Efeitos da solução balanceada em desfechos de curto prazo em pacientes com traumatismo craniencefálico: uma análise secundária do ensaio clínico randomizado BaSICS / Effects of balanced solution on short-term outcomes in traumatic brain injury patients: a secondary analysis of the BaSICS randomized trial

RESUMO Objetivo: Descrever os efeitos do uso de soluções balanceadas nos desfechos de curto prazo de pacientes com traumatismo craniencefálico incluídos no estudo BaSICS. Métodos: Os pacientes foram randomizados para receber solução salina 0,9% ou solução balanceada durante a internação em unidade de terapia intensiva. O desfecho primário foi mortalidade em 90 dias, já os desfechos secundários foram dias de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias. O desfecho primário foi avaliado por regressão logística bayesiana. O desfecho secundário foi avaliado usando regressão beta-binomial inflada de zeros bayesiana. Resultados: Incluímos 483 pacientes (236 no braço de solução salina 0,9% e 247 no braço de solução balanceada). Foram incluídos 338 pacientes (70%) com pontuação na escala de coma de Glasgow ≤ 12. A probabilidade geral de que soluções balanceadas estivessem associadas a maior mortalidade em 90 dias foi de 0,98 (RC de 1,48; ICr95% 1,04 - 2,09). Esse aumento de mortalidade foi particularmente perceptível em pacientes com pontuação na escala de coma de Glasgow abaixo de 6 no momento da inclusão (probabilidade de dano de 0,99). Soluções balanceadas foram associadas a -1,64 dia de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias (ICr95% -3,32 - 0,00) com probabilidade de dano de 0,97. Conclusão: Houve alta probabilidade de que soluções balanceadas estivessem associadas a alta mortalidade em 90 dias, menos dias de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias. ClinicalTrials.gov:NCT02875873

ABSTRACT Objective: To describe the effects of balanced solution use on the short-term outcomes of patients with traumatic brain injury enrolled in BaSICS trial. Methods: Patients were randomized to receive either 0.9% saline or balanced solution during their intensive care unit stay. The primary endpoint was 90-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were days alive and free of intensive care unit stay at 28 days. The primary endpoint was assessed using Bayesian logistic regression. The secondary endpoint was assessed using a Bayesian zero-inflated beta binomial regression. Results: We included 483 patients (236 in the 0.9% saline arm and 247 in the balanced solution arm). A total of 338 patients (70%) with a Glasgow coma scale score ≤ 12 were enrolled. The overall probability that balanced solutions were associated with higher 90-day mortality was 0.98 (OR 1.48; 95%CrI 1.04 - 2.09); this mortality increment was particularly noticeable in patients with a Glasgow coma scale score below 6 at enrollment (probability of harm of 0.99). Balanced solutions were associated with -1.64 days alive and free of intensive care unit at 28 days (95%CrI -3.32 - 0.00) with a probability of harm of 0.97. Conclusion: There was a high probability that balanced solutions were associated with high 90-day mortality and fewer days alive and free of intensive care units at 28 days. ClinicalTrials.gov:NCT02875873

Effects of balanced solution on short-term outcomes in traumatic brain injury patients: a secondary analysis of the BaSICS randomized trial. / Efeitos da solução balanceada em desfechos de curto prazo em pacientes com traumatismo craniencefálico: uma análise secundária do ensaio clínico randomizado BaSICS.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the effects of balanced solution use on the short-term outcomes of patients with traumatic brain injury enrolled in BaSICS trial. METHODS: Patients were randomized to receive either 0.9% saline or balanced solution during their intensive care unit stay. The primary endpoint was 90-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were days alive and free of intensive care unit stay at 28 days. The primary endpoint was assessed using Bayesian logistic regression. The secondary endpoint was assessed using a Bayesian zero-inflated beta binomial regression. RESULTS: We included 483 patients (236 in the 0.9% saline arm and 247 in the balanced solution arm). A total of 338 patients (70%) with a Glasgow coma scale score ≤ 12 were enrolled. The overall probability that balanced solutions were associated with higher 90-day mortality was 0.98 (OR 1.48; 95%CrI 1.04 - 2.09); this mortality increment was particularly noticeable in patients with a Glasgow coma scale score below 6 at enrollment (probability of harm of 0.99). Balanced solutions were associated with -1.64 days alive and free of intensive care unit at 28 days (95%CrI -3.32 - 0.00) with a probability of harm of 0.97. CONCLUSION: There was a high probability that balanced solutions were associated with high 90-day mortality and fewer days alive and free of intensive care units at 28 days.ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02875873.

OBJETIVO: Descrever os efeitos do uso de soluções balanceadas nos desfechos de curto prazo de pacientes com traumatismo craniencefálico incluídos no estudo BaSICS. MÉTODOS: Os pacientes foram randomizados para receber solução salina 0,9% ou solução balanceada durante a internação em unidade de terapia intensiva. O desfecho primário foi mortalidade em 90 dias, já os desfechos secundários foram dias de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias. O desfecho primário foi avaliado por regressão logística bayesiana. O desfecho secundário foi avaliado usando regressão beta-binomial inflada de zeros bayesiana. RESULTADOS: Incluímos 483 pacientes (236 no braço de solução salina 0,9% e 247 no braço de solução balanceada). Foram incluídos 338 pacientes (70%) com pontuação na escala de coma de Glasgow ≤ 12. A probabilidade geral de que soluções balanceadas estivessem associadas a maior mortalidade em 90 dias foi de 0,98 (RC de 1,48; ICr95% 1,04 - 2,09). Esse aumento de mortalidade foi particularmente perceptível em pacientes com pontuação na escala de coma de Glasgow abaixo de 6 no momento da inclusão (probabilidade de dano de 0,99). Soluções balanceadas foram associadas a -1,64 dia de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias (ICr95% -3,32 - 0,00) com probabilidade de dano de 0,97. CONCLUSÃO: Houve alta probabilidade de que soluções balanceadas estivessem associadas a alta mortalidade em 90 dias, menos dias de vida e sem internação em unidade de terapia intensiva aos 28 dias.ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02875873.

Development and validation of outcome prediction models for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: the SAHIT multinational cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a set of practical prediction tools that reliably estimate the outcome of subarachnoid haemorrhage from ruptured intracranial aneurysms (SAH). DESIGN: Cohort study with logistic regression analysis to combine predictors and treatment modality. SETTING: Subarachnoid Haemorrhage International Trialists' (SAHIT) data repository, including randomised clinical trials, prospective observational studies, and hospital registries. PARTICIPANTS: Researchers collaborated to pool datasets of prospective observational studies, hospital registries, and randomised clinical trials of SAH from multiple geographical regions to develop and validate clinical prediction models. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Predicted risk of mortality or functional outcome at three months according to score on the Glasgow outcome scale. RESULTS: Clinical prediction models were developed with individual patient data from 10 936 patients and validated with data from 3355 patients after development of the model. In the validation cohort, a core model including patient age, premorbid hypertension, and neurological grade on admission to predict risk of functional outcome had good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.82). When the core model was extended to a "neuroimaging model," with inclusion of clot volume, aneurysm size, and location, the AUC improved to 0.81 (0.79 to 0.84). A full model that extended the neuroimaging model by including treatment modality had AUC of 0.81 (0.79 to 0.83). Discrimination was lower for a similar set of models to predict risk of mortality (AUC for full model 0.76, 0.69 to 0.82). All models showed satisfactory calibration in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: The prediction models reliably estimate the outcome of patients who were managed in various settings for ruptured intracranial aneurysms that caused subarachnoid haemorrhage. The predictor items are readily derived at hospital admission. The web based SAHIT prognostic calculator (http://sahitscore.com) and the related app could be adjunctive tools to support management of patients.

Early CT perfusion changes and blood-brain barrier permeability after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

INTRODUCTION: Early brain injury (EBI) can occur within 72 h of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). The objective of this study was to determine if there are differences in early CTP parameters (<72 h) with respect to delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), cerebral infarction, and functional outcome. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study of aSAH patients admitted to a single tertiary care center. MTT, CBF and blood-brain barrier permeability (PS) were quantified with CTP within 72 h of aneurysm rupture. Primary outcomes were functional outcome by the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 months and cerebral infarction. Secondary outcome was the development of DCI. Differences between early CTP parameters were determined with respect to primary and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Fifty aSAH patients were included in the final analysis. MTT was significantly higher in patients who developed DCI (6.7 ± 1.2 vs 5.9 ± 1.0; p = 0.03) and cerebral infarction (7.0 ± 1.2 vs 5.9 ± 0.9; p = 0.007); however, no difference in MTT was found between patients with and without a poor outcome (mRS > 2). Early CBF and PS did not differ with respect to functional outcome, DCI, and cerebral infarction. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated MTT within 72 h of aneurysm rupture is associated with DCI and cerebral infarction but not with long-term functional outcome. Blood-brain barrier permeability, as assessed by CT perfusion, was not associated with DCI or worse outcome in this cohort.

Safety of early pharmacological thromboprophylaxis after subarachnoid hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: The recent guidelines on management of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) advise pharmacological thromboprophylaxis (PTP) after aneurysm obliteration. However, no study has addressed the safety of PTP in the aSAH population. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess the safety of early PTP after aSAH. METHODS: Retrospective cohort of aSAH patients admitted between January 2012 and June 2013 in a single high-volume aSAH center. Traumatic SAH and perimesencephalic hemorrhage patients were excluded. Patients were grouped according to PTP timing: early PTP group (PTP within 24 hours of aneurysm treatment), and delayed PTP group (PTP started > 24 hours). RESULTS: A total of 174 SAH patients (mean age 56.3±12.5 years) were admitted during the study period. Thirty-nine patients (22%) did not receive PTP, whereas 135 patients (78%) received PTP after aneurysm treatment or negative angiography. Among the patients who received PTP, 65 (48%) had an external ventricular drain. Twenty-eight patients (21%) received early PTP, and 107 (79%) received delayed PTP. No patient in the early treatment group and three patients in the delayed PTP group developed an intracerebral hemorrhagic complication. Two required neurosurgical intervention and one died. These three patients were on concomitant PTP and dual antiplatelet therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The initiation of PTP within 24 hours may be safe after the treatment of a ruptured aneurysm or in angiogram-negative SAH patients with diffuse aneurysmal hemorrhage pattern. We suggest caution with concomitant use of PTP and dual antiplatelet agents, because it possibly increases the risk for intracerebral hemorrhage.

Dynamic analysis of acute kidney injury: implementation of a mathematical model / Análise dinâmica da lesão renal aguda: aplicação de um modelo matemático

Objective: To evaluate a mathematical model to study the dynamics of renal failure in patients with acute kidney injury. Methods: A mathematical model was applied to simulate the "dynamic path of renal lesion" in patients with acute kidney injury. Results: The dynamics of glomerular filtration rate was simulated with the real data of a patient attended at the Intensive Care Unit. Conclusions: The applicability of a mathematical model allowed studying the modifications of renal failure along the occurrence of acute kidney injury.

Objetivo: Avaliar a aplicação de um modelo matemático envolvendo produção e filtração de creatinina para estudar as alterações dinâmicas da função renal em pacientes com lesão renal aguda. Métodos: Aplicou-se um modelo matemático para que fosse possível simular a "trajetória dinâmica da lesão renal" em paciente com lesão renal aguda. Resultados: Foi simulada a dinâmica da taxa de filtração glomerular com os dados reais do paciente atendido na Unidade de Terapia Intensiva. Conclusões: A aplicação do modelo matemático permitiu estudar as alterações da função renal na vigência de lesão renal aguda.