Fully automated 3D machine learning model for HPV status characterization in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas based on CT images.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) status plays a major role in predicting oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) survival. This study assesses the accuracy of a fully automated 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) in predicting HPV status using CT images. METHODS: Pretreatment CT images from OPSCC patients were used to train a 3D DenseNet-121 model to predict HPV-p16 status. Performance was evaluated by the ROC Curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and F1 score. RESULTS: The network achieved a mean AUC of 0.80 ± 0.06. The best-preforming fold had a sensitivity of 0.86 and specificity of 0.92 at the Youden's index. The PPV, NPV, and F1 scores are 0.97, 0.71, and 0.82, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A fully automated CNN can characterize the HPV status of OPSCC patients with high sensitivity and specificity. Further refinement of this algorithm has the potential to provide a non-invasive tool to guide clinical management.

Multiparametric machine learning algorithm for human papillomavirus status and survival prediction in oropharyngeal cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) status influences prognosis in oropharyngeal cancer (OPC). Identifying high-risk patients are critical to improving treatment. We aim to provide a noninvasive opportunity for managing OPC patients by training multiple machine learning pipelines to determine the best model for characterizing HPV status and survival. METHODS: Multi-parametric algorithms were designed using a 492 OPC patient database. HPV status incorporated age, sex, smoking/drinking habits, cancer subsite, TNM, and AJCC 7th edition staging. Survival considered HPV model inputs plus HPV status. Patients were split 4:1 training: testing. Algorithm efficacy was assessed through accuracy and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: From 31 HPV status models, ensemble yielded 0.83 AUC and 78.7% accuracy. From 38 survival models, ensemble yielded 0.91 AUC and 87.7% accuracy. CONCLUSION: Results reinforce artificial intelligence's potential to use tumor imaging and patient characterizations for HPV status and outcome prediction. Utilizing these algorithms can optimize clinical guidance and patient care noninvasively.