of CVEs in these patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) between July 2015 and October 2016. The primary outcome was intra-hospital CVEs, while the secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality, ICU and hospital length of stay. RESULTS: Patients with sepsis (n=662) had significantly more CVEs compared to those without (52.9% versus 23.0%, P<0.001). Among sepsis patients, 350 (52.9%) had 1 or more CVEs: 59 (8.9%) acute coronary syndrome; 198 (29.9%) type 2 myocardial infarction; 124 (18.7%) incident atrial fibrillation; 76 (11.5%) new or worsening heart failure; 32 (4.8%) cerebrovascular accident; and 33 (5.0%) cardiovascular death. Factors associated with an increased risk of CVEs (adjusted relative risk [95% confidence interval]) included age (1.013 [1.007-1.019]); ethnicity-Malay (1.214 [1.005-1.465]) and Indian (1.240 [1.030-1.494]) when compared to Chinese; and comorbidity of ischaemic heart disease (1.317 [1.137-1.527]). There were 278 patients (79.4%) who developed CVEs within the first week of hospitalisation. Sepsis patients with CVEs had a longer median (interquartile range [IQR]) length of stay in the ICU (6 [3-12] vs 4 [2-9] days, P<0.001), and hospital (21 [10-42] vs 15 [7-30] days, P<0.001) compared to sepsis patients without CVEs. There was no difference in in-hospital mortality between the 2 groups (46.9% vs 45.8%, P=0.792). CONCLUSION: CVEs complicate half of the critically ill patients with sepsis, with 79.4% of patients developing CVEs within the first week of hospitalisation, resulting in longer ICU and hospital length of stay.

Classic myeloproliferative neoplasms in Singapore: A population-based study on incidence, trends, and survival from 1968 to 2017.

BACKGROUND: Current descriptive epidemiological information on classic myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) is incomplete. Published data among Asian population are particularly sparse. METHODS: We conducted a large population-based study to determine the incidence rates and survival patterns of MPN reported to the Singapore Cancer Registry during the period 1968-2017. Age-standardised incidence rates(ASR), overall survival, 5-/10-year relative survival ratio (RSR) were estimated. Joinpoint regression was used to evaluate quinquennial percent change (QPC) in incidence. RESULTS: We identified 2557 individuals diagnosed with MPN including 1031 chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML), 424 polycythaemia vera (PV), 389 essential thrombocythaemia (ET), 134 primary myelofibrosis (PMF) and 579 MPN unclassifiable (MPN-U). The overall respective ASRs per 100,000 for CML, PV, ET, PMF and MPN-U were 1.24, 1.15, 1.07, 0.43, and 0.80 in 2013-2017. Males had higher ASR than females in all MPNs. A gradual rise in incidence trends of CML was observed between 1968 and 2017 (QPC 2.1%, 95% CI -0.9, 5.3). The overall incidence trends of non-CML MPNs including PV (QPC 62.9%, 95% CI 19.3, 122.6), ET (QPC 54.2%, 95% CI 23.5, 92.3) and PMF (QPC 103.5%, 95% CI 19.1, 247.6) increased sharply during 1993-2017. Survival was lower in MPNs compared with expected survival in general population: 5-year RSRs were 0.82 (95% CI 0.78, 0.86), 0.96 (95% CI 0.91, 1.01), 0.96 (95% CI 0.92, 1.01), 0.53 (95% CI 0.43, 0.65), and 0.74 (95% CI 0.68, 0.80) for CML, PV, ET, PMF and MPN-U respectively. CONCLUSION: CML incidence has increased marginally, whereas non-CML MPNs incidences have sharply increased. MPN patients have a lower relative survival compared to the general population, and patients with PV and ET have the most favourable relative survival. Median survival for CML patients has increased dramatically over the last 50 years.

Characteristics of anti-transcriptional intermediary factor 1 gamma autoantibody-positive dermatomyositis patients in Singapore.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to determine the clinical profile and outcome of anti-transcriptional intermediary factor 1 gamma autoantibody (anti-TIF1-γ Ab)-positive dermatomyositis patients and propose cancer screening programmes based on regional cancer trends. METHOD: Data on history, physical findings and investigations were collected using chart review on dermatomyositis patients seen at a tertiary hospital in Singapore from 1 January 2015 to 30 June 2021. Comparisons were made between anti-TIF1-γ Ab-positive and anti-TIF1-γ Ab-negative dermatomyositis. RESULTS: Ninety-six dermatomyositis patients were analysed and 36 patients were positive for anti-TIF1-γ Ab. Anti-TIF1-γ Ab-positive patients had more frequent heliotrope rashes, shawl sign, periungual erythema, holster sign, Gottron's papules, dysphagia and truncal weakness (P<0.05). They had less frequent interstitial lung disease, polyarthritis, cutaneous ulcers, palmar papules and mechanic's hands (P<0.05). After 48 months of follow-up, a higher proportion of anti-TIF1-γ Ab-positive patients developed cancer compared with Ab-negative patients (63.9% versus 8.5%; odds ratio 19.1, 95% confidence interval 6.1-59.8; P<0.001). Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and breast cancer were the most common malignancies, followed by bowel, lung and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Most malignancies (78.3%) occurred within 13 months prior to, or 4 months after the onset of dermatomyositis. The mortality rate for anti-TIF1-γ Ab-positive patients was significantly higher than Ab-negative patients (36.1% vs 16.7%, P=0.031), and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates at 24 months were 66% and 89%, respectively (P=0.0153). CONCLUSION: These observational data support periodic screening of NPC and other malignancies in patients with anti-TIF1-γ Ab-positive dermatomyositis in Singapore.

Health-related quality of life in a multiracial Asian interstitial lung disease cohort.

Background: Understanding health-related quality of life (HRQL) in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) provides insight into disease burden and treatment effects on patients' well-being. We examined HRQL in a multiracial Asian ILD cohort using the King's brief ILD (K-BILD) and EuroQol 5-dimension-3-level (EQ5D-3L) questionnaires and their associations with several clinical variables. Methods: This was a single-centre cross-sectional study of ILD patients in a university-affiliated tertiary public hospital in Singapore. All patients completed two self-administered HRQL questionnaires upon study entry, and their clinical information was retrieved from electronic medical records. Results: Ninety-nine patients (56% male, 75% Chinese) were included. The median (interquartile range) age was 63 (54-72) years. The most common ILD diagnosis was connective tissue disease-related ILD (n=51, 52%), followed by idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=27, 27%). The mean (standard deviation) scores for the EQ5D-3L utility value, EQ5D Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) and K-BILD total were 0.806 (0.284), 75.1 (12.8) and 63.9 (14.3), respectively. A moderate correlation was found between the EQ5D-3L and K-BILD total and domain scores. The HRQL scores also correlate moderately with the modified Medical Research Council dyspnoea scale (mMRC) scores. There was a weak-to-moderate correlation between HRQL and forced vital capacity (FVC), carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) and Charlson comorbidity index. Multiple linear regression showed a significant association of K-BILD total [beta coefficient 0.244, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.075-0.414; P=0.005], K-BILD 'breathlessness and activities' (beta coefficient 0.448, 95% CI: 0.192-0.703; P=0.001), and the 'psychological' domain (beta coefficient 0.256, 95% CI: 0.024-0.488; P=0.031) with DLCO %pred after adjustment for age, sex, BMI, race, smoking history, comorbidities, FVC %pred and ILD diagnosis. Non-Chinese race was a predictor of better K-BILD 'psychological' domain (beta coefficient 8.680, 95% CI: 0.656-16.704; P=0.034) after adjustment. Conclusions: HRQL is significantly impaired in ILD patients, and low DLCO is a strong predictor of this impairment.

Epidemiology and economic burden of bronchiectasis requiring hospitalisation in Singapore.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the epidemiology and cost of bronchiectasis in Asia. This study describes the disease burden of bronchiectasis in Singapore. METHODS: A nationwide administrative dataset was used to identify hospitalisations with bronchiectasis as a diagnosis. Population statistics and medical encounter data were used to estimate the incidence, mortality, prevalence and direct medical costs associated with bronchiectasis requiring hospitalisation. RESULTS: There were 420 incident hospitalised bronchiectasis patients in 2017, giving an incidence rate of 10.6 per 100 000. Age-standardised incidence declined on average by 2.7% per year between 2007 and 2017. Incidence rates increased strongly with age in both men and women. Tuberculosis was a secondary diagnosis in 37.5% of incident hospitalisations in 2007, but has declined sharply since then. Patient survival was considerably lower in both men (5-year relative survival ratios (RSR) 0.63, 95% CI 0.59-0.66) and women (5-year RSR 0.75, 95% CI 0.72-0.78). The point prevalence of bronchiectasis was 147.1 per 100 000 in 2017, and increased sharply with age, with >1% of people aged ≥75 years having bronchiectasis. Total first-year costs among incident bronchiectasis patients in 2016 varied widely, with a mean±sd USD 7331±8863. Approximately 10% of the patients admitted in 2016 had total first-year costs of more than USD 14 380. CONCLUSION: Bronchiectasis is common and imposes a substantial burden on healthcare costs and survival rates of patients in Singapore.

Use of a Real-Time Locating System for Contact Tracing of Health Care Workers During the COVID-19 Pandemic at an Infectious Disease Center in Singapore: Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: In early 2020, coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged and spread by community and nosocomial transmission. Effective contact tracing of potentially exposed health care workers is crucial for the prevention and control of infectious disease outbreaks in the health care setting. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of contact tracing during the COVID-19 pandemic through the real-time locating system (RTLS) and review of the electronic medical record (EMR) at the designated hospital for COVID-19 response in Singapore. METHODS: Over a 2-day study period, all admitted patients with COVID-19, their ward locations, and the health care workers rostered to each ward were identified to determine the total number of potential contacts between patients with COVID-19 and health care workers. The numbers of staff-patient contacts determined by EMR reviews, RTLS-based contact tracing, and a combination of both methods were evaluated. The use of EMR-based and RTLS-based contact tracing methods was further validated by comparing their sensitivity and specificity against self-reported staff-patient contacts by health care workers. RESULTS: Of 796 potential staff-patient contacts (between 17 patients and 162 staff members), 104 (13.1%) were identified by both the RTLS and EMR, 54 (6.8%) by the RTLS alone, and 99 (12.4%) by the EMR alone; 539 (67.7%) were not identified through either method. Compared to self-reported contacts, EMR reviews had a sensitivity of 47.2% and a specificity of 77.9%, while the RTLS had a sensitivity of 72.2% and a specificity of 87.7%. The highest sensitivity was obtained by including all contacts identified by either the RTLS or the EMR (sensitivity 77.8%, specificity 73.4%). CONCLUSIONS: RTLS-based contact tracing showed higher sensitivity and specificity than EMR review. Integration of both methods provided the best performance for rapid contact tracing, although technical adjustments to the RTLS and increasing user compliance with wearing of RTLS tags remain necessary.

Development and validation of the Rapid Positive Mental Health Instrument (R-PMHI) for measuring mental health outcomes in the population.

BACKGROUND: The multidimensional Positive Mental Health Instrument (PMHI) has 47 items and six subscales. This study aimed to develop and validate a short unidimensional version of the PMHI among Singapore's adult resident population. METHODS: Using pooled data from three earlier studies (n = 1050), PMHI items were reduced by Partial Credit Rasch Model (PCRM) runs in a random split-half sample, while psychometric properties of the resulting measure were tested through confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), item response theory-graded response model and internal consistency reliability in the other half. Its reliability, construct and concurrent validity, agreement with the original scale, floor and ceiling effect, and scale estimates were further investigated in an external representative general population sample (n = 1925). RESULTS: The average age of the participants was around 41 years. Four PCRM re-runs for item selection resulted in a 6-item unidimensional Rapid PMHI (R-PMHI). CFA confirmed the unidimensional structure of the R-PMHI in the internal (RMSEA = 0.075, CFI = 0.985, TLI = 0.974) and external (RMSEA = 0.051, CFI = 0.992, TLI = 0.987) validation samples. In the external validation sample, the R-PMHI met concurrent validity criteria, showing high agreement with the 47-item version with intra-class correlation coefficient of 0.872 (95% CI: 0.861 to 0.882) and low floor and ceiling effects. Weight-adjusted mean (SE, 95% CI) R-PMHI score in the population was 4.86 (0.2, 4.82-4.90). CONCLUSION: The unidimensional 6-item R-PMHI offers brevity over the original multidimensional measure while appropriately representing the positive mental health construct. Prospective studies are needed to assess its responsiveness and test-retest reliability.

Ovarian Cancer Incidence in the Multi-Ethnic Asian City-State of Singapore 1968-2012.

PURPOSE: We investigate ovarian cancer incidence between 1968 and 2012 in Singapore, a multiethnic Asian city state. METHODS: Aggregated data of ovarian epithelial cancer numbers and estimated person-years from 1968 to 2012 were obtained from Singapore Cancer Registry. Age-Period-Cohort modelling was performed. RESULTS: The age-standardised incidence rate of ovarian cancer increased from 5.8 to 12.5 per 100,000 per year between 1968 and 2012, while the age-standardised mortality rate has remained stable. This increase was higher among Malays (5.1 to 14.0 per 100,000 per year), compared to Chinese and Indians.  Serous carcinoma showed the greatest increase in incidence from 0.4 to 3.4 per 100,000 per year.  Period effects were seen in the ovarian cancer incidence trend in Chinese women, but not Malay and Indian women. Clear cell and mucinous carcinoma subtypes were more common in Chinese than in Malay and Indian women. Stage at diagnosis for the years 2003-2010 differed by subtype, and the majority of patients with serous carcinomas presented at a later stage compared to those with clear cell or mucinous carcinomas. CONCLUSION: Ovarian cancer incidence rates have doubled in 40 years in Singapore. There were ethnic differences in incidence rates and ovarian cancer subtypes.

Association of diabetes treatment with long-term glycemic patterns in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A prospective cohort study.

AIM: This study aimed to analyze diabetes treatment and treatment changes in association with long-term glycemic patterns in an Asian population with diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of 6218 patients with type 2 diabetes managed in public primary care clinics in Singapore. Clinical data from 2011 to 2016 were extracted from electronic medical records, including serial HbA1c measurements and dispensed antidiabetic medication records. Patterns of longitudinal HbA1c trajectories were identified using latent class growth analysis, and patients' annual treatment plans were compared between subgroups with different HbA1c patterns. RESULTS: We identified four distinct HbA1c patterns. Eighty-one percent of patients were classified in the low-stable group, where monotherapy and dual therapy with oral agents were the most common treatments. We also identified three groups with poorer control, with moderate-stable (14%), moderate-increase (3%), and high-decrease (2%) HbA1c patterns. Insulin treatment was most prevalent in these groups, with 61% to 72% of subjects receiving insulin treatment in 2016. More than 60% of subjects in poorer control groups had experienced treatment intensification during follow-up. Addition of multiple insulin injections was the most common intensification in moderate-increase and high-decrease groups. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment reflected and was appropriate to the extent of dysglycemia in this population. A small group of patients had deteriorating glycemic control, in spite of being treated with multiple insulin injections, suggesting non-response or non-adherence to treatment. Further investigation is needed to identify reasons for the deteriorating control observed and design effective interventions for these patients.

Reproductive factors, obesity and risk of colorectal cancer in a cohort of Asian women.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated reproductive factors and obesity in relation to colorectal cancer (CRC) in Asian women. METHODS: The study cohort comprised 28191 women who were recruited between 1994 and 1997. During 18 years of prospective follow-up, 404 and 212 women developed colon cancer (CC) and rectal cancer (RC) respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression was used. RESULTS: Menstrual factors were not related to the risk of CRC, CC and RC. Gravidity and parity were not associated with CRC or RC, but women who were ever pregnant had a HR of 1.87 (95%CI 1.12-3.14) compared to those never pregnant, and parous women had a HR of 1.79 (95% CI 1.10-2.92) compared to nulliparous women for CC. Use of oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy were not associated with CRC, CC or RC. Compared to women with normal BMI, women who were obese had HRs of 1.39 (95%CI 1.12-1.74) and 1.64 (95%CI 1.24-2.16) for CRC and CC respectively. No increased risk was seen for RC. Adjusted for BMI, for colonic cancer, women in the highest quartile for Waist Circumference had a HR of 2.14 (95%CI 1.42-3.25) compared to the lowest quartile, for Waist Hip Ratio, a HR of 1.74 (95%CI 1.30-2.34), and for Waist-Height ratio, a HR of 1.80 (1.26-2.57). None of these measures were significantly associated with RC. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity is positively associated with CC but not RC, and abdominal obesity exerts an independent effect. Reproductive factors had at best a weak effect on CC and RC.

Screening for diabetes with HbA1c: Test performance of HbA1c compared to fasting plasma glucose among Chinese, Malay and Indian community residents in Singapore.

The prevalence of diabetes in Singapore is high. Screening to facilitate early detection and intervention has been shown to be cost-effective. Current clinical practice guidelines in Singapore recommend screening with fasting plasma glucose (FPG), followed by an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in those with FPG 6.1-6.9 mmol/L. Glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) has robust stability at ambient temperature, and can be performed on non-fasted capillary blood samples, making it an attractive potential alternative for screening. However, limitations of HbA1c include differential performance in different races, and its performance as a screening test has not been well characterized in Asian populations. This study compares HbA1c and FPG as diabetes screening modalities in 3540 community-dwelling Singapore residents of Chinese, Malay and Indian race to detect diabetes mellitus diagnosed based on blood glucose (FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, 2 hr OGTT ≥ 11.1 mmol/L). The area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) was higher for FPG compared to HbA1c in the overall population and age, race and age-race strata, but these differences were not statistically significant. HbA1c > = 7.0% identified 95% of individuals with diabetes mellitus, and the remainder had impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). HbA1c cut-off at 6.1% had better sensitivity (0.825) to FPG at 6.1 mmol/L. The positive predictive value of HbA1c at 6.1% was 40-50% in different age-race combinations with a negative predictive value of about 98%. If follow-up screening with FPG is used, a lower cut-off at 5.6 mmol/L is appropriate in identifying people with pre-diabetes, as about 85% of people with HbA1c 6.1-6.9% and FPG 5.6-6.9 mmol/L had IFG/IGT or diabetes in the study sample. HbA1c is an appropriate alternative to FPG as a first-step screening test, and the combination of Hba1c > = 6.1% and FPG > = 5.6 mmol/L would improve the identification of individuals with diabetes mellitus and prediabetes.

Prevalence of and risk factors associated with latent tuberculosis in Singapore: A cross-sectional survey.

OBJECTIVES: This first cross-sectional survey on latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) in Singapore was performed by utilizing the QuantiFERON Gold In-tube (QFT-GIT) assay to collect data on the prevalence of LTBI and to identify potential risk factors associated with LTBI. METHODS: Nationwide household addresses were selected randomly for enumeration, and Singaporeans or Permanent Residents aged 18-79 years were identified. One eligible member per household was selected using the Kish grid. Each participant answered a questionnaire assessing their medical history (including tuberculosis (TB)), socio-economic factors, and lifestyle factors. They also provided a blood specimen for the QFT-GIT assay. Participants with a positive QFT-GIT result were defined as having LTBI if they were asymptomatic. To identify independent risk factors, adjusted hazard ratios were obtained using the multivariable modified Breslow-Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: An overall QFT-GIT positivity rate of 12.7% was detected amongst 1682 Singapore residents. There was a wide variation in the positivity rate according to the participants' country of birth. Higher LTBI prevalence was also significantly associated with increasing age, lower educational and socio-economic status, and alcohol use. CONCLUSIONS: Given the high prevalence of LTBI amongst foreign-born residents from regional countries, similar studies should be conducted amongst migrants in Singapore to improve national guidelines on screening and preventive treatment against LTBI.

Adequacy of public health communications on H7N9 and MERS in Singapore: insights from a community based cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Singapore remains vulnerable to worldwide epidemics due to high air traffic with other countries This study aims to measure the public's awareness of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Avian Influenza A (H7N9), identify population groups who are uninformed or misinformed about the diseases, understand their choice of outbreak information source, and assess the effectiveness of communication channels in Singapore. METHODS: A cross-sectional study, comprising of face-to-face interviews, was conducted between June and December 2013 to assess the public's awareness and knowledge of MERS and H7N9, including their choice of information source. Respondents were randomly selected and recruited from 3 existing cohort studies. An opportunistic sampling approach was also used to recruit new participants or members in the same household through referrals from existing participants. RESULTS: Out of 2969 participants, 53.2% and 79.4% were not aware of H7N9 and MERS respectively. Participants who were older and better educated were most likely to hear about the diseases. The mean total knowledge score was 9.2 (S.D ± 2.3) out of 20, and 5.9 (S.D ± 1.2) out of 10 for H7N9 and MERS respectively. Participants who were Chinese, more educated and older had better knowledge of the diseases. Television and radio were the primary sources of outbreak information regardless of socio-demographic factors. CONCLUSION: Heightening education of infectious outbreaks through appropriate media to the young and less educated could increase awareness.

Longitudinal trends in HbA1c patterns and association with outcomes: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to review studies that identified patterns of longitudinal HbA1c trends in patients with diabetes and to summarize factors and outcomes associated with distinct trajectory patterns. METHODS: PubMed and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies examining HbA1c trends among patients with diabetes from database inception through September 2017. Articles were included if they met the following inclusion criteria: (a) longitudinal study of subjects with diabetes only, (b) use of serial measurements of HbA1c , and (c) analysis of the trend of HbA1c using group-based trajectory approaches. RESULTS: Twenty studies were included, 11 on type 1 diabetes and 9 on type 2 diabetes. These studies identified 2 to 6 HbA1c trajectory patterns. The most commonly identified patterns included stable HbA1c around 7.0% and at levels between 8.0% and 9.9%, which usually captured the HbA1c pattern among the majority of subjects in the study population. Unstable patterns identified included increasing HbA1c trend, decreasing HbA1c trend, and non-linear patterns. These patterns were associated with differential risk of disease outcomes, over and beyond single-point HbA1c measures. Age, gender, ethnicity, diabetes duration, disease management frequency, cardiovascular risk factors, insulin treatment, family environment, and psychosocial factors were the most frequently reported factors associated with membership of specific HbA1c pattern groups. CONCLUSION: Common patterns of longitudinal HbA1c trends were identified despite heterogeneity among the studies. A better understanding of what underlies these different patterns may provide opportunities to tailor therapies and care for these patients to reduce adverse outcomes.

Psychometric properties and population norms of the positive mental health instrument in a representative multi-ethnic Asian population.

BACKGROUND: Measures of mental well-being and positive mental health (PMH) have been largely developed and used in Western populations, however, data on representative Asian communities are lacking. Using data from a population sample, this study sought to establish psychometric properties and norms of the PMH Instrument (PMH-I), a measure of positive mental health developed in Singapore. METHODS: We conducted a nationally representative survey among 1925 adults aged 18-79 years of Chinese, Malay, Indian or other ethnicity. Participants reported socio-demographic characteristics and completed the PMH-I along with measures of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and psychological distress. Construct validity of the PMH-I was assessed using confirmatory factor analysis and concurrent validity was tested through correlation with other psychological measures. Normative PMH values and differences in population subgroups were estimated. RESULTS: The six-factor-higher-order structure of the PMH-I comprising six subscales of general coping, emotional support, spirituality, interpersonal skills, personal growth and autonomy and global affect was confirmed. Concurrent validity was shown through significant positive correlation of the total PMH score and its subscales with HRQoL and an inverse correlation with psychological distress. Weighted age, gender and ethnicity-specific norms were derived for the Singapore population. Total PMH was significantly higher in participants aged over 40 years as compared with 18-29 year olds and in non-Chinese ethnic groups as compared with Chinese. These differences were observed for all PMH-I subscales, with the exception of emotional support and interpersonal skills score differences by age. In contrast, gender, marital status, and education level were significantly associated with some of the subscales, but not with total PMH. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the psychometric properties of the PMH-I in a multi-ethnic Asian population sample. The generalizable population-based norms support the application of the PMH-I for measuring mental health and assessing its determinants within the Singapore general population.

Impact of analytical and biological variations on classification of diabetes using fasting plasma glucose, oral glucose tolerance test and HbA1c.

Historically, diabetes is diagnosed by measuring fasting (FPG) and two-hour post oral glucose load (OGTT) plasma concentration and interpreting it against recommended clinical thresholds of the patient. More recently, glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) has been included as a diagnostic criterion. Within-individual biological variation (CVi), analytical variation (CVa) and analytical bias of a test can impact on the accuracy and reproducibility of the classification of a disease. A test with large biological and analytical variation increases the likelihood of erroneous classification of the underlying disease state of a patient. Through numerical simulations based on the laboratory results generated from a large population health survey, we examined the impact of CVi, CVa and bias on the classification of diabetes using fasting plasma glucose (FPG), oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and HbA1c. From the results of the simulations, HbA1c has comparable performance to FPG and is better than OGTT in classifying subjects with diabetes, particularly when laboratory methods with smaller CVa are used. The use of the average of the results of the repeat laboratory tests has the effect of ameliorating the combined (analytical and biological) variation. The averaged result improves the consistency of the disease classification.