Geographical and temporal spread of equine rabies in Brazil.

In Brazil, the horse is frequently used in cultural activities, sports, and in rural and urban work, implementing the economy in different social classes. Among the diseases in horses with zoonotic potential, rabies has been neglected in the country, increasing the risk of spreading the disease across borders. The present study evaluated the spatiotemporal distribution and temporal trend of rabies in horses in Brazil between 2010 and 2019. During this period, 1290 cases of rabies were detected in horses in Brazil, mainly in the states of São Paulo (21.7%) and Mato Grosso (13.3%). However, Espírito Santo stood out, with an incidence risk (IR) of 139.7 cases of rabies per 100,000 horses. The years 2013 and 2017 had higher peaks of IR for the disease, and the states that contributed to this increase were Mato Grosso, São Paulo, and Espírito Santo. There was no monthly seasonality of the disease among the states. The temporal trend revealed an increase for the northeastern region (Annual Percentage Change [APC]: 8.9%) and for Alagoas State (APC: 26.6%). In the spatiotemporal analysis, three high-risk clusters were formed: (i) cluster A (Relative Risk [RRs]: 6.21), involving only Minas Gerais, between 2017 and 2019; (ii) cluster B (RRs: 6.18), involving only Mato Grosso, between 2011 and 2013; and (iii) cluster C (RRs:4.71), involving the states of Rio de Janeiro and Espírito Santo, between 2010 and 2014. Only the states of Roraima and Amapá had no cases of equine rabies during the study period. Therefore, rabies in horses occurs in all Brazilian regions, with areas at high risk of infection concentrated in the Southeast. However, attention should be directed to the north-eastern and northern states, where notifications were infrequent, with an unknown risk in relation to the spread of rabies to transboundary regions. This is the first study evaluating the interstate distribution of rabies in equine species in regions of Brazil.

Spatiotemporal distribution and temporal trends of brucellosis and tuberculosis in water buffalo (Bubalus bubalis) in Brazil.

The buffalo herds in Brazil have been an alternative for increasing the economy in different biomes. For this reason, knowledge of the spatial distribution of diseases of mandatory notification in buffalo herds, such as brucellosis and tuberculosis, is essential to guarantee the quality of exported animal products, as well as assist in strategies of national control and eradication programs. In the present study, we aimed to evaluate the spatiotemporal distribution and temporal trends of brucellosis and tuberculosis in buffalo in Brazilian states between 2012-2019. During this period, 474 cases of brucellosis and 604 cases of tuberculosis were observed in buffalo in Brazil, with no significant differences between the total number of cases and incidence risk. The spatial distribution for the states was mostly heterogeneous, showing similarities of occurrences for both diseases in the south, north, and the states of Minas Gerais and Pernambuco. In the eight years evaluated, tuberculosis showed cyclical variation every 1-2 years; however, for brucellosis, there was a cyclical trend only between 2012-2015, with a significant decrease until 2018. Among Brazilian states, Pará had greater disease case numbers, with 34 % for brucellosis and 40.6 % for tuberculosis. Temporal trend analysis showed an increase for Pernambuco (annual percentage change [APC]: 21.0 [CI = 20.3; 21.8]), Paraná (APC: 27.1 [CI = 5.6; 53.0]), and Santa Catarina (APC: 10.4 [CI = 0.8; 21.0]) for brucellosis, and for tuberculosis, only for Santa Catarina state (APC: 24.1 [CI = 15.5; 33.3]). Spatiotemporally, there were four high-risk brucellosis clusters with a primary cluster, cluster A (relative risk [RRs] = 53.42, P < 0.001), involving the state of Amazonas between 2014-2015. For tuberculosis, there were three states of high risk, with a primary cluster, cluster E (RRs = 28.18, P < 0.001), involving the states of Pará, Roraima, Amazonas, Rondônia, and Acre in 2014. In conclusion, brucellosis and tuberculosis in buffalo in Brazil are heterogeneously distributed, with well-defined regions of high historical risk of infection. Among these regions, the states of Amazonas, Pará, Amapá, and Minas Gerais stand out due to the higher risk of infection for both brucellosis and tuberculosis, alerting Brazilian authorities to the need for disease control actions.