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2.
Sci Rep ; 10(1): 10307, 2020 06 25.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32587283

Although transmission of malaria and other mosquito-borne diseases is geographically heterogeneous, in sub-Saharan Africa risk maps are rarely used to determine which communities receive vector control interventions. We compared outcomes in areas receiving different indoor residual spray (IRS) strategies in Eastern Province, Zambia: (1) concentrating IRS interventions within a geographical area, (2) prioritizing communities to receive IRS based on predicted probabilities of Anopheles funestus, and (3) prioritizing communities to receive IRS based on observed malaria incidence at nearby health centers. Here we show that the use of predicted probabilities of An. funestus to guide IRS implementation saw the largest decrease in malaria incidence at health centers, a 13% reduction (95% confidence interval = 5-21%) compared to concentrating IRS geographically and a 37% reduction (95% confidence interval = 30-44%) compared to targeting IRS based on health facility incidence. These results suggest that vector control programs could produce better outcomes by prioritizing IRS according to malaria-vector risk maps.


Anopheles/parasitology , Ecological Parameter Monitoring/methods , Malaria/prevention & control , Mosquito Control/organization & administration , Mosquito Vectors/parasitology , Animals , Geography , Humans , Incidence , Insecticides , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/parasitology , Mosquito Control/methods , Zambia/epidemiology
3.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 97(3_Suppl): 76-88, 2017 Sep.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28990920

Malaria control intervention coverage increased nationwide in Malawi during 2000-2010. Trends in intervention coverage were assessed against trends in malaria parasite prevalence, severe anemia (hemoglobin < 8 g/dL), and all-cause mortality in children under 5 years of age (ACCM) using nationally representative household surveys. Associations between insecticide-treated net (ITN) ownership, malaria morbidity, and ACCM were also assessed. Household ITN ownership increased from 27.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 25.9-29.0) in 2004 to 56.8% (95% CI = 55.6-58.1) in 2010. Similarly intermittent preventive treatment during pregnancy coverage increased from 28.2% (95% CI = 26.7-29.8) in 2000 to 55.0% (95% CI = 53.4-56.6) in 2010. Malaria parasite prevalence decreased significantly from 60.5% (95% CI = 53.0-68.0) in 2001 to 20.4% (95% CI = 15.7-25.1) in 2009 in children aged 6-35 months. Severe anemia prevalence decreased from 20.4% (95% CI: 17.3-24.0) in 2004 to 13.1% (95% CI = 11.0-15.4) in 2010 in children aged 6-23 months. ACCM decreased 41%, from 188.6 deaths per 1,000 live births (95% CI = 179.1-198.0) during 1996-2000, to 112.1 deaths per 1,000 live births (95% CI = 105.8-118.5) during 2006-2010. When controlling for other covariates in random effects logistic regression models, household ITN ownership was protective against malaria parasitemia in children (odds ratio [OR] = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.72-0.92) and severe anemia (OR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.72-0.94). After considering the magnitude of changes in malaria intervention coverage and nonmalaria factors, and given the contribution of malaria to all-cause mortality in malaria-endemic countries, the substantial increase in malaria control interventions likely improved child survival in Malawi during 2000-2010.


Anemia/prevention & control , Child Mortality/trends , Infant Mortality/trends , Malaria/prevention & control , Parasitemia/prevention & control , Anemia/pathology , Antimalarials/administration & dosage , Antimalarials/therapeutic use , Child, Preschool , Communicable Disease Control , Humans , Infant , Insecticide-Treated Bednets , Malaria/drug therapy , Malawi/epidemiology , Mosquito Control/methods , National Health Programs , Odds Ratio , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
4.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 97(3_Suppl): 20-31, 2017 Sep.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28990921

As funding for malaria control increased considerably over the past 10 years resulting in the expanded coverage of malaria control interventions, so did the need to measure the impact of these investments on malaria morbidity and mortality. Members of the Roll Back Malaria (RBM) Partnership undertook impact evaluations of malaria control programs at a time when there was little guidance in terms of the process for conducting an impact evaluation of a national-level malaria control program. The President's Malaria Initiative (PMI), as a member of the RBM Partnership, has provided financial and technical support for impact evaluations in 13 countries to date. On the basis of these experiences, PMI and its partners have developed a streamlined process for conducting the evaluations with a set of lessons learned and recommendations. Chief among these are: to ensure country ownership and involvement in the evaluations; to engage stakeholders throughout the process; to coordinate evaluations among interested partners to avoid duplication of efforts; to tailor the evaluation to the particular country context; to develop a standard methodology for the evaluations and a streamlined process for completion within a reasonable time; and to develop tailored dissemination products on the evaluation for a broad range of stakeholders. These key lessons learned and resulting recommendations will guide future impact evaluations of malaria control programs and other health programs.


Communicable Disease Control/methods , Malaria/prevention & control , National Health Programs , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control/economics , Humans , Malaria/epidemiology , Models, Theoretical , Mosquito Control , National Health Programs/economics , National Health Programs/organization & administration , Time Factors
5.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 97(3_Suppl): 65-75, 2017 Sep.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28990922

Insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) have been shown to be highly effective at reducing malaria morbidity and mortality in children. However, there are limited studies that assess the association between increasing ITN coverage and child mortality over time, at the national level, and under programmatic conditions. Two analytic approaches were used to examine this association: a retrospective cohort analysis of individual children and a district-level ecologic analysis. To evaluate the association between household ITN ownership and all-cause child mortality (ACCM) at the individual level, data from the 2010 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) were modeled in a Cox proportional hazards framework while controlling for numerous environmental, household, and individual confounders through the use of exact matching. To evaluate population-level association between ITN ownership and ACCM between 2006 and 2010, program ITN distribution data and mortality data from the 2006 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey and the 2010 DHS were aggregated at the district level and modeled using negative binomial regression. In the Cox model controlling for household, child and maternal health factors, children between 1 and 59 months in households owning an ITN had significantly lower mortality compared with those without an ITN (hazard ratio = 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.62-90). In the district-level model, higher ITN ownership was significantly associated with lower ACCM (incidence rate ratio = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.60-0.98). These findings suggest that increasing ITN ownership may have contributed to the decline in ACCM during 2006-2010 in Malawi and represent a novel use of district-level data from nationally representative surveys.


Child Mortality/trends , Infant Mortality/trends , Insecticide-Treated Bednets , Ownership , Adolescent , Adult , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Malawi/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Mothers , National Health Programs , Socioeconomic Factors , Young Adult
6.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 64(1): 20-7, 2015 Jan 16.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25590682

As of January 3, 2015, Ebola virus disease (Ebola) has killed more than 2,500 persons in Sierra Leone since the epidemic began there in May 2014. Ebola virus is transmitted principally by direct physical contact with an infected person or their body fluids during the later stages of illness or after death. Contact with the bodies and fluids of persons who have died of Ebola is especially common in West Africa, where family and community members often touch and wash the body of the deceased in preparation for funerals. These cultural practices have been a route of Ebola transmission. In September 2014, CDC, in collaboration with the Sierra Leone Ministry of Health and Sanitation (MOH), assessed burial practices, cemetery management, and adherence to practices recommended to reduce the risk for Ebola virus transmission. The assessment was conducted by directly observing burials and cemetery operations in three high-incidence districts. In addition, a community assessment was conducted to assess the acceptability to the population of safe, nontraditional burial practices and cemetery management intended to reduce the risk for Ebola virus transmission. This report summarizes the results of these assessments, which found that 1) there were not enough burial teams to manage the number of reported deaths, 2) Ebola surveillance, swab collection, and burial team responses to a dead body alert were not coordinated, 3) systematic procedures for testing and reporting of Ebola laboratory results for dead bodies were lacking, 4) cemetery space and management were inadequate, and 5) safe burial practices, as initially implemented, were not well accepted by communities. These findings were used to inform the development of a national standard operating procedure (SOP) for safe, dignified medical burials, released on October 1. A second, national-level, assessment was conducted during October 10-15 to assess burial team practices and training and resource needs for SOP implementation across all 14 districts in Sierra Leone. The national-level assessment confirmed that burial practices, challenges, and needs at the national level were similar to those found during the assessment conducted in the three districts. Recommendations based on the assessments included 1) district-level trainings on the components of the SOP and 2) rapid deployment across the 14 districts of additional trained burial teams supplied with adequate personal protective equipment (PPE), other equipment (e.g., chlorine, chlorine sprayers, body bags, and shovels), and vehicles. Although these assessments were conducted very early on in the response, during October-December national implementation of the SOP and recommendations might have made dignified burial safer and increased community support for these practices; an evaluation of this observation is planned.


Burial/methods , Cemeteries , Epidemics/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Humans , Sierra Leone/epidemiology
7.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 83(6): 1266-8, 2010 Dec.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21118933

Diagnosis of Seoul virus-associated hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) cases among United States residents is rare. We describe confirmation of a Seoul virus infection in a 36-year-old scientist who worked with laboratory rats in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, but most likely acquired the infection during a trip to Shenyang, China.


Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/virology , Seoul virus , Travel , Adult , China/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Wisconsin/epidemiology
8.
JAMA ; 303(15): 1517-25, 2010 Apr 21.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20407061

CONTEXT: Early data on pandemic 2009 influenza A(H1N1) suggest pregnant women are at increased risk of hospitalization and death. OBJECTIVE: To describe the severity of 2009 influenza A(H1N1) illness and the association with early antiviral treatment among pregnant women in the United States. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: Surveillance of 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in pregnant women reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) with symptom onset from April through December 2009. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Severity of illness (hospitalizations, intensive care unit [ICU] admissions, and deaths) due to 2009 influenza A(H1N1) among pregnant women, stratified by timing of antiviral treatment and pregnancy trimester at symptom onset. RESULTS: We received reports on 788 pregnant women in the United States with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) with symptom onset from April through August 2009. Among those, 30 died (5% of all reported 2009 influenza A[H1N1] influenza deaths in this period). Among 509 hospitalized women, 115 (22.6%) were admitted to an ICU. Pregnant women with treatment more than 4 days after symptom onset were more likely to be admitted to an ICU (56.9% vs 9.4%; relative risk [RR], 6.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.5-10.6) than those treated within 2 days after symptom onset. Only 1 death occurred in a patient who received treatment within 2 days of symptom onset. Updating these data with the CDC's continued surveillance of ICU admissions and deaths among pregnant women with symptom onset through December 31, 2009, identified an additional 165 women for a total of 280 women who were admitted to ICUs, 56 of whom died. Among the deaths, 4 occurred in the first trimester (7.1%), 15 in the second (26.8%), and 36 in the third (64.3%); CONCLUSIONS: Pregnant women had a disproportionately high risk of mortality due to 2009 influenza A(H1N1). Among pregnant women with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) influenza reported to the CDC, early antiviral treatment appeared to be associated with fewer admissions to an ICU and fewer deaths.


Disease Outbreaks , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human/mortality , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/mortality , Adolescent , Adult , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Intensive Care Units , Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/drug therapy , Pregnancy Trimesters , Severity of Illness Index , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
9.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 78(1): 45-52, 2008 Jan.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18187784

Although horse cases frequently are reported during West Nile virus (WNV) outbreaks, few investigations have focused on the epidemiology of this transmission. From April to October 2003 to 2005, mosquito abundance and infection were monitored 3 days per week at an equine research facility at the University of California, Davis. Thirty-two nonvaccinated horses enrolled as controls in a vaccine study were bled monthly, and their serum was tested for evidence of WNV infection by plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT). In 2004, one positive Culex pipiens pool was associated with a single horse that presented with confirmed WNV disease in late September. The annual incidence of clinical and subclinical WNV infection in the nonvaccinated horses was 16%, with an apparent to inapparent ratio of 1:4 among infected horses. In 2005, two Culex tarsalis and two Cx. pipiens WNV-positive pools were associated with an equine infection incidence of 62%, with an apparent to inapparent ratio of 1:17. The majority (79%) of 70 blood-engorged Cx. pipiens fed on birds and the remaining on equines (21%). Conversely, Cx. tarsalis fed primarily on equines (n = 23, 74%), followed by birds (n = 7, 23%) and 1 (3%) fed on a lagomorph. These data indicated that nonvaccinated horses were a sensitive indicator of WNV activity and that their risk of infection was associated with the presence of infection in Cx. pipiens and Cx. tarsalis, which served as both enzootic and bridge vectors amplifying WNV among birds and transmitting WNV to horses.


Disease Transmission, Infectious/veterinary , Horse Diseases/epidemiology , Horse Diseases/transmission , West Nile Fever/veterinary , West Nile virus/isolation & purification , Animals , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Birds/physiology , California/epidemiology , Culex/physiology , Culicidae/physiology , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay/veterinary , Female , Horse Diseases/blood , Horse Diseases/etiology , Horse Diseases/mortality , Horse Diseases/prevention & control , Horses , Incidence , Insect Vectors/physiology , Seasons , Survival Analysis , Temperature , Viral Vaccines/therapeutic use , West Nile Fever/epidemiology , West Nile Fever/transmission , West Nile virus/genetics , West Nile virus/immunology
10.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 78(1): 53-62, 2008 Jan.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18187785

We collected a total of 15,329 mosquitoes during weekly sampling in Davis, CA, from April through mid-October 2006 at 21 trap sites uniformly spaced 1.5 km apart over an area of approximately 26 km(2). Of these mosquitoes, 1,355 pools of Culex spp. were tested by multiplex reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction, of which 16 pools (1.2%) were positive for West Nile virus (WNV). A degree-day model with a developmental threshold of 14.3 degrees C accurately predicted episodic WNV transmission after three extrinsic incubation periods after initial detection. Kriging interpolation delineated that Culex tarsalis were most abundant at traps near surrounding agriculture, whereas Cx. pipiens clustered within residential areas and greenbelt systems in the old portion of Davis. Spatial-temporal analyses were performed to test for clustering of locations of WNV-infected dead birds and traps with WNV-positive Cx. tarsalis and Cx. pipiens; human case incidence was mapped by census blocks. Significant multivariate spatial-temporal clustering was detected among WNV-infected dead birds and WNV-positive Cx. tarsalis, and a WNV-positive Cx. pipiens cluster overlapped areas with high incidences of confirmed human cases. Spatial analyses of WNV surveillance data may be an effective method to identify areas with an increased risk for human infection and to target control efforts to reduce the incidence of human disease.


West Nile Fever/epidemiology , West Nile Fever/transmission , West Nile virus/isolation & purification , Animals , Birds/physiology , California/epidemiology , Culex/physiology , Culicidae/physiology , Female , Humans , Insect Vectors/physiology , Models, Statistical , Population Density , RNA, Viral/analysis , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Seasons , Temperature , West Nile Fever/etiology , West Nile Fever/prevention & control , West Nile virus/genetics
11.
J Med Entomol ; 44(6): 1067-73, 2007 Nov.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18047208

A comparative study of West Nile virus (family Flaviviridae, genus Flavivirus, WNV) infection rates in Culex mosquitoes collected at 13 sites, seven reporting WNV-positive dead corvids (case sites) and six without reported dead birds (control sites) was conducted in Davis, CA, from 14 to 21 July at the beginning of the 2006 WNV outbreak. In total, 3051 Culex mosquitoes were collected using gravid traps and CO2-baited traps; WNV-infected mosquitoes were only collected with CO2-baited traps. WNV-infected Culex pipiens L. were collected at one of the seven case sites. Six of seven case sites yielded WNV-infected Culex tarsalis Coquillett, whereas only one of six control sites had WNV-infected Cx. tarsalis. Overall, the odds of finding WNV-positive mosquitoes were 19.75 times greater at sites reporting a WNV-infected dead corvid than sites without a WNV-infected dead corvid. Maximum likelihood estimates of the overall infection rates at the case sites were 3.48/1000 for Cx. tarsalis and 8.69/1000 for Cx. pipiens compared with 1.02/1000 in Cx. tarsalis collected at the control sites. Results indicate that Cx. tarsalis was important in early season enzootic transmission within Davis and that sites reporting WNV-infected dead corvids are areas to focus control and surveillance efforts.


Crows/virology , Culex/virology , West Nile virus/physiology , Animals , Case-Control Studies , Humans , Risk Factors , West Nile Fever/transmission , West Nile Fever/veterinary
12.
J Am Mosq Control Assoc ; 23(3): 335-9, 2007 Sep.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17939516

In August 2006, a pyrethrin insecticide synergized with piperonyl butoxide (EverGreen Crop Protection EC 60-6, McLaughlin Gormley King Company, Golden Valley, MN) was sprayed in ultralow volumes over the city of Davis, CA, by the Sacramento-Yolo Mosquito and Vector Control District to control mosquitoes transmitting West Nile virus. Concurrently, we evaluated the impact of the insecticide on nontarget arthropods by 1) comparing mortality of treatment and control groups of sentinel arthropods, and 2) measuring the diversity and abundance of dead arthropods found on treatment and control tarps placed on the ground. We found no effect of spraying on nontarget sentinel species including dragonflies (Sympetrum corruptum), spiders (Argiope aurantia), butterflies (Colias eurytheme), and honeybees (Apis mellifera). In contrast, significantly higher diversity and numbers of nontarget arthropods were found on ground tarps placed in sprayed versus unsprayed areas. All of the dead nontarget species were small-bodied arthropods as opposed to the large-bodied sentinels that were not affected. The mortality of sentinel mosquitoes placed at the same sites as the nontarget sentinels and ground tarps ranged from 0% to 100%. Dead mosquitoes were not found on the ground tarps. We conclude that aerial spraying with pyrethrins had no impact on the large-bodied arthropods placed in the spray zone, but did have a measurable impact on a wide range of small-bodied organisms.


Biodiversity , Insecta , Insecticides , Mosquito Control , Pyrethrins , Animals , California , Disease Outbreaks , West Nile Fever/transmission
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