Predictive factors of delayed viral clearance of asymptomatic Omicron-related COVID-19 screened positive in patients with cancer receiving active anticancer treatment.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to identify the predictors of delayed viral clearance in patients with cancer with asymptomatic COVID-19 when the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants prevailed in Hong Kong. METHODS: All patients with cancer who were attending radiation therapy for head and neck malignancies or systemic anticancer therapy saved their deep throat saliva or nasopharyngeal swabs at least twice weekly for SARS-CoV-2 screening between January 1 and April 30, 2022. The multivariate analyses identified predictors of delayed viral clearance (or slow recovery), defined as >21 days for the cycle threshold values rising to ≥30 or undetectable in two consecutive samples saved within 72 hours. Three machine learning algorithms evaluated the prediction performance of the predictors. RESULTS: A total of 200 (15%) of 1309 patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Age >65 years (P = 0.036), male sex (P = 0.003), high Charlson comorbidity index (P = 0.042), lung cancer (P = 0.018), immune checkpoint inhibitor (P = 0.036), and receipt of one or no dose of COVID-19 vaccine (P = 0.003) were significant predictors. The three machine learning algorithms revealed that the mean ± SD area-under-the-curve values predicting delayed viral clearance with the cut-off cycle threshold value ≥30 was 0.72 ± 0.11. CONCLUSION: We identified subgroups with delayed viral clearance that may benefit from targeted interventions.

Radiomic feature repeatability and its impact on prognostic model generalizability: A multi-institutional study on nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To investigate the radiomic feature (RF) repeatability via perturbation and its impact on cross-institutional prognostic model generalizability in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 286 and 183 NPC patients from two institutions were included for model training and validation. Perturbations with random translations and rotations were applied to contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CET1-w) MR images. RFs were extracted from primary tumor volume under a wide range of image filtering and discretization settings. RF repeatability was assessed by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), which was used to equally separate the RFs into low- and high-repeatable groups by the median value. After feature selection, multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were independently employed to develop and analyze prognostic models. Concordance index (C-index) and P-value from log-rank test were used to assess model performance. RESULTS: Most textural RFs from high-pass wavelet-filtered images were susceptible to image perturbations. It was more prominent when a smaller discretization bin number was used (e.g., 8, mean ICC = 0.69). Using high-repeatable RFs for model development yielded a significantly higher C-index (0.63) in the validation cohort than when only low-repeatable RFs were used (0.57, P = 0.024), suggesting higher model generalizability. Besides, significant risk stratification in the validation cohort was observed only when high-repeatable RFs were used (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Repeatability of RFs from high-pass wavelet-filtered CET1-w MR images of primary NPC tumor was poor, particularly when a smaller bin number was used. Exclusive use of high-repeatable RFs is suggested to safeguard model generalizability for wide-spreading clinical utilization.

Quantitative Spatial Characterization of Lymph Node Tumor for N Stage Improvement of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients.

This study aims to investigate the feasibility of improving the prognosis stratification of the N staging system of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) from quantitative spatial characterizations of metastatic lymph node (LN) for NPC in a multi-institutional setting. A total of 194 and 284 NPC patients were included from two local hospitals as the discovery and validation cohort. Spatial relationships between LN and the surrounding organs were quantified by both distance and angle histograms, followed by principal component analysis. Independent prognostic factors were identified and combined with the N stage into a new prognostic index by univariate and multivariate Cox regressions on disease-free survival (DFS). The new three-class risk stratification based on the constructed prognostic index demonstrated superior cross-institutional performance in DFS. The hazard ratios of the high-risk to low-risk group were 9.07 (p < 0.001) and 4.02 (p < 0.001) on training and validation, respectively, compared with 5.19 (p < 0.001) and 1.82 (p = 0.171) of N3 to N1. Our spatial characterizations of lymph node tumor anatomy improved the existing N-stage in NPC prognosis. Our quantitative approach may facilitate the discovery of new anatomical characteristics to improve patient staging in other diseases.

Impact of intravenous contrast used in computed tomography on radiation dose to carotid arteries and thyroid in intensity-modulated radiation therapy planning for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

The aim of this study was to investigate if intravenous contrast injection affected the radiation doses to carotid arteries and thyroid during intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) planning for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Thirty consecutive patients with NPC underwent plain computed tomography (CT) followed by repeated scanning after contrast injection. Carotid arteries (common, external, internal), thyroid, target volumes, and other organs-at-risk (OARs), as well as IMRT planning, were based on contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) images. All these structures and the IMRT plans were then copied and transferred to the non-contrast-enhanced CT (NCE-CT) images, and dose calculation without optimization was performed again. The radiation doses to the carotid arteries and the thyroid based on CE-CT and NCE-CT were then compared. Based on CE-CT, no statistical differences, despite minute numeric decreases, were noted in all dosimetric parameters (minimum, maximum, mean, median, D05, and D01) of the target volumes, the OARs, the carotid arteries, and the thyroid compared with NCE-CT. Our results suggested that compared with NCE-CT planning, CE-CT scanning should be performed during IMRT for better target and OAR delineation, without discernible change in radiation doses.

Prognostication of serial post-intensity-modulated radiation therapy undetectable plasma EBV DNA for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA titers have been used to monitor treatment response and provide prognostic information on survival for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the long-term prognostic role of pretreatment and posttreatment titers after radical contemporaneous radiation therapy remains uncertain. We recruited 260 evaluable patients with non-metastatic NPC treated with radical intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) with or without adjunct chemotherapy. Plasma EBV DNA titers at baseline and then 8 weeks and 6 months after IMRT were measured. Cox regression models were employed to identify interaction between post-IMRT 8th week and 6th month undetectable titers and 3-year survival endpoints. Concordance indices (Ct) from time-dependent receiver-operating characteristics (TDROC) were compared between patients with post-IMRT undetectable and those with detectable titers. After a median follow-up duration of 3.4 years (range 1.4-4.6 years), patients with post-IMRT 8th week and 6th month undetectable plasma EBV DNA titers enjoyed longer 3-year survival endpoints than those who had detectable titers at the same time points. Post-IMRT 8th week, and more significantly, post-IMRT 6th month undetectable plasma EBV DNA were the only significant prognostic factors of 3-year survival endpoints. Ct values for all 3-year survival endpoints for both post-IMRT 8th week and 6th month undetectable plasma EBV DNA were significantly higher in those with stage IVA-IVB diseases compared to stage I-III counterparts. Early post-IMRT undetectable plasma EBV DNA titers were prognostic of 3-year survival endpoints in patients with non-metastatic NPC. Intensified treatment should be further explored for patients with persistently detectable titers after IMRT.