Sample size planning for rank-based multiple contrast tests.

Rank methods are well-established tools for comparing two or multiple (independent) groups. Statistical planning methods for the computing the required sample size(s) to detect a specific alternative with predefined power are lacking. In the present paper, we develop numerical algorithms for sample size planning of pseudo-rank-based multiple contrast tests. We discuss the treatment effects and different ways to approximate variance parameters within the estimation scheme. We further compare pairwise with global rank methods in detail. Extensive simulation studies show that the sample size estimators are accurate. A real data example illustrates the application of the methods.

Diagnostic Validity of Chronic Kidney Disease in Health Claims Data Over Time: Results from a Cohort of Community-Dwelling Older Adults in Germany.

Purpose: The validity of ICD-10 diagnostic codes for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in health claims data has not been sufficiently studied in the general population and over time. Patients and Methods: We used data from the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS), a prospective longitudinal cohort of community-dwelling individuals aged ≥70 years in Berlin, Germany. With estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) as reference, we assessed the diagnostic validity (sensitivity, specificity, positive [PPV], and negative predictive values [NPV]) of different claims-based ICD-10 codes for CKD stages G3-5 (eGFR <60mL/min/1.73m²: ICD-10 N18.x-N19), G3 (eGFR 30-<60mL/min/1.73m²: N18.3), and G4-5 (eGFR <30mL/min/1.73m²: N18.4-5). We analysed trends over five study visits (2009-2019). Results: We included data of 2068 participants at baseline (2009-2011) and 870 at follow-up 4 (2018-2019), of whom 784 (38.9%) and 440 (50.6%) had CKD G3-5, respectively. At baseline, sensitivity for CKD in claims data ranged from 0.25 (95%-confidence interval [CI] 0.22-0.28) to 0.51 (95%-CI 0.48-0.55) for G3-5, depending on the included ICD-10 codes, 0.20 (95%-CI 0.18-0.24) for G3, and 0.36 (95%-CI 0.25-0.49) for G4-5. Over the course of 10 years, sensitivity increased by 0.17 to 0.29 in all groups. Specificity, PPVs, and NPVs remained mostly stable over time and ranged from 0.82-0.99, 0.47-0.89, and 0.66-0.98 across all study visits, respectively. Conclusion: German claims data showed overall agreeable performance in identifying older adults with CKD, while differentiation between stages was limited. Our results suggest increasing sensitivity over time possibly attributable to improved CKD diagnosis and awareness.

Kidney function estimators for drug dose adjustment of direct oral anticoagulants in older adults with atrial fibrillation.

Background: The Cockcroft-Gault equation (CrClC-G) is recommended for dose adjustment of direct oral anticoagulant drugs (DOACs) to kidney function. We aimed to assess whether defining DOAC dose appropriateness according to various kidney function estimators changed the associations between dose appropriateness and adverse events in older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: Participants of the Berlin Initiative Study with AF and treated with DOACs were included. We investigated CrClC-G and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration and European Kidney Function Consortium equations based on creatinine and/or cystatin C. Marginal structural Cox models yielded confounder-adjusted hazard ratios for the risk of mortality, thromboembolism and bleeding associated with dose status. Results: A total of 224 patients were included in the analysis (median age 87 years). Using CrClC-G, 154 (69%) had an appropriate dose of DOACs, 52 (23%) were underdosed and 18 (8%) were overdosed. During a 39-month median follow-up period, 109 (14.9/100 person-years) participants died, 25 (3.6/100 person-years) experienced thromboembolism and 60 (9.8/100 person-years) experienced bleeding. Dose status was not associated with mortality and thromboembolism, independent of the equation. Underdose status was associated with a lower risk of bleeding with all the equations compared with the appropriate dose group. In participants with discrepancies in dose status using CrClC-G and eGFR equations, the occurrence of endpoints did not differ between participants having an appropriate dose using CrClC-G or eGFR. Conclusion: In older adults with AF, the association of DOAC dose status with adverse events did not differ when using CrClC-G or eGFR. Our results suggest that eGFR equations are not inferior to CrClC-G within this context.

Sample size planning for multiple contrast tests.

Sample size calculations for two (independent) samples are well established and applied in (pre-)clinical research. When planning several samples, which is common in, for example, preclinical studies, sample size planning tools based on analysis of variance methods are available. Since the underlying effect sizes of these methods are often hard to interpret and to provide for the sample size planning, we employ multiple contrast test procedures for sample size computations in both parametric (under normality assumption) and nonparametric designs using Steel-type tests. Since the exact distributions of the test statistics are unknown under the alternative and variance heterogeneity, we use approximate solutions. Furthermore, since no closed formula for the sample size is available, we use numerical approximations for their computation. Extensive simulation studies are finally conducted to assess the quality of the approximations. It turns out that the methods are accurate in the sense that the multiple contrast test procedures reach the target power to detect the alternative of interest with the sample size computed. The developed procedures are a valuable tool to plan (pre-)clinical trials with several samples and are easily accessible in publicly available software.

Acculturation Experiences and Preterm Birth in Berlin: Does Acculturative Stress Contribute to Preterm Birth?

Acculturation and acculturative stress are potential risk factors for adverse perinatal outcomes. This study investigates whether and how acculturative stress affects preterm birth (PTB) in a sample of migrant women in Berlin. We interviewed 955 women who recently gave birth using standardized questionnaires (Frankfurt Acculturation Scale and Acculturative Stress Index). Multivariable logistic regression analyses assessed the effects of acculturation and acculturative stress on PTB. Women with migrant backgrounds did not have significantly higher PTB rates than German natives. First-generation migrants experienced higher acculturative stress levels than second-generation migrants, 38.8% vs. 13.2%. Acculturative stress could not be identified as a risk factor for PTB in our sample. These results need to be considered in the context of an international city and the wide use of antenatal care services in our population, which could be responsible for similarly good perinatal outcomes and highlights the potential of good access to perinatal care for vulnerable groups.

Non-Invasive Imaging Biomarkers to Predict the Hepatopulmonary Shunt Fraction Before Transarterial Radioembolization in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Purpose: To identify disease-specific profiles comprising patient characteristics and imaging biomarkers on contrast-enhanced (CE)-computed tomography (CT) that enable the non-invasive prediction of the hepatopulmonary shunt fraction (HPSF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) before resin-based transarterial radioembolization (TARE). Patients and Methods: This institutional review board-approved (EA2/071/19) retrospective study included 56 patients with HCC recommended for TARE. All patients received tri-phasic CE-CT within 6 weeks prior to an angiographic TARE evaluation study using technetium-99m macroaggregated albumin. Imaging biomarkers representative of tumor extent, morphology, and perfusion, as well as disease-specific clinical parameters, were used to perform data-driven variable selection with backward elimination to generate multivariable linear regression models predictive of HPSF. Results were used to create clinically applicable risk scores for patients scheduled for TARE. Additionally, Cox regression was used to identify independent risk factors for poor overall survival (OS). Results: Mean HPSF was 13.11% ± 7.6% (range: 2.8- 35.97%). Index tumor diameter (p = 0.014) or volume (p = 0.034) in combination with index tumor non-rim arterial phase enhancement (APHE) (p < 0.001) and washout (p < 0.001) were identified as significant non-invasive predictors of HPSF on CE-CT. Specifically, the prediction models revealed that the HPSF increased with index lesion diameter or volume and showed higher HPSF if non-rim APHE was present. In contrast, index tumor washout was associated with decreased HPSF levels. Independent risk factors of poorer OS were radiogenomic venous invasion and ascites at baseline. Conclusion: The featured prediction models can be used for the initial non-invasive estimation of HPSF in patients with HCC before TARE to assist in clinical treatment evaluation while potentially sparing ineligible patients from the angiographic shunt evaluation study.