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We investigate the hierarchical structure of Dhaka stocks' financial networks, known as an emerging market, from 2008 to 2020. To do so, we determine correlations from the returns of the firms over a one-year time window. Then, we construct a minimum spanning tree (MST) from correlations and calculate the hierarchy of the tree using the hierarchical path. We find that during the unprecedented crisis in 2010-11, the hierarchy of this emerging market did not sharply increase like in developed markets, implying the absence of a compact cluster in the center of the tree. Noticeably, the hierarchy fell before the big crashes in the Bangladeshi local market, and the lowest value was found in 2010, just before the 2011 Bangladesh market scam. We also observe a lower hierarchical MST during COVID-19, which implies that the network is fragile and vulnerable to financial crises not seen in developed markets. Moreover, the volatility in the topological indicators of the MST indicates that the network is adequately responding to crises and that the firms that play an important role in the market during our analysis periods are financial, particularly the insurance companies. We notice that the largest degrees are minimal compared to the total number of nodes in the tree, implying that the network nodes are somewhat locally compact rather than globally centrally coupled. For this random structure of the emerging market, the network properties do not properly reflect the hierarchy, especially during crises. Identifying hierarchies, topological indicators, and significant firms will be useful for understanding the movement of an emerging market like Dhaka Stock exchange (DSE), which will be useful for policymakers to develop the market.
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COVID-19 , Inversiones en Salud , Bangladesh , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/economía , Humanos , Inversiones en Salud/economía , Comercio/economía , Administración Financiera , Modelos Económicos , SARS-CoV-2 , Mercadotecnía/economíaRESUMEN
We analyzed complex networks generated by the threshold method in the Korean and Indian stock markets during the non-crisis period of 2004 and the crisis period of 2008, while varying the size of the system. To create the stock network, we randomly selected N stock indices from the market and constructed the network based on cross-correlation among the time series of stock prices. We computed the average shortest path length L and average clustering coefficient C for several ensembles of generated stock networks and found that both metrics are influenced by network size. Since L and C are affected by network size N, a direct comparison of graph measures between stock networks with different numbers of nodes could lead to erroneous conclusions. However, we observed that the dependency of network measures on N is significantly reduced when comparing larger networks with normalized shortest path lengths. Additionally, we discovered that the effect of network size on network measures during the crisis period is almost negligible compared to the non-crisis periods.
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Modelos Económicos , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
Several studies have been done to identify comorbidities of COVID-19. In this work, we developed an analytical bioinformatics framework to reveal COVID-19 comorbidities, their genomic associations, and molecular mechanisms accomplishing transcriptomic analyses of the RNA-seq datasets provided by the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, where normal and infected tissues were evaluated. Using the framework, we identified 27 COVID-19 correlated diseases out of 7,092 collected diseases. Analyzing clinical and epidemiological research, we noticed that our identified 27 diseases are associated with COVID-19, where hypertension, diabetes, obesity, and lung cancer are observed several times in COVID-19 patients. Therefore, we selected the above four diseases and performed assorted analyses to demonstrate the association between COVID-19 and hypertension, diabetes, obesity, and lung cancer as comorbidities. We investigated genomic associations with the cross-comparative analysis and Jaccard's similarity index, identifying shared differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and linking DEGs of COVID-19 and the comorbidities, in which we identified hypertension as the most associated illness. We also revealed molecular mechanisms by identifying statistically significant ten pathways and ten ontologies. Moreover, to understand cellular physiology, we did protein-protein interaction (PPI) analyses among the comorbidities and COVID-19. We also used the degree centrality method and identified ten biomarker hub proteins (IL1B, CXCL8, FN1, MMP9, CXCL10, IL1A, IRF7, VWF, CXCL9, and ISG15) that associate COVID-19 with the comorbidities. Finally, we validated our findings by searching the published literature. Thus, our analytical approach elicited interconnections between COVID-19 and the aforementioned comorbidities in terms of remarkable DEGs, pathways, ontologies, PPI, and biomarker hub proteins.
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COVID-19 , Hipertensión , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/genética , Genómica , Biología Computacional , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Hipertensión/genética , Obesidad/epidemiología , Obesidad/genéticaRESUMEN
The feature ranking method of machine learning is applied to investigate the feature ranking and network properties of 21 world stock indices. The feature ranking is the probability of influence of each index on the target. The feature ranking matrix is determined by using the returns of indices on a certain day to predict the price returns of the next day using Random Forest and Gradient Boosting. We find that the North American indices influence others significantly during the global financial crisis, while during the European sovereign debt crisis, the significant indices are American and European. The US stock indices dominate the world stock market in most periods. The indices of two Asian countries (India and China) influence remarkably in some periods, which occurred due to the unrest state of these markets. The networks based on feature ranking are constructed by assigning a threshold at the mean of the feature ranking matrix. The global reaching centrality of the threshold network is found to increase significantly during the global financial crisis. Finally, we determine Shannon entropy from the probabilities of influence of indices on the target. The sharp drops of entropy are observed during big crises, which are due to the dominance of a few indices in these periods that can be used as a measure of the overall distribution of influences. Through this technique, we identify the indices that are influential in comparison to others, especially during crises, which can be useful to study the contagions of the global stock market.
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Inversiones en Salud , Modelos Económicos , Asia , China , IndiaRESUMEN
Genomic data analysis is a fundamental system for monitoring pathogen evolution and the outbreak of infectious diseases. Based on bioinformatics and deep learning, this study was designed to identify the genomic variability of SARS-CoV-2 worldwide and predict the impending mutation rate. Analysis of 259044 SARS-CoV-2 isolates identified 3334545 mutations with an average of 14.01 mutations per isolate. Globally, single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) is the most prevalent mutational event. The prevalence of C > T (52.67%) was noticed as a major alteration across the world followed by the G > T (14.59%) and A > G (11.13%). Strains from India showed the highest number of mutations (48) followed by Scotland, USA, Netherlands, Norway, and France having up to 36 mutations. D416G, F106F, P314L, UTR:C241T, L93L, A222V, A199A, V30L, and A220V mutations were found as the most frequent mutations. D1118H, S194L, R262H, M809L, P314L, A8D, S220G, A890D, G1433C, T1456I, R233C, F263S, L111K, A54T, A74V, L183A, A316T, V212F, L46C, V48G, Q57H, W131R, G172V, Q185H, and Y206S missense mutations were found to largely decrease the structural stability of the corresponding proteins. Conversely, D3L, L5F, and S97I were found to largely increase the structural stability of the corresponding proteins. Multi-nucleotide mutations GGG > AAC, CC > TT, TG > CA, and AT > TA have come up in our analysis which are in the top 20 mutational cohort. Future mutation rate analysis predicts a 17%, 7%, and 3% increment of C > T, A > G, and A > T, respectively in the future. Conversely, 7%, 7%, and 6% decrement is estimated for T > C, G > A, and G > T mutations, respectively. T > G\A, C > G\A, and A > T\C are not anticipated in the future. Since SARS-CoV-2 is mutating continuously, our findings will facilitate the tracking of mutations and help to map the progression of the COVID-19 intensity worldwide.
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Much research has been done on time series of financial market in last two decades using linear and non-linear correlation of the returns of stocks. In this paper, we design a method of network reconstruction for the financial market by using the insights from machine learning tool. To do so, we analyze the time series of financial indices of S&P 500 around some financial crises from 1998 to 2012 by using feature ranking approach where we use the returns of stocks in a certain day to predict the feature ranks of the next day. We use two different feature ranking approaches-Random Forest and Gradient Boosting-to rank the importance of each node for predicting the returns of each other node, which produces the feature ranking matrix. To construct threshold network, we assign a threshold which is equal to mean of the feature ranking matrix. The dynamics of network topology in threshold networks constructed by new approach can identify the financial crises covered by the monitored time series. We observe that the most influential companies during global financial crisis were in the sector of energy and financial services while during European debt crisis, the companies are in the communication services. The Shannon entropy is calculated from the feature ranking which is seen to increase over time before market crash. The rise of entropy implies the influences of stocks to each other are becoming equal, can be used as a precursor of market crash. The technique of feature ranking can be an alternative way to infer more accurate network structure for financial market than existing methods, can be used for the development of the market.