Uncertainty in the results from oral repeated dose toxicity tests: Impact on regulatory classifications.

The Lowest Observed (Adverse) Effect Level (LO(A)EL) values are point-of-departure (PoD) values that quantify repeat dose toxicity (RDT). Here, the uncertainty in the regulatory classification of these PoDs is investigated. In the application stage, the dose-response was approximated for a large set of series, giving an account of the possible presence of a hormesis zone. The minimal effect dose (MED) or dose was computed, and the ratio MED/LO(A)EL was used to represent the two components of the experimental uncertainty. The uncertainty estimations were calculated for any combination of gender and reported examination item. Subsequently, how this uncertainty affects the possible classifications was analyzed, and the percentage of the chemicals receiving ambiguous classification was determined. It was shown that more than 40% of the investigated chemicals cannot be classified unambiguously in the Globally Harmonized System (GHS) classification scheme and bear a potential for misclassification when a regulatory decision is based on a single LO(A)EL value. A table containing grey zones for different risk levels and a table with GHS classification distributions for various LO(A)EL values were prepared to facilitate the use of the RDT uncertainty in the practice.

Estimating uncertainty in LLNA EC3 data and its impact on regulatory classifications.

The murine Local Lymph Node Assay (LLNA) is a test that produces numerical results (EC3 values) quantifying the sensitization potency of chemicals. These results are broadly used in toxicology and serve as a basis for various classifications, which determine subsequent regulatory decisions. The continuing interest in LLNA data and the diminished likelihood of new experimental EC3 data being generated sparked this investigation of uncertainty. Instead of using the Gaussian distribution as a default choice for assessing variability in a data set, two strictly positive distributions were proposed and their performance over the available experimental EC3 values was tested. In the application stage, how the uncertainty in EC3 values affects the possible classifications was analyzed, and the percentage of the chemicals receiving ambiguous classification was determined. It was shown that this percentage is high, which increases the risk of improper classification. Two approaches were suggested in regulatory practice to address the uncertainty in the EC3 data: the approaches based on "grey zones" and the classification distribution. If a chemical cannot be classified unambiguously, the latter appears to be an acceptable means to assess the level of sensitization potency of chemicals and helps provide better regulatory decisions.

Selection of Representative Constituents for Unknown, Variable, Complex, or Biological Origin Substance Assessment Based on Hierarchical Clustering.

Many of the newly produced and registered substances are complex mixtures or substances of unknown or variable composition, complex reaction products, and biological materials (UVCBs). The latter often consist of a large number of constituents, some of them difficult-to-identify constituents, which complicates their (eco)toxicological assessment. In the present study, through a series of examples, different scenarios for selection of representatives via hierarchical clustering of UVCB constituents are exemplified. Hierarchical clustering allows grouping of the individual chemicals into small sets, where the constituents are similar to each other with respect to more than one criterion. To this end, various similarity criteria and approaches for selection of representatives are developed and analyzed. Two types of selection are addressed: (1) selection of the most "conservative" constituents, which could be also used to support prioritization of UVCBs for evaluation, and (2) obtaining of a small set of chemical representatives that covers the structural and metabolic diversity of the whole target UVCBs or a mixture that can then be evaluated for their environmental and (eco)toxicological properties. The first step is to generate all plausible UVCB or mixture constituents. It was found that the appropriate approach for selecting representative constituents depends on the target endpoint and physicochemical parameters affecting the endpoint of interest. Environ Toxicol Chem 2021;40:3205-3218. © 2021 SETAC.

Automated read-across workflow for predicting acute oral toxicity: I. The decision scheme in the QSAR toolbox.

A decision-scheme outlining the steps for identifying the appropriate chemical category and subsequently appropriate tested source analog(s) for data gap filling of a target chemical by read-across is described. The primary features used in the grouping of the target chemical with source analogues within a database of 10,039 discrete organic substances include reactivity mechanisms associated with protein interactions and specific-acute-oral-toxicity-related mechanisms (e.g., mitochondrial uncoupling). Additionally, the grouping of chemicals making use of the in vivo rat metabolic simulator and neutral hydrolysis. Subsequently, a series of structure-based profilers are used to narrow the group to the most similar analogues. The scheme is implemented in the OECD QSAR Toolbox, so it automatically predicts acute oral toxicity as the rat oral LD50 value in log [1/mol/kg]. It was demonstrated that due to the inherent variability in experimental data, classification distribution should be employed as more adequate in comparison to the exact classification. It was proved that the predictions falling in the adjacent GSH categories to the experimentally-stated ones are acceptable given the variation in experimental data. The model performance estimated by adjacent accuracy was found to be 0.89 and 0.54 while based on R2. The mechanistic and predictive coverages were >0.85.

Mechanistic relationship between biodegradation and bioaccumulation. Practical outcomes.

According to the REACH Regulation, for all substances manufactured or imported in amounts of 10 or more tons per year, that are not exempted from the registration requirement, a Chemical Safety Assessment (CSA) must be conducted. According to CSA criteria, for these substances persistent, bioaccumulative and toxic (PBT), and very persistent and very bioaccumulative (vPvB) assessment is requested. In order to reduce the number of applications of the expensive bioaccumulation test it seems useful to search thresholds for other related parameters above which no bioaccumulation is observed. Given the known relationship between ready biodegradability and bioaccumulation, one such parameter is biodegradation. This article addresses this relationship in searching for BOD threshold above which no vB and B chemicals could be observed. It was found that the regulatory criteria for persistency could be used for identification of not vB and B chemicals. In addition, fish liver metabolism is determined as the most significant factor in reducing of maximum bioaccumulation potential of the chemicals. It was found that parameters associated with the models simulating fish metabolism could be also used for identification of not vB and B chemicals.

The implementation of RAAF in the OECD QSAR Toolbox.

The Read-Across Assessment Framework (RAAF) was developed by the European Chemicals Agency (ECHA) as an internal tool providing a framework for a consistent, structured and transparent assessment of grouping of chemicals and read-across. Following a RAAF-based evaluation, also developers and users of read-across predictions outside ECHA can judge whether their read-across rationale is sufficiently robust from a regulatory perspective. The aim of this paper is to describe the implementation of RAAF functionalities in the OECD QSAR Toolbox report. These can be activated in the prediction report after performing a readacross prediction. Once the user manually selects the appropriate scenario, the RAAF assessment elements appear and are automatically aligned with the suitable category elements of the Toolbox report. Subsequently, these are evaluated as part of the category consistency assessment functionality. The implementation of the RAAF functionality is illustrated in practice with two examples.

UVCB substances II: Development of an endpoint-nonspecific procedure for selection of computationally generated representative constituents.

Substances of unknown or variable composition, complex reaction products, and biological materials (UVCBs) comprise approximately 40% of all registered substances submitted to the European Chemicals Agency. One of the main characteristics of UVCBs is that they have no unique representation. Industry scientists who are part of the scientific community have been working with academics and consultants to address the problem of a lack of a defined structural description. It has been acknowledged that one of the obstacles is the large number of possible structural isomers. We have recently proposed and published a methodology, based on the generic substance identifiers, to address this issue. The methodology allows for the coding of constituents, their generation, calculation of important characteristics of UVCB constituents, and selection of representative constituents. In the present study we introduce a statistical selection of the minimum number of generated constituents representing a UVCB. This representative sample was selected in such a way that the structural variability and the properties of concern of the UVCB were approximated within a predefined tolerable error. The aim of the statistical selection was to enable the assessment of UVCB substances by decreasing the number of constituents that need to be evaluated. The procedure, which was shown to be endpoint-independent, was validated theoretically and on real case studies. Environ Toxicol Chem 2019;38:682-694. © 2019 SETAC.

Validation of the performance of TIMES genotoxicity models with EFSA pesticide data.

This study validates the performance of the TIssue MEtabolism Simulator (TIMES) genotoxicity models with data on pesticide chemicals included in a recently released European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) genotoxicity database. The EFSA database is biased towards negative chemicals. A comparison of substances included in the EFSA database and TIMES genotoxicity databases showed that the majority of the EFSA pesticides is not included in the TIMES genotoxicity databases and, thus, out of the applicability domains of the current TIMES models. However, the EFSA genotoxicity database provides an opportunity to expand the TIMES models. Where there is overlap of substances, consistency between EFSA and TIMES databases for the chemicals with documented data is found to be high (>80%) with respect to the Ames data and lower than the Ames data with respect to chromosomal aberration (CA) and mouse lymphoma assay (MLA) data. No conclusion for consistency with respect to micronucleus test and comet genotoxicity data can be provided due to the limited number of overlapping substances. Specificity of the models is important, given the prevalence of negative genotoxicity data in the EFSA database. High specificity (>80%) is obtained for prediction of the EFSA pesticides with Ames data. Moreover, this high specificity of the TIMES Ames models is not dependant on pesticides being within the domains. Specificity of the TIMES CA and MLA models is lower (>40%) to pesticides for out of domain. Sensitivity of TIMES in vitro and in vivo models cannot be properly estimated due to the small number of positive chemicals in the EFSA database.

Improvement of quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) tools for predicting Ames mutagenicity: outcomes of the Ames/QSAR International Challenge Project.

The International Conference on Harmonization (ICH) M7 guideline allows the use of in silico approaches for predicting Ames mutagenicity for the initial assessment of impurities in pharmaceuticals. This is the first international guideline that addresses the use of quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models in lieu of actual toxicological studies for human health assessment. Therefore, QSAR models for Ames mutagenicity now require higher predictive power for identifying mutagenic chemicals. To increase the predictive power of QSAR models, larger experimental datasets from reliable sources are required. The Division of Genetics and Mutagenesis, National Institute of Health Sciences (DGM/NIHS) of Japan recently established a unique proprietary Ames mutagenicity database containing 12140 new chemicals that have not been previously used for developing QSAR models. The DGM/NIHS provided this Ames database to QSAR vendors to validate and improve their QSAR tools. The Ames/QSAR International Challenge Project was initiated in 2014 with 12 QSAR vendors testing 17 QSAR tools against these compounds in three phases. We now present the final results. All tools were considerably improved by participation in this project. Most tools achieved >50% sensitivity (positive prediction among all Ames positives) and predictive power (accuracy) was as high as 80%, almost equivalent to the inter-laboratory reproducibility of Ames tests. To further increase the predictive power of QSAR tools, accumulation of additional Ames test data is required as well as re-evaluation of some previous Ames test results. Indeed, some Ames-positive or Ames-negative chemicals may have previously been incorrectly classified because of methodological weakness, resulting in false-positive or false-negative predictions by QSAR tools. These incorrect data hamper prediction and are a source of noise in the development of QSAR models. It is thus essential to establish a large benchmark database consisting only of well-validated Ames test results to build more accurate QSAR models.

Development of a Decision Tree for Mitochondrial Dysfunction: Uncoupling of Oxidative Phosphorylation.

Mitochondrial dysfunction is the result of a number of processes including the uncoupling of oxidative phosphorylation. This study outlines the development of a decision tree-based profiling scheme capable of assigning chemicals to one of six confidence-based categories. The decision tree is based on a set of structural alerts and physicochemical boundaries identified from a detailed study of the literature. The physicochemical boundaries define a chemical relationship with both log P and p Ka. The study also outlines how the decision tree can be used to profile databases through an analysis of the publically available databases in the OECD QSAR Toolbox. This analysis enabled a set of additional structural alerts to be identified that are of concern for protonophoric ability. The decision tree will be incorporated in the OECD QSAR Toolbox V4.3. The intended usage is to group the chemicals into categories of chronic human health and environmental toxicological end points.

The OECD QSAR Toolbox Starts Its Second Decade.

The OECD QSAR Toolbox is a computer software designed to make pragmatic qualitative and quantitative structure-activity relationship methods-based predictions of toxicity, including read-across, available to the user in a comprehensible and transparent manner. The Toolbox, provide information on chemicals in structure-searchable, standardized files that are associated with chemical and toxicity data to ensure that proper structural analogs can be identified. This chapter describes the advantages of the Toolbox, the aims, approach, and workflow of it, as well as reviews its history. Additionally, key functional elements of it use are explained and features new to Version 4.1 are reported. Lastly, the further development of the Toolbox, likely needed to transform it into a more comprehensive Chemical Management System, is considered.

The adverse outcome pathway for skin sensitisation: Moving closer to replacing animal testing.

This article outlines the work of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) that led to being jointly awarded the 2015 Lush Black Box Prize. The award-winning work centred on the development of 'The Adverse Outcome Pathway for Skin Sensitisation Initiated by Covalent Binding to Proteins'. This Adverse Outcome Pathway (AOP) has provided the mechanistic basis for the integration of skin sensitisation-related information. Recent developments in integrated approaches to testing and assessment, based on the AOP, are summarised. The impact of the AOP on regulatory policy and on the Three Rs are discussed. An overview of the next generation of the skin sensitisation AOP module in the OECD QSAR Toolbox, based on more-recent work at the Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, is also presented.

Integrated approach to testing and assessment for predicting rodent genotoxic carcinogenicity.

We investigated the performance of an integrated approach to testing and assessment (IATA), designed to cover different genotoxic mechanisms causing cancer and to replicate measured carcinogenicity data included in a new consolidated database. Genotoxic carcinogenicity was predicted based on positive results from at least two genotoxicity tests: one in vitro and one in vivo (which were associated with mutagenicity categories according to the Globally Harmonized System classification). Substances belonging to double positives mutagenicity categories were assigned to be genotoxic carcinogens. In turn, substances that were positive only in a single mutagenicity test were assigned to be mutagens. Chemicals not classified by the selected genotoxicity endpoints were assigned to be negative genotoxic carcinogens and subsequently evaluated for their capability to elicit non-genotoxic carcinogenicity. However, non-genotoxic carcinogenicity mechanisms were not currently included in the developed IATA. The IATA is docked to the OECD Toolbox and uses measured data for different genotoxicity endpoints when available. Alternatively, the system automatically provides predictions by SAR genotoxicity models using the OASIS Tissue Metabolism Simulator platform. When the developed IATA was tested against the consolidated database, its performance was found to be high, with sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 83%, when measured carcinogenicity data were used along with predictions falling within the models' applicability domains. Performance of the IATA would be slightly changed to a sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 72% when the evaluation by non-genotoxic carcinogenicity mechanisms was taken into account. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

UVCB substances: methodology for structural description and application to fate and hazard assessment.

Substances of unknown or variable composition, complex reaction products, or biological materials (UVCBs) have been conventionally described in generic terms. Commonly used substance identifiers are generic names of chemical classes, generic structural formulas, reaction steps, physical-chemical properties, or spectral data. Lack of well-defined structural information has significantly restricted in silico fate and hazard assessment of UVCB substances. A methodology for the structural description of UVCB substances has been developed that allows use of known identifiers for coding, generation, and selection of representative constituents. The developed formats, Generic Simplified Molecular-Input Line-Entry System (G SMILES) and Generic Graph (G Graph), address the need to code, generate, and select representative UVCB constituents; G SMILES is a SMILES-based single line notation coding fixed and variable structural features of UVCBs, whereas G Graph is based on a workflow paradigm that allows generation of constituents coded in G SMILES and end point-specific or nonspecific selection of representative constituents. Structural description of UVCB substances as afforded by the developed methodology is essential for in silico fate and hazard assessment. Data gap filling approaches such as read-across, trend analysis, or quantitative structure-activity relationship modeling can be applied to the generated constituents, and the results can be used to assess the substance as a whole. The methodology also advances the application of category-based data gap filling approaches to UVCB substances.

A feasibility study: Can information collected to classify for mutagenicity be informative in predicting carcinogenicity?

Carcinogenicity is a complex endpoint of high concern yet the rodent bioassay still used is costly to run in terms of time, money and animals. Therefore carcinogenicity has been the subject of many different efforts to both develop short-term tests and non-testing approaches capable of predicting genotoxic carcinogenic potential. In our previous publication (Mekenyan et al., 2012) we presented an in vitro-in vivo extrapolation workflow to help investigate the differences between in vitro and in vivo genotoxicity tests. The outcomes facilitated the development of new (Q)SAR models and for directing testing. Here we have refined this workflow by grouping specific tests together on the basis of their ability to detect DNA and/or protein damage at different levels of biological organization. This revised workflow, akin to an Integrated Approach to Testing and Assessment (IATA) informed by mechanistic understanding was helpful in rationalizing inconsistent study outcomes and categorizing a test set of carcinogens with mutagenicity data on the basis of regulatory mutagenicity classifications. Rodent genotoxic carcinogens were found to be correctly predicted with a high sensitivity (90-100%) and a low rate of false positives (3-10%). The insights derived are useful to consider when developing future (non-)testing approaches to address regulatory purposes.

The SOLUTIONS project: challenges and responses for present and future emerging pollutants in land and water resources management.

SOLUTIONS (2013 to 2018) is a European Union Seventh Framework Programme Project (EU-FP7). The project aims to deliver a conceptual framework to support the evidence-based development of environmental policies with regard to water quality. SOLUTIONS will develop the tools for the identification, prioritisation and assessment of those water contaminants that may pose a risk to ecosystems and human health. To this end, a new generation of chemical and effect-based monitoring tools is developed and integrated with a full set of exposure, effect and risk assessment models. SOLUTIONS attempts to address legacy, present and future contamination by integrating monitoring and modelling based approaches with scenarios on future developments in society, economy and technology and thus in contamination. The project follows a solutions-oriented approach by addressing major problems of water and chemicals management and by assessing abatement options. SOLUTIONS takes advantage of the access to the infrastructure necessary to investigate the large basins of the Danube and Rhine as well as relevant Mediterranean basins as case studies, and puts major efforts on stakeholder dialogue and support. Particularly, the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD) Common Implementation Strategy (CIS) working groups, International River Commissions, and water works associations are directly supported with consistent guidance for the early detection, identification, prioritisation, and abatement of chemicals in the water cycle. SOLUTIONS will give a specific emphasis on concepts and tools for the impact and risk assessment of complex mixtures of emerging pollutants, their metabolites and transformation products. Analytical and effect-based screening tools will be applied together with ecological assessment tools for the identification of toxicants and their impacts. The SOLUTIONS approach is expected to provide transparent and evidence-based candidates or River Basin Specific Pollutants in the case study basins and to assist future review of priority pollutants under the WFD as well as potential abatement options.

Towards AOP application--implementation of an integrated approach to testing and assessment (IATA) into a pipeline tool for skin sensitization.

Since the OECD published the Adverse Outcome Pathway (AOP) for skin sensitization, many efforts have focused on how to integrate and interpret nonstandard information generated for key events in a manner that can be practically useful for decision making. These types of frameworks are known as Integrated Approaches to Testing and Assessment (IATA). Here we have outlined an IATA for skin sensitization which focuses on existing information including non testing approaches such as QSAR and read-across. The IATA was implemented into a pipeline tool using OASIS technology to provide a means of systematically collating and compiling relevant information which could be used in an assessment of skin sensitization potential. A test set of 100 substances with available skin sensitization information was profiled using the pipeline IATA. In silico and in chemico profiling information alone was able to correctly predict skin sensitization potential, with a preliminary accuracy of 73.85%. Information from other relevant endpoints (e.g., Ames mutagenicity) was found to improve the accuracy (to 87.6%) when coupled with a reaction chemistry mechanistic understanding. This pipeline platform could be useful in the assessment of skin sensitization potential and marks a step change in how non testing approaches can be practically applied.

A mechanistic approach to modeling respiratory sensitization.

Chemical respiratory sensitization is an important occupational health problem which may lead to severely incapacitated human health, yet there are currently no validated or widely accepted models for identifying and characterizing the potential of a chemical to induce respiratory sensitization. This is in part due to the ongoing uncertainty about the immunological mechanisms through which respiratory sensitization may be acquired. Despite the lack of test method, regulations such as REACH still require an assessment of respiratory sensitization for risk assessment and/or for the purposes of classification and labeling. The REACH guidance describes an integrated evaluation strategy to characterize what information sources could be available to facilitate such an assessment. The components of this include a consideration of well-established structural alerts and existing data (whether it be derived from read-across, (quantitative) structure-activity relationships ((Q)SAR), in vivo studies etc.). There has been some progress in developing SARs as well as a handful of empirical QSARs. More recently, efforts have been focused on exploring whether the reaction chemistry mechanistic domains first characterized for skin sensitization are relevant for respiratory sensitization and to what extent modifications or refinements are needed to rationalize the differences between the two end points as far as their chemistry is concerned. This study has built upon the adverse outcome pathway (AOP) for skin sensitization that was developed and published by the OECD in 2012. We have structured a workflow to characterize the initiating events that are relevant in driving respiratory sensitization. OASIS pipeline technology was used to encode these events as components in a software platform to enable a prediction of respiratory sensitization potential to be made for new untested chemicals. This prediction platform could be useful in the assessment of respiratory sensitization potential or for grouping chemicals for subsequent read-across.

A comparative survey of chemistry-driven in silico methods to identify hazardous substances under REACH.

This paper presents an inventory of in silico screening tools to identify substance properties of concern under the European chemicals' legislation REACH. The objective is to support the selection and implementation of appropriate tools as building blocks within integrated testing strategies (ITS). The relevant concerns addressed are persistence, bioaccumulation potential, acute and long-term aquatic toxicity, PBT/vPvB properties ((very) persistent, (very) bioaccumulative, toxic), CMR (carcinogenicity, mutagenicity, reproductive toxicity), endocrine disruption and skin sensitisation. The inventory offers a comparative evaluation of methods with respect to the underlying algorithms (how does the method work?) and the applicability domains (when does the method work?) as well as their limitations (when does the method not work?). The inventory explicitly addresses the reliability of predictions of different in silico models for diverse chemicals by applicability domain considerations. The confidence in predictions can be greatly improved by consensus modelling that allows for taking conflicting results into account. The inventory is complemented by a brief discussion of socio-economic tools for assessing the potential efficiency gains of using in silico methods compared to traditional in vivo testing of chemical hazards.

What determines skin sensitization potency-myths, maybes and realities. Part 1. The 500 molecular weight cut-off.

BACKGROUND: It is widely accepted that there is a molecular weight (MW) cut-off of 500, such that single chemicals with MWs higher than 500 cannot be skin sensitizers. If true, this could serve as a useful principle for designing non-sensitizing chemicals. OBJECTIVES: To assess whether the 500 MW cut-off is a myth or a reality. METHODS: A database of 699 chemicals tested for skin sensitization in guinea pigs or mice was analysed to establish the number of tested chemicals with MW > 500, and to establish whether any of these were sensitizers. RESULTS: Only 13 (2%) of the 699 chemicals in the database have MW > 500. Of the 13 tested compounds with MW > 500 in the database, five are sensitizers and eight are non-sensitizers. CONCLUSIONS: The 500 MW cut-off for skin sensitization is a myth, probably derived from the widespread misconception that ability to efficiently penetrate the stratum corneum is a key determinant of sensitization potency. The scarcity of sensitizers with MW > 500 simply reflects the general scarcity of chemicals with MW > 500.