Viral eradication reduces all-cause mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection who had received direct-acting antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The impact of hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication via direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy on overall mortality, particularly non-liver-related mortality, is understudied. METHODS: We recruited 4180 patients with chronic HCV infection who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) (HCV eradication) through DAA therapy (n = 2501, SVR group) or who did not receive antiviral therapy (n = 1679, non-SVR group); 1236 from each group were chosen using propensity score matching. Causes of death and all-cause mortality, including non-liver-related diseases, were investigated. RESULTS: Of the 4180 patients, 592 died during the follow-up period. In the SVR group, the mortality rates from liver-related and non-liver-related diseases were 16.5% and 83.5%, respectively. Compared to the non-SVR group, mortality rates from liver-related and non-liver-related diseases were 50.1% and 49.9%, respectively (p < .001). In non-cirrhotic patients, multivariable analysis revealed that SVR was an independent factor associated with both liver-related (hazard ratio [HR], .251; 95% confidence interval [CI], .092-.686) and non-liver-related (HR, .641; 95% CI, .415-.990) mortalities. In cirrhotic patients, multivariable analysis revealed that SVR remained an independent factor significantly associated with liver-related mortality (HR, .151; 95% CI, .081-.279). In propensity score-matched patients, the eradication of HCV (SVR group) decreased both liver-related (p < .001) and non-liver-related mortality (p = .008) rates compared to persistent HCV infection (non-SVR group). CONCLUSIONS: The elimination of HCV via DAA therapy reduced not only liver-related mortality but also non-liver-related mortality in patients with chronic HCV.

CRAFITY score as a predictive marker for refractoriness to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Although atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) therapy has been used as the preferred first-line treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), up to 26% of patients do not achieve disease control, suggesting alternative treatments might be more beneficial for such patients. We investigated key predictors for refractoriness to Atezo/Bev therapy, particularly in the first-line setting. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 302 patients with HCC who received Atezo/Bev therapy between October 2020 and September 2022 across nine hospitals in Japan. Refractoriness was defined as best overall response (BOR) of progressive disease or stable disease and a progression-free survival (PFS) of < 180 days (RECIST v1.1). Clinical benefit was defined as BOR of partial/complete response or stable disease with PFS of ≥ 180 days. Baseline characteristics and potential predictors, identified through literature review, were compared between these groups. Stratifications of overall survival (OS), and PFS were also assessed. RESULTS: Refractoriness was observed in 126 (41.7%) patients, while 154 (51.0%) achieved clinical benefit. Due to a significant association between the treatment line and refractory rate, the subsequent analysis focused on the first-line cohort (n = 214; 72 [33.6%] patients showed refractoriness). Among 13 potential predictors, the CRP and AFP in immunotherapy (CRAFITY) score had the best predictive performance, with refractory rates of 24.6%, 44.6%, and 57.9% in CRAFITY-0, 1, and 2 patients, respectively (p < 0.001). OS and PFS were also well-stratified by this scoring system. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-third of patients were refractory to first-line Atezo/Bev therapy. The CRAFITY score demonstrated superior performance in predicting refractoriness.

TERT upregulation promotes cell proliferation via degradation of p21 and increases carcinogenic potential.

Telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) gene aberration is detectable in >80% of cases with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). TERT reactivation is essential for cellular immortalization because it stabilizes telomere length, although the role of TERT in hepatocarcinogenesis remains unelucidated. To elucidate the significance of aberrant TERT expression in hepatocytes in inflammation-associated hepatocarcinogenesis, we generated Alb-Cre;TertTg mice, which overexpress TERT in the liver and examined their phenotype during chronic inflammation. Based on transcriptome data from the liver tissue of Alb-Cre;TertTg mice, we examined the role of TERT in hepatocarcinogenesis in vitro. We also evaluated the relationship between TERT and cell-cycle-related molecules, including p21, in HCC samples. The liver tumor development rate was increased by TERT overexpression during chronic inflammation, especially in the absence of p53 function. Gene set enrichment analysis of liver tissues revealed that gene sets related to TNF-NFκB signaling, cell cycle, and apoptosis were upregulated in Alb-Cre;TertTg liver. A luciferase reporter assay and immunoprecipitation revealed that TERT interacted with NFκB p65 and enhanced NFKB1 promoter activity. On the other hand, TERT formed protein complexes with p21, cyclin A2, and cyclin E and promoted ubiquitin-mediated degradation of p21, specifically in the G1 phase. In the clinical HCC samples, TERT was highly expressed but p21 was conversely downregulated, and TERT expression was associated with the upregulation of molecules related to the cell cycle. Taken together, the aberrant upregulation of TERT increased NFKB1 promoter activity and promoted cell cycle progression via p21 ubiquitination, leading to hepatocarcinogenesis. © 2024 The Author(s). The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Treatment response to durvalumab plus tremelimumab after progression with previous immune checkpoint inhibitor in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

Although immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are used for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), it is unclear whether sequential ICI treatment-durvalumab plus tremelimumab (DT) after progression on atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (AB)-is effective for HCC. In this nationwide multicenter study, we aimed to investigate the effect of DT treatment based on the timing of treatment. A total of 85 patients receiving DT treatment were enrolled. The primary endpoint is treatment response at week 8 among patients receiving first-line DT treatment, those receiving second-line or later treatment without prior AB therapy, and those receiving second-line or later treatment with prior AB therapy. Objective response rates (ORRs) in patients with first-line treatment, second-line treatment without AB, and second-line treatment with prior AB were 44%, 54%, and 5%, respectively (p < 0.001). Similarly, disease control rates (DCRs) were 69%, 91%, and 26%, respectively (p < 0.001). ORR and DCR were significantly lower in patients with prior AB treatment. Progression free survival (PFS) was significantly shortened in patients receiving second-line therapy following prior AB treatment and an adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) in those patients for PFS, using first-line therapy as a reference, was 2.35 (1.1-5.1, p = 0.03). In conclusion, the impact of DT sequencing following AB treatment was limited. However, even after second-line treatment, the treatment effect can be equivalent to that of first-line treatment in cases with no history of AB treatment. Thus, prior treatment history should be taken into account when initiating DT treatment.

Early detection of pancreatic cancer by comprehensive serum miRNA sequencing with automated machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is often diagnosed at advanced stages, and early-stage diagnosis of pancreatic cancer is difficult because of nonspecific symptoms and lack of available biomarkers. METHODS: We performed comprehensive serum miRNA sequencing of 212 pancreatic cancer patient samples from 14 hospitals and 213 non-cancerous healthy control samples. We randomly classified the pancreatic cancer and control samples into two cohorts: a training cohort (N = 185) and a validation cohort (N = 240). We created ensemble models that combined automated machine learning with 100 highly expressed miRNAs and their combination with CA19-9 and validated the performance of the models in the independent validation cohort. RESULTS: The diagnostic model with the combination of the 100 highly expressed miRNAs and CA19-9 could discriminate pancreatic cancer from non-cancer healthy control with high accuracy (area under the curve (AUC), 0.99; sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 98%). We validated high diagnostic accuracy in an independent asymptomatic early-stage (stage 0-I) pancreatic cancer cohort (AUC:0.97; sensitivity, 67%; specificity, 98%). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that the 100 highly expressed miRNAs and their combination with CA19-9 could be biomarkers for the specific and early detection of pancreatic cancer.

Change in Liver Function in Durvalumab Plus Tremelimumab Treatment for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Maintaining liver function throughout the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial, yet the impact of durvalumab plus tremelimumab (DT) treatment on liver function is not well understood. This multicenter study aimed to examine the changes in liver function during DT treatment. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This nationwide multicenter study included 80 patients who received DT treatment for unresectable HCC. The primary outcome was changes in albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores at baseline, week 8, week 12, and at the time of progressive disease (PD). RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) ALBI scores at baseline, week 8, week 12, and the time of PD were -2.24 (-2.49 to -1.94), -2.13 (-2.51 to -1.86), -2.23 (-2.51 to - 1.77), and -2.06 (-2.53 to -1.72), respectively. No significant differences were observed at 8 weeks (p=0.06), at 12 weeks (p=0.4), and at PD (p=0.8) compared to baseline. Subgroup analyses were conducted for patients with an ALBI grade of 2 at baseline and for those who received DT treatment as a second-line or later treatment. No deterioration in liver function was observed at any time point in both analyses. CONCLUSION: DT treatment can maintain liver function throughout the treatment period. Maintaining liver function is crucial in managing HCC, and this is an advantage of using DT treatment as a first-line treatment for unresectable HCC.

Effect of treatment periods on efficacy of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir in chronic hepatitis C: A nationwide, prospective, multicenter study.

Background and aim: In patients with chronic hepatitis C, 8 weeks of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) treatment for chronic hepatitis (non-cirrhosis) and 12 weeks for cirrhosis have been approved in Japan. However, whether 8 weeks of treatment for cirrhosis may reduce treatment efficacy has not been adequately investigated. Methods: This prospective, nationwide, multicenter cohort study enrolled 1275 patients with chronic hepatitis C who received GLE/PIB therapy. The effect of liver fibrosis and treatment periods on the efficiency of GLE/PIB therapy was investigated. The primary endpoint was the sustained virological response (SVR) rate in patients with chronic hepatitis (non-cirrhosis) and cirrhosis. The association between treatment periods and liver fibrosis on the SVR after 12 weeks of treatment rate was investigated. Results: The SVR rates in patients with chronic hepatitis with 8 weeks of treatment, chronic hepatitis with 12 weeks of treatment, cirrhosis with 8 weeks of treatment, and cirrhosis with 12 weeks of treatment were 98.9% (800/809), 100% (87/87), 100% (166/166), and 99.1% (211/213), respectively, and were was not different among these groups (P = 0.4). Conclusion: GLE/PIB therapy for chronic hepatitis C had high efficacy regardless of liver fibrosis status and treatment periods. Periods of GLE/PIB therapy could be chosen with available modalities, and high SVR rates could be achieved regardless of the decision.

Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasm Concomitant with Branch-duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm: A Case Report and Literature Review.

Reports of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm (P-NEN) concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) are gradually increasing. However, many of these cases were diagnosed in the resected specimen incidentally. We herein report a case of minimal P-NEN concomitant with branch-duct IPMN that was successfully diagnosed preoperatively by contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) and an EUS-guided fine-needle biopsy. These findings suggest that P-NEN as well as pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma should be considered as concurrent tumors developing in patients with IPMNs. EUS is an essential modality when evaluating IPMN for detecting small lesions concomitant with IPMN.

Unexpected anti-tumor effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors followed by transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma.

The abscopal effect has recently attracted much attention because this effect is enhanced by immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, little is known about the association between induction of the abscopal effect and local treatment against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We describe a patient with advanced HCC who underwent selective transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) after treatment with an ICI that was found to remarkably regress in lesions in areas outside that targeted by selective TACE. An 82-year-old man had multiple recurrences in both lobes of the liver despite of repeated TACE and radiofrequency ablation, after resection of an HCC five years previously. After chemotherapy with atezolizumab and bevacizumab, his des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) increased. CT during hepatic arteriography revealed multiple recurrent HCCs in both lobes of the liver. TACE with selective embolization at the level of the medial segmental arteries was performed against an approximately 50 mm-diameter tumor in the right lobe. Hepatic arterial phase imaging of contrast-enhanced CT performed 6 days after TACE showed hypo-enhancement of tumors in segment II and III in the left lobe. This case highlights that abscopal effects can be induced by local treatment against HCCs in combination with treatment with ICIs.

Necessity for surveillance for hepatocellualr carcinoma in older patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved sustained virological response.

Background and Aim: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in low-risk patients (annual incidence <1.5%) is not recommended per the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Because patients with chronic hepatitis C with non-advanced fibrosis who have achieved sustained virological response (SVR) have a low risk of HCC, HCC surveillance is not recommended for them. However, aging is a risk factor for HCC; threfore, the necessity for HCC surveillance in older patients with non-advanced fibrosis needs to be verified. Methods: This multicenter, prospective study enrolled 4993 patients with SVR (1998 patients with advanced fibrosis and 2995 patients with non-advanced fibrosis). The HCC incidence was examined with particular attention to age. Results: The 3-year incidence of HCC in patients with advanced and non-advanced fibrosis was 9.2% (95% CI: 7.8-10.9) and 2.9% (95% CI: 2.1-3.7), respectively. HCC incidence was significantly higher in patients with advanced fibrosis (P < 0.001). HCC incidence stratified by age and sex was investigated in patients with non-advanced fibrosis. The HCC incidence in the 18-49, 50s, 60s, 70s, and ≥80 age groups were 0.26, 1.3, 1.8, 1.7, and 2.9 per 100 person-years in men, and 0.00, 0.32, 0.58, 0.49, and 0.57 per 100 person-years in women, respectively. Conclusions: Male patients with non-advanced fibrosis aged ≥60 years have a higher risk of developing HCC and, thus, require HCC surveillance.

Effects on survival of the adverse event of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study by the Japan Red Cross Liver Study Group.

This study aimed to describe the real-world efficacy and safety of the combination therapy of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective analysis of a multicenter registry cohort included 268 patients treated with Atezo/Bev. The incidence of adverse events (AE) and its impact on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. Of the 268 patients, 230 (85.8%) experienced AE. The median OS and PFS in the whole cohort were 462 and 239 days, respectively. The OS and PFS were not different in terms of AE, but they were significantly shorter in patients with increased bilirubin level and those with increased aspartate aminotransferase (AST) or alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Regarding increased bilirubin level, the hazard ratios (HRs) were 2.61 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-6.58, P = 0.042) and 2.85 (95% CI: 1.37-5.93, P = 0.005) for OS and PFS, respectively. Regarding increased AST or ALT, the HRs were 6.68 (95% CI: 3.22-13.84, P < 0.001) and 3.54 (95% CI: 1.83-6.86, P < 0.001) for OS and PFS, respectively. Contrarily, the OS was significantly longer in patients with proteinuria (HR: 0.46 [95% CI: 0.23-0.92], P = 0.027). Multivariate analysis confirmed that proteinuria (HR: 0.53 [95% CI: 0.25-0.98], P = 0.044) and increased AST or ALT (HR: 6.679 [95% CI: 3.223-13.84], P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for a shorter OS. Furthermore, analysis limited to cases who completed at least 4 cycles confirmed that increased AST or ALT and proteinuria were negative and positive factors for OS, respectively. In the real-world setting, increased AST or ALT and bilirubin level during Atezo/Bev treatment were found to have a negative impact on PFS and OS, whereas proteinuria had a positive impact on OS.

Pivotal role for S-nitrosylation of DNA methyltransferase 3B in epigenetic regulation of tumorigenesis.

DNA methyltransferases (DNMTs) catalyze methylation at the C5 position of cytosine with S-adenosyl-L-methionine. Methylation regulates gene expression, serving a variety of physiological and pathophysiological roles. The chemical mechanisms regulating DNMT enzymatic activity, however, are not fully elucidated. Here, we show that protein S-nitrosylation of a cysteine residue in DNMT3B attenuates DNMT3B enzymatic activity and consequent aberrant upregulation of gene expression. These genes include Cyclin D2 (Ccnd2), which is required for neoplastic cell proliferation in some tumor types. In cell-based and in vivo cancer models, only DNMT3B enzymatic activity, and not DNMT1 or DNMT3A, affects Ccnd2 expression. Using structure-based virtual screening, we discovered chemical compounds that specifically inhibit S-nitrosylation without directly affecting DNMT3B enzymatic activity. The lead compound, designated DBIC, inhibits S-nitrosylation of DNMT3B at low concentrations (IC50 ≤ 100 nM). Treatment with DBIC prevents nitric oxide (NO)-induced conversion of human colonic adenoma to adenocarcinoma in vitro. Additionally, in vivo treatment with DBIC strongly attenuates tumor development in a mouse model of carcinogenesis triggered by inflammation-induced generation of NO. Our results demonstrate that de novo DNA methylation mediated by DNMT3B is regulated by NO, and DBIC protects against tumor formation by preventing aberrant S-nitrosylation of DNMT3B.

Evolutional transition of HBV genome during the persistent infection determined by single-molecule real-time sequencing.

BACKGROUND: Although HBV infection is a serious health issue worldwide, the landscape of HBV genome dynamics in the host has not yet been clarified. This study aimed to determine the continuous genome sequence of each HBV clone using a single-molecule real-time sequencing platform, and clarify the dynamics of structural abnormalities during persistent HBV infection without antiviral therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Twenty-five serum specimens were collected from 10 untreated HBV-infected patients. Continuous whole-genome sequencing of each clone was performed using a PacBio Sequel sequencer; the relationship between genomic variations and clinical information was analyzed. The diversity and phylogeny of the viral clones with structural variations were also analyzed. RESULTS: The whole-genome sequences of 797,352 HBV clones were determined. The deletion was the most common structural abnormality and concentrated in the preS/S and C regions. Hepatitis B e antibody (anti-HBe)-negative samples or samples with high alanine aminotransferase levels have significantly diverse deletions than anti-HBe-positive samples or samples with low alanine aminotransferase levels. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated that various defective and full-length clones evolve independently and form diverse viral populations. CONCLUSIONS: Single-molecule real-time long-read sequencing revealed the dynamics of genomic quasispecies during the natural course of chronic HBV infections. Defective viral clones are prone to emerge under the condition of active hepatitis, and several types of defective variants can evolve independently of the viral clones with the full-length genome.

Outcome of untreated low-level viremia versus antiviral therapy-induced or spontaneous undetectable HBV-DNA in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Comparative outcomes of HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis with low-level viremia (LLV) versus maintained virological response (MVR) are unclear. We conducted a large, multiethnic, multicenter study to examine the natural history of LLV versus MVR in compensated cirrhosis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We enrolled patients with HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis (n=2316) from 19 hospitals in South Korea, Singapore, and Japan. We defined the LLV group as untreated patients with ≥1 detectable serum HBV-DNA (20-2000 IU/mL), Spontaneous-MVR group as untreated patients with spontaneously achieved MVR, and antiviral therapy (AVT)-MVR group as patients achieving AVT-induced MVR. Study end points were HCC or hepatic decompensation. RESULTS: The annual HCC incidence was 2.7/100 person-years (PYs), 2.6/100 PYs, and 3.3/100 PYs for LLV (n=742), Spontaneous-MVR (n=333), and AVT-MVR (n=1241) groups, respectively ( p = 0.81 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and p = 0.37 between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). Similarly, the annual decompensation incidence was 1.6/100 PYs, 1.9/100 PYs, and 1.6/100 PYs for LLV, Spontaneous-MVR, and AVT-MVR groups, respectively ( p = 0.40 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and p = 0.83 between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). Multivariable analyses determined that HCC and decompensation risks in the LLV group were comparable to those with Spontaneous-MVR and AVT-MVR groups (all p >0.05). Propensity score matching also reproduced similar results for HCC and decompensation risks (all p >0.05 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). CONCLUSIONS: Untreated LLV in HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis is not associated with increased risk of disease progression compared with Spontaneous-MVR and AVT-MVR. These data have important implications for practice and further research.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting progression and survival outcomes after atezolizumab-bevacizumab treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: We investigated pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting survival outcomes of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determined the predictive ability of combined liver reserve-NLR. METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter study enrolled 242 patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for unresectable HCC. Pretreatment NLR <2.56 was designated as the "low group" and NLR ≥2.56 as the "high group" (120 and 122 patients, respectively). Propensity score-matched analysis was undertaken between the low and high groups. RESULTS: In this cohort, the objective response and disease control rates were 20% and 72.5%, respectively, in the low group and 19.6% and 72.9%, respectively, in the high group. After matching, median progression-free survival (PFS) time was 283 and 167 days in the low and high groups, respectively (p = 0.022). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥2.56 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-2.28; p = 0.028), modified albumin-bilirubin index (mALBI) grade 2b or 3 (HR 1.55; 95% CI, 1.05-2.29; p = 0.025), and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II ≥ 400 (HR 2.03; 95% CI, 1.36-3.02; p = 0.001) were significantly associated with PFS in univariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model. In cases involving mALBI grade 1 or 2a (n = 131), the median PFS time was not reached in the low group, whereas it was 210 days in the high group (p = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment NLR is a simple tool for routine measurement in clinical practice. It can predict PFS in patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, especially mALBI grade 1 or 2a.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma at baseline and 1 year after initiation of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy for chronic hepatitis B.

Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) cannot completely suppress the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development in naïve CHB patients treated with current NA. Patients receiving NA (n = 905) were recruited retrospectively from the 17 hospitals of the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group. All treatment-naïve patients had been receiving current NA continuously for more than 1 year until the end of the follow-up. We analyzed the accuracy of predictive risk score using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was significantly improved by NA therapy (-0.171 ± 0.396; p < 0.001 at Week 48). A total of 72 (8.0%) patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 6.2 (1.03-15.7) years. An independent predictive factor of HCC development was older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet counts at baseline and ALBI score, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 1 year after NA therapy according to multivariate analysis. The accuracy was assessed using the PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, aMAP, APA-B, and REAL-B scores that included these factors. Discrimination was generally acceptable for these models. aMAP and REAL-B demonstrated high discrimination with 0.866/0.862 and 0.833/0.859 for 3- and 5-year prediction from the status of 1 year after NA therapy, respectively. Baseline age and platelet count, as well as ALBI and AFP one year after NA, were useful for stratifying carcinogenesis risk. The aMAP and REAL-B scores were validated with high accuracy in Japanese CHB patients.

Inflammatory prognostic factors in advanced or recurrent esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab.

BACKGROUND: In Japan, nivolumab administration is the standard treatment for patients with unresectable advanced or recurrent esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who are refractory or intolerant to fluoropyrimidines and platinum-based chemotherapy. We determined if inflammatory prognostic factors are useful in patients with ESCC treated with nivolumab monotherapy. METHODS: The clinical data of patients with ESCC treated with nivolumab monotherapy as the second- or later-line treatment were retrospectively analyzed. Neutrophil/lymphocyte, platelet/lymphocyte, and C-reactive protein/albumin ratios (CAR); prognostic index; and prognostic nutritional index were investigated. Cut-off values for each factor were determined according to overall survival using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: During January 2017-June 2021, 93 consecutive patients with ESCC were enrolled from five institutions (median age, 70 years; male, 77%). With a median follow-up period of 9.1 (range, 1.0-34.7) months, the median overall and progression-free survival were 12.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.0-16.6) and 4.0 (95% CI, 2.6-5.4) months, respectively. Of five inflammatory prognostic factors, the cut-off value for CAR was 0.62; prognosis was significantly longer in those with CAR < 0.62 (hazard ratio, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.67; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Inflammatory prognostic factors were useful in predicting prognosis for ESCC patients pretreated with nivolumab, especially for those with CAR < 0.62, suggesting that CAR adequately reflects prognosis.

Optimal threshold of alpha-fetoprotein response in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab.

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response (relative decline in AFP) is associated with imaging response evaluated by response evaluation criteria in solid tumors ver1.1 (RECIST) and survival in treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the optimal threshold of AFP response is still unknown, especially in atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) treatment. In this prospective multicenter study, we aimed to investigate an optimal threshold of AFP response in Atez/Bev treatment. Out of 284 patients with unresectable HCC who were treated with Atez/Bev, 91 patients with AFP ≥ 10 ng/ml were enrolled in the multicenter study. We investigated the relationship between various AFP response thresholds (relative decline ≥ 20%, ≥ 50%, and ≥ 75%) and treatment response and progression-free survival (PFS). An AFP relative decrease of ≥ 50% was associated with an overall response rate (ORR) with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 5.7 (1.9-17). Disease control rate (DCR) was associated with an AFP relative decrease of ≥ 20%, with a 100% positive predictive value and a 52.0% sensitivity. AFP relative decreases of ≥ 50% and ≥ 20% were significantly associated with PFS with a hazard ratio (HR) of 5.60 (95% CI: 1.6-19, p = 0.006) and a HR of 4.44 (95% CI: 1.9-10, p < 0.001), respectively. AFP response of ≥ 50% and ≥ 20% were related to ORR and DCR, respectively, and both of these responses were also associated with PFS. AFP can be used as a real-time monitor during Atez/Bev treatment and is helpful for treatment optimization.