Performance of Risk Scores in Predicting Infective Endocarditis in Patients with Staphylococcus aureus Bacteraemia in a Prospective Asian Cohort.

Background: Several risk scores have been derived to predict the risk of infective endocarditis (IE) amongst patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB), which helps to guide clinical management. Methods: We prospectively studied 634 patients admitted with SAB. The cohort was stratified into those with or without IE, and the PREDICT Day 1, Day 5 and VIRSTA scores were tabulated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curves were constructed to compare the performance of each score. Results: Of the 634 patients examined, 36 (5.7%) had IE. These patients were younger (51.6 ± 20.1 vs. 59.2 ± 18.0 years, p = 0.015), tended to have community acquisition of bacteraemia (41.7% vs. 17.9%, p < 0.001), and had persistent bacteraemia beyond 72 h (19.4% vs. 6.0%, p = 0.002). The VIRSTA score had the best performance in predicting IE (AUC 0.76, 95%CI 0.66-0.86) compared with PREDICT Day 1 and Day 5. A VIRSTA score of <3 had the best negative predictive value (97.5%), compared with PREDICT Day 1 (<4) and Day 5 (<2) (94.3% and 96.6%, respectively). Conclusions: Overall, the risk scores performed well in our Asian cohort. If applied, 23.5% of the cohort with a VIRSTA ≥ 3 would require TEE, and a score of <3 had an excellent negative predictive value.

Elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase aids prediction of mortality in Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia without underlying human immunodeficiency virus infection - Derivation of a clinical risk score.

Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP) is associated with significant mortality amongst patients without underlying human immunodeficiency virus infection (HIV). We sought to develop a risk score to predict mortality in this population. We reviewed patients with a presumed or confirmed PCP and a negative HIV test from 2006-2023. We constructed a multivariable model to identify parameters independently associated with mortality and the adjusted odds ratios were converted to weights to derive a risk score. Subsequently, we compared the performance of our score to the CURB-65 score by means of area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). In total, we examined 93 patients with PCP without HIV. Mortality was 31.2%. Risk factors for mortality included older age, male sex and high serum lactate dehydrogenase levels (LDH) and C-reactive protein levels. A risk score was derived comprising age> 65 years (2 points), male sex (2 points) and LDH> 770 U/L (3 points). Our risk score (AUC 0.71, 95%CI 0.60-0.82) performed better than the CURB-65 score (AUC 0.53, 95%CI 0.41-0.66). A low-risk score of 0-1 had excellent negative predictive value for mortality (97.5%). In conclusion, a risk score comprising age, sex and LDH can predict mortality in PCP without underlying HIV and help with prognostication.

Infectious etiologies of persistent and chronic diarrhea in Asian developing countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Infectious causes of diarrhea contribute significantly to morbidity in Asia. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of infectious etiologies of persistent and chronic diarrhea in Asian adults. Searches were performed on PubMed and Scopus for studies from January 1, 1970, to May 30, 2023. Sixteen studies were identified and included. The meta-analysis was conducted with the random-effects method, estimating the pooled prevalence of groups of infectious pathogens as causes of persistent and chronic diarrhea among Asian adults. The findings were highly heterogeneous and indicative of publication bias. The majority of studies were conducted on persons living with human immunodeficiency virus infection (PLHIV). The studies were predominantly from low-income and middle-income Asian countries. The most common cause was parasitic, with a pooled prevalence of 0.52 (95% confidence interval 0.28-0.65, I2 = 99%, Cochran's Q = 1027.44, P < 0.01), followed by bacterial, fungal, and viral causes, which were substantially rarer. Negative microbiological testing was also common, with a pooled prevalence for a negative test being 0.37 (95% confidence interval 0.17-0.52, I2 = 99%, Cochran's Q = 1027.44, P < 0.01). Subgroup analyses of studies conducted among PLHIV, from year 2000 and among those conducted in Southeast Asia showed a similar prevalence of parasitic causes of diarrhea. In conclusion, in Asian adults with persistent and chronic diarrhea, parasitic causes were most prevalent. However, the estimate of true prevalence is limited by significant heterogeneity among the available studies. More study in this field is required, especially examining PLHIV in the post-antiretroviral therapy era and from high-income countries.

Increased left ventricular remodelling index in paradoxical low-flow severe aortic stenosis with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction compared to normal-flow severe aortic stenosis.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with paradoxical low-flow (LF) severe aortic stenosis (AS) despite preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) appear distinct from normal-flow (NF) patients, showing worse prognosis, more concentric hypertrophy and smaller left ventricular (LV) cavities. The left ventricular remodelling index (LVRI) has been demonstrated to reliably discriminate between physiologically adapted athlete's heart and pathological LV remodelling. METHODS: We studied patients with index echocardiographic diagnosis of severe AS (aortic valve area <1 cm2) with preserved LVEF (>50%). The LVRI was determined by the ratio of the LV mass to the end-diastolic volume, as previously reported, and was compared between patients with LF and NF AS. Patients were prospectively followed up for at least 3 years, and clinical outcomes were examined in association with LVRI. RESULTS: Of the 450 patients studied, 112 (24.9%) had LF AS. While there were no significant differences in baseline clinical profile between LF and NF patients, LVRI was significantly higher in the LF group. Patients with high LVRI (>1.56 g/mL) had increased all-cause mortality (log-rank 9.18, P = 0.002) and were more likely to be admitted for cardiac failure (log-rank 7.61, P = 0.006) or undergo aortic valve replacement (log-rank 18.4, P < 0.001). After adjusting for the effect of age, hypertension, aortic valve area and mean pressure gradient on multivariate Cox regression, high LVRI remained independently associated with poor clinical outcomes (hazard ratio 1.64, 95% confidence interval 1.19-2.25, P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Pathological LV remodelling (increased LVRI) was more common in patients with LF AS, and increased LVRI independently predicts worse clinical outcomes.

The role of an artificial intelligence model in antiretroviral therapy counselling and advice for people living with HIV.

OBJECTIVES: People living with HIV may find personalized access to accurate information on antiretroviral therapy (ART) challenging given the stigma and costs potentially associated with attending physical consultations. Artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots such as ChatGPT may help to lower barriers to accessing information addressing concerns around ART initiation. However, the safety and accuracy of the information provided remains to be studied. METHODS: We instructed ChatGPT to answer questions that people living with HIV frequently ask about ART, covering i) knowledge of and access to ART; ii) ART initiation, side effects, and adherence, and iii) general sexual health practices while receiving ART. We checked the accuracy of the advice against international HIV clinical practice guidelines. RESULTS: ChatGPT answered all questions accurately and comprehensively. It recognized potentially life-threatening scenarios such as abacavir hypersensitivity reaction and gave appropriate advice. However, in certain contexts, such as specific geographic locations or for pregnant individuals, the advice lacked specificity to an individual's unique circumstances and may be inadequate. Nevertheless, ChatGPT consistently re-directed the individual to seek help from a healthcare professional to obtain targeted advice. CONCLUSIONS: ChatGPT may act as a useful adjunct in the process of ART counselling for people living with HIV. Improving access to information on and knowledge about ART may improve access and adherence to ART and outcomes for people living with HIV overall.

Left ventricular vortex formation time: emerging clinical applications and limitations.

Vortex formation during left ventricular diastolic filling may provide clinically useful insights into cardiac health. In recent years, there has been growing interest in the measurement of vortex formation time (VFT), especially because it is derived noninvasively. There are important applications of VFT in valvular heart disease, athletic physiology, heart failure and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. The formation of the vortex as fluid propagates into the left ventricle from the left atrium is important for efficient fluid transport. Quantifying VFT may thus help in evaluating and understanding disease and pathophysiological processes.

Predictors of disease severity in SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant XBB sublineages and variants of interest.

The Omicron variant has been reported to present with milder disease compared with Delta, although this may be due to immunity from vaccination and prior exposure. Predictors of severity with recent strains have not been well characterized. We retrospectively examined consecutive cases of moderate-to-severe COVID-19 (defined as requiring supplemental oxygenation, intensive care or mortality) admitted to seven tertiary hospitals across Singapore in April 2023. Whole genome sequencing was performed on each isolate to determine the sublineage, while baseline clinical, laboratory data and outcomes were tabulated. We reviewed 182 patients with moderate-to-severe illness and 466 controls hospitalized at the same time. Advanced age and presence of chronic kidney disease predicted adverse outcome. Previously reported markers such as radiographic evidence of pneumonia, elevated C-reactive protein and serum creatinine levels at presentation also correlated with adverse outcomes. There were no observable differences in outcomes with any specific Omicron XBB sublineage. We did not find any specific Omicron XBB sublineage that was associated with worse outcomes. Larger multinational studies would be important to track the clinical evolution of the virus in its current endemic state.

Inflammatory phenotypes may be more important than age and comorbidities in predicting clinical outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19.

Objectives: In critically ill patients with COVID-19, distinct hyperinflammatory and hypoinflammatory phenotypes have been described, with different outcomes and responses to therapy. We investigated if similar phenotypes exist in non-severe illness. Methods: Consecutive patients with polymerase chain reaction (PCR) confirmed SARS-CoV-2 were examined. Baseline demographics and laboratory investigations were tabulated, including serum C-reactive protein. Patients were divided into those who were hyperinflammatory (defined as C-reactive protein >17 mg/l) or hypoinflammatory. Adverse outcomes, defined as requiring oxygenation, intensive care, or death, were recorded during the hospital stay. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared. Results: Of the 1781 patients examined, 276 (15.5%) had a hyperinflammatory phenotype. They were older (51.8 ± 17.2 vs 40.3 ± 13.8 years, P <0.001), had a lower PCR cycle threshold (PCR cycle threshold value 19.3 ± 6.3 vs 22.7 ± 15.4, P = 0.025) at presentation, and more medical comorbidities. The hyperinflammatory phenotype was independently associated with adverse clinical outcomes, even after adjusting for age, medical history and viral load on multivariable analyses (adjusted odds ratio 5.78, 95% confidence interval 2.86-11.63). Conclusion: Even in non-severe COVID-19, there are distinct hyper- and hypoinflammatory phenotypes, with the hyperinflammatory phenotype strongly associated with adverse clinical outcomes, that could be distinguished with a simple biomarker.

Clinical profile and outcomes in patients with moderate to severe aortic stenosis with or without concomitant chronic kidney disease.

Introduction: Management of aortic stenosis (AS) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) may often be overlooked, and this could confer poorer outcomes. Methods: Consecutive patients (n = 727) with index echocardiographic diagnosis of moderate to severe AS (aortic valve area <1.5 cm2) were examined. They were divided into those with CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min) and those without. Baseline clinical and echocardiographic parameters were compared, and a multivariate Cox regression model was constructed. Clinical outcomes were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: There were 270 (37.1%) patients with concomitant CKD. The CKD group was older (78.0 ± 10.3 vs. 72.1 ± 12.9 years, P < 0.001), with a higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidaemia and ischaemic heart disease. AS severity did not differ significantly, but left ventricular (LV) mass index (119.4 ± 43.7 vs. 112.3 ± 40.6 g/m2, P = 0.027) and Doppler mitral inflow E to annular tissue Doppler e' ratio (E: e' 21.5 ± 14.6 vs. 17.8 ± 12.2, P = 0.001) were higher in the CKD group. There was higher mortality (log-rank 51.5, P < 0.001) and more frequent admissions for cardiac failure (log-rank 25.9, P < 0.001) in the CKD group, with a lower incidence of aortic valve replacement (log-rank 7.12, P = 0.008). On multivariate analyses, after adjusting for aortic valve area, age, left ventricular ejection fraction and clinical comorbidities, CKD remained independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio 1.96, 95% confidence interval 1.50-2.57, P < 0.001). Conclusion: Concomitant CKD in patients with moderate to severe AS was associated with increased mortality, more frequent admissions for cardiac failure and a lower incidence of aortic valve replacement.

A review of COVID-19 vaccination and the reported cardiac manifestations.

In Singapore, 9.03 million doses of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna have been administered, and 4.46 million people are fully vaccinated. An additional 87,000 people have been vaccinated with vaccines in World Health Organization's Emergency Use Listing. The aim of this review is to explore the reported cardiac adverse events associated with different types of COVID-19 vaccines. A total of 42 studies that reported cardiac side effects after COVID-19 vaccination were included in this study. Reported COVID-19 vaccine-associated cardiac adverse events were mainly myocarditis and pericarditis, most commonly seen in adolescent and young adult male individuals after mRNA vaccination. Reports of other events such as acute myocardial infarction, arrhythmia and stress cardiomyopathy were rare. Outcomes of post-vaccine myocarditis and pericarditis were good. Given the good vaccine efficacy and the high number of cases of infection, hospitalisation and death that could potentially be prevented, COVID-19 vaccine remains of overall benefit, based on the current available data.

Association of face mask use with self-reported cardiovascular symptoms during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Introduction: Countries are mandating the use of face masks to stem the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Face mask use has been associated with discomfort due to its effects on thermoregulation, breathing and oxygenation. We evaluated the prevalence and severity of self-reported cardiovascular symptoms before and during face mask use. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of 1,001 participants residing in Singapore, who participated in a self-administered questionnaire between 25 April 2020 and 4 May 2020. Symptom severity before and during mask use, and health-seeking behaviour information were collected. The study outcome was self-reported worsening of cardiovascular symptoms and its association with the type of mask worn, duration of mask worn per day, and intensity of physical activities during mask use. Results: The most common symptom reported during mask use was dyspnoea. Independent predictors for self-reported cardiovascular symptoms during mask use were moderate-high physical activity during mask use (odds ratio [OR] 1.634, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.176-2.270, P = 0.003), duration of mask use for ≥3 h (OR 1.672, 95% CI 1.189-2.352, P = 0.003) and type of mask used, after adjusting for age, sex, healthcare-based worker status and presence of comorbidities. N95 mask was associated with worse symptoms when compared to surgical mask. Participants with ≥3 worsening symptoms or worsening dyspnoea, palpitations, fatigue and dizziness were more likely to seek medical help. Conclusion: Face mask use has been proven to be an effective way in curbing COVID-19 transmission. However, participants in this study had concerns regarding its use and these concerns should be urgently addressed to enable mask use policies to be enacted.

Continued demographic shifts in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 from migrant workers to a vulnerable and more elderly local population at risk of severe disease.

OBJECTIVES: In the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in Singapore, the vast majority of infected persons were migrant workers living in dormitories who had few medical comorbidities. In 2021, with the Delta and Omicron waves, this shifted to the more vulnerable, elderly population within the local community. We examined evolving trends among the hospitalised cases of COVID-19. METHODS: All patients with polymerase chain reaction-positive SARS-CoV-2 admitted from February 2020 to October 2021 were included and subsequently stratified by their year of admission (2020 or 2021). We compared the baseline clinical characteristics, clinical course, and outcomes. RESULTS: A majority of cases were seen in 2020 (n = 1359), compared with 2021 (n = 422), due to the large outbreaks in migrant worker dormitories. Nevertheless, the greater proportion of locally transmitted cases outside of dormitories in 2021 (78.7% vs 12.3%) meant a significantly older population with more medical comorbidities had COVID-19. This led to an observably higher proportion of patients with severe disease presenting with raised inflammatory markers, need for therapeutics, supplemental oxygenation, and higher mortality. CONCLUSION: Changing demographics and the characteristics of the exposed populations are associated with distinct differences in clinical presentation and outcomes. Older age remained consistently associated with adverse outcomes.

Prognostic value of left atrial volume index in degenerative mitral stenosis.

PURPOSE: Degenerative mitral stenosis (DMS) is associated with a poor prognosis. Although mean transmitral gradient (TMG) has shown a good correlation with outcome, little is known about the association between other echocardiographic parameters and prognosis in patients with DMS. The current study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of left atrial volume index (LAVI) in patients with DMS. METHODS: A total of 155 patients with DMS (72[63-80] years, 67% female) were included. The population was divided according to LAVI: normal-sized LAVI (LAVI ≤ 34 ml/m2); and enlarged LAVI (> 34 ml/m2). RESULTS: Patients with enlarged LAVI had a higher left ventricular mass index (120[96-146] vs. 91[70-112] g/m2 p < 0.001), as well as a higher prevalence of significant mitral regurgitation and severe aortic stenosis (23% vs. 10% p = 0.046 and 38% vs. 15% p=0.001, respectively) compared to patients with normal-sized LAVI. During a median follow-up of 25 months, 56 (36%) patients died. Patients with enlarged LAVI had worse prognosis compared to patients with normal-sized LAVI (p = 0.026). In multivariable Cox regression model, an enlarged LAVI was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 2.009, 95% CI 1.040 to 3.880, P = 0.038). CONCLUSION: An enlarged LAVI (> 34 ml/m2) is significantly associated with excess mortality in patients with DMS. After adjusting for potential confounders, an enlarged LAVI was the only parameter that remained independently associated with prognosis.

Serum creatinine to absolute lymphocyte count ratio effectively risk stratifies patients who require intensive care in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019.

Patients with preexisting kidney disease or acute kidney injury had poorer outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) illness. Lymphopenia was associated with more severe illness. Risk stratification with simple laboratory tests may help appropriate site patients in a cost-effective manner and ease the burden on healthcare systems. We examined a ratio of serum creatinine level to absolute lymphocyte count at presentation (creatinine-lymphocyte ratio, CLR) in predicting outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. We analyzed 553 consecutive polymerase chain reaction-positive SARS-COV-2 hospitalized patients. Patients with end-stage kidney disease were excluded. Serum creatinine and full blood count (FBC) examination were obtained within the first day of admission. We examined the utility of CLR in predicting adverse clinical outcomes (requiring intensive care, mechanical ventilation, acute kidney injury requiring renal replacement therapy or death). An optimized cutoff of CLR > 77 was derived for predicting adverse outcomes (72.2% sensitivity, and 83.9% specificity). Ninety-seven patients (17.5%) fell within this cut off. These patients were older and more likely to have chronic medical conditions. A higher proportion of these patients had adverse outcomes (13.4% vs 1.1%, P < .001). On receiver operating curve analyses, CLR predicted patients who had adverse outcomes well (area under curve [AUC] = 0.82, 95%CI 0.72-0.92), which was comparable to other laboratory tests like serum ferritin, C-reactive protein and lactate dehydrogenase. Elevated CLR on admission, which may be determined by relatively simple laboratory tests, was able to reasonably discriminate patients who had experienced adverse outcomes during their hospital stay. This may be a simple and cost-effective means of risk stratification and triage.