RESUMEN
Over-exploitation of groundwater due to intensive irrigation and anticipated climate change pose severe threats to the water and food security worldwide, particularly in the North China Plain (NCP). Limited irrigation has been recognized as an effective way to improve crop water productivity and slow the rapid decline of groundwater levels. Whether optimized limited irrigation strategies could achieve a balance between groundwater pumping and grain production in the NCP under future climate change deserves further study. In this study, an improved Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to simulate climate change impacts on shallow groundwater levels and crop production under limited irrigation strategies to suggest optimal irrigation management practices under future climate conditions in the NCP. The simulations of eleven limited irrigation strategies for winter wheat with targeted irrigations at different growth stages and with irrigated or rainfed summer maize were compared with future business-as-usual management. Climate change impacts showed that mean wheat (maize) yield under adequate irrigation was expected to increase by 13.2% (4.9%) during the middle time period (2041-2070) and by 11.2% (4.6%) during the late time period (2071-2100) under three SSPs compared to the historical period (1971-2000). Mean decline rate of shallow groundwater level slowed by approximately 1 m a-1 during the entire future period (2041-2100) under three SSPs with a greater reduction for SSP5-8.5. The average contribution rate of future climate toward the balance of shallow groundwater pumping and replenishment was 62.9%. Based on the simulated crop yields and decline rate of shallow groundwater level under the future climate, the most appropriate limited irrigation was achieved by applying irrigation during the jointing stage of wheat with rainfed maize, which could achieve the groundwater recovery and sustainable food production.
Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Agua Subterránea , Producción de Cultivos , Agua , China , Triticum , Riego AgrícolaRESUMEN
Future climate change may have substantial impacts on both water resources and food security in China's black soil region. The Liao River Basin (LRB; 220,000 km2) is representative of the main black soil area, making it ideal for studying climate change effects on black soil. In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was first initialized for the LRB. Actual evapotranspiration (ETa) values calculated using the Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS) model and city-level corn (Zea mays L.) yields were then used to calibrate the SWAT model. Finally, the SWAT model was modified to accept dynamic CO2 input and output crop transpiration, soil evaporation, and canopy interception separately to explore the impacts of future climate change on ET related variables and crop water productivity (CWP) in the LRB. Simulation scenario design included 22 General Circulation Models (GCMs) and 4 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios from the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) for two 30-year periods of 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The predicted results showed a significant (P < 0.05) increase in air temperatures and precipitation in the LRB. In contrast, solar radiation decreased significantly and was most reduced for the SSP3-7.0 scenario. Reference evapotranspiration (ETo), ETa, and soil evaporation significantly increased in future scenarios, while canopy interception and crop transpiration showed significant reductions, particularly under the 2071-2100 SSP5-8.5 scenario. Overall, corn yield elevated considerably (P < 0.05) with the largest increase for the SSP5-8.5 scenario during 2071-2100. However, the SSP3-7.0 scenario indicated a significant decline in yield. Future changes in CWP were similar to those for corn yield, with significant increases in the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. These findings suggested future climate change may have a positive impact on corn production in the black soil region of the LRB.
Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Suelo , Dióxido de Carbono/análisis , Agua , Modelos Teóricos , Zea mays , Seguridad AlimentariaRESUMEN
Performance evaluations and corrections of soil water sensors have not been studied using different installation orientations under various irrigation treatments in the Texas High Plains. This study evaluated the performance of four sensors using factory calibration and derived field corrections as compared to calibrated neutron moisture meters (NMMs). Sensor performance was assessed using horizontal insertion, laid horizontal placement, and vertical insertion at 15.2, 45.7, and 76.2 cm depths in a clay loam soil with three irrigation treatments. Results indicated the factory-calibrated Acclima 315 L performed satisfactorily using horizontal insertion as compared to NMM measurements at 45.7 and 76.2 cm depths with a ±2% mean difference (MD) and <3.5% root mean square error (RMSE). The factory-calibrated Acclima 315 L using horizontal insertion also performed satisfactorily across all irrigation treatments according to soil profile water storage (MD = 0.36% and RMSE = 3.25%). Generally, the factory-calibrated Decagon GS1 and Campbell Scientific 655 using vertical insertion agreed more closely with NMM measurements compared with other installation orientations. There was a significant underestimation of water storage (>60 mm) in the 0.9 m soil profile using the Watermark 200SS. In summary, field corrections are required for Decagon GS1, Campbell Scientific 655, and Watermark 200SS sensors.
RESUMEN
Net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of carbon dioxide (CO2) and water vapor (H2O) fluxes from irrigated grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L. Moench) and maize (Zea mays L.) fields in the Texas High Plains were quantified using the eddy covariance (EC) technique during 2014-2016 growing seasons and examined in terms of relevant controlling climatic variables. Eddy covariance measured evapotranspiration (ETEC) was also compared against lysimeter measured ET (ETLys). Daily peak (7-day averages) NEE reached approximately -12â¯gâ¯Câ¯m-2 for sorghum and -14.78â¯gâ¯Câ¯m-2 for maize. Daily peak (7-day averages) ETEC reached approximately 6.5â¯mm for sorghum and 7.3â¯mm for maize. Higher leaf area index (5.7 vs 4-4.5â¯m2â¯m-2) and grain yield (14 vs 8-9â¯tâ¯ha-1) of maize compared to sorghum caused larger magnitudes of NEE and ETEC in maize. Comparisons of ETEC and ETLys showed a strong agreement (R2â¯=â¯0.93-0.96), while the EC system underestimated ET by 15-24% as compared to lysimeter without any corrections or energy balance adjustments. Both NEE and ETEC were not inhibited by climatic variables during peak photosynthetic period even though diurnal peak values (~2-weeks average) of photosynthetic photon flux density (PPFD), air temperature (Ta), and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) had reached over 2000⯵molâ¯m-2â¯s-1, 30⯰C, and 2.5â¯kPa, respectively, indicating well adaptation of both C4 crops in the Texas High Plains under irrigation. However, more sensitivity of NEE and H2O fluxes beyond threshold Ta and VPD for maize than for sorghum indicated higher adaptability of sorghum for the region. These findings provide baseline information on CO2 fluxes and ET for a minimally studied grain sorghum and offer a robust geographic comparison for maize outside the United States Corn Belt. However, longer-term measurements are required for assessing carbon and water dynamics of these globally important agro-ecosystems.
RESUMEN
Accurate estimates of actual crop evapotranspiration (ET) are important for optimal irrigation water management, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. Common ET sensing methods include Bowen Ratio, Eddy Covariance (EC), and scintillometers. Large weighing lysimeters are considered the ultimate standard for measurement of ET, however, they are expensive to install and maintain. Although EC and scintillometers are less costly and relatively portable, EC has known energy balance closure discrepancies. Previous scintillometer studies used EC for ground-truthing, but no studies considered weighing lysimeters. In this study, a Surface Layer Scintillometer (SLS) was evaluated for accuracy in determining ET as well as sensible and latent heat fluxes, as compared to a large weighing lysimeter in Bushland, TX. The SLS was installed over irrigated grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) for the period 29 July-17 August 2015 and over grain corn (Zea mays L.) for the period 23 June-2 October 2016. Results showed poor correlation for sensible heat flux, but much better correlation with ET, with r² values of 0.83 and 0.87 for hourly and daily ET, respectively. The accuracy of the SLS was comparable to other ET sensing instruments with an RMSE of 0.13 mm·h-1 (31%) for hourly ET; however, summing hourly values to a daily time step reduced the ET error to 14% (0.75 mm·d-1). This level of accuracy indicates that potential exists for the SLS to be used in some water management applications. As few studies have been conducted to evaluate the SLS for ET estimation, or in combination with lysimetric data, further evaluations would be beneficial to investigate the applicability of the SLS in water resources management.