Cohort profile: EFTER-COVID - a Danish nationwide cohort for assessing the long-term health effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

PURPOSE: To follow SARS-CoV-2-infected persons up to 18 months after a positive test in order to assess the burden and nature of post acute symptoms and health problems. PARTICIPANTS: Persons in Denmark above 15 years of age, who were tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during 1 September 2020 to 21 February 2023 using a RT-PCR test. As a reference group, three test-negative individuals were selected for every two test-positive individuals by matching on test date. FINDINGS TO DATE: In total, 2 427 913 invitations to baseline questionnaires have been sent out and 839 528 baseline questionnaires (34.5%) have been completed. Females, the age group 50-69 years, Danish-born and persons, who had received at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccination booster dose were more likely to participate. Follow-up questionnaires were sent at 2, 4, 6, 9, 12 and 18 months after the test, with response rates at 42%-54%. FUTURE PLANS: New participants have been recruited on a daily basis from 1 August 2021 to 23 March 2023. Data collection will continue until the last follow-up questionnaires (at 18 months after test) have been distributed in August 2024.

A register and questionnaire study of long-term general health symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in Denmark.

Many individuals who refuse COVID-19 vaccination have concerns about long-term side effects. Here, we report findings on self-reported symptoms from a Danish survey- and register study. The study included 34,868 vaccinated primary course recipients, 95.8% of whom received mRNA vaccines, and 1,568 unvaccinated individuals. Participants had no known history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Using g-computation on logistic regression, risk differences (RDs) for symptoms between vaccinated and unvaccinated persons were estimated with adjustments for possible confounders. Within six weeks after vaccination, higher risks were observed for physical exhaustion (RD 4.9%, 95% CI 1.1% to 8.4%), fever or chills (RD 4.4%, 95% CI 2.1% to 6.7%), and muscle/joint pain (RD 7.0%, 95% CI 3.1% to 10.7%), compared to unvaccinated individuals. Beyond twenty-six weeks, risks were higher among the vaccinated for sleeping problems (RD 3.0, 95% 0.2 to 5.8), fever or chills (RD 2.0, 95% CI 0.4 to 3.6), reduced/altered taste (RD 1.2, 95% CI 0.2 to 2.3) and shortness of breath (RD 2.6, 95% CI 0.9 to 4.0). However, when examining pre-omicron responses only, the difference for reduced/altered taste was significant. As expected, the risk of experiencing physical exhaustion, fever or chills, and muscle/joint pain was higher among persons who responded within six weeks of completing the primary course. No significant differences were observed for the 7-25-week period after vaccination. Associations for the period beyond 26 weeks must be interpreted with caution and in the context of undetected SARS-CoV-2 infection, wide confidence intervals, and multiple testing. Overall, we observe no concerning signs of long-term self-reported physical, cognitive, or fatigue symptoms after vaccination.

Smoking during pregnancy and risk of multiple sclerosis in offspring and mother: A Danish nationwide register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between intra-uterine exposure to maternal smoking and risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) has been little studied and with conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of MS in offspring exposed intra-uterine to maternal smoking. In addition, to re-examine prior observations of an elevated risk of MS among smokers, assuming that self-reported smoking during pregnancy reflects the woman's general smoking habits. METHODS: The study cohort included all Danish women, pregnant in the period 1991-2018, (n = 789,299) and singletons from these pregnancies (n = 879,135). Nationwide information on maternal smoking during pregnancy and MS cases in the study cohort were obtained from the Medical Birth Register and the National Patient Register. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between smoking and MS risk. RESULTS: Women who smoked during pregnancy had a 42% increased risk of developing MS compared with non-smoking women (HR = 1.42 (1.32-1.52), n = 1,296). The risk of MS among singletons of women who smoked during pregnancy was 38% higher than that among singletons born to non-smoking women (HR = 1.38 (1.08-1.76), n = 110). CONCLUSION: Our observations add further to the evidence implicating smoking in the development of MS and suggest that intra-uterine exposure to tobacco smoke may increase MS risk.

A Danish questionnaire study of acute symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection by variant, vaccination status, sex and age.

It is not well-described how the acute symptoms of infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) differ by variant, vaccination, sex and age. A cross-sectional questionnaire study linked to national testing- and registry data was conducted among 148,874 SARS-CoV-2 first time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test-positive individuals and corresponding date-matched symptomatic test-negative controls. Major SARS-CoV-2 variants (Index/wild type, Alpha, Delta and Omicron) were defined using periods of predominance. Risk differences (RDs) were estimated for each of 21 predefined acute symptoms comparing: (1) test-positive and -negative individuals, by variant period, (2) vaccinated and unvaccinated test-positives, by variant period, (3) individuals tested positive during the Omicron and Delta periods, by vaccination status, and (4) vaccinated Omicron test-positive and -negative individuals, by age and sex. Compared to pre-Omicron, RDs between test-positive and test-negative individuals during the Omicron period were lower for most symptoms. RDs for altered sense of smell (dysosmia) and taste (dysgeusia) were highest for Delta (RD = 50.8 (49.4-52.0) and RD = 54.7 (53.4-56.0), respectively) and lowest for Omicron (RD = 12.8 (12.1-13.5) and RD = 11.8 (11.1-12.4), respectively). Across variants, vaccinated individuals reported fewer symptoms. During Omicron, females and 30-59 year-old participants reported more symptoms.

Post-acute symptoms 4 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Omicron period: a nationwide Danish questionnaire study.

Post-acute symptoms are not uncommon after SARS-CoV-2 infection with pre-Omicron variants. How Omicron and COVID-19 booster vaccination influence the risk of post-acute symptoms is less clear. We analyzed data from the nationwide Danish questionnaire study EFTER-COVID comprising 44,553 individuals ≥15 years old, tested between July 2021 and January 2022, in order to evaluate the association of the Omicron variant and COVID-19 booster vaccination with post-acute symptoms and new-onset general health problems, four months after infection with SARS-CoV-2. Risk differences (RDs) were estimated by comparing Omicron -cases to controls, Omicron to Delta -cases, and Omicron vaccinated cases with three to -two doses, adjusted for age, sex, BMI, self-reported chronic diseases, Charlson comorbidity index, healthcare occupation, and vaccination status. Four months after testing for SARS-CoV-2 during the Omicron period, cases experienced substantial post-acute symptoms and new-onset health problems compared to controls; the largest RD was observed for memory issues (RD=7.2%, 95%CI: 6.4 to 8.1). However, risks were generally lower than in the Delta period, particularly for dysosmia (RD=-15.0%, 95%CI: -17.0 to -13.2) and dysgeusia (RD=-11.2%, 95%CI: -13.2 to -9.5). Booster vaccination was associated with fewer post-acute symptoms and new-onset health problems, four months after Omicron infection, compared to two COVID-19 vaccine doses.

A hybrid register and questionnaire study of Covid-19 and post-acute sick leave in Denmark.

Post-acute sick leave is an underexplored indicator of the societal burden of SARS-CoV-2. Here,  we report findings about self-reported sick leave and risk factors thereof from a hybrid survey and register study, which include 37,482 RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and 51,336 test-negative controls who were tested during the index- and alpha-dominant waves. We observe that an additional 33 individuals per 1000 took substantial sick leave following acute infection compared to persons with no known history of infection, where substantial sick leave is defined as >1 month of sick leave within the period 1-9 months after the RT-PCR test date. Being female, 50-65 years, or having certain pre-existing health conditions such as obesity, chronic lung diseases, and fibromyalgia each increase risk for taking substantial sick leave. Altogether, these results may help motivate improved diagnostic and treatment options for persons living with post-Covid conditions.

Siblings reduce multiple sclerosis risk by preventing delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection.

Epstein-Barr virus infection, and perhaps almost exclusively delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection, seems to be a prerequisite for the development of multiple sclerosis. Siblings provide protection against infectious mononucleosis by occasionally preventing delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection, with its associated high risk of infectious mononucleosis. Each additional sibling provides further protection according to the age difference between the index child and the sibling. The closer the siblings are in age, the higher the protection, with younger siblings being more protective against infectious mononucleosis than older siblings. If the hypothesis that delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection is necessary for the development of multiple sclerosis is true, then the relative risk of multiple sclerosis as a function of sibship constellation should mirror the relative risk of infectious mononucleosis as a function of sibship constellation. Such an indirect hypothesis test is necessitated by the fact that age at primary Epstein-Barr virus infection is unknown for practically all people who have not experienced infectious mononucleosis. In this retrospective cohort study using nationwide registers, we followed all Danes born during the period 1971-2018 (n = 2 576 011) from 1977 to 2018 for hospital contacts with an infectious mononucleosis diagnosis (n = 23 905) or a multiple sclerosis diagnosis (n = 4442), defining two different end points. Relative risks (hazard ratios) of each end point as a function of sibship constellation were obtained from stratified Cox regression analyses. The hazard ratios of interest for infectious mononucleosis and multiple sclerosis could be assumed to be identical (test for homogeneity P = 0.19), implying that having siblings, especially of younger age, may protect a person against multiple sclerosis through early exposure to the Epstein-Barr virus. Maximum protection per sibling was obtained by having a 0-2 years younger sibling, corresponding to a hazard ratio of 0.80, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.76-0.85. The corresponding hazard ratio from having an (0-2 years) older sibling was 0.91 (0.86-0.96). Our results suggest that it may be possible essentially to eradicate multiple sclerosis using an Epstein-Barr virus vaccine administered before the teenage years. Getting there would require both successful replication of our study findings and, if so, elucidation of why early Epstein-Barr virus infection does not usually trigger the immune mechanisms responsible for the association between delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection and multiple sclerosis risk.

Vitamin D status and severity of COVID-19.

We explored the association between COVID-19 severity and vitamin D status using information from Danish nation-wide health registers, the COVID-19 surveillance database and stored blood samples from the national biobank. 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) was measured using tandem mass spectroscopy. The association between 25(OH)D levels and COVID-19 severity, classified hierarchical as non-hospitalized, hospitalized but not admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU), admitted to ICU, and death, was evaluated by proportional odds ratios (POR) assuming proportionality between the four degrees of severity. Among 447 adults tested SARS-CoV-2 positive in the spring of 2020, low levels of 25(OH)D were associated with a higher risk of severe COVID-19. Thus, odds of experiencing more severe COVID-19 among individuals with insufficient (25 to < 50 nmol/L) and sufficient (≥ 50 nmol/L) 25(OH)D levels were approximately 50% of that among individuals with deficient levels (< 25 nmol/L) (POR = 0.49 (95% CI 0.25-0.94), POR = 0.51 (95% CI 0.27-0.96), respectively). Dividing sufficient vitamin D levels into 50 to < 75 nmol/L and ≥ 75 nmol/L revealed no additional beneficial effect of higher 25(OH)D levels. In this observational study, low levels of 25(OH)D were associated with a higher risk of severe COVID-19. A possible therapeutic role of vitamin D should be evaluated in well-designed interventional studies.

A nationwide questionnaire study of post-acute symptoms and health problems after SARS-CoV-2 infection in Denmark.

A considerable number of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 continue to experience symptoms after the acute phase. Here, we report findings from a nationwide questionnaire study in Denmark including 61,002 RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and 91,878 test-negative controls aged 15-years or older. Six to twelve months after the test, the risks of 18 out of 21 symptoms were elevated among test-positives. The largest adjusted risk differences (RD) were observed for dysosmia (RD = 10.92%, 95% CI 10.68-11.21%), dysgeusia (RD = 8.68%, 95% CI 8.43-8.93%), fatigue/exhaustion (RD = 8.43%, 95%CI 8.14-8.74%), dyspnea (RD = 4.87%, 95% CI 4.65-5.09%) and reduced strength in arms/legs (RD = 4.68%, 95% CI 4.45-4.89%). During the period from the test and until completion of the questionnaire, new diagnoses of anxiety (RD = 1.15%, 95% CI 0.95-1.34%) or depression (RD = 1.00%, 95% CI 0.81-1.19%) were also more common among test-positives. Even in a population where the majority of test-positives were not hospitalized, a considerable proportion experiences symptoms up to 12 months after infection. Being female or middle-aged increases risks.

Retinoids are not linked to risk of multiple sclerosis: A Danish nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system with an undetermined etiology. Retinoids may have immunomodulatory effects that favorably influence MS progression. We aimed to explore the yet unknown relationship between exposure to retinoids and the risk of acquiring MS. METHODS: We performed a nationwide cohort study in the Danish population in the period 1998-2016, comparing MS incidence in three groups: users of systemic retinoids; users of topical retinoids (negative control group); and users of non-retinoid acne drugs (control group). We used data from the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry (DMSR), the Danish National Prescription Registry and the Danish National Patient Registry. Linkage was obtained through the personal identification number (CPR number). We addressed confounding by three-way propensity score (PS)-matching weights. Additionally, to evaluate a cumulative dose-response effect for systemic retinoids on MS incidence, we conducted a case-control study, nested within the cohort. RESULTS: A total of 257,193 users of non-retinoid acne drugs, 130,560 users of topical retinoids, and 75,610 users of systemic retinoids were included. Systemic retinoid use was not associated with a reduced risk of MS compared to non-retinoid acne drug use in crude (hazard ratio [HR] 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61 to 1.05]) and weighted analyses (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.20). There was no evidence of a cumulative dose-response association between systemic retinoids and MS incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Use of systemic retinoids was not associated with a reduced incidence of MS compared to use of non-retinoid acne drugs in this study.

Maternal diabetes and risk of multiple sclerosis in the offspring: A Danish nationwide register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest a 3- to-10-fold increased risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) in offspring of mothers with diabetes mellitus (DM). OBJECTIVES: To examine MS risk in offspring of diabetic mothers, overall and according to type of maternal DM, that is, pregestational DM or gestational DM, as well as to examine MS risk among offspring of diabetic fathers. METHODS: The study cohort included all 1,633,436 singletons born in Denmark between 1978 and 2008. MS diagnoses were identified in the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, and parental DM diagnoses in the National Patient Register. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of parental DM with MS risk in the offspring. RESULTS: MS risk among individuals whose mothers had pregestational DM was 2.3-fold increased compared with that among individuals with nondiabetic mothers (HR = 2.25; 95% CI: 1.35-3.75, n = 15). MS risk was statistically non-significant among offspring of mothers with gestational DM (HR = 1.03 (95% CI: 0.49-2.16), n = 7) and among offspring of diabetic fathers (HR = 1.40 (95% CI: 0.78-2.54), n = 11). CONCLUSION: Our nationwide cohort study utilizing high-quality register data in Denmark over several decades corroborates the view that offspring of diabetic mothers may be at an elevated risk of developing MS.

Inflammatory bowel diseases among first-generation and second-generation immigrants in Denmark: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to estimate the relative risk of IBD among first-generation and second-generation immigrants in Denmark compared with native Danes. DESIGN: Using national registries, we established a cohort of Danish residents between 1977 and 2018. Cohort members with known country of birth were followed for Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) diagnoses. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) served as measures of relative risk and were calculated by log-linear Poisson regression, using rates among native Danes as reference, stratified by IBD risk in parental country of birth, and among first-generation immigrants by age at immigration and duration of stay in Denmark. RESULTS: Among 8.7 million Danes, 4156 first-generation and 898 second-generation immigrants were diagnosed with CD or UC. Overall, comparing first-generation immigrants with native Danes, the IRR was 0.80 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.84) for CD and 0.74 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.77) for UC. The IRR of IBD increased with ≥20 years stay in Denmark. The IRR of CD increased with immigration at ≥40 years of age. Comparing second-generation immigrants with native Danes, the IRR of IBD was 0.97 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.04). There was significant interaction with sex, with higher IRR of IBD in male than in female immigrants. CONCLUSION: Relative to native Danish men and women, IBD risk among first-generation immigrants was lower, reflected the risk in their parental country of birth and increased with ≥20 years stay in Denmark. For second-generation immigrants, relative risk of IBD was lower only among women. These complex patterns suggest the role of environmental IBD risk factors.

Familial multiple sclerosis patients have a shorter delay in diagnosis than sporadic cases.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) is still complicated despite improvement in diagnostic guidelines. This means that time from first symptom to diagnosis in some cases is prolonged. Many aspects of MS aetiology are unknown, but the involvement of a genetic component is well established. This is also highlighted by the occurrence of familial MS cases, which represent 10-20% of all MS cases. We hypothesize that subsequent family members in a MS family, have a shorter time from onset of disease to diagnosis compared to sporadic MS cases. To investigate this, we have conducted a register study comparing time from onset to diagnosis in familial and sporadic MS cases. METHODS: This is a nationwide register study based on information from the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry and the Danish Civil Registration System. We included familial (first-degree relatives) and sporadic MS cases and calculated time lag between onset and diagnosis of MS for sporadic MS cases and for1st, 2nd and 3rd family members within the MS families. Median test and Cox regression were the statistical methods used to compare the familial and sporadic groups. RESULTS: We found that 2nd and 3rd affected family member had a significant shorter time from first symptom to diagnosis compared to sporadic MS cases (2nd family member: Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.12, CI: 1.03-1.21, p = 0.007 adjusted: HR: 0.95 p = 0.22, CI 0.89-1-03 and 3rd family member HR: 1.64 CI: 1.22-2.20, p = 0.001 adjusted model: HR: 1.70, p-value: 0.000, CI: 1.32-2.18). The same difference was not seen between 1st family members and sporadic cases (HR: 1.05, CI: 0.98-1.13, p = 0.15, adjusted: 0.98, p-value: 0.53, CI: 0.91-1.05). Estimated marginal mean delay in the four groups were 4.60 years (95% CI: 4.11-5.01) in1st family members, 4.23 years (3.71-4.75) in 2nd family members, 2.11 years (0.95-3.26) in 3rd family members and 4.99 years (4.99-4.99) in sporadic MS cases. CONCLUSION: The 2nd and 3rd family members in MS families tend do get diagnosed faster than sporadic cases. This has implications in the diagnostic process of familial MS cases.

Childhood health shocks, comparative advantage, and long-term outcomes: Evidence from the last Danish polio epidemic.

This paper examines the long-term effects of childhood disability on individuals' educational and occupational choices, late-career labor market participation, and mortality. We merge medical records on children hospitalized with poliomyelitis during the 1952 Danish epidemic to census and administrative data, and exploit quasi-random variation in paralysis incidence in this population. While childhood disability increases the likelihood of early retirement and disability pension receipt at age 50, paralytic polio survivors are more likely to obtain a university degree and to go on to work in white-collar and computer-demanding jobs than their non-paralytic counterparts. Our results are consistent with individuals making educational and occupational choices that reflect a shift in the comparative advantage of cognitive versus physical skills. We also find that paralytic polio patients from low socioeconomic status backgrounds are more likely to die prematurely than their non-paralytic counterparts, whereas there is no effect on mortality among polio survivors from more advantaged backgrounds.

Distribution of disease courses in familial vs sporadic multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: The overall distribution of disease courses in multiple sclerosis (MS) is well established, but little is known about the distribution among familial MS cases. We examine the frequency of the different MS courses among familial and sporadic MS cases and determine whether MS cases within the same family had the same age at diagnosis and have experienced the same disease course. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a nationwide register study, based on data from the Danish MS Registry, the Danish Civil Registration System, and the Danish National Patient Registry. The main variables are MS diagnosis, MS course, and first-degree relatives with MS The statistical analyses were carried out using logistic regression analysis, Kappa coefficient, and intraclass correlations coefficient. RESULTS: In total, 7402 MS cases were included in the study, of which 531 have an affected first-degree relatives, and 6871 are sporadic. We found that relapsing-remitting MS including secondary progressive MS was more common among familial MS cases than among sporadic MS cases (Odds ratio = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.20-2.24, P = 0.002). We subsequently analyzed data on 133 MS families and found that MS courses correlate between the first and the second MS case diagnosed, while age at diagnosis does not. CONCLUSION: Familial MS cases are more likely to have relapsing-remitting MS than a progressive course compared to sporadic MS cases. Secondly, we find that within MS families, first-degree relatives are likely to have the same MS course, but we do not find that they are diagnosed at the same age.

Small-scale geographical variation in multiple sclerosis: A case-control study using Danish register data 1971-2013.

BACKGROUND: The aetiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) is largely unknown, but commonly assumed to be a complex interaction between genes and environmental exposures, presumably during early life. To evaluate the possible importance and timing of environmental exposures we investigated the spatial variation in the risk of MS in Denmark according to residence at birth, age 15, and clinical onset of disease. METHODS: We carried out a nationwide, register-based case-control study including 12 993 Danish MS cases with onset of disease 1971-2013. Information on exact residential addresses was available for all study subjects in the Danish Civil Registration System. The spatial variation in risk of MS was estimated by kernel regression. RESULTS: We identified spatial variation in the risk of MS according to residence at birth, age 15, and onset of disease. Several high- and low-risk areas were identified across the country with some variation between birth, age 15, and onset. CONCLUSIONS: Small-scale geographical variation in the risk of MS suggests that local environmental risk factors could be at play and may be related to life style factors.

Neurological Symptoms in Danes with a History of Poliomyelitis: Lifelong Follow-Up of Late Symptoms, their Association with Initial Symptoms of Polio, and Presence of Postpolio Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that patients with a history of poliomyelitis (PM) later in life experience a variety of symptoms. These studies were carried out in patients who later in life were admitted to hospital or became members of polio societies and may therefore not be representative of all polio patients. Little data have been published concerning patients actually discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of acute paralytic PM. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of late symptoms in individuals with a history of paralytic PM with that of controls, and to study whether late symptoms in individuals with a history of PM were associated with symptoms at the acute stage of polio, and finally to compare the prevalence of symptoms in polio patients with postpolio syndrome (PPS) with the prevalence of symptoms in polio patients without PPS. METHODS: A questionnaire concerning various symptoms was sent to a previously established cohort of patients, who during the polio epidemics were discharged from the Department of Infectious Disease at Blegdamshospitalet, Copenhagen, with a diagnosis of paralytic PM, and to age- and gender-matched controls without PM. Information about symptoms at the acute stage of disease was obtained from hospital records. Logistic regression analysis with adjustment for age and gender was applied to compare the occurrence of late symptoms in cases and controls and within the above-mentioned groups of individuals with a history of PM. RESULTS: (i) Compared with controls, individuals with a history of polio significantly more often reported muscle symptoms, pain, neuropathic sensory symptoms, and bulbar symptoms; (ii) the occurrence of symptoms did not seem to be related to symptoms of the initial PM; and (iii) symptom prevalence was significantly higher in individuals with a history of polio who reported PPS as compared with those who did not. CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that individuals with a history of PM late in life experience a variety of symptoms that cannot be attributed to lesions of the anterior horn. Furthermore, late symptoms do not seem to be related to initial symptoms of the acute stage of PM but to reported PPS. The last finding supports the perception that the cause of PPS is not just normal ageing.

Age at Menarche and Risk of Multiple Sclerosis: A Prospective Cohort Study Based on the Danish National Birth Cohort.

Few studies have addressed the possible association between age at menarche and multiple sclerosis (MS), and results are conflicting. We studied this issue in a large prospective cohort study. The study cohort comprised 77,330 women included in the Danish National Birth Cohort (1996-2002). Information on menarcheal age was ascertained at the first interview, which took place in the 16th week of pregnancy. Women were followed for MS from the first interview to December 31, 2011. Associations between age at menarche and risk of MS were evaluated with hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Overall, 226 women developed MS during an average follow-up period of 11.7 years. Age at menarche among women with MS was generally lower than that among women without MS (Wilcoxon rank-sum test; P = 0.002). We observed an inverse association between age at menarche and MS risk. For each 1-year increase in age at menarche, risk of MS was reduced by 13% (hazard ratio = 0.87, 95% confidence interval: 0.79, 0.96). Early age at menarche appears to be associated with an increased risk of MS. The mechanisms behind this association remain to be established.