State Space Modeling of Event Count Time Series.

This paper proposes a class of algorithms for analyzing event count time series, based on state space modeling and Kalman filtering. While the dynamics of the state space model is kept Gaussian and linear, a nonlinear observation function is chosen. In order to estimate the states, an iterated extended Kalman filter is employed. Positive definiteness of covariance matrices is preserved by a square-root filtering approach, based on singular value decomposition. Non-negativity of the count data is ensured, either by an exponential observation function, or by a newly introduced "affinely distorted hyperbolic" observation function. The resulting algorithm is applied to time series of the daily number of seizures of drug-resistant epilepsy patients. This number may depend on dosages of simultaneously administered anti-epileptic drugs, their superposition effects, delay effects, and unknown factors, making the objective analysis of seizure counts time series arduous. For the purpose of validation, a simulation study is performed. The results of the time series analysis by state space modeling, using the dosages of the anti-epileptic drugs as external control inputs, provide a decision on the effect of the drugs in a particular patient, with respect to reducing or increasing the number of seizures.

Food Choices after Cognitive Load: An Affective Computing Approach.

Psychology and nutritional science research has highlighted the impact of negative emotions and cognitive load on calorie consumption behaviour using subjective questionnaires. Isolated studies in other domains objectively assess cognitive load without considering its effects on eating behaviour. This study aims to explore the potential for developing an integrated eating behaviour assistant system that incorporates cognitive load factors. Two experimental sessions were conducted using custom-developed experimentation software to induce different stimuli. During these sessions, we collected 30 h of physiological, food consumption, and affective states questionnaires data to automatically detect cognitive load and analyse its effect on food choice. Utilising grid search optimisation and leave-one-subject-out cross-validation, a support vector machine model achieved a mean classification accuracy of 85.12% for the two cognitive load tasks using eight relevant features. Statistical analysis was performed on calorie consumption and questionnaire data. Furthermore, 75% of the subjects with higher negative affect significantly increased consumption of specific foods after high-cognitive-load tasks. These findings offer insights into the intricate relationship between cognitive load, affective states, and food choice, paving the way for an eating behaviour assistant system to manage food choices during cognitive load. Future research should enhance system capabilities and explore real-world applications.

Online Learning for Wearable EEG-Based Emotion Classification.

Giving emotional intelligence to machines can facilitate the early detection and prediction of mental diseases and symptoms. Electroencephalography (EEG)-based emotion recognition is widely applied because it measures electrical correlates directly from the brain rather than indirect measurement of other physiological responses initiated by the brain. Therefore, we used non-invasive and portable EEG sensors to develop a real-time emotion classification pipeline. The pipeline trains different binary classifiers for Valence and Arousal dimensions from an incoming EEG data stream achieving a 23.9% (Arousal) and 25.8% (Valence) higher F1-Score on the state-of-art AMIGOS dataset than previous work. Afterward, the pipeline was applied to the curated dataset from 15 participants using two consumer-grade EEG devices while watching 16 short emotional videos in a controlled environment. Mean F1-Scores of 87% (Arousal) and 82% (Valence) were achieved for an immediate label setting. Additionally, the pipeline proved to be fast enough to achieve predictions in real-time in a live scenario with delayed labels while continuously being updated. The significant discrepancy from the readily available labels on the classification scores leads to future work to include more data. Thereafter, the pipeline is ready to be used for real-time applications of emotion classification.

SVD Square-root Iterated Extended Kalman Filter for Modeling of Epileptic Seizure Count Time Series with External Inputs.

In this paper a nonlinear filtering algorithm for count time series is developed that takes the non-negativity of the data into account and preserves positive definiteness of the covariance matrices of the model. For this purpose, a recently proposed variant of Kalman Filtering based on Singular Value Decomposition is incorporated into Iterative Extended Kalman Filtering, in order to estimate the states of a nonlinear state space model. The resulting algorithm is applied to the evaluation and design of therapies for patients suffering from Myoclonic Astatic Epilepsy, employing time series of daily seizure rate. The analysis provides a decision whether for a specific patient a particular anti-epileptic drug is increasing or reducing the seizure rate. Through a simulation study the proposed algorithm is validated. Additionally, for clinical data results obtained by the proposed algorithm are compared with the results from a Cox-Stuart trend test as well as with the visual assessment of experienced pediatric epileptologists.

Analysis of the effects of medication for the treatment of epilepsy by ensemble Iterative Extended Kalman filtering.

This paper proposes an objective methodology for the analysis of epileptic seizure count time series by developing a non-linear state space model. An iterative extended Kalman filter (IEKF) is employed for the estimation of the states of the non-linear state space model. In order to improve convergence of the IEKF, the recently proposed Levenberg-Marquardt variant of the IEKF is explored. As external inputs time-dependent dosages of several simultaneously administered anticonvulsants are included. The aim of the analysis is to decide whether each anticonvulsant decreases or increases the number of seizures per day. The performance of the analysis is analyzed for simulated data, as well as for real data from a patient suffering from myoclonic-astatic epilepsy.