Mortality of Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease in the Faroe Islands From 1966-2020.

BACKGROUND: Increased mortality rates have been found in patients suffering from inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The Faroe Islands have the highest occurrence of IBD, mainly ulcerative colitis (UC). This study investigated mortality of patients with IBD compared with the general Faroese population. METHODS: All patients diagnosed with IBD from 1966-2020 were included, as well as population mortality data. All-cause and cause-specific mortality in the IBD cohort was compared with the population by standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). Risk factors for death within the cohort were assessed by hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox regression. RESULTS: Overall mortality was not increased in patients with Crohn's disease (CD; SIR 0.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-1.35) or UC (SIR 1.0; 95% CI, 0.83-1.25). However, patients with UC had an elevated risk of dying from digestive diseases (SIR 4.3; 95% CI, 2.16-7.74). Patients with IBD had lower risk of death of cardiovascular diseases compared with the background population (SIR 0.7; 95% CI, 0.50-0.93). Risk factors for mortality included male gender, age at diagnosis, and use of steroids. Protective factors were use of 5-aminosalicylic acid (5-ASA), thiopurines, and biological treatment. CONCLUSIONS: No increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with CD or UC was found in this nationwide study compared with the entire Faroese population over more than 5 decades. The risk of death due to digestive diseases was, however, increased in patients with UC, while mortality risk of cardiovascular diseases was lower in patients with IBD.

Increased mortality exists in IBD patients. The Faroe Islands have the highest occurrence in the world, though mortality risk in Faroese patients compared with the population is unknown. No increased overall risk was found, while mortality risk of digestive diseases was elevated.

Selective migration and mortality by economic status in Lolland-Falster, Denmark, 1992-2018.

During the past 30 years, a mortality gap developed between Lolland-Falster (the rural-provincial southeastern part) and the rest of Denmark. A main driver was selective in-migration of Danes with a high risk of death, especially of working-ages. In the present study, we determined the role of economic status in this selective in-migration. We used individual-level data from the Central Population Register and data on income source; self- or publicly supported. The study population included people aged 30-64 and living in Denmark at any time between 1992 and 2018. Mortality rate ratios (MRR) were calculated using Poisson regression for three time-periods: 1992-1999, 2000-2009 and 2010-2018. Two in five in-migrants to Lolland-Falster were people on public support. In 2010-2018, they had an MRR of 8.71 (95% confidence interval (CI): 8.05-9.42) compared with self-supported people, and an MRR of 1.49 (95% CI: 1.38-1.61) compared with publicly supported people elsewhere in Denmark. In-migration of working-aged people on public support was a main contributor to the excess mortality in Lolland-Falster as compared with the rest of Denmark. To understand urban-rural differences in health, population movements and national income patterns are important to take into account.

Does Lolland-Falster make people sick, or do sick people move to Lolland-Falster? An example of selective migration and mortality in Denmark, 1968-2017.

INTRODUCTION: Lolland-Falster is a rural area in south-eastern Denmark that scores unfavourable in health surveys and has the lowest life expectancy in the country. To determine the origin of poor health in Lolland-Falster, we investigated impact on mortality of long-term population movements. METHODS: We used data from the Danish Central Population Register 1968-2017 to track movements in and out of Lolland-Falster. This enabled us to calculate mortality based on tenure of residence. Poisson regression adjusted for sex, 5-year age-groups, and calendar year; separately for men and women; and ages <30, 30-64 and ≥ 65 years; was reported as mortality rate ratios (MRR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: Until 1988, mortality in Lolland-Falster was fairly similar to that in the rest of Denmark. Hereafter, mortality rates drifted apart. In 2008-2017, MRR of the total Lolland-Falster population was 1.21 (95% CI: 1.19-1.23). In each 10-year calendar period, people recently in-migrating constituted about one fourth of the population. MRRs of the in-migrating population increased over time from 1.17 (95% CI: 1.08-1.26) in 1968-1977, to 1.82 (95% CI: 1.75-1.89) in 2008-2017. Persons aged 30-64 constituted the largest in-migrating group and had highest excess mortality, MRR 2.34 (95% CI: 2.19-2.50) in 2008-2017. CONCLUSION: Long-term selective in-migration of vulnerable persons was behind the gradual build-up of the currently high mortality in Lolland-Falster compared to the rest of Denmark. In particular, people of working age in-migrating to Lolland-Falster contributed to this disparity.

Long-term exposure to road traffic noise and incidence of breast cancer: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to road traffic noise was associated with increased risk of estrogen receptor (ER)-negative (ER-) breast cancer in a previous cohort study, but not with overall or ER-positive (ER+) breast cancer, or breast cancer prognosis. We examined the association between long-term exposure to road traffic noise and incidence of breast cancer, overall and by ER and progesterone receptor (PR) status. METHODS: We used the data from a nationwide Danish Nurse Cohort on 22,466 female nurses (age > 44 years) who at recruitment in 1993 or 1999 reported information on breast cancer risk factors. We obtained data on the incidence of breast cancer from the Danish Cancer Registry, and on breast cancer subtypes by ER and PR status from the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group, up to 31 December 2012. Road traffic noise levels at the nurses' residences were estimated by the Nord2000 method between 1970 and 2013 as annual means of a weighted 24 h average (Lden) at the most exposed facade. We used time-varying Cox regression to analyze the associations between the 24-year, 10-year, and 1-year mean of Lden and breast cancer, separately for total breast cancer and by ER and PR status. RESULTS: Of the 22,466 women, 1193 developed breast cancer in total during 353,775 person-years of follow up, of whom 611 had complete information on ER and PR status. For each 10 dB increase in 24-year mean noise levels at their residence, we found a statistically significant 10% (hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval 1.10; 1.00-1.20) increase in total breast cancer incidence and a 17% (1.17; 1.02-1.33) increase in analyses based on 611 breast cancer cases with complete ER and PR information. We found positive, statistically significant association between noise levels and ER+ (1.23; 1.06-1.43, N = 494) but not ER- (0.93; 0.70-1.25, N = 117) breast cancers, and a stronger association between noise levels and PR+ (1.21; 1.02-1.42, N = 393) than between noise levels and PR- (1.10; 0.89-1.37, N = 218) breast cancers. Association between noise and ER+ breast cancer was statistically significantly stronger in nurses working night shifts (3.36; 1.48-7.63) than in those not working at night (1.21; 1.02-1.43) (p value for interaction = 0.05). CONCLUSION: Long-term exposure to road traffic noise may increase risk of ER+ breast cancer.

Benefit-to-harm ratio of the Danish breast cancer screening programme.

The primary aim of breast cancer screening is to reduce breast cancer mortality, but screening also has negative side-effects as overdiagnosis. To evaluate a screening programme, both benefits and harms should be considered. Published estimates of the benefit-to-harm ratio, the number of breast cancer deaths prevented divided by the number of overdiagnosed breast cancer cases, varied considerably. The objective of the study was to estimate the benefit-to-harm ratio of breast cancer screening in Denmark. The numbers of breast cancer deaths prevented and overdiagnosed cases [invasive and ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)] were estimated per 1,000 women aged 50-79, using national published estimates for breast cancer mortality and overdiagnosis, and national incidence and mortality rates. Estimations were made for both invited and screened women. Among 1,000 women invited to screening from age 50 to age 69 and followed until age 79, we estimated that 5.4 breast cancer deaths would be prevented and 2.1 cases overdiagnosed, under the observed scenario in Denmark of a breast cancer mortality reduction of 23.4% and 2.3% of the breast cancer cases being overdiagnosed. The estimated benefit-to-harm ratio was 2.6 for invited women and 2.5 for screened women. Hence, 2-3 women would be prevented from dying from breast cancer for every woman overdiagnosed with invasive breast cancer or DCIS. The difference between the previous published ratios and 2.6 for Denmark is probably more a reflection of the accuracy of the underlying estimates than of the actual screening programmes. Therefore, benefit-to-harm ratios should be used cautiously.