Optimizing the Yield of Abnormal Preoperative Chest Radiographs in Elective Non-cardiothoracic Surgery: Development of a Risk Prediction Score and External Validation.

BACKGROUND: Guideline recommendations for preoperative chest radiographs vary to the extent that individual patient benefit is unclear. We developed and validated a prediction score for abnormal preoperative chest radiographs in adult patients undergoing elective non-cardiothoracic surgery. METHODS: Our prospective observational study recruited 703 adult patients who underwent elective non-cardiothoracic surgery at Ramathibodi Hospital. We developed a risk prediction score for abnormal preoperative chest radiographs with external validation using data from 411 patients recruited from Thammasat University Hospital. The discriminative performance was assessed by receiver operating curve analysis. In addition, we assessed the contribution of abnormal chest radiographs to perioperative management. RESULTS: Abnormal preoperative chest radiographs were found in 19.5% of the 703 patients. Age, pulmonary disease, cardiac disease, and diabetes were significant factors. The model showed good performance with a C-statistics of 0.739 (95% CI, 0.691-0.786). We classified patients into four groups based on risk scores. The posttest probabilities in the intermediate-, intermediate-high-, and high-risk groups were 33.2%, 59.8%, and 75.7%, respectively. The model fitted well with the external validation data with a C statistic of 0.731 (95% CI, 0.674-0.789). One (0.4%) abnormal chest radiograph from the low-risk group and three (2.4%) abnormal chest radiographs from the intermediate-to-high-risk group had a major impact on perioperative management. CONCLUSIONS: Four predictors including age, pulmonary disease, cardiac disease, and diabetes were associated with abnormal preoperative chest radiographs. Our risk score demonstrated good performance and may help identify patients at higher risk of chest abnormalities.

Comparison of Various Pharmacologic Agents in the Management of Hemodynamically Significant Patent Ductus Arteriosus in Preterm: A Network Meta-Analysis and Risk-Benefit Analysis.

Introduction: Various pharmacological treatments are available for preterm infants with patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), but their risks and benefits are controversial. This study aimed to identify the best treatment for PDA using network meta-analysis (NMA) and risk-benefit assessment (RBA). Methods: Relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were identified from MEDLINE, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library. RCTs were eligible if they were studied for preterm or low birth weight infants with presymptomatic PDA and hemodynamically significant PDA (hsPDA). The outcomes were PDA closure for a benefit and the composite risk outcome of adverse effects (AEs) for risk. An NMA was used to estimate the treatment effects of benefit and risk. The RBA helped to incorporate the risk and benefits of multiple treatments. Then, an incremental risk-benefit ratio was calculated by dividing the incremental risk by benefit using data from NMA, and they were jointly simulated using Monte Carlo methods. Finally, net clinical benefit (NCB) probability curves were constructed at varying acceptability thresholds. Results: Seventy RCTs with hsPDA were eligible considering 13 different interventions, but data on presymptomatic PDA were not enough for pooling. The clustered ranking plot from NMA indicated that 3 interventions (i.e., high-dose oral ibuprofen, standard-dose oral acetaminophen, and standard-dose oral ibuprofen) yielded high PDA closure and low AE. These three treatments and additional commonly used indomethacin were considered in the RBA. Given an acceptable threshold of 25% or having one AE out of four PDA closures, high-dose oral ibuprofen had a 36% chance of having the highest NCB, followed by standard-dose oral acetaminophen (27%), and oral ibuprofen (23.7%). Subgroup analysis indicated that the chances of having the highest NCB of GA ≥28 weeks were similar to that of all available studies. The best for GA <28 weeks, no data for high-dose oral ibuprofen, was standard-dose oral acetaminophen, followed by standard-dose oral ibuprofen. Conclusions: Trade-off RBA indicated that high-dose oral ibuprofen might be the best treatment for preterm, GA ≥28 weeks, with hsPDA followed by the standard-dose oral acetaminophen and ibuprofen. Preferably, optimal high doses, postnatal age to start treatment, and long-term outcomes are needed to study in the future.

Growth charts for Thai children with Prader-Willi syndrome aged 0-18 years.

BACKGROUND: Prader-Willi syndrome (PWS) is a multisystem genetic disorder, which has a typical eating behavior and growth pattern. In the infancy period, children with PWS have low body weight followed by hyperphagia in later childhood. Disease-specific growth charts have been recommended for monitoring PWS patients. Previous literature demonstrated growth differences among individuals with PWS of different ethnicity. METHODS: A retrospective multicenter study was performed in PWS patients from different areas of Thailand included collaboration with the Thai PWS support group during 2000-2017. Baseline characteristics and anthropometric data were reviewed. Both growth hormone and non-growth hormone received patients were included, but the data after receiving GH were excluded before curve construction. Growth charts for Thai PWS compared to the 50th normative centile were constructed using Generalized Least Squares (GLS) methods. Curve smoothing was performed by Fractional Polynomials and Exponential Transformation. RESULT: One hundred and thirteen patients with genetically confirmed PWS (55 males and 58 females) were enrolled. Fifty percent of patients were diagnosed less than 6 months of age. We developed growth charts for non-growth hormone treated Thai children with PWS aged between 0 and 18 years. A growth pattern was similar to other ethnicities while there were some differences. Mean birth weight of PWS patients was less than that of typical newborns. Mean adult height at 18 years of age in Thai children with PWS was lower than that in American children, but taller than Japanese. Mean weight of Thai PWS males at 18 years of age was more than those from other countries. CONCLUSION: This study is the first to document PWS-specific growth charts in Southeast Asian population. These growth charts will be useful in improving the quality of patient care and in evaluating the impact of growth hormone treatment in the future.

Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008-2013: an application of capture-recapture method.

BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method. METHODS: An application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates. RESULTS: A total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12-31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics. CONCLUSIONS: With the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.

The Factors associated with the unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment of hill tribe patients in Thailand.

INTRODUCTION: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a serious public-health problem worldwide. The successful tuberculosis treatment was in low rate among the hill tribes in Thailand. This study aimed to determine factors associated with the unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment among the hill tribe TB patients in northern Thailand. METHODOLOGY: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from the national TB reporting system. Data of newly registered hill tribe patients with TB receiving treatment were obtained from 18 government hospitals in Chiang Rai province, during 2014-2017. TB treatment outcomes and factors associated with unsuccessful were determined. RESULTS: A total of 770 hill tribe patients with TB registered during the study period. The majority were males aged 25-64 years. About 80% of the patients lived in rural areas and 53.9% worked in agriculture. The overall TB treatment success rate was 80.4%. Two factors were associated with unsuccessful TB treatment: ages 25-44 and ages 45-64 (aOR 3.14 (1.03-9.55) and 3.02 (1.01-9.03), respectively) and receiving antiretroviral drugs (proxy of HIV infection) (aOR 2.30 (1.02-5.15)). CONCLUSION: Although the TB treatment success rate among hill tribe patients did not reach the national goal, it was still higher than that of other Thai TB patients in the area. In Thailand, hill tribe people can access health services free-of-charge under the national health insurance. This could influence the successful treatment. However, some barriers need to be considered, such as the high default rate and high death rate among those with HIV coinfection.

Hemoglobin concentration and pregnancy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of hemoglobin effect on the pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE and SCOPUS from January 1, 1990 to April 10, 2011. Observational studies addressing association between hemoglobin and adverse pregnancy outcomes were selected. Two reviewers independently extracted data. A mixed logistic regression was applied to assess the effects of hemoglobin on preterm birth, low birth weight, and small for gestational age. RESULTS: Seventeen studies were included in poolings. Hemoglobin below 11 g/dL was, respectively, 1.10 (95% CI: 1.02-1.19), 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03-1.32), and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.05-1.24) times higher risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and small for gestational age than normal hemoglobin in the first trimester. In the third trimester, hemoglobin below 11 g/dL was 1.30 (95% CI: 1.08-1.58) times higher risk of low birth weight. Hemoglobin above 14 g/dL in third trimester decreased the risk of preterm term with ORs of 0.50 (95% CI: 0.26-0.97), but it might be affected by publication bias. CONCLUSIONS: Our review suggests that hemoglobin below 11 g/dl increases the risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and small gestational age in the first trimester and the risk of low birth weight in the third trimester.

Migraine in junior high-school students: A prospective 3-academic-year cohort study.

Migraine is a common childhood illness with expected favorable outcome. A study of the long-term clinical course of childhood migraine will provide information of evolution of migraine. A cohort study for 3-academic-year was conducted in Thai junior high-school children from July 2005 to February 2008 to determine the clinical course of migraine. Two hundred and forty-eight students in four junior high schools diagnosed with migraine according to ICHD-II in July 2005 were recruited. Each student was serially evaluated twice yearly from 7th grade during each semester of the academic year until the second semester of 9th grade. Determination of the characteristics, severity, frequency, and treatment of headache were obtained by questionnaire and direct interview. At the final evaluation, clinical course of headache was categorized into seven patterns. Among enrolled students, 209 (84.3%) completed the study. Twenty-eight (13.5%) students had no recurrent headache while that of 153 (73.5%) improved. No improvement of migraine and worsened migraine were observed in four students (1.8%) and 24 students (11.2%), respectively. Spontaneous remission and avoidance of precipitating causes contributed to relief of migraine in the majority of the students. Stress-related daily school activities and inadequate rest were reported as common precipitating factors among students with non-improving or worsening outcome. Chronic daily headache and tension-type headache was observed in 6 and 30 students, respectively. This study confirms that clinical course of migraine in schoolchildren is benign. Frequency and intensity of headache can be reduced with reassurance and appropriate guidance. Early recognition and appropriate prevention of migraine attack will decrease the risk of chronic migraine and disease burden.

A systematic review and survey of the management of unexpected neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia.

BACKGROUND: Unexpected neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (NAIT) may have devastating consequences and its management is challenging. To design future trials, evidence from the literature and existing best practice need review. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This study was a cross-sectional survey of neonatal units in Germany and Canada to determine management strategies of NAIT and a systematic search for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). RESULTS: Management of NAIT differs substantially between countries with regard to platelet (PLT) thresholds for screening, initiation of therapy, and treatment. Seventy-seven percent of Canadian physicians versus 68 percent of German physicians screen preterm and term infants, at a PLT threshold of 30 x 10(9) to 100 x 10(9) per L. In preterm infants, 60 percent of Canadian neonatologists commence treatment at a PLT count of between 30 x 10(9) and 50 x 10(9) per L. In Germany 32 percent of the physicians start treatment at this level and 25 percent use a threshold of between 10 x 10(9) and 20 x 10(9) per L. In term infants, 6 percent of the Canadian physicians and 16 percent of the German physicians use even lower treatment triggers of between 5 x 10(9) and 10 x 10(9) per L. In the presence of bleeding, 61 percent of German physicians await the arrival of antigen-negative PLTs, while 64 percent of Canadian neonatologists prefer intravenous immunoglobulin or random-donor PLTs (81%). Maternal PLTs are utilized by 31 percent of physicians in both countries. No RCTs were identified. CONCLUSION: In the absence of RCTs, management of unexpected NAIT differs between countries. Clinicians and transfusion services may use the results of our study to develop collaborative protocols, redefine preferred hospitalwide strategies, and design future controlled trials.

A bedside prediction-scoring model for late-onset neonatal sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: Insufficient tools for bedside prediction of late-onset neonatal sepsis (LNS) initiated this study. The objective was to develop and validate a simple prediction-scoring model for LNS defined as culture-proven sepsis occurring 72 hours after birth. METHODS: The study was performed at a university hospital in Bangkok. The derivation phase included medical records of 1870 neonates, randomly selected from 9347 records of neonates who had been hospitalized for >72 hours during 1998 to 2000, of which 1824 records were available. In all, 100 neonates were clinically suspected of sepsis and 17 had proven LNS. The validation phase included 73 neonates suspected of having sepsis during July 2002 to June 2003 and 25 who had LNS. Weighted coefficients from Cox's proportional hazards model and receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used. RESULTS: The incidence density of LNS was 17/11355 (1.5/1000) person-days. A scoring model was developed and consisted of the following: hypotension (score 4), abnormal body temperature (score 3), respiratory insufficiency (score 2), neutrophil band form fraction >1% (score 2), platelet count <150 x 10(3)/microl (score 2), and umbilical venous catheterization (1 to 7 or >7 days; score 2 or 4). The area under the ROC curves for prediction of LNS in a neonate suspected of sepsis in each of the two phases was 0.85 and 0.80, respectively (p=0.436). The mean probabilities of LNS were approximately 0.10 (low risk) for scores from 0 to 3; 0.50 (intermediate risk) for scores from 4 to 6; and 0.70 (high risk) for scores > or =7. CONCLUSION: A simple prediction-scoring model for LNS was developed. Validation of the scores suggested good diagnostic performance.

Suppression of adrenal function in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia following induction therapy with corticosteroid and other cytotoxic agents.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate adrenal function in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) after induction therapy with corticosteroid and other cytotoxic agents. Study design Children with ALL (N=24) were treated with prednisolone (40 mg/m(2) per day) for 28 days during the induction phase followed by 1 week of oral dexamethasone every 4 weeks. A low-dose (1 microg) adrenocorticotropin (ACTH) test was performed 2 weeks after discontinuation of prednisolone; it was repeated 2 weeks later and then every 4 weeks in patients with adrenal suppression until normal response was achieved. RESULTS: Adrenal suppression was found in 46% of patients at 2 weeks after discontinuation of prednisolone; it persisted in 38%, 29%, and 13% of patients through 4 weeks, 8 weeks, and 20 weeks, respectively. Adrenal suppression appeared to last significantly longer in children aged >or=5 years than in children aged <5 years. Four children developed febrile neutropenia; all belonged to the adrenal suppressed group and were unable to mount an adequate adrenal response to the stress. CONCLUSIONS: About 50% of children with ALL developed adrenal suppression 2 weeks after a 4-week induction therapy with prednisolone. The suppression could persist through 20 weeks and may hinder an adequate adrenal response during acute febrile illness.

Neonatal tuberculosis associated with shock, disseminated intravascular coagulation, hemophagocytic syndrome, and hypercalcemia: a case report.

We report on a female infant with disseminated tuberculosis who presented with clinical sepsis and disseminated intravascular coagulation starting at 14 days of age. Parenteral ofloxacin combined with streptomycin were used because the enteral route was not possible and intravenous isoniazid and rifampicin were not available. Rare complications including infection-associated hemophagocytic syndrome, hypercalcemia, and adrenal insufficiency were detected and successfully managed.

The use of recombinant activated factor VII to control bleeding in a preterm infant undergoing exploratory laparotomy.

The case of a preterm infant weighing 1120 g who successfully received recombinant activated factor VII (rFVIIa) without complication for control of a life-threatening bleeding event resulting from a ruptured umbilical artery is reported. After performing an exploratory laparotomy at 27 hours of age, hemorrhage from the surgical wound and various sites persisted. By 63 hours of age, the infant had received a total of 192 mL (171 mL/kg) of packed red blood cells, 115 mL (103 mL/kg) of fresh frozen plasma, 8 mL of cryoprecipitate, and 75 mL (67 mL/kg) of platelet concentrate without stabilization. Hemorrhage ceased after 2 doses of 40 microg/kg/dose recombinant activated factor VII given at 63 and 70 hours of age, with subsequent stabilization of the hematocrit and without need for additional transfusion therapy.