Response- and Progression-Based End Points in Trial and Observational Cohorts of Patients With NSCLC.

Importance: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) are commonly used to assess therapeutic response in clinical trials but not in routine care; thus, RECIST-based end points are difficult to include in observational studies. Clinician-anchored approaches for measuring clinical response have been validated but not widely compared with clinical trial data, limiting their use as evidence for clinical decision-making. Objective: To compare response- and progression-based end points in clinical trial and observational cohorts of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used patient-level data from the IMpower132 trial (conducted April 7, 2016, to May 31, 2017) and a nationwide electronic health record (EHR)-derived deidentified database (data collected January 1, 2011, to March 31, 2022). Patients in the observational cohort were selected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the IMpower132 trial. All patients in the observational cohort had stage IV NSCLC. Exposure: All patients were randomized to or received first-line carboplatin or cisplatin plus pemetrexed. Main Outcomes and Measures: End points included response rates, duration of response, and progression-free survival, compared between the trial and observational cohorts before and after weighting. Response rates for the observational cohort were derived from the EHR. Results: A total of 769 patients met inclusion criteria, 494 in the observational cohort (median [IQR] age, 67 [60-74] years; 228 [46.2%] female; 45 [9.1%] Black or African American; 352 [71.3%] White; 53 [10.7%] American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, or multiracial) and 275 in the trial cohort (median [IQR] age, 63 [56-68] years; 90 [32.7%] female; 4 [1.5%] Black or African American; 194 [70.5%] White; 65 [23.6%] American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, or multiracial). All 3 end points were comparable between the study cohorts. Trial patients had a higher number of response assessments compared with patients in the weighted observational cohort. The EHR-derived response rate was numerically higher than the objective response rate after weighting (100.3 of 249.3 [40.2%] vs 105 of 275 [38.2%]) due to higher rates of observed partial response than RECIST-based partial response. Among patients with at least 1 response assessment, the EHR-derived response rate remained higher than the objective response rate (100.3 of 193.4 [51.9%] vs 105 of 256 [41.0%]) due to a higher proportion of patients in the observational cohort with no response assessment. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, response- and progression-based end points were similar between clinical trial and weighted observational cohorts, which increases confidence in the reliability of observational end points and can inform their interpretation in relation to trial end points. Additionally, the difference observed in response rates (including vs excluding patients with no response assessment) highlights the importance of future research adopting this 2-way approach when evaluating the relationship of EHR-derived and objective response rates.

Association between posttreatment α-fetoprotein reduction and outcomes in real-world US patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials suggest α-fetoprotein (AFP) reduction may be prognostic among patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the association of AFP reduction with outcomes in real-world settings is unclear. METHODS: Patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma between January 1, 2011, and June 30, 2021, first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitor, and baseline and posttreatment AFP values (closest to 8 ± 2 weeks after first-line initiation) were included. AFP reduction was defined as ≥20% decrease from baseline vs <20% or no decrease. Real-world overall survival and progression-free survival (rwPFS) were defined as time from posttreatment AFP measurement to death, and the first progression event or death, respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for potential confounders and baseline AFP. Effect modification by baseline AFP and hepatocellular carcinoma risk factors was assessed. RESULTS: Among 533 patients, median baseline AFP was higher in those with AFP reduction than those without (N = 166, 210 µg/L vs N = 367, 150 µg/L). There was a 35% decrease in hazard of death for patients with reduction vs without (aHR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.81; median, 10.3 vs 5.9 months). Results were similar for rwPFS (aHR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54-0.81; median, 4.6 vs 2.6 months). AFP reduction was associated with better outcomes among patients with baseline AFP ≥400 µg/L or with history of hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, or alcohol use. Only the interaction between baseline AFP and reduction in association with rwPFS was statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: For certain etiologies, posttreatment AFP change may be more important than baseline AFP for prognosis. Further work should characterize the prognostic implications of longitudinal AFP changes during treatment. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The prognostic value of the change in α-fetoprotein (AFP) concentration after treatment initiation is less established, particularly in real-world settings. Longitudinal data from a large nationwide cohort of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitor in routine practice revealed that ≥20% reduction in posttreatment AFP levels was associated with better real-world overall survival and progression-free survival after adjusting for baseline AFP levels and other factors. The results also suggested that the associations may be stronger among patients with a history of HCC risk factors (e.g., hepatitis C virus, alcohol) or with higher baseline AFP levels.

ACA Medicaid expansion association with racial disparity reductions in timely cancer treatment.

OBJECTIVES: Racial disparities in cancer care and outcomes remain a societal challenge. Medicaid expansion through the Affordable Care Act was intended to improve health care access and equity. This study aimed to assess whether state Medicaid expansions were associated with a reduction in racial disparities in timely treatment among patients diagnosed with advanced cancer. STUDY DESIGN: This difference-in-differences study analyzed deidentified electronic health record-derived data. Patients aged 18 to 64 years with advanced or metastatic cancers diagnosed between January 1, 2011, and January 31, 2019, and receiving systemic therapy were included. METHODS: The primary end point was receipt of timely treatment, defined as first-line systemic therapy starting within 30 days after diagnosis of advanced or metastatic disease. Racial disparity was defined as adjusted percentage-point (PP) difference for Black vs White patients, adjusted for age, sex, practice setting, cancer type, stage, insurance marketplace, and area unemployment rate, with time and state fixed effects. RESULTS: The study included 30,310 patients (12.3% Black race). Without Medicaid expansion, Black patients were less likely to receive timely treatment than White patients (43.7% vs 48.4%; adjusted difference, -4.8 PP; P < .001). With Medicaid expansion, this disparity was diminished and lost significance (49.7% vs 50.5%; adjusted difference, -0.8 PP; P = .605). The adjusted difference-in-differences estimate was a 3.9 PP reduction in racial disparity (95% CI, 0.1-7.7 PP; P = .045). CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion was associated with reduced Black-White racial disparities in receipt of timely systemic treatment for patients with advanced or metastatic cancers.

Characterization of a Real-World Response Variable and Comparison with RECIST-Based Response Rates from Clinical Trials in Advanced NSCLC.

INTRODUCTION: Effectiveness metrics for real-word research, analogous to clinical trial ones, are needed. This study aimed to develop a real-world response (rwR) variable applicable to solid tumors and to evaluate its clinical relevance and meaningfulness. METHODS: This retrospective study used patient cohorts with advanced non-small cell lung cancer from a nationwide, de-identified electronic health record (EHR)-derived database. Disease burden information abstracted manually was classified into response categories anchored to discrete therapy lines (per patient-line). In part 1, we quantified the feasibility and reliability of data capture, and estimated the association between rwR status and real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and real-world overall survival (rwOS). In part 2, we investigated the correlation between published clinical trial overall response rates (ORRs) and real-world response rates (rwRRs) from corresponding real-world patient cohorts. RESULTS: In part 1, 85.4% of patients (N = 3248) had at least one radiographic assessment documented. Median abstraction time per patient-line was 15.0 min (IQR 7.8-28.1). Inter-abstractor agreement on presence/absence of at least one assessment was 0.94 (95% CI 0.92-0.96; n = 503 patient-lines abstracted in duplicate); inter-abstractor agreement on best confirmed response category was 0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.86; n = 384 with at least one captured assessment). Confirmed responders at a 3-month landmark showed significantly lower risk of death and progression in rwOS and rwPFS analyses across all line settings. In part 2, rwRRs (from 12 rw cohorts) showed a high correlation with trial ORRs (Spearman's ρ = 0.99). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a rwR variable generated from clinician assessments documented in EHRs following radiographic evaluations. This variable provides clinically meaningful information and may provide a real-world measure of treatment effectiveness.