RESUMEN
The aim of this study was to ascertain patient characteristics, outcomes, and liver injuries in patients infected with different SARS-CoV-2 variants. Data from consecutive adult patients with severe/critical COVID-19 admitted to our hospital during the peak month of the Delta wave were compared to the ancestral, Alpha, and Omicron waves. The dataset of 551 hospitalized patients was similar in the Delta/non-Delta waves. At admission and discharge, the median aminotransferase levels were normal or slightly increased. During the Delta wave (172 vs. 379 non-Delta patients), more patients died (OR 1.69, 95%CI 1.09-2.56) or had liver injury at discharge (alanine aminotransferase, ALT ≥ 2 ULN) (OR 1.97, 95%CI 1.08-3.54). In-hospital mortality was associated with age, lung injury, intensive care unit admission, number of and cardiovascular comorbidities, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and all inflammatory biomarkers. Serious liver injury at admission (ALT ≥ 5 × ULN) was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR = 7.9, 95%CI 2-28.9). At discharge, drug-induced liver injury (DILI) was found in patients treated with remdesivir, ALT ≥ 2 ULN (OR = 2.62, 95%CI 1.22-5.75). Treatment with dexamethasone, remdesivir, and immunomodulators showed improved survival, OR = 0.50 (95%CI 0.33-0.77). Regardless of the variant and treatment options, less than 2% of patients displayed serious liver injury, which was not found to be a death predictor in multivariable analysis.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We aimed to externally validate three prognostic scores for COVID-19: the 4C Mortality Score (4CM Score), the COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score (COVID-GRAM), and COVIDAnalytics. METHODS: We evaluated the scores in a retrospective study on adult patients hospitalized with severe/critical COVID-19 (1 March 2020-1 March 2021), in the Teaching Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Cluj-Napoca, Romania. We assessed all the deceased patients matched with two survivors by age, gender, and at least two comorbidities. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were computed for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 780 severe/critical COVID-19 patients, 178 (22.8%) died. We included 474 patients according to the case definition (158 deceased/316 survivors). The median age was 75 years; diabetes mellitus, malignancies, chronic pulmonary diseases, and chronic kidney and moderate/severe liver diseases were associated with higher risks of death. According to the predefined 4CM Score, the mortality rates were 0% (low), 13% (intermediate), 27% (high), and 61% (very high). The AUROC for the 4CM Score was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.77) for in-hospital mortality, close to COVID-GRAM, with slightly greater discriminatory ability for COVIDAnalytics: 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.80). CONCLUSION: All the prognostic scores showed close values compared to their validation cohorts, were fairly accurate in predicting mortality, and can be used to prioritize care and resources.
