Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure.

Provided the considerable logistical challenges of anticipatory action and disaster response programs, there is a need for early warning of crop failures at lead times of six to twelve months. But crop yield forecasts at these lead times are virtually nonexistent. By leveraging recent advances in climate forecasting, we demonstrate that global preseason crop yield forecasts are not only possible but are skillful over considerable portions of cropland. Globally, maize and wheat forecasts are skillful at lead times of up to a year ahead of harvest for 15% and 30% of harvested areas, respectively. Forecasts are most skillful in Southeast Africa and Southeast Asia for maize and parts of South and Central Asia, Australia, and Southeast South America for wheat. Wheat forecasts, furthermore, remain skillful at lead times of over 18 months ahead of harvest in some locations. Our results demonstrate that the potential for preseason crop yield forecasts is greater than previously appreciated.

Essential regulators of iron chemical speciation distributions in anaerobic digestion of pretreated food waste: Organic volatile fatty acids or inorganic acid radicals?

In this work, a 30-days batched mesophilic assay on pretreated food waste (PFW) under different inoculum/substrate (I/S) ratios (1:5, 1:2, 1:1, 2:1, 4:1 and 1:0) was carried out, to target the most important parameters in AD matrix on regulating iron (Fe) chemical speciation. Correlation coefficients were calculated within four Fe chemical forms and AD parameters of pH, volatile fatty acids (VFAs), inorganic acid radicals (IARs), and alkalinity. Results showed that IARs were not key factors on regulating Fe speciation. Without acidification, IARs showed weak correlations (coefficients < 0.40) with Fe chemical dynamics while other parameters showed stronger correlations (coefficients ≥ 0.60). Under acidification, VFAs initiated the conversion of exchangeable Fe into water soluble fraction. Residual fraction might play important role in regulating Fe shifting to more bioavailable states.