Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting short-term prognosis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessment and timely intervention play a crucial role in ameliorating poor short-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) patients. The currently employed scoring models exhibit a degree of complexity, and some models may not comprehensively incorporate relevant indicators, thereby imposing limitations on the evaluative efficacy. Our study aimed to construct and externally validate a nomogram that predicts 30-day all-cause mortality risk in APE patients. METHODS: Clinical data from APE patients in Intensive Care-IV database was included as a training cohort. Additionally, we utilized our hospital's APE database as an external validation cohort. The nomogram was developed, and its predictive ability was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A collective of 1332 patients and 336 patients were respectively enrolled as the training cohort and the validation cohort in this study. Five variables including age, malignancy, oxygen saturation, blood glucose, and the use of vasopressor, were identified based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression model. The ROC value for the nomogram in the training cohort yielded 0.765, whereas in the validation group, it reached 0.907. Notably, these values surpassed the corresponding ROC values for the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, which were 0.713 in the training cohort and 0.754 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram including five indicators had a good performance in predicting short-term prognosis in patients with APE, which was easier to apply and provided better recommendations for clinical decision-making.

Catheter-directed therapy as a treatment for submassive pulmonary embolism: A meta-analysis.

AIMS: Catheter-directed therapy (CDT) is included in the guidelines for diagnosing and treating massive pulmonary embolism. However, few studies have evaluated the efficacy of CDT as a treatment for submassive pulmonary embolism (SPE). Therefore, we used evidence-based medicine to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of CDT in treating SPE. METHODS: Search terms describing CDT in SPE and patients with intermediate pulmonary embolism were entered into the PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases to identify relevant articles without language restrictions published between January 1990 and December 2016. A quality assessment and data extraction were performed by two investigators. The clinical efficacy of and major complications associated with treatment were analysed using a fixed effects model. KEY FINDINGS: A total of 552 patients in 16 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The clinical success rate in CDT was approximately 100% (95% confidence interval (CI): 99%, 100%), the primary bleeding rate was 0.02% (95% CI: 0%, 0.05%), and mortality during hospitalization was approximately 0% (95% CI: 0%, 0.01%). The mean decrease in pulmonary artery systolic pressure after treatment was -14.9% (95% CI: -19.25%, -10.55%), and the mean post-treatment change in the ratio of the right to the left ventricle (RV/LV) was -0.35% (95% CI: -0.48%, -0.22%). SIGNIFICANCE: CDT is effective and safe as a treatment for SPE and could be a first-line treatment for SPE under specific conditions.