Fluidity of Equipoise in a Multi-Centred Pilot RCT: Influences on Clinician Decision-Making in Offering Trial Entry.

OBJECTIVES: The embedded Qualitative Process Evaluation (QPE) within the CSTICH- Pilot RCT explored facilitators and barriers to recruitment within the Pilot. This study reports a secondary analysis of the overarching theme of Fluidity of Equipoise and the influences on individual and community clinical equipoise around the use of Emergency Cervical Cerclage (ECC). STUDY DESIGN: RCT recruitment assumes clinical equipoise and is defined as genuine uncertainty about an intervention. The ability of trial recruiters to convey this equipoise is also key to participant recruitment and fully informed consent. This exploratory qualitative process evaluation used semi-structured interviews with healthcare professionals (HCPs) involved in trial recruitment. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analysed using codebook thematic analysis. RESULTS: 23 HCPs were interviewed. Clinical equipoise around the use of ECC was variable and influenced by a multitude of factors including: (1) obstetric history; (2) gestation; (3) standard site practice, and (4) HCPs previous experiences of ECC. We have interpreted this variability as 'fluidity of equipoise'. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical equipoise around complex pregnancy related conditions was fluid and influenced by the complexities of obstetric histories and gestation at presentation. Equipoise of HCPs involved in trial recruitment should be considered carefully as it can impact the nuances of recruitment, particularly in more challenging trials such as CSTICH-2. Study-specific documents and training can be used to increase staff and patient awareness of uncertainty in the evidence base for interventions under investigation. Further research is needed around the potential consequences of equipoise fluidity.

The acceptability of emergency cervical cerclage within a randomised controlled trial for cervical dilatation with exposed membranes at 16-27 + 6 weeks gestation: Findings from a qualitative process evaluation of the C-STICH2 pilot trial.

OBJECTIVE: C-STICH2 is a randomised controlled trial of emergency cervical cerclage (ECC) vs routine care in women who present in pregnancy with premature cervical dilatation and exposed unruptured fetal membranes. Within the proposed trial an internal pilot was performed with an embedded qualitative process evaluation (QPE) to explore the feasibility of recruitment. The QPE aimed to collect and analyse data exploring the experiences of health care professionals (HCPs) involved in recruitment, and women approached about the trial. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews (telephone or face-to-face) were held with eligible participants who had consented to participate in the QPE. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analysed to identify main themes. Interview transcripts were analysed using qualitative thematic analysis (QTA). RESULTS: 11 women and 23 HCPs were interviewed. Three super-ordinate themes of Fluidity of Equipoise, A Complex Obstetric History, and the Influence of Gestation were identified. Within these, the five main themes which influenced trial participation were: 1) Complex decision-making processes; 2) Predicting outcomes; 3) The importance of terminology and initial RCT approach; 4) Women's understanding of the need for research in this area; 5) Changes in practice which are trial influenced. CONCLUSIONS: For both HCPs and women and their families, there was a conflation of the potential risks and outcomes of ECC with those of elective cerclage and the complexity around ECC placement was not always well understood by those with less experience and understanding of the intervention. Decision making was shown to be complex and multi-factorial for both HCPs and women. For complex trials in rare conditions with treatment uncertainty, clinical equipoise is likely to be fluid and influenced by multiple factors.

Vitamin D and miscarriage: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether a significant association between vitamin D status and the risk of miscarriage or recurrent miscarriage (RM) exists. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): Women with miscarriage and RM. INTERVENTION(S): We searched the Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from database inception to May 2021. Randomized and observational studies investigating the association between maternal vitamin D status and miscarriage and/or vitamin D treatment and miscarriage were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The primary outcome was miscarriage or RM, with vitamin D status used as the predictor of risk. Whether vitamin D treatment reduces the risk of miscarriage and RM was also assessed. RESULT(S): Of 902 studies identified, 10 (n = 7,663 women) were included: 4 randomized controlled trials (n = 666 women) and 6 observational studies (n = 6,997 women). Women diagnosed with vitamin D deficiency (<50 nmol/L) had an increased risk of miscarriage compared with women who were vitamin D replete (>75 nmol/L) (odds ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-3.02; 4 studies; n = 3,674; I2 = 18%). Combined analysis, including women who were vitamin D insufficient (50-75 nmol/L) and deficient (<50 nmol/L) compared with women who were replete (>75 nmol/L), found an association with miscarriage (odds ratio, 1.60; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.30; 6 studies; n = 6,338; I2 = 35%). Although 4 randomized controlled trials assessed the effect of vitamin D treatment on miscarriage, study heterogeneity, data quality, and reporting bias precluded direct comparison and meta-analysis. The overall study quality was "low" or "very low" using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approach. CONCLUSION(S): Vitamin D deficiency and insufficiency are associated with miscarriage. Whether preconception treatment of vitamin D deficiency protects against pregnancy loss in women at risk of miscarriage remains unknown. REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021259899.

C-STICH2: emergency cervical cerclage to prevent miscarriage and preterm birth-study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cerclage is a recognised treatment to prevent late miscarriage and pre-term birth (PTB). Emergency cervical cerclage (ECC) for cervical dilatation with exposed unruptured membranes is less common and the potential benefits of cerclage are less certain. A randomised control trial is needed to accurately assess the effectiveness of ECC in preventing pregnancy loss compared to an expectant approach. METHODS: C-STICH2 is a multicentre randomised controlled trial in which women presenting with cervical dilatation and unruptured exposed membranes at 16 + 0 to 27 + 6 weeks gestation are randomised to ECC or expectant management. Trial design includes 18 month internal pilot with embedded qualitative process evaluation, minimal data set and a within-trial health economic analysis. Inclusion criteria are ≥16 years, singleton pregnancy, exposed membranes at the external os, gestation 16 + 0-27 + 6 weeks, and informed consent. Exclusion criteria are contraindication to cerclage, cerclage in situ or previous cerclage in this pregnancy. Randomisation occurs via an online service in a 1:1 ratio, using a minimisation algorithm to reduce chance imbalances in key prognostic variables (site, gestation and dilatation). Primary outcome is pregnancy loss; a composite including miscarriage, termination of pregnancy and perinatal mortality defined as stillbirth and neonatal death in the first week of life. Secondary outcomes include all core outcomes for PTB. Two-year development outcomes will be assessed using general health and Parent Report of Children's Abilities-Revised (PARCA-R) questionnaires. Intended sample size is 260 participants (130 each arm) based on 60% rate of pregnancy loss in the expectant management arm and 40% in the ECC arm, with 90% power and alpha 0.05. Analysis will be by intention-to-treat. DISCUSSION: To date there has been one small trial of ECC in 23 participants which included twin and singleton pregnancies. This small trial along with the largest observational study (n = 161) found ECC to prolong pregnancy duration and reduce deliveries before 34 weeks gestation. It is important to generate high quality evidence on the effectiveness of ECC in preventing pregnancy loss, and improve understanding of the prevalence of the condition and frequency of complications associated with ECC. An adequately powered RCT will provide the highest quality evidence regarding optimum care for these women and their babies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN12981869 . Registered on 13th June 2018.