How robust are recommended waiting times to pacing after cardiac surgery that are derived from observational data?

AIMS: For bradycardic patients after cardiac surgery, it is unknown how long to wait before implanting a permanent pacemaker (PPM). Current recommendations vary and are based on observational studies. This study aims to examine why this variation may exist. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted first a study of patients in our institution and second a systematic review of studies examining conduction disturbance and pacing after cardiac surgery. Of 5849 operations over a 6-year period, 103 (1.8%) patients required PPM implantation. Only pacing dependence at implant and time from surgery to implant were associated with 30-day pacing dependence. The only predictor of regression of pacing dependence was time from surgery to implant. We then applied the conventional procedure of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, seeking an optimal time point for decision-making. This suggested the optimal waiting time was 12.5 days for predicting pacing dependence at 30 days for all patients (area under the ROC curve (AUC) 0.620, P = 0.031) and for predicting regression of pacing dependence in patients who were pacing-dependent at implant (AUC 0.769, P < 0.001). However, our systematic review showed that recommended optimal decision-making time points were strongly correlated with the average implant time point of those individual studies (R = 0.96, P < 0.001). We further conducted modelling which revealed that in any such study, the ROC method is strongly biased to indicate a value near to the median time to implant as optimal. CONCLUSION: When commonly used automated statistical methods are applied to observational data with the aim of defining the optimal time to pacing after cardiac surgery, the suggested answer is likely to be similar to the average time to pacing in that cohort.

Variation in optimal hemodynamic atrio-ventricular delay of biventricular pacing with different endocardial left ventricular lead locations using precision hemodynamics.

INTRODUCTION: It is not known whether the optimal atrioventricular (AVopt ) delay varies between left ventricular (LV) pacing site during endocardial biventricular pacing (BiVP) and may therefore needs consideration. METHODS: We assessed the hemodynamic AVopt in patients with chronic heart failure undergoing endocardial LV lead implantation. AVopt was assessed during atrio-BiVP with a "roving LV lead." Up to four locations were studied: mid-lateral wall, mid-septum (or a close alternative), site of greatest hemodynamic improvement, and LV lead implant site. The AVopt was compared to a fixed AV delay of 180 ms. RESULTS: Seventeen patients were included (12 male, aged 66.5 ± 12.8 years, ejection fraction 26 ± 7%, 16 left bundle branch block or high percentage of right ventricular pacing [RVP], QRS duration 167 ± 27 ms). In most locations (62/63), AVopt increased systolic blood pressure during BiVP compared with RVP (relative improvement 6 mmHg, interquartile range [IQR] 4-9 mmHg). Compared to a fixed AV delay, the hemodynamic improvement at AVopt was higher (1 mmHg, IQR 0.2-2.6 mmHg, p < .001). Within most patients (16/17), we observed a difference in AVopt between pacing sites (median paced AVopt 209 ms, IQR 117-250). Within this range, the hemodynamic impact of these differences was small (median loss 0.6 mmHg, IQR 0.1-2.6 mmHg). CONCLUSION: Within a patient, different endocardial LV lead locations have slightly different hemodynamic AVopt which are superior to a fixed AV delay. The hemodynamic consequence of applying an optimum from a different lead location is small.

Techniques to aid prediction of pacing dependence at 30 days in patients requiring pacemaker implantation after cardiac surgery.

Permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation occurs in up to 5 % of patients after cardiac surgery but there is little consensus on how long to wait between surgery and PPM insertion. Predicting the likelihood of a patient being pacing dependent 30 days after implant can aid with this timing decision and avoid unnecessary observation time waiting for intrinsic conduction to recover. In this paper, we introduce a new approach for the prediction of PPM dependency at 30 days after implant in patients who have undergone recent cardiac surgery. The aim is to create an automatic detection model able to support clinicians in the decision-making process. We first applied Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and Bayesian Networks (BN) to the dataset, to balance the inherently imbalanced data and create additional synthetic data respectively. The six resultant datasets were then used to train four different classifiers to predict pacing dependence at 30 days, all using the same testing set. The Bagged Trees classifier achieved the best results, reaching an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 90 % in the train phase, and 83 % in the test phase. The overall classification performance was clearly enhanced when using SMOTE and synthetic data created with BN to create a combined and balanced dataset. This technique could be of great use in answering clinical questions where the original dataset is imbalanced.

Coronary vasomotor and blood flow responses to isoflavone-intact soya protein in subjects with coronary heart disease or risk factors for coronary heart disease.

Results in animals suggest favourable coronary vasomotor actions of isoflavones; however, the effects of isoflavones on the human coronary circulation have not been determined. In the present study, we therefore investigated the effects of short-term isoflavone-intact soya protein ingestion on basal coronary arterial tone and stimulated vasoreactivity and blood flow in patients with CHD (coronary heart disease) or risk factors for CHD. Seventy-one subjects were randomized, double-blind, to isoflavone-intact soya protein [active; n=33, aged 58+/-8 years (mean+/-S.D.)] or isoflavone-free placebo (n=38, aged 61+/-8 years) for 5 days prior to coronary angiography. In 25 of these subjects, stimulated coronary blood flow was calculated from flow velocity, measured using intracoronary Doppler and coronary luminal diameter before and after intracoronary adenosine, ACh (acetylcholine) and ISDN (isosorbide dinitrate) infusions. Basal and stimulated coronary artery luminal diameters were measured using quantitative coronary angiography. Serum concentrations of the isoflavones genistein, daidzein and equol were increased by active treatment (P<0.001, P<0.001 and P=0.03 respectively). Basal mean luminal diameter was not significantly different between groups (active compared with placebo: 2.9+/-0.7 compared with 2.73+/-0.44 mm, P=0.31). There was no difference in luminal diameter, flow velocity and volume flow responses to adenosine, ACh or ISDN between groups. Active supplement had no effect on basal coronary artery tone or stimulated coronary vasoreactivity or blood flow compared with placebo. Our results suggest that short-term consumption of isoflavone-intact soya protein is neither harmful nor beneficial to the coronary circulation of humans with CHD or risk factors for CHD. These results are consistent with recent cautions placed on the purported health benefits of plant sterols.

Regression of dilated-hypokinetic hypertrophic cardiomyopathy by biventricular cardiac pacing.

The evolution of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) towards dilatation and hypokinesis is an increasingly recognized complication with a high incidence of adverse outcomes, including sudden cardiac death, requiring defibrillator implantation and cardiac transplantation. It is generally regarded as the irreversible 'burnt-out' end-stage manifestation of HCM. We report one of the first cases of profound regression of the dilated-hypokinetic state by the application of biventricular pacing and cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). Reviewing the literature on the role of pacing in HCM and the energetic rationale for CRT in HCM prompts us to suggest that further systematic studies are needed urgently to assess the role of CRT in HCM variants.

Non-anastomotic avulsion of a left internal mammary artery graft--a rare complication of minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To describe a rare complication of minimally invasive coronary artery bypass surgery. METHOD: Case report. RESULTS: We present a 72-year-old patient with a left anterior descending artery stenosis who underwent elective minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass (MIDCAB) surgery. Three months post-operatively he developed an anterior chest wall haematoma with electrocardiographic and enzyme evidence of myocardial ischaemia, though without haemodynamic embarrassment. Surgical exploration revealed non-anastomotic avulsion of the LIMA graft, which was bleeding freely into the left hemithorax. CONCLUSIONS: Minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass surgery is now widely practised. Post-operative interruption of the left internal mammary artery graft is uncommon and avulsion of the graft proximal to the anastomosis with the left anterior descending artery has only been described in the literature on three occasions. This complication has been reported once in the setting of conventional bypass surgery and twice in the setting of minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass surgery. In all of these cases, abrupt graft failure resulted in significant haemodynamic and/or ischaemic compromise, and all occurred within two weeks of surgery. Clinicians should be reminded of this rare though potentially catastrophic complication of MIDCAB surgery.

Differential response of coronary collateral channels to atrial pacing and balloon occlusion at angioplasty.

BACKGROUND: Collateral channels can protect from infarction, even in the presence of a total or sub-total occlusion. Acute re-occlusion following restoration of flow may still lead to ischaemia or infarction. It is unclear whether collaterals respond differently to tachycardia-induced stress and balloon inflation. This study compared the response of collateral-dependent viable myocardium to repetitive atrial pacing with the response to multiple balloon occlusions during percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA). METHODS AND RESULTS: Fifteen patients undergoing elective single vessel PTCA with well-developed collateral channels supplying the target vessel were recruited. Patients underwent two periods of incremental atrial pacing (P(1); P(2)) followed by two 90-s balloon inflations (I(1); I(2)). Collateral flow velocity was assessed by Doppler flow wire across the target lesion. Evidence of ischaemia was obtained from monitoring of surface ST-segments and by chest pain scores recorded on a visual analogue scale. Retrograde and 'aggregate' flow velocities were significantly lower during I(1) and I(2) than either P(1) or P(2). Reduction in flow velocity was most marked during I(1) compared with P(1) or P(2). Chest pain score was lower during P(2) than P(1) (3.8 +/- 3.5 versus 5.5 +/- 3.0, P < 0.02), although flow velocity was unchanged. CONCLUSION: Collateral flow velocity is significantly higher during tachycardia-induced stress than balloon occlusion. Restoration of antegrade flow by balloon inflation results in a further reduction in flow during a second inflation, suggesting a functional down-regulation of the collateral channels. Ischaemic symptoms are attenuated with repetitive pacing independent of collateral flow, suggesting an additional preconditioning response.

Do clinical and angiographic parameters predict failure of medical therapy in patients suitable for coronary angioplasty?

AIMS: Recent studies have suggested that patients with coronary disease suitable for angioplasty have an equally good outcome with medical therapy if clinically stable. Complex lesion morphology may predict acute events without intervention and stenosis severity influences the degree of collateralisation. This study was designed to assess the influence of these factors on clinical outcome. METHODS AND RESULTS: A retrospective review of patients suitable for angioplasty who were randomised to initial medical therapy as part of a multicentre study. Angiograms were reviewed for lesion characteristics, TIMI flow grade, and degree of collateralisation. Angiograms were available on 79 patients (13 female, 66 male). Mean age was 54.8 years (range 43-68) in the group crossing-over to revascularisation, and 58.4 (range 37-78) in the group who did not (P=ns). Seventeen patients crossed-over (two to CABG, 15 to PTCA) at 5.4 months (range 0-10) after initial angiography. Disease progression had occurred in 10/17 patients (58.8%), three of whom developed a new occlusion. Collateralisation was more likely in smokers, independent of lesion severity (P<0.05). Time to cross-over was not influenced by progression of disease. Crossing-over was not affected by age, diabetic status, cholesterol level, vessel involved, lesion severity, TIMI flow, lesion morphology, collateralisation, or the number of vessels diseased, but was more likely in females (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: This group of patients generally does well with medical therapy. Whilst the numbers are relatively small, there does not appear to be any reliable prospective marker, including the presence of spontaneous collateral channels on diagnostic angiography, to indicate which patients will fail medical therapy and require revascularisation.

Time course and extent of collateral channel recruitment during coronary angioplasty.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the extent and timing of recruitment of collateral channels during coronary angioplasty in patients without spontaneous collaterals at diagnostic angiography. SETTING: The extent of collateral channel recruitment during coronary angioplasty is variable and its contribution to myocardial protection is not well established. The functional significance of collaterals recruited during balloon occlusion remains in question. PATIENTS: Collateral channels were assessed in 16 patients by contralateral injection at 30, 60 and 90 s into each of four 90 s inflations and by a 0.014 " Doppler guide wire distal to the lesion. RESULTS: Angiographic collateral recruitment was evident in 11 out of 16 patients (71%), but in only four (24%) by intracoronary Doppler. Grade I collaterals were present in seven patients, grade II in three and grade III in two. Collaterals were evident angiographically by 30 s in 10 out of 11 patients, with no progressive recruitment during subsequent inflations. In the four patients with Doppler evidence of collateral flow there were no differences in any flow velocity parameters with successive inflations. There was no difference in either maximum ST segment shift or time to 2 mm ST segment elevation between successive inflations. CONCLUSIONS: Collateral channel recruitment is variable between patients and appears maximal early in the first inflation. The lack of incremental recruitment of collaterals together with low or absent evidence of flow by Doppler wire suggests that these channels do not make a major contribution to myocardial protection in this setting.