Exploring the Impact of Model-Informed Precision Dosing on Procalcitonin Concentrations in Critically Ill Patients: A Secondary Analysis of the DOLPHIN Trial.

Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) might be used to optimize antibiotic treatment. Procalcitonin (PCT) is a biomarker for severity of infection and response to antibiotic treatment. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of MIPD on the course of PCT and to investigate the association of PCT with pharmacodynamic target (PDT) attainment in critically ill patients. This is a secondary analysis of the DOLPHIN trial, a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Patients with a PCT value available at day 1 (T1), day 3 (T3), or day 5 (T5) after randomisation were included. The primary outcome was the absolute difference in PCT concentration at T1, T3, and T5 between the MIPD and the standard dosing group. In total, 662 PCT concentrations from 351 critically ill patients were analysed. There was no statistically significant difference in PCT concentration between the trial arms at T1, T3, or T5. The median PCT concentration was highest in patients who exceeded 10× PDT at T1 [13.15 ng/mL (IQR 5.43-22.75)]. In 28-day non-survivors and in patients that exceeded PDT at T1, PCT decreased significantly between T1 and T3, but plateaued between T3 and T5. PCT concentrations were not significantly different between patients receiving antibiotic treatment with or without MIPD guidance. The potential of PCT to guide antibiotic dosing merits further investigation.

Interval post-colonoscopy colorectal cancer following a negative colonoscopy in a fecal immunochemical test-based screening program.

BACKGROUND: In the Dutch colorectal (CRC) screening program, fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-positive individuals are referred for colonoscopy. If no relevant findings are detected at colonoscopy, individuals are reinvited for FIT screening after 10 years. We aimed to assess CRC risk after a negative colonoscopy in FIT-positive individuals. METHODS: In this cross-sectional cohort study, data were extracted from the Dutch national screening information system. Participants with a positive FIT followed by a negative colonoscopy between 2014 and 2018 were included. A negative colonoscopy was defined as a colonoscopy during which no more than one nonvillous, nonproximal adenoma < 10 mm or serrated polyp < 10 mm was found. The main outcome was interval post-colonoscopy CRC (iPCCRC) risk. iPCCRC risk was reviewed against the risk of interval CRC after a negative FIT (FIT IC) with a 2-year screening interval. RESULTS: 35 052 FIT-positive participants had a negative colonoscopy and 24 iPCCRCs were diagnosed, resulting in an iPCCRC risk of 6.85 (95 %CI 4.60-10.19) per 10 000 individuals after a median follow-up of 1.4 years. After 2.5 years of follow-up, age-adjusted iPCCRC risk was approximately equal to FIT IC risk at 2 years. CONCLUSION: Risk of iPCCRC within a FIT-based CRC screening program was low during the first years after colonos-copy but, after 2.5 years, was the same as the risk in FIT-negative individuals at 2 years, when they are reinvited for screening. Colonoscopy quality may therefore require further improvement and FIT screening interval may need to be reduced after negative colonoscopy.

Chronic kidney disease increases the susceptibility to negative effects of low and high potassium intake.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Dietary potassium (K+) has emerged as a modifiable factor for cardiovascular and kidney health in the general population, but its role in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear. Here, we hypothesize that CKD increases the susceptibility to negative effects of low and high K+ diets. METHODS: We compared the effects of low, normal, or high KChloride (KCl) diets and a high KCitrate diet for four weeks in male rats with normal kidney function and in male rats with CKD using the 5/6th nephrectomy model (5/6Nx). RESULTS: Compared to rats with normal kidney function, 5/6Nx rats on the low KCl diet developed more severe extracellular and intracellular hypokalemia and more severe kidney injury, characterized by nephromegaly, infiltration of T-cells and macrophages, decreased eGFR and increased albuminuria. The high KCl diet caused hyperkalemia, hyperaldosteronism, hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis and severe hypertension in 5/6Nx but not in sham rats. The high KCitrate diet caused hypochloremic metabolic alkalosis but attenuated hypertension despite higher abundance of the phosphorylated sodium chloride cotransporter (pNCC) and similar levels of plasma aldosterone and epithelial sodium channel (ENaC) abundance. All 5/6Nx groups had more collagen deposition than the sham groups and this effect was most pronounced in the high KCitrate group. Plasma aldosterone correlated strongly with kidney collagen deposition. CONCLUSIONS: CKD increases the susceptibility to negative effects of low and high K+ diets in male rats, although the injury patterns are different. The low K+ diet caused inflammation, nephromegaly and kidney function decline, whereas the high K+ diet caused hypertension, hyperaldosteronism and kidney fibrosis. High KCitrate attenuated the hypertensive but not the pro-fibrotic effect of high KCl, which may be attributable to K+-induced aldosterone secretion. Our data suggest that especially in people with CKD it is important to identify the optimal threshold of dietary K+ intake.

Inflammation, sepsis severity and neurodevelopmental outcomes of late-onset sepsis in preterm neonates.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) and interleukin-6 (IL-6)) and sepsis severity (neonatal-Sequential-Organ-Failure-Assessment (nSOFA)) and neurodevelopmental outcomes at 2 years, among very preterm neonates. METHODS: Data on preterm neonates (gestational age <30 weeks) from 2016 until 2020 were reviewed. Outcomes of interest were NDI (no, mild, severe) and the motor and cognitive score on the Dutch-Bayley-Scales-of-Infant-and-Toddler-Development (Bayley-III-NL) assessed at the corrected age of 2 years. Logistic and linear regression analysis were used for categorical and continuous outcomes, respectively. All analyses were adjusted for gestational age, sex and birthweight-for-gestational-age SD-score. RESULTS: In total 410 patients were eligible for analysis. Maximum CRP concentrations were associated with lower motor and cognitive scores (effect estimate -0.03 points,(95% CI -0.07; -0.00) and -0.03 points,(95% CI -0.06; -0.004), respectively) and increased risk of severe NDI (odds ratio (OR) 1.01, (95% CI 1.00; 1.01)). High nSOFA scores (≥4) during sepsis episodes were associated with an increased risk of mild NDI (OR 2.01, (95% CI 1.34; 3.03)). There were no consistent associations between IL-6, PCT and the outcomes of interest. CONCLUSION: High CRP concentrations and sepsis severity in preterm neonates seem to be associated with neurodevelopmental outcomes in survivors at the age of 2 years. IMPACT STATEMENT: The level of inflammation and sepsis severity are associated with neurodevelopmental outcome in preterm neonates at 2 years of corrected age. Sepsis is a major health issue in preterm neonates and can lead to brain damage and impaired neurodevelopment. Biomarkers can be determined to assess the level of inflammation. However, the relation of inflammatory biomarkers with neurodevelopmental outcome is not known. The level of inflammation and sepsis severity are related to neurodevelopmental outcome in preterm neonates. Maximum CRP concentration and high nSOFA scores are associated with an increased risk of neurodevelopmental impairment in survivors at the corrected age of 2 years.

Albumin determined by bromocresol green leads to erroneous results in routine evaluation of patients with chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVES: Measurement of plasma albumin is pivotal for clinical decision-making in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Routinely used methods as bromocresol green (BCG) and bromocresol purple (BCP) can suffer from aselectivity, but the impact of aselectivity on the accuracy of plasma albumin results of CKD-patients is still unknown. Therefore, we evaluated the performance of BCG-, BCP- and JCTLM-endorsed immunological methods in patients with various stages of CKD. METHODS: We evaluated the performance of commonly used albumin methods in patients with CKD stages G1 through G5, the latter divided in two groups based on whether they received hemodialysis treatment. In total, 163 patient plasma samples were measured at 14 laboratories, on six different BCG and BCP-platforms, and four different immunological platforms. The results were compared with an ERM-DA-470k-corrected nephelometric assay. The implications on outcome is evaluated by the proportion of patient results <38 g/L for the diagnosis of protein energy wasting. RESULTS: Albumin results determined with BCP- and immunological methods showed the best agreement with the target value (92.7 and 86.2 %, respectively vs. 66.7 % for BCG, namely due to overestimation). The relative agreement of each method with the target value was platform-dependent, with larger variability in agreement between platforms noted for BCG and immunological methods (3.2-4.6 and 2.6-5.3 %) as opposed to BCP (0.7-1.5 %). The stage of CKD had similar effects on the variability in agreement for the three method-groups (0.6-1.8 % vs. 0.7-1.5 % vs. 0.4-1.6 %). The differences between methods cause discrepancies in clinical decision-making, as structurally fewer patients were diagnosed with protein energy wasting upon using BCG-based albumin results. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that BCP is fit for the intended use to measure plasma albumin levels in CKD patients from all stages, including patients on hemodialysis. In contrast, most BCG-based platforms falsely overestimate the plasma albumin concentration.

Socio-demographic and cultural factors related to non-participation in the Dutch colorectal cancer screening programme.

BACKGROUND: High participation rates are essential for a screening programme to be beneficial. To reach non-participants in a targeted manner, insight in characteristics of non-participants is needed. We investigated demographic differences between participants and non-participants in the Dutch faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programme. METHODS: In this population-based cohort study, we included all invitees for CRC screening in 2018 and 2019. Participation status, birth year, and sex were extracted from the Dutch national screening information system and linked to demographic characteristics from Statistics Netherlands, including migration background, level of education, socioeconomic category, household composition, and household income. A multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association between demographic factors and participation. RESULTS: A total of 4,383,861 individuals were invited for CRC screening in 2018 and 2019, of which 3,170,349 (72.3%) participated. Individuals were less likely to participate when they were single and/or living with others (single with other residents versus couple: odds ratio [OR] 0.34, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.31-0.38), had a migration background (e.g. Moroccan migrant versus Dutch background: OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.42-0.44), or had a low income (lowest versus highest quintile: OR 0.45, 95% CI: 0.44-0.45). Although to a lesser extent, non-participation was also significantly associated with being male, being younger, receiving social welfare benefits and having a low level of education. CONCLUSION: We found that individuals who were single and/or living with others, immigrants from Morocco or individuals with low income were the least likely to participate in the Dutch CRC screening programme. Targeted interventions are needed to minimise inequities in CRC screening.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor and procalcitonin for risk stratification in patients with a suspected infection in the emergency department: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Early identification of patients at risk of clinical deterioration may improve prognosis of infected patients in the emergency department (ED). Combining clinical scoring systems with biomarkers may result in a more accurate prediction of mortality than a clinical scoring system or biomarker alone. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to investigate the performance of the combination of National Early Warning Score-2 (NEWS2) and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score with soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) and procalcitonin to predict 30-day mortality in patients with a suspected infection in the ED. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a single-center prospective observational study, conducted in the Netherlands. Patients with suspected infection in the ED were included in this study and followed-up for 30 days. The primary outcome of this study was all cause 30-day mortality. The association between suPAR and procalcitonin with mortality was assessed in subgroups of patients with low and high qSOFA (<1 and ≥1) and low and high NEWS2 (<7 and ≥7). MAIN RESULTS: Between March 2019 and December 2020, 958 patients were included. A total of 43 (4.5%) patients died within 30 days after ED visit. A suPAR ≥ 6 ng/ml was associated with an increased mortality risk: 5.5 vs. 0.9% ( P  < 0.01) in patients with qSOFA = 0 and 10.7 vs. 2.1% ( P  = 0.02) in patients with qSOFA ≥ 1. There was also an association between procalcitonin ≥0.25 ng/ml and mortality: 5.5 vs. 1.9% ( P  = 0.02) for qSOFA = 0 and 11.9 vs. 4.1% ( P  = 0.03) for qSOFA ≥ 1. Similar associations were found within patients with a NEWS < 7 (5.9 vs. 1.2% for suPAR and 7.0 vs. 1.7% for procalcitonin, P  < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this prospective cohort study, suPAR and procalcitonin were associated with increased mortality in patients with either a low or high qSOFA and patients with low NEWS2.

Monitoring antihypertensive drug concentrations to determine nonadherence in hypertensive patients with or without a kidney transplant.

BACKGROUND: Nonadherence to antihypertensive drugs (AHDs) is a major contributor to pseudo-resistant hypertension. The primary objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of nonadherence to AHDs among patients visiting the nephrology and vascular outpatient clinics. METHODS: Patients were eligible to participate in this prospective observational study if they used at least two AHDs that could be measured with a validated UHPLC-MS/MS method and had an office blood pressure at least 140 and/or at least 90 mmHg. For resistant hypertension, included patients had to use at least three AHDs including a diuretic or four AHDs. Adherence was assessed by measuring drug concentrations in blood. The complete absence of drug in blood was defined as nonadherence. A posthoc analysis was performed to determine the influence of a having a kidney transplant on the adherence rates. RESULTS: One hundred and forty-two patients were included of whom 66 patients fulfilled the definition of resistant hypertension. The overall adherence rate to AHDs was 78.2% ( n  = 111 patients), with the highest adherence rate for irbesartan (100%, n  = 9) and lowest adherence rate for bumetanide ( n  = 69%, n  = 13). In further analysis, only kidney transplantation could be identified as an important factor for adherence (adjusted odds ratio = 3.35; 95% confidence interval 1.23-9.09). A posthoc analysis showed that patients with a kidney transplant were more likely to be adherent to AHDs (non-KT cohort 64.0% vs. KT-cohort 85.7%, χ 2 (2) = 10.34, P  = 0.006). CONCLUSION: The adherence rate to AHDs in hypertensive patients was high (78.2%) and even higher after a kidney transplant (85.7%). Furthermore, patients after kidney transplant had a lower risk of being nonadherent to AHDs.

Impact of delayed screening invitations on screen-detected and interval cancers in the Dutch colorectal cancer screening programme: individual-level data analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of delayed invitation on screen-detected and interval colorectal cancers (CRC) within a faecal immunochemical testing (FIT)-based CRC screening programme. DESIGN: All individuals that participated in 2017 and 2018 with a negative FIT and were eligible for CRC screening in 2019 and 2020 were included using individual-level data. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between either the different time periods (ie, 'before', 'during' and 'after' the first COVID-19 wave) or the invitation interval on screen-detected and interval CRCs. RESULTS: Positive predictive value for advanced neoplasia (AN) was slightly lower during (OR=0.91) and after (OR=0.95) the first COVID-19 wave, but no significant difference was observed for the different invitation intervals. Out of all individuals that previously tested negative, 84 (0.004%) had an interval CRC beyond the 24 months since their last invitation. The time period of invitation as well as the extended invitation interval was not associated with detection rates for AN and interval CRC rate. CONCLUSION: The impact of the first COVID-19 wave on screening yield was modest. A very small proportion of the FIT negatives had an interval CRC possibly due to an extended interval, which potentially could have been prevented if they had received the invitation earlier. Nonetheless, no increase in interval CRC rate was observed, indicating that an extended invitation interval up to 30 months had no negative impact on the performance of the CRC screening programme and a modest extension of the invitation interval seems an appropriate intervention.

Reliable capillary sampling of carcinoembryonic antigen at home: the CASA feasibility study.

AIM: Follow-up after colorectal cancer requires frequent surveillance of the tumour marker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Home-based blood sampling could be beneficial in terms of patients' well-being and societal cost-effectiveness. Blood sampling by venepuncture is unsuitable for home-based sampling. The aim of this feasibility study is to evaluate the long-term whole-blood stability of CEA. METHOD: In this prospective feasibility study capillary blood withdrawal was collected in a Hem-Col® microtube containing a patented stabilization buffer using an internal lithium standard to correct for dilution. Long-term whole-blood stability was considered adequate if the relative bias in CEA concentration between delayed analysis of capillary samples and directly processed venepuncture is within the total error margin of CEA. RESULTS: Twenty two colorectal cancer patients were included to determine the stability of CEA in capillary sampling compared with directly processed (i.e. within 2 h) venepuncture sampling. The median time between venous sampling and CEA analysis and capillary sampling and CEA analysis was 2 h (interquartile range 1-4 h) and 76 h (interquartile range 74-95 h), respectively. A Bland-Altman difference plot excluding outliers showed an overall relative bias of -1.23%. The two capillary samples in our outlier analysis also showed the highest lithium concentrations. CONCLUSION: Home-based capillary sampling with the use of the Hem-Col® buffer is a feasible method for CEA determination when analysed within 4 days after blood withdrawal, allowing monitoring for colorectal cancer patients from home. High lithium concentrations due to insufficient filling of the Hem-Col® tube suggest less reliable CEA measurements.

Personalized colorectal cancer screening: study protocol of a mixed-methods study on the effectiveness of tailored intervals based on prior f-Hb concentration in a fit-based colorectal cancer screening program (PERFECT-FIT).

BACKGROUND: In 2014, the national population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program was implemented in the Netherlands. Biennial fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) for hemoglobin (Hb) is used at a cut-off of 47 µg Hb per gram feces. The CRC screening program successfully started, with high participation rates and yield of screening. Now that the program has reached a steady state, there is potential to further optimize the program. Previous studies showed that prior fecal Hb (f-Hb) concentrations just below the FIT cut-off are associated with a higher risk for detection of advanced neoplasia (AN) at subsequent screening rounds. We aim to achieve a better balance between the harms and benefits of CRC screening by offering participants tailored invitation intervals based on prior f-Hb concentrations after negative FIT. METHODS: This mixed-methods study will be performed within the Dutch national CRC screening program and will consist of: (1) a randomized controlled trial (RCT), (2) focus group studies, and (3) decision modelling. The primary outcome is the yield of AN per screened individual in personalized screening vs. uniform screening. Secondary outcomes are perspectives on, acceptability of and adherence to personalized screening, as well as long-term outcomes of personalized vs. uniform screening. The RCT will include 20,000 participants of the Dutch CRC screening program; 10,000 in the intervention and 10,000 in the control arm. The intervention arm will receive a personalized screening interval based on the prior f-Hb concentration (1, 2 or 3 years). The control arm will receive a screening interval according to current practice (2 years). The focus group studies are designed to understand individuals' perspectives on and acceptability of personalized CRC screening. Results of the RCT will be incorporated into the MISCAN-Colon model to determine long-term benefits, harms, and costs of personalized vs. uniform CRC screening. DISCUSSION: The aim of this study is to evaluate the yield, feasibility, acceptability and (cost-) effectiveness of personalized CRC screening through tailored invitation intervals based on prior f-Hb concentrations. This knowledge may be of guidance for health policy makers and may provide evidence for implementing personalized CRC screening in The Netherlands and/or other countries using FIT as screening modality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05423886, June 21, 2022, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05423886.

Reduced Seasonal Coronavirus Antibody Responses in Children Following COVID-19 Mitigation Measures, The Netherlands.

SARS-CoV-2 prevention and control measures did not only impact SARS-CoV-2 circulation, but also the timing and prevalence of other seasonal respiratory viruses. Especially in children, information on exposure and infections to seasonal coronaviruses as well as SARS-CoV-2 in the first year of the pandemic is largely lacking. Therefore, we set up a one-year serological survey in a large tertiary hospital in the Netherlands. We show that seasonal coronavirus seroprevalence significantly decreased in 2021 in children less than one year, most likely due to COVID-19 control measures. The SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in children and adolescents increased from 0.4% to 11.3%, the highest in adolescents. This implies higher exposure rates in adolescents as compared to the general population (>18 years old). It is clear that there have been significant changes in the circulation and subsequent immunity against most respiratory pathogens as a result of the mitigation measures. The implications on shorter as well as longer term are still largely unknown, but the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and subsequent control measures will continue to affect the dynamics of other pathogens.

Faecal occult blood loss accurately predicts future detection of colorectal cancer. A prognostic model.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the prognostic potential of repeated faecal haemoglobin (F-Hb) concentration measurements in faecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening for colorectal cancer (CRC). DESIGN: Prognostic model. SETTING: Dutch biennial FIT-based screening programme during 2014-2018. PARTICIPANTS: 265 881 participants completing three rounds of FIT, with negative test results (F-Hb <47 µg Hb/g faeces) in rounds 1 and 2. INTERVENTIONS: Colonoscopy follow-up in participants with a positive FIT (F-Hb ≥47 µg Hb/g faeces). MAIN OUTCOMES: We evaluated prognostic models for detecting advanced neoplasia (AN) and CRC in round 3, with as predictors, participant age, sex, F-Hb in rounds 1 and 2, and categories/combinations/non-linear transformations of F-Hb. Primary evaluation criteria included: risk prediction accuracy (calibration), discrimination of participants with versus without AN or CRC (optimism-adjusted C-statistics, range 0.5-1.0), the degree of risk stratification and C-statistics in external validation. RESULTS: Among study participants, 8806 (3.3%) had a positive FIT result, 3254 (1.2%) had AN detected and 557 (0.2%) had cancer. F-Hb concentrations in rounds 1 and 2 were the strongest outcome predictors, with adjusted ORs of up to 9.4 (95% CI 7.5 to 11.7) for the highest F-Hb category. Risk predictions matched the observed risk for most participants (calibration intercept -0.008 to -0.099; slope 0.982-0.998), and discriminated participants with versus without AN or CRC with C-statistics of 0.78 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.79) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.75), respectively. The predicted risk ranged from 0.4% to 36.7% for AN and from 0.0% to 5.5% for CRC across participants. In external validation, the model retained similar discrimination accuracy for AN (C-statistic 0.77, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.87) and CRC (C-statistic 0.78, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.91). CONCLUSION: Participants at lower versus higher risk of future AN or CRC can be accurately identified based on their age, sex and particularly, prior F-Hb concentrations. Risk stratification should be considered based on this information.

Factors associated with interval colorectal cancer after negative FIT: Results of two screening rounds in the Dutch FIT-based CRC screening program.

The interval colorectal cancer (CRC) rate after negative fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is an important quality indicator of CRC screening programs. We analyzed the outcomes of two rounds of the FIT-based CRC screening program in the Netherlands, using data from individuals who participated in FIT-screening from 2014 to 2017. Data of individuals with one prior negative FIT (first round) or two prior negative FITs (first and second round) were included. Outcomes included the incidence of interval CRC in FIT-negative participants (<47 µg Hb/g feces [µg/g]), FIT-sensitivity, and the probability of detecting an interval CRC by fecal hemoglobin concentration (f-Hb). FIT-sensitivity was estimated using the detection method and the proportional incidence method (based on expected CRC incidence). Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate whether f-Hb affects probability of detecting interval CRC, adjusted for sex- and age-differences. Incidence of interval CRC was 10.4 per 10 000 participants after the first and 9.6 after the second screening round. FIT-sensitivity based on the detection method was 84.4% (95%CI 83.8-85.0) in the first and 73.5% (95% CI 71.8-75.2) in the second screening round. The proportional incidence method resulted in a FIT-sensitivity of 76.4% (95%CI 73.3-79.6) in the first and 79.1% (95%CI 73.7-85.3) in the second screening round. After one negative FIT, participants with f-Hb just below the cut-off (>40-46.9 µg/g) had a higher probability of detecting an interval CRC (OR 16.9; 95%CI: 14.0-20.4) than had participants with unmeasurable f-Hb (0-2.6 µg/g). After two screening rounds, the odds ratio for interval CRC was 12.0 (95%CI: 7.8-17.6) for participants with f-Hb just below the cut-off compared with participants with unmeasurable f-Hb. After both screening rounds, the Dutch CRC screening program had a low incidence of interval CRC and an associated high FIT-sensitivity. Our findings suggest there is a potential for further optimizing CRC screening programs with the use of risk-stratified CRC screening based on prior f-Hb.

Advanced-stage CRC incidence patterns following the phased implementation of the CRC screening programme in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: From 2014, the Dutch colorectal cancer (CRC) faecal immunochemical testing-based screening programme was gradually rolled out by birth cohort. We evaluated changes in advanced-stage CRC incidence by timing of invitation to further strengthen the evidence for the effectiveness of CRC screening. METHODS: Data on advanced-stage CRC incidence in the period 2010-2019 by invitation cohort were collected through the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Crude rates of advanced-stage CRC incidence and cumulative advanced-stage CRC incidence were calculated. Observed advanced-stage CRC incidence and cumulative advanced-stage CRC incidence were compared with expected advanced-stage CRC incidence and cumulative advanced-stage CRC incidence by invitation cohort using trend lines extrapolating data prior to the introduction of screening. RESULTS: For the invitation cohort that was first invited for screening in 2014, advanced-stage CRC incidence increased before the introduction of screening from 94.1 to 124.7 per 100,000 individuals in the period 2010-2013. In 2014, the observed increase was higher than in preceding years, to 184.9 per 100,000 individuals. Hereafter, a decrease in incidence was observed to levels below expected incidence based on trends before the introduction of screening. A similar pattern was observed for invitation cohorts in subsequent years, coinciding with the first invitation to the screening programme. In 2019, the observed incidence for all invitation cohorts remained below expected incidence. The cumulative advanced-stage CRC incidence in the 2014-2016 invitation cohorts was significantly lower than the expected cumulative CRC incidence in the period 2010-2019. CONCLUSIONS: In the period 2014-2019, an increase in advanced-stage CRC incidence was observed for all invitation cohorts first invited for screening, followed by a decrease below expected incidence, following the pattern of the phased implementation. The cumulative advanced-stage CRC incidence in invitation cohorts invited for screening multiple times was lower than expected based on trends from the pre-screening era. These findings support a causal relationship between the introduction of the Dutch screening programme and a decrease in advanced-stage CRC incidence.

Advanced serrated polyps as a target of screening: detection rate and positive predictive value within a fecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening population.

BACKGROUND : Advanced serrated polyps (ASPs) have a comparable risk to advanced adenomas for progression to colorectal cancer (CRC). The yield of most CRC screening programs, however, is based on advanced adenomas and CRC only. We assessed the ASP detection rate, and positive predictive value (PPV) including ASPs in a fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening program. METHODS : We analyzed the findings of follow-up colonoscopies of FIT-positive screenees in the Dutch CRC screening program from 2014 until 2020. Data were retrieved from the national screening and pathology database. An ASP was defined as any serrated polyp of ≥ 10 mm, sessile serrated lesion with dysplasia, or traditional serrated adenoma. The ASP detection rate was defined as the proportion of colonoscopies with ≥ 1 ASP. PPV was originally defined as the proportion of individuals with a CRC or advanced adenoma. The updated PPV definition included CRCs, advanced adenomas, and/or ASPs. RESULTS : 322 882 colonoscopies were included in the analyses. The overall detection rate of ASPs was 5.9 %. ASPs were detected more often in women than men (6.3 % vs. 5.6 %; P < 0.001). ASP detection rates in individuals aged 55-59, 60-64, 65-69, and 70 + were 5.2 %, 6.1 %, 6.1 %, and 5.9 %, respectively (P < 0.001). The PPV for CRCs and advanced adenomas was 41.1 % and increased to 43.8 % when including ASPs. The PPV increase was larger in women than in men (3.2 vs. 2.4 percentage points). CONCLUSIONS : 5.9 % of FIT-positive screenees had ASPs, but half of these were detected in combination with a CRC or advanced adenoma. Therefore, including ASPs results in a small increase in the yield of FIT-based screening.

Performance of the FebriDx Rapid Point-of-Care Test for Differentiating Bacterial and Viral Respiratory Tract Infections in Patients with a Suspected Respiratory Tract Infection in the Emergency Department.

FebriDx is a rapid point-of-care test combining qualitative measurements of C-reactive protein (CRP) and Myxovirus Resistance Protein A (MxA) using a disposable test device to detect and differentiate acute bacterial from viral respiratory tract infections. The goal of this study was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of FebriDx in patients with suspected respiratory tract infections in the emergency department (ED). This was an observational cohort study, performed in the ED of an academic hospital. Patients were included if they had a suspected infection. The primary outcome was the presence of a bacterial or viral infection, determined by clinical adjudication by an expert panel. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value of FebriDx for the presence of bacterial versus non-bacterial infections, and viral versus non-viral infections were calculated. Between March 2019 and November 2020, 244 patients were included. A bacterial infection was present in 41%, viral infection was present in 24%, and 4% of the patients had both viral and bacterial pathogens. FebriDx demonstrated high sensitivity in the detection of bacterial infection (87%), high NPV (91%) to rule out bacterial infection, and high specificity (94%) for viral infection in patients with a suspected infection in the ED.

Preoperative Cancer Antigen 125 Level as Predictor for Complete Cytoreduction in Ovarian Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study and Systematic Review.

Background: The tumor marker 'cancer antigen 125' (CA-125) plays a role in the management of women with advanced stage ovarian cancer. This study aims to describe the predictive value of pre-treatment CA-125 level and the reduction after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) on surgical outcome. Methods: A systematic review and a prospective clinical study were performed. Multiple databases were searched from database inception to April 2022. The clinical study is part of a randomized controlled trial named "PlaComOv-study". A regression analysis was performed to demonstrate correlations between preoperative CA-125 levels, CA-125 reduction after NACT, and surgical outcome. Results: Fourteen relevant articles were analyzed of which eleven reported that lower preoperative CA-125 levels were associated with a higher probability of complete cytoreduction. In the clinical study, 326 patients with FIGO stage IIIB-IV ovarian cancer who underwent CRS were enrolled from 2018 to 2020. Patients who underwent interval CRS with preoperative CA-125 levels ≤35 kU/L had higher odds of achieving complete CRS than patients with CA-125 level >35 kU/L (85% vs. 67%, OR 2.79, 95%CI 1.44−5.41, p = 0.002). In multivariable analysis with presence of ascites and peritoneal carcinomatosis, normalized preoperative CA-125 did not appear as a significant predictor for complete CRS. Conclusions: In literature, preoperative CA-125 levels ≤35 kU/L were associated with a significant higher percentage of complete CRS in univariable analysis. According to our cohort study, preoperative CA-125 level ≤35 kU/L cannot independently predict surgical outcome either for primary or interval CRS.

Introducing heart rate variability monitoring combined with biomarker screening into a level IV NICU: a prospective implementation study.

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the implementation of a local heart rate variability (HRV) monitoring guideline combined with determination of inflammatory biomarkers and mortality, measures of sepsis severity, frequency of sepsis testing, and antibiotic usage, among very preterm neonates. In January 2018, a guideline was implemented for early detection of late-onset neonatal sepsis using HRV monitoring combined with determination of inflammatory biomarkers. Data on all patients admitted with a gestational age at birth of < 32 weeks were reviewed in the period January 2016-June 2020 (n = 1,135; n = 515 pre-implementation, n = 620 post-implementation). Outcomes of interest were (sepsis-related) mortality, sepsis severity (neonatal sequential organ failure assessment (nSOFA)), sepsis testing, and antibiotic usage. Differences before and after implementation of the guideline were assessed using logistic and linear regression analysis for binary and continuous outcomes respectively. All analyses were adjusted for gestational age and sex. Mortality within 10 days of a sepsis episode occurred in 39 (10.3%) and 34 (7.6%) episodes in the pre- and post-implementation period respectively (P = 0.13). The nSOFA course during a sepsis episode was significantly lower in the post-implementation group (P = 0.01). We observed significantly more blood tests for determination of inflammatory biomarkers, but no statistically significant difference in number of blood cultures drawn and in antibiotic usage between the two periods.Conclusion: Implementing HRV monitoring with determination of inflammatory biomarkers might help identify patients with sepsis sooner, resulting in reduced sepsis severity, without an increased use of antibiotics or number of blood cultures.

Joint Modeling of Repeated Measurements of Different Biomarkers Predicts Mortality in COVID-19 Patients in the Intensive Care Unit.

Introduction: Predicting disease severity is important for treatment decisions in patients with COVID-19 in the intensive care unit (ICU). Different biomarkers have been investigated in COVID-19 as predictor of mortality, including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR). Using repeated measurements in a prediction model may result in a more accurate risk prediction than the use of single point measurements. The goal of this study is to investigate the predictive value of trends in repeated measurements of CRP, PCT, IL-6, and suPAR on mortality in patients admitted to the ICU with COVID-19. Methods: This was a retrospective single center cohort study. Patients were included if they tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by PCR test and if IL-6, PCT, suPAR was measured during any of the ICU admission days. There were no exclusion criteria for this study. We used joint models to predict ICU-mortality. This analysis was done using the framework of joint models for longitudinal and survival data. The reported hazard ratios express the relative change in the risk of death resulting from a doubling or 20% increase of the biomarker's value in a day compared to no change in the same period. Results: A total of 107 patients were included, of which 26 died during ICU admission. Adjusted for sex and age, a doubling in the next day in either levels of PCT, IL-6, and suPAR were significantly predictive of in-hospital mortality with HRs of 1.523 (1.012-6.540), 75.25 (1.116-6247), and 24.45 (1.696-1057) respectively. With a 20% increase in biomarker value in a subsequent day, the HR of PCT, IL-6, and suPAR were 1.117 (1.03-1.639), 3.116 (1.029-9.963), and 2.319 (1.149-6.243) respectively. Conclusion: Joint models for the analysis of repeated measurements of PCT, suPAR, and IL-6 are a useful method for predicting mortality in COVID-19 patients in the ICU. Patients with an increasing trend of biomarker levels in consecutive days are at increased risk for mortality.